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IENG 451 - Lecture 04 Quality Matters: Cost of Quality, Yield and Variance Reduction 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 1 Quality is a multifaceted entity. Traditional (OLD) definition of Quality: • Fitness for Use (i.e., products must meet requirements of those who use them.) 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 2 Two Aspects of “Fitness for Use” Quality of Design – • all products intentionally made in various grades of quality. (e.g., Autos differ with respect to size, options, speed, etc.) Quality of Conformance – • how well the product conforms to specifications. (e.g., If diameter of a drilled hole is within specifications then it has good quality.) 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 3 What's Wrong with "Fitness for Use" Definition of Quality? Unfortunately, quality as “Fitness for Use” has become associated with the "conformance to specifications" regardless of whether or not the product is fit for use by customer. Common Misconception: • Quality can be dealt with solely in manufacturing that is, by "gold plating" the product 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 4 Cost of Quality Myth: Higher Quality Higher Cost Total Cost Failure Cost $ Quality Cost Defect Rate 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 5 Reduction of Variability Modern Definition of Quality: • Quality is inversely proportional to variability If variability of product decreases quality of product increases Quality Improvement – • Reduction of variability in processes and products 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 6 Cost of (Poor) Quality: Higher Quality Lower Cost Example: Manufacture of Copier Part 100 parts Manufacturing Process $20 / part (10 scrap parts) (75 good parts) 25% Non-conforming: (25 parts) Re-work Process $4 / part 5/8/2017 75% Conform IENG 451 Operational Strategies (15 good parts) 7 Study finds excessive process variability causes high defect rate New process implemented • NOW: manufacturing non-conformities = 5% • SAVINGS: $22.89 – $20.53 = $2.36 / good part • PRODUCTIVITY: 9% improvement 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 8 Understanding Process Variation Three Aspects: •Location •Spread •Shape Independence: •changing Location does not impact Spread •Frequently, the CLT lets us use Normal Curve 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 9 Shape: Distributions Distributions quantify the probability of an event Events near the mean are most likely to occur, events further away are less likely to be observed 35.0 2.5 30.4 (-3) 5/8/2017 34.8 32.6 (-) (-2) 37 () 39.2 (+) 43.6 41.4 (+3) (+2) IENG 451 Operational Strategies 10 Standard Normal Distribution • The Standard Normal Distribution has a mean () of 0 and a standard deviation () of 1 • Total area under the curve, (z), from z = – to z = is exactly 1 ( -or- 100% of the observations) • The curve is symmetric about the mean • Half of the total area lays on either side, so: (– z) = 1 – (z) (z) 5/8/2017 z IENG 451 Operational Strategies 11 Standard Normal Distribution • How likely is it that we would observe a data point more than 2.57 standard deviations beyond the mean? • Area under the curve from – to z = 2.5 is found by using the Standard Normal table, looking up the cumulative area for z = 2.57, and then subtracting the cumulative area from 1. (z) 5/8/2017 z IENG 451 Operational Strategies 12 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 13 Standard Normal Distribution • How likely is it that we would observe a data point more than 2.57 standard deviations beyond the mean? • Area under the curve from – to z = 2.5 is found by using the table on pp. 716-717, looking up the cumulative area for z = 2.57, and then subtracting the cumulative area from 1. • Answer: 1 – .99492 = .00508, or about 5 times in 1000 (z) 5/8/2017 z IENG 451 Operational Strategies 14 What if the distribution isn’t a Standard Normal Distribution? If it is from any Normal Distribution, we can express the difference from an observation to the mean in units of the standard deviation, and this converts it to a Standard Normal Distribution. • Conversion formula is: where: z x x is the point in the interval, is the population mean, and is the population standard deviation. 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 15 Example: Process Yield Specifications are often set irrespective of process distribution, but if we understand our process we can estimate yield / defects. • Assume a specification calls for a value of 35.0 2.5. • Assume the process has a distribution that is Normally distributed, with a mean of 37.0 and a standard deviation of 2.20. • Estimate the proportion of the process output that will meet specifications. 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 16 Six Sigma - Motorola Six Sigma* = 3.4 defects per million opportunities! • Every Motorola employee must show bottom line results of quality project – finance, mail room, manufacturing, etc. • • • • ± 6 standard deviations – after a 1.5 sigma shift! identify problem; develop measurement; set goal; close gap Long term process – 5 years to fully implement 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 17 Questions & Issues There WILL be a lab tomorrow: • It is a follow-on from last week, covering process improvement • Variation effects • Cost of (poor) Quality 5/8/2017 IENG 451 Operational Strategies 18