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Elasticity and Its Applications Copyright © 2004 South-Western 5 The Laws of Supply and Demand . . . • … tell us the DIRECTION that quantities will move in response to price (or other) changes. • Often, though, we want to know more precisely HOW MUCH quantities will change. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Elasticity . . . • … allows us to analyze supply and demand with greater precision. • … is a measure of how much buyers and sellers respond to changes in market conditions Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning THE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND • Price elasticity of demand is a measure of how much the quantity demanded of a good responds to a change in the price of that good. • Price elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity demanded given a percent change in the price. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Price Elasticity of Demand and Its Determinants • • • • Availability of Close Substitutes Necessities versus Luxuries Definition of the Market Time Horizon Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Price Elasticity of Demand and Its Determinants • Demand tends to be more elastic : • • • • the larger the number of close substitutes. if the good is a luxury. the more narrowly defined the market. the longer the time period. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand • The price elasticity of demand is computed as the percentage change in the quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price. Price elasticity of demand = Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in price Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand Price elasticity of demand = Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in price • Example: If the price of an ice cream cone increases from $2.00 to $2.20 and the amount you buy falls from 10 to 8 cones, then your elasticity of demand would be calculated as: (10 8) 100 20% 10 2 (2.20 2.00) 100 10% 2.00 Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Two Slight Complications • Note: Although the Law of Demand says that quantities fall as prices rise, by convention, we write price elasticity of demand as positive. • Thus although a 10% increase in price might be expected to lead to a negative percentage change in quantity, (say 15%) we would still write this as • Price elasticity =15/10=1.5 instead of -15/10=-1.5. • We have to be careful about this issue with other elasticities like income and cross-price elasticities. • And we have one other problem... Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand Price elasticity of demand = Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in price • Reverse Example: If the price of an ice cream cone decreases from $2.20 to $2.00 and the amount you buy falls from 10 to 8 cones, then your elasticity of demand COULD be calculated as: (8 10) 100 25% 8 2.75% (2.00 2.20) 100 9% 2.20 Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing Elasticities • Having a measure of sensitivity that is different depending on whether you raise price or lower price is not a good thing. • Therefore, we usually compute the percentage by using the MIDPOINT METHOD…… Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Midpoint Method: A Better Way to Calculate Percentage Changes and Elasticities • The midpoint formula is preferable when calculating the price elasticity of demand because it gives the same answer regardless of the direction of the change. (Q2 Q1 ) / [(Q2 Q1 ) / 2] Price elasticity of demand = (P2 P1 ) / [(P2 P1 ) / 2] Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Midpoint Method: A Better Way to Calculate Percentage Changes and Elasticities • Example: If the price of an ice cream cone increases from $2.00 to $2.20 and the amount you buy falls from 10 to 8 cones, then your elasticity of demand, using the midpoint formula, would be calculated as: (10 8) 22% (10 8) / 2 2.32 (2.20 2.00) 9.5% (2.00 2.20) / 2 Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Variety of Demand Curves • Inelastic Demand • Quantity demanded does not respond strongly to price changes. • Price elasticity of demand is less than one. • Elastic Demand • Quantity demanded responds strongly to changes in price. • Price elasticity of demand is greater than one. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand (100-50) ED Price $5 4 0 (4.00 5.00)/2 67 percent (-?)3 (-?)22 percent Demand 50 (4.00-5.00) (100 50)/2 100 Quantity Demand is price elastic Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Variety of Demand Curves • Perfectly Inelastic • Quantity demanded does not respond to price changes. • Perfectly Elastic • Quantity demanded changes infinitely with any change in price. • Unit Elastic • Quantity demanded changes by the same percentage as the price. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Testing Your Understanding: Order these goods from most to least elastic • • • • • • 1. Beef 2. Salt 3. European Vacation 4. Steak 5. Honda Accord 6. Dijon Mustard. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Testing Your Understanding: Order these goods from most to least elastic • A “Typical” Ranking (There is no “right” answer here without data.) • 1. European Vacation (Luxury,substitutes, cost) • 2. Honda Accord (cost, substitutes) • 3. Steak (Luxury, close Beef substitutes) • 4. Dijon Mustard (luxury, taste specific) • 5. Beef (moderate expense, chicken, pork sub) • 6. Salt (inexpensive, necessity, no substitute?) Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Variety of Demand Curves • Because the price elasticity of demand measures how much quantity demanded responds to the price, it is related to the slope of the demand curve. • However, the slope and elasticity ARE NOT THE SAME. • A linear Demand Curve always has the same slope but it can have DIFFERENT elasticity at different parts. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 1 The Price Elasticity of Demand (a) Perfectly Inelastic Demand: Elasticity Equals 0 Price Demand $5 4 1. An increase in price . . . 0 100 Quantity 2. . . . leaves the quantity demanded unchanged. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 1 The Price Elasticity of Demand (b) Inelastic Demand: Elasticity Is Less Than 1 Price $5 4 1. A 22% increase in price . . . Demand 0 90 100 Quantity 2. . . . leads to an 11% decrease in quantity demanded. Figure 1 The Price Elasticity of Demand (c) Unit Elastic Demand: Elasticity Equals 1 Price $5 4 Demand 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 80 100 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 22% decrease in quantity demanded. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 1 The Price Elasticity of Demand (d) Elastic Demand: Elasticity Is Greater Than 1 Price $5 4 Demand 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 50 100 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 67% decrease in quantity demanded. Figure 1 The Price Elasticity of Demand (e) Perfectly Elastic Demand: Elasticity Equals Infinity Price 1. At any price above $4, quantity demanded is zero. $4 Demand 2. At exactly $4, consumers will buy any quantity. 0 3. At a price below $4, quantity demanded is infinite. Quantity A Policy Application of Supply and Demand • The summer of 2005 experienced one of the worst hurricane seasons in the nation’s history. • Aside from the tremendous human cost, hurricanes are also often followed by some predictable economic ‘disruptions’. • For example, the prices of bottled water and gasoline both tend to rise sharply. • Given that hurricanes if anything reduce the demand for gasoline (people travel less not more) why should the price of gasoline rise? • Given that hurricanes do not destroy stocks of bottled water, why should the price of bottled water rise? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Gasoline Market Effects • Hurricanes tend to disrupt supply chains of refined gas with predictable impacts on shortS’ run supply... P’ S P D D’ Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Bottled Water Market Effects • Hurricanes tend to disrupt public infrastructure such as water supplies with predictable impacts on short-run demand for bottled water... P’ D’ P D S Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Price Gouging? • In the aftermath of a hurricane comes the inevitable clash over "price gouging". Florida's Attorney General Charlie Crist complained: • Hurricane Charley is the worst natural disaster to befall our state in a dozen years, and it is unthinkable that anyone would try to take advantage of neighbors at a time like this. • “We must enact a national federal price gouging law to prevent exorbitant prices for food, water, housing, and gas.” From www.housedemocrat.gov, Sept 6, 2005. (just after Hurricane Katrina). Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Price Gouging? • What would be the effect of banning “price gouging” (putting a price ceiling) in the bottled water market? • A) in the market after Katrina? • B) in bottled water markets after the next hurricane? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Short Run Effects of a Price Ceiling • Forcing the price below the new equilibrium creates a situation of excess demand. How will it be determined who gets the available water? P’ D’ P D S Qs Qd Excess Demand Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Long Run Effects of a Price Ceiling • Why might a ban on ‘price gouging’ cause the short run supply curve (after the NEXT hurricane) to move left? P’’ P’ D’ P D S Qs Qd Excess Demand Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Total Revenue and the Price Elasticity of Demand • Total revenue is the amount paid by buyers and received by sellers of a good. • Computed as the price of the good times the quantity sold. TR = P x Q • Suppose you were operating a business and was considering raising the price by 10%. • Would your revenues rise or fall? • How could you use elasticity of demand to help you guess right? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 2 Total Revenue Price $4 P × Q = $400 (revenue) P 0 Demand 100 Quantity Q Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Elasticity and Total Revenue along a Linear Demand Curve • At an inelastic part of the demand curve, an increase in price leads to a decrease in quantity that is proportionately smaller. Thus, total revenue increases. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 3 How Total Revenue Changes When Price Changes: At an inelastic part of the Demand Curve Price Price … leads to an Increase in total revenue from $100 to $240 An Increase in price from $1 to $3 … $3 Revenue = $240 $1 Demand Revenue = $100 0 100 Quantity Demand 0 80 Quantity Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Elasticity and Total Revenue along a Linear Demand Curve • At an elastic part of the demand curve, an increase in the price leads to a decrease in quantity demanded that is proportionately larger. Thus, total revenue decreases. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 3A How Total Revenue Changes When Price Changes: At an ELASTIC part of the Demand Curve Price Price … leads to an Increase in total revenue from $210 to $240 Revenue =$210 A Decrease in price from $6 to $3 … $3 Revenue = $240 Demand 0 35 Quantity Demand 0 80 Quantity Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 4 How Total Revenue Changes When Price Changes: Elastic Demand Price Price … leads to an decrease in total revenue from $200 to $100 An Increase in price from $4 to $5 … $5 $4 Demand Demand Revenue = $200 0 50 Revenue = $100 Quantity 0 20 Quantity Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Income Elasticity of Demand • Income elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded of a good responds to a change in consumers’ income. • It is computed as the percentage change in the quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in income. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing Income Elasticity Percentage change in quantity demanded Income elasticity of demand = Percentage change in income Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Income Elasticity • Types of Goods • Normal Goods • Inferior Goods • Higher income raises the quantity demanded for normal goods but lowers the quantity demanded for inferior goods. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Income Elasticity • Goods consumers regard as necessities tend to be income inelastic • Examples include food, fuel, clothing, utilities, and medical services. • Goods consumers regard as luxuries tend to be income elastic. • Examples include sports cars, furs, and expensive foods. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Testing Your Understanding: Substitutes or Complements? Good A Left shoe Coffee Honda Accord Classical Music Movies Football Tattoos Airplanes Beef Good B Right shoe Tea Toyota Camry Rock and Roll TV Shows Beer Clothes Bicycles Broccoli S, C or Independent? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Cross-Price Elasticity • Since demand for Good A can depend on prices of other goods, we also have the notion of cross-price elasticity. • Recall that Good B is a substitute for Good A if demand for Good A rises when the price of Good B rises. • As in the case of income elasticity, the SIGN of a cross-price elasticity conveys vital information. • The sign of the cross price elasticity between Goods A and B is positive if the two goods are substitutes. • What is the sign if they are complements? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing Cross-Price Elasticity Cross-price elasticity of demand for A with respect to B Percentage change in quantity demanded of A = . Percentage change in price of B Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Cross-Price Elasticity: A Policy Application • When one firm attempts to buy another firm (a “merger’) the purchase typically must be approved by the U.S Department of Justice or the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to ensure the market remains competitive. • If there are only two firms in the market before the merger, then the proposed transactions would create a monopoly and is usually prohibited. • What determines the market though? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Cross-Price Elasticity: A Policy Application • The U.S. government often uses cross-price elasticities to decide if there are enough other firms to maintain competitive discipline on prices. • To do this, they analyze cross-price elasticities. • Suppose the newly merged firm were to raise its price by 5%. • Would it lose enough sales to substitute products (more than 5% of its sales) so that the price rise would not be profitable? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Cross-Price Elasticity: A Policy Application • In a famous case, U.S. vs. Dupont, the government tried to argue that Dupont had monopolised the cellophane wrapper market. • Since Dupont controlled more than 75% of the cellophane market, this claim seemed strong. • However, the Supreme Court held that Dupont’s ability to price monopolistically was severely constrained by the presence of manufacturers of aluminum foil, Saran wrap, waxed paper, etc. • The Court used evidence of high cross-price elasticities of demand between these products to reach their conclusions. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Cross-Price Elasticity: A Policy Application • The reasoning of the Court remains a matter of significant debate. However, the use of crossprice elasticities is still an important tool in anti-trust investigations. • The “Horizontal Merger Guidelines” illustrate how extensive use of cross-price elasticities can be used to determine whether a given market is competitive or not. • See http://www.atrnet.gov/invest/mergers/mgrguide. htm Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning THE ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY • Price elasticity of supply is a measure of how much the quantity supplied of a good responds to a change in the price of that good. • Price elasticity of supply is the percentage change in quantity supplied resulting from a percent change in price. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 6 The Price Elasticity of Supply (a) Perfectly Inelastic Supply: Elasticity Equals 0 Price Supply $5 4 1. An increase in price . . . 0 100 Quantity 2. . . . leaves the quantity supplied unchanged. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 6 The Price Elasticity of Supply (b) Inelastic Supply: Elasticity Is Less Than 1 Price Supply $5 4 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 100 110 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 10% increase in quantity supplied. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 6 The Price Elasticity of Supply (c) Unit Elastic Supply: Elasticity Equals 1 Price Supply $5 4 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 100 125 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 22% increase in quantity supplied. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 6 The Price Elasticity of Supply (d) Elastic Supply: Elasticity Is Greater Than 1 Price Supply $5 4 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 100 200 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 67% increase in quantity supplied. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 6 The Price Elasticity of Supply (e) Perfectly Elastic Supply: Elasticity Equals Infinity Price 1. At any price above $4, quantity supplied is infinite. $4 Supply 2. At exactly $4, producers will supply any quantity. 0 3. At a price below $4, quantity supplied is zero. Quantity Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Determinants of Elasticity of Supply • Ability of sellers to change the amount of the good they produce. • Beach-front land is inelastic. • Books, cars, or manufactured goods are elastic. • Time period. • Supply is more elastic in the long run. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Computing the Price Elasticity of Supply • The price elasticity of supply is computed as the percentage change in the quantity supplied divided by the percentage change in price. Percentage change in quantity supplied Price elasticity of supply = Percentage change in price Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning APPLICATION of ELASTICITY • Can good news for farming be bad news for farmers? • What happens to wheat farmers and the market for wheat when university agronomists discover a new wheat hybrid that is more productive than existing varieties? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning THE APPLICATION OF SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND ELASTICITY • Examine whether the supply or demand curve shifts. • Determine the direction of the shift of the curve. • Use the supply-and-demand diagram to see how the market equilibrium changes. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Figure 8 An Increase in Supply in the Market for Wheat Price of Wheat 2. . . . leads to a large fall in price . . . 1. When demand is inelastic, an increase in supply . . . S1 S2 $3 2 Demand 0 100 110 Quantity of Wheat 3. . . . and a proportionately smaller increase in quantity sold. As a result, revenue falls from $300 to $220. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Compute the Price Elasticity of DEMAND (Note: error in slides online, they read ‘Supply’) 100 110 (100 110) / 2 ED 3.00 2.00 (3.00 2.00) / 2 0.095 0.24 0.4 Demand is inelastic Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Competitive Markets: A First Glance • Although total revenue fell, farmers voluntarily took up the new hybrid. • Why? • Individually, every farmer takes the price of wheat as given. • Individually, it is a profitable strategy for each farmer to take up the invention. • As a group, wheat producers may actually prefer not to increase supply. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Application • Where does information about elasticity come from? • There are a variety of sources: for example, one might be a history of data relating prices to quantity. • Example: Data may be available over the last 12 months on prices and sales of a CD: Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Source 1:Data on Prices And Quantity Q P 75.5 20 72.25 21 79.5 19 82.75 18.5 68.25 22 55.75 25 73.5 20.5 74 20.5 96.75 15 93.5 15.5 90.25 16.5 73.5 20.5 Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Source 1:Scatter Plot CD Demand 30 25 P 20 Series1 15 10 5 0 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Source 1: Fitted Line (Estimation via Econometrics) 30 25 P 20 15 Series1 10 5 0 g20:g31 Q (CDs) Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Source 2:By Case Study • In 2004, the federal government mandated a new safety feature in gas water heaters called FVIR. • It resulted in an industry wide cost rise of $30. • The average gas water heater cost about $230. • Thus, there was about a 12.25% increase in price (using the midpoint method). • If the change of quantity was, say, a fall in gas water heater purchases of 10% (again using the midpoint method) we could directly compute the elasticity. • If the change in electric water heater purchases was an increase in (say) 5%, we could also compute the cross price elasticity. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Source 3:By Inference or Introspection • Suppose that we knew the price elasticity of water heaters (gas and electric) was 1.1. • What could we presume was the lower bound on the elasticity of gas water heaters? • Why? Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Summary • Price elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded responds to changes in the price. • Price elasticity of demand is calculated as the percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price. • If a demand curve is elastic, total revenue falls when the price rises. • If it is inelastic, total revenue rises as the price rises. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Summary • The income elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded responds to changes in consumers’ income. • The cross-price elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded of one good responds to the price of another good. • The price elasticity of supply measures how much the quantity supplied responds to changes in the price. . Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning Summary • In most markets, supply is more elastic in the long run than in the short run. • The price elasticity of supply is calculated as the percentage change in quantity supplied divided by the percentage change in price. • The tools of supply and demand can be applied in many different types of markets. Copyright © 2004 South-Western/Thomson Learning