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The role of Health Technology Assessment (HTA) and current developments in Ireland Dr. Michael Barry November 25th 2010 The role of Health Technology Assessment “ensuring the best health outcomes for Irish patients while securing value for money” Health Strategy 2001 The fundamental economic problem – Scarcity ! ? Expenditure on medicines in Ireland (Community Drugs Schemes 1991 - 2009) 2500 Millions (€) 2000 1500 1000 500 0 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 “€ 746 million saving required in the Health area” For decision makers when considering reimbursement of a pharmaceutical product there are two questions (a) Is it value for money ? (b) Can we afford it ? Health Technology Assessment “studies the medical, social, ethical, and economic implications of development, diffusion and use of health technology” INAHTA: 1998 Pharmacoeconomic Assessment “rationing” or “priority setting” HTA in Europe 2010 England & Wales: National Institute of Clinical Excellence (NICE) & All Wales Medicines Strategy Group (AWMSG) Scotland: Scottish Medicines Consortium ( SMC ) Ireland: National Centre for Pharmacoeconomics (NCPE ) & Health Information and Quality Authority (HIQA) Finland: Finish Office for HTA ( Finohta ) Sweden: Swedish Council for Technology Assessment in Health Care ( SBU ). Denmark: Danish Centre for Evaluation and HTA ( DACEHTA ) Belgium: Belgian Health Care Knowledge Centre ( KCE ) . France: Haute Authorite de Sante ( HAS ) Spain: Health technology assessment at a regional level. e.g. CAHTA Norway: Norwegian Knowledge Centre for Health ( NOKC ) Netherlands: Health Insurance Board ( CVZ ) . Poland: Polish agency for HTA Germany: Institute for Quality and Efficiency in the Health Service ( IQUiG ) . Italy: Italian Network for HTA ( NI-HTA ) Austria; Ludwig Boltzmann Institute of HTA ( LBI@HTA ) Switzerland: Swiss Network for HTA ( SNHTA ) Pharmacoeconomic assessment prior to reimbursement “The HSE reserves the right to assess new and existing technologies (pharmaceuticals, diagnostics and devices) that may be high cost or have a significant budget impact on the Irish healthcare system.” IPHA/HSE agreement 2006 Recent developments in HTA in Ireland The cost-effectiveness of all new products is considered prior to reimbursement under the Community Drugs Schemes The ‘Rapid Review’ process Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and the reimbursement recommendation Probability of being cost effective at different thresholds Methodological developments Recent decisions and the use of PEA results Updated HTA & Budget Impact guidelines Pharmacoeconomic assessment (HTA) A two – four week process to determine whether a full HTA is required Rapid Review HTA not required Full HTA Rapid reviews not leading to a formal HTA • Adenuric (Febuxostat) • Cholesevelan (Cholestagel) • Corifollitropin Alfa (Elonva) • Dronedarone (Multaq) • Degarelix (Fimagon) • Indacaterol (Onbrez) • Liraglutide (Victoza) • Ranolazine (Ranexa) • Silodosin (Urorec) • Tobramycin (TOBI Podhaler) If the rapid review process suggests that the new product is unlikely to prove cost effective or we cannot be sure Formal HTA Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and the reimbursement recommendation 1. Incremental Cost Effectiveness ratio (ICER) Cost A – Cost B Effect A – Effect B Cost Effect e.g. € 10,000/QALY Cost effectiveness and probability of rejection “there is no fixed cost-effectiveness threshold above or below which technologies are guaranteed to be rejected or accepted for reimbursement” € 30,000 Probability of rejection € 5,000 Increasing Cost per QALY (log scale) Relationship between cost effectiveness and probability of rejection € 30,000 Probability of rejection € 5,000 Increasing Cost per QALY (log scale) Cost-effectiveness and the probability of rejection Relationship between cost effectiveness and probability of rejection 35000 30000 25000 ICER values €/QALY for 2010 assessments 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 YES NO Probability of being cost-effective “the probability that a technology is cost effective at a range of threshold levels should be presented” 100% Probability of being cost 50% effective € 20,000/QALY € 45,000/QALY Cost effectiveness threshold Probability of being cost-effective 100% Probability of being cost 50% effective € 20,000/QALY € 45,000/QALY Cost effectiveness threshold Probability of being cost-effective 100% Probability of being cost 50% effective € 20,000/QALY € 45,000/QALY Cost effectiveness threshold Methodological developments in pharmacoeconomic assessment (PEA) at the NCPE Mixed treatment comparisons – a Bayesian approach The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) Recommendations following evaluation of individual products and price modulations Jan 2005 – November 2010 A total of 65 evaluations were conducted • 32 submissions were accepted without modification. • 8 submissions were accepted with modifications. • 25 submissions were rejected. NCPE 2010 ‘A tale of four countries’ Rycroft et al 2010 ISPOR Recent pharmacoeconomic evaluations Product Indication Eculizumab (Soliris) PNH Golimumab (Simponi) Rheumatoid Arthritis Oxycodone/naloxone (Targin) Analgesia Denosumab (Prolia) Osteoporosis Certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) Rheumatoid Arthritis Roflumilast (Daxas) COPD Eltrombopag (Revolade) Immune thrombocytopenic purpura Gefitinib (Iressa) Non small cell lung cancer Recent pharmacoeconomic evaluations Product Indication Eculizumab (Soliris) PNH Golimumab (Simponi) Rheumatoid Arthritis Oxycodone/naloxone (Targin) Analgesia Denosumab (Prolia) Osteoporosis Certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) Rheumatoid Arthritis Roflumilast (Daxas) COPD Eltrombopag (Revolade) Immune thrombocytopenic purpura Gefitinib (Iressa) Non small cell lung cancer Negative PEA – what next ? Example - Cimzia Cost-effectiveness of certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) in the treatment of moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis “The review group was not convinced of the cost effectiveness of certolizumab for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis in patients who have failed MTX” “Consequently we do not recommend reimbursement of certolizumab pegol at the submitted price” 1st September 2010 www.ncpe.ie Negative PEA Reimbursement Pricing threshold analysis &/or Performance based risk sharing scheme Pricing threshold analysis The cost-effectiveness analysis usually includes a price/ICER assessment i.e. pricing threshold analysis This indicates the price of the product where the decision maker considers it cost-effective or value for money Q1 €45,000/ QALY ICER €20,000/QALY €10,000 €15,000 Price (€) per patient/year Performance Based Risk Sharing Schemes These are contracts between payers and manufacturers that link reimbursement to a products performance (e.g. clinical outcomes or utilisation) in the post marketing setting. Performance based models - terminology Performance based schemes Risk sharing schemes Performance based risk sharing schemes Patient access schemes “special ways pharmaceutical companies can propose to enable patients to gain access to high cost drugs” “innovative pricing arrangements designed to improve costeffectiveness” Performance based models - terminology DEAL ! Typical Deal • The payer (HSE) funds the drug for a defined period of time, with manufacturers refunding the cost of the drug in patients who did not achieve the targeted health outcome (e.g. bortezomib for MM) • The HSE would purchase the drug at 50% of the regular price for the first treatment cycle and then purchase at the full price for those who achieved the targeted outcome and continued on therapy (e.g. sorafenib for mRCC) Barry & Tilson IMJ 2010;103(5):133 Recent pharmacoeconomic evaluations Product Indication Eculizumab (Soliris) PNH Golimumab (Simponi) Rheumatoid Arthritis Oxycodone/naloxone (Targin) Analgesia Denosumab (Prolia) Osteoporosis Certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) Rheumatoid Arthritis Roflumilast (Daxas) COPD Eltrombopag (Revolade) Immune thrombocytopenic purpura Gefitinib (Iressa) Non small cell lung cancer Recent reimbursement decisions Product Indication Eculizumab (Soliris) PNH Golimumab (Simponi) Rheumatoid Arthritis Oxycodone/naloxone (Targin) Analgesia Denosumab (Prolia) Osteoporosis Certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) Rheumatoid Arthritis Roflumilast (Daxas) COPD Eltrombopag (Revolade) Immune thrombocytopenic purpura Gefitinib (Iressa) Non small cell lung cancer Recent NCPE website developments for PEA submissions Pharmacoeconomic guidelines (www.ncpe.ie) • Template for rapid review assessment submissions from manufacturers • Recommendations on the reporting format and layout of PEA submissions • Guidelines for inclusion of drug costs in pharmacoeconomic evaluations • Critical assessment of economic evaluations • Irish Healthcare Technology Assessment Guidelines • Guidelines for the Budget Impact Analysis of Health Technologies in Ireland Irish healthcare technology assessment (HTA) guidelines ‘methodological guidance on the conduct of economic evaluation’ 8th November 2010 www.hiqa.ie Guidelines for Budget Impact Analysis ‘methodological guidance on the conduct of budget impact analysis’ 23rd November 2010 www.hiqa.ie The HTA future ? • Increased scrutiny of expenditure on medicines as decision makers become more risk averse • All new products considered for HTA with HTA submissions becoming increasingly sophisticated e.g. probabilistic sensitivity analysis, EVPI. • An increased use of HTA in price negotiation & guiding performance based risk sharing schemes for high cost drugs • In addition to single technology assessment it is likely that multiple technology assessment will be considered • Hospital HTA • HTA guided disinvestment “Delphi the shrine of Apollo and site of the famous Oracle whose often inscrutable advice was sought down through historical times” “to date assessments in Ireland have been conducted in a pragmatic, timely, transparent and flexible manner and it is important that these features continue to characterise the conduct of future assessments” Thank you NCPE www.ncpe.ie