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WELCOME TO ARE 201 Introduction to Agricultural Economics With Herman Sampson 1 Microeconomics: ( the “trees”) Studies economic behavior of individual decision making units such as, u Consumers u Resource Owners u Business Firms (producers) in a market economy At times, micro will study economic behavior at the industry level 2 Macroeconomics: (the “forest”) Studies the aggregate level of economic activity, u Economic system’s value of total output: GDP u Level of National Income u Total Level of Unemployment u General Price Level of the Economy: Inflation 3 Real GDP Annual Growth (Percent) US Bureau of Economic Analysis 5 4 3 2 P e r c 1 e n t 0 G D P 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -1 -2 -3 -4 4 U.S. Real GDP Growth Quarter to Quarter US Bureau of Economic Analysis 5 R a t e ( ) % Jan-90 Jul-90 Jan-91 Jul-91 Jan-92 Jul-92 Jan-93 Jul-93 Jan-94 Jul-94 Jan-95 Jul-95 Jan-96 Jul-96 Jan-97 Jul-97 Jan-98 Jul-98 Jan-99 Jul-99 Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 National Unemployment Rate Bureau of Labor Statistics Data 12 10 U 8 n e m p 6 l o y m 4 e n t 2 0 Month/Year 6 Jan-90 Jul-90 Jan-91 Jul-91 Jan-92 Jul-92 Jan-93 Jul-93 Jan-94 Jul-94 Jan-95 Jul-95 Jan-96 Jul-96 Jan-97 Jul-97 Jan-98 Jul-98 Jan-99 Jul-99 Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Capacity Utilization Rate Industrial Capacity Utilization Rate January 1990 to December 2008 U.S. Federal Reserve Data 90 85 80 75 70 65 Month/Year 7 Industrial Capacity Utilization Rate January 2006 to December 2011 U.S. Federal Reserve Data 90 80 75 70 Jul-11 Jan-11 Jul-10 Jan-10 Jul-09 Jan-09 Jul-08 Jan-08 Jul-07 Jan-07 Jul-06 65 Jan-06 Capacity Utilization Rate 85 Month/Year 8 9 10 More Industrial Capacity Utilization Rates and Correlation with Recessions http://www.economytrack.org/capacity.php 11 Work-Force Productivity: Output per Hour Worked Bureau of Labor Statistics 5 4.5 4 Percent Increase 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 3Q2011 Year 12 Macroeconomics: (the “forest”) we will deal with some macroeconomic topics first, then concentrate on microeconomics 13 Normative Economics: Normative: subjective, value laden, emotional “What ought to be” economics Rx and/or Policy oriented Hear a bunch of normative economic statements during political elections 14 Positive Economics: Positive: Objective, without emotion or value judgment! “What is, What was, What will be” economics Based on probability and statistical methods 15 Microeconomics Normative microeconomics Positive microeconomics Macroeconomics Normative macroeconomics Positive macroeconomics 16 Macroeconomics 1. Fiscal Policy: Govt. tax and spend policies 2. Monetary Policy Manipulation of the money supply by the Federal Reserve system to affect short-term interest rates and control inflation 17 Private Property Rights “Negative Externality”: When you produce or consume a commodity or service within your private property rights that imposes a cost on a third party not directly involved in the market transaction. 18 Private Property Rights The cost imposed on the third party is very difficult (expensive) for the third party to recover AKA a “Spillover Cost” 19 Private Property Rights Laws are often enacted by legislative bodies that constrain private property rights in order to rectify negative externalities, or at least reduce the cost to third parties in recovering damages 20 Negative Externalities Some Examples: Seat Belt Crack Down in N.C. (Click It or Ticket) California Helmet Law for Motorcyclists 21 Negative Externalities Possible Solutions: – – Pass Laws Post Bond to assure financial responsibility 22 Negative Externalities Some Examples: Imperial Foods of Hamlet, N.C. vs. Imperial Sandwich Co. of Goldsboro, N.C. 23 Positive Externalities When you produce or consume a commodity or service within your private property rights that bestows a benefit on a third party not directly involved in the market transaction. 24 Positive Externalties The benefit bestowed on the third party is very difficult (expensive) for the third party to recover AKA a “Spillover benefit” 25