Download IENG 451 Lecture 04: Quality Matters

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Central limit theorem wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
IENG 451 - Lecture 04
Quality Matters:
Cost of Quality, Yield and Variance
Reduction
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
1
Quality is a multifaceted entity.

Traditional (OLD) definition of Quality:
• Fitness for Use
(i.e., products must meet requirements of
those who use them.)
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
2
Two Aspects of “Fitness for Use”


Quality of Design –
•
all products intentionally made in various grades of
quality. (e.g., Autos differ with respect to size, options,
speed, etc.)
Quality of Conformance –
•
how well the product conforms to specifications. (e.g.,
If diameter of a drilled hole is within specifications then
it has good quality.)
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
3
What's Wrong with "Fitness for
Use" Definition of Quality?

Unfortunately, quality as “Fitness for Use” has
become associated with the "conformance to
specifications" regardless of whether or not the
product is fit for use by customer.

Common Misconception:
•
Quality can be dealt with solely in manufacturing that is, by "gold plating" the product
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
4
Cost of Quality Myth:
Higher Quality  Higher Cost
Total Cost
Failure
Cost
$
Quality Cost
Defect Rate
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
5
Reduction of Variability



Modern Definition of Quality:
• Quality is inversely proportional to variability
If variability of product decreases  quality of
product increases
Quality Improvement –
•
Reduction of variability in processes and products
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
6
Cost of (Poor) Quality:
Higher Quality  Lower Cost

Example: Manufacture of Copier Part
100 parts
Manufacturing Process
$20 / part
(10 scrap parts)
(75 good parts)
25% Non-conforming:
(25 parts)
Re-work Process
$4 / part
5/8/2017
75% Conform
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
(15 good parts)
7
Study finds excessive process
variability causes high defect rate

New process implemented
• NOW: manufacturing non-conformities =
5%
• SAVINGS: $22.89 – $20.53 = $2.36 / good part
• PRODUCTIVITY: 9% improvement
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
8
Understanding Process
Variation
 Three
Aspects:
•Location
•Spread
•Shape
 Independence:
•changing Location does not impact Spread
•Frequently, the CLT lets us use Normal Curve
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
9
Shape: Distributions


Distributions quantify the probability of an event
Events near the mean are most likely to occur, events
further away are less likely to be observed
35.0 
2.5
30.4
(-3)
5/8/2017
34.8
32.6
(-)
(-2)
37
()
39.2
(+)
43.6
41.4
(+3)
(+2)
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
10
Standard Normal Distribution
• The Standard Normal Distribution has a mean () of 0 and
a standard deviation () of 1
• Total area under the curve, (z), from z = – to z =  is
exactly 1 ( -or- 100% of the observations)
• The curve is symmetric about the mean
• Half of the total area lays on either side, so:
(– z) = 1 – (z)
(z)

5/8/2017
z
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
11
Standard Normal Distribution
• How likely is it that we would observe a data point
more than 2.57 standard deviations beyond the
mean?
• Area under the curve from – to z = 2.5  is found by
using the Standard Normal table, looking up the
cumulative area for z = 2.57, and then subtracting the
cumulative area from 1.
(z)

5/8/2017
z
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
12
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
13
Standard Normal Distribution
• How likely is it that we would observe a data point
more than 2.57 standard deviations beyond the
mean?
• Area under the curve from – to z = 2.5  is found by
using the table on pp. 716-717, looking up the
cumulative area for z = 2.57, and then subtracting the
cumulative area from 1.
• Answer: 1 – .99492 = .00508, or about 5 times in 1000
(z)

5/8/2017
z
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
14
What if the distribution isn’t a
Standard Normal Distribution?
 If
it is from any Normal Distribution, we can
express the difference from an observation to the
mean in units of the standard deviation, and this
converts it to a Standard Normal Distribution.
• Conversion formula is:
where:
z
x

x is the point in the interval,
 is the population mean, and
 is the population standard deviation.
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
15
Example: Process Yield

Specifications are often set irrespective of process
distribution, but if we understand our process we can
estimate yield / defects.
• Assume a specification calls for a value of 35.0  2.5.
• Assume the process has a distribution that is Normally
distributed, with a mean of 37.0 and a standard deviation of
2.20.
• Estimate the proportion of the process output that will meet
specifications.
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
16
Six Sigma - Motorola


Six Sigma* = 3.4 defects per million opportunities!
•
Every Motorola employee must show bottom line
results of quality project – finance, mail room,
manufacturing, etc.
•
•
•
•

± 6 standard deviations – after a 1.5 sigma shift!
identify problem;
develop measurement;
set goal;
close gap
Long term process – 5 years to fully implement
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
17
Questions & Issues

There WILL be a lab tomorrow:
• It is a follow-on from last week, covering
process improvement
• Variation effects
• Cost of (poor) Quality
5/8/2017
IENG 451 Operational Strategies
18