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Review for Test 5 over chapter 7 SHORT ANSWER. Write the word or phrase that best completes each statement or answers the question. 5) A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of drawing a face card or a 4? Find the indicated probability. 1) Assume that two marbles are drawn without replacement from a box with 1 blue, 3 white, 2 green, and 2 red marbles. Find the probability that the first marble is white and the second marble is blue. 6) The distribution of B.A. degrees conferred by a local college is listed below, by major. Major English Mathematics Chemistry Physics Liberal Arts Business Engineering 2) The following contingency table shows the popular votes cast in the 1984 presidential election by region and political party. Round your answer to three decimal places. Political Party Region Democratic Republican Other Northeast 9046 11,336 101 Midwest 10,511 14,761 169 South 10,998 17,699 136 West 7022 10,659 214 Totals 37,577 54,455 620 What is the probability that a randomly selected degree is in Engineering? A die is rolled twice. Write the indicated event in set notation. 7) The first roll is a 2. A person who voted Democratic in the 1984 presidential election is selected at random. Find the probability that the person was from the West. Solve the problem. 8) If three cards are drawn without replacement from an ordinary deck, find the probability that the third card is a face card, given that the first card was a queen and the second card was a 5. 3) When two balanced dice are rolled, there are 36 possible outcomes. Find the probability that either doubles are rolled or the sum of the dice is 10. 9) A survey revealed that 30% of people are entertained by reading books, 38% are entertained by watching TV, and 32% are entertained by both books and TV. What is the probability that a person will be entertained by either books or TV? Express the answer as a percentage. 4) The following contingency table provides a joint frequency distribution for a group of retired people by career and age at retirement. Age at Retirement 50-55 Attorney 8 College Professor 8 Administrative Assistant 21 Store Clerk 18 Total 55 56-60 47 50 45 44 186 Frequency 2073 2164 318 856 1358 1676 868 9313 10) The odds in favor of Trudy beating her friend in a round of golf are 1 : 5. Find the probability that Trudy will lose. 61-65 77 86 63 70 296 11) Bill has 6 friends over for dinner. After dinner, the seven of them are thinking about going out dancing. Not everyone is sure that they want to go. How many subsets of the seven are possible if at least two people go dancing? Suppose one of these people is selected at random. Compute the probability that the person selected was a store clerk. 1 Write the sample space for the given experiment. 17) For the purposes of a public opinion poll, respondents are classified as male or female and as high income, middle income, or low income. 12) The manager of a bank recorded the amount of time each customer spent waiting in line during peak business hours one Monday. The table below summarizes the results. Waiting Time Number of (minutes) Customers 0-3 13 4-7 14 8-11 12 12-15 5 16-19 4 20-23 3 24-27 1 Use a Venn diagram to find the indicated probability. 18) If P(A ∩ B) = 0.18, P(A) = 0.31, and P(B) = 0.48, find P(A ∪ B). Provide an appropriate response. 19) A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Let A be the event that the card is a heart. Let B be the event that the card is a king. Find P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B). Are events A and B independent? How can you tell? If we randomly select one of the times represented in the table, what is the probability that it is at least 12 minutes or between 8 and 15 minutes? Round to the nearest thousandth when necessary. 20) Assume that the events A1 , A2 , . . . , An are mutually exclusive events whose union is the sample space, and that B is an event that has occurred. Use Bayes' theorem to write an equation for P(A1 ∣B). 13) In a certain U.S. city, 51.8% of adults are women. In that city, 14% of women and 10% of men suffer from depression. If an adult is selected at random from the city, find the probability that the person suffers from depression. 21) Two cards are selected at random from a standard deck of 52 cards. Let A = event the first card is a queen B = event the second card is a queen. Use a Venn diagram to decide if the statement is true or false. 14) A' ∪ (B ∩ C) = (A' ∪ B) ∩ (A' ∪ C) (a) If the first card is replaced before the second one is drawn, are events A and B independent? Which rule could you use to find P(A & B)? (b) If the first card is not replaced before the second one is drawn, are events A and B independent? Which rule could you use to find P(A & B)? 22) Assume that E and F are events. Must the union of E and F also be an event? Must the intersection of E and F also be an event? Let U = {all soda pops}; A = {all diet soda pops}; B = {all cola soda pops}; C = {all soda pops in cans}; and D = {all caffeine-free soda pops}. Describe the given set in words. 15) C' ∪ D' Find the probability of the given event. 16) Two fair dice are rolled. The sum of the numbers on the dice is greater than 9. 2 30) A' ∪ B' An experiment is conducted for which the sample space is S = {a, b, c, d}. Decide if the given probability assignment is possible for this experiment. If the assignment is not possible, tell why. 23) Outcomes Probabilities a 5/16 b 5/8 c 1/8 d -1/16 Decide whether the statement is true or false. 31) {8, 13, 6} ∪ ∅ = {8, 13, 6} Let A = {1, 3, 5, 7}; B = {5, 6, 7, 8}; C = {5, 8}; D = {2, 5, 8}; and U = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8}. Determine whether the given statement is true or false. 24) U ⊆ A Find the number of elements in the indicated set by referring to the given table. 32) V ∩ W, given the following table: U.S. Production (in Thousands of Tons) of Certain Nu Year Pecans (P) Almonds (A) Walnuts (W) 1993 (T) 184 584 232 1994 (F) 99 587 232 1995 (V) 134 304 231 1996 (S) 111 412 205 Find the number of subsets of the set. 25) {1, 2, 3, . . . , 7} Use a Venn Diagram and the given information to determine the number of elements in the indicated region. 26) n(A) = 50, n(B) = 58, n(C) = 52, n(A ∩ B) = 10, n(A ∩ C) = 12, n(B ∩ C) = 6, n(A ∩ B ∩ C) = 4, and n(A' ∩ B' ∩ C') = 101. Find n(U) The table shows, for some particular year, a listing of several income levels and, for each level, the proportion of the population in the level and the probability that a person in that level bought a new car during the year. Given that one of the people who bought a new car during that year is randomly selected, find the probability that that person was in the indicated income category. Round your answer to the nearest hundredth. Solve the problem using Bayes' Theorem. Round the answer to the nearest hundredth, if necessary. 27) For mutually exclusive events X1 , X2 , and X3 , let P(X1 ) = 0.11, P(X2 ) = 0.40, and P(X3 ) = 0.49. Also, P(Y∣X 1 ) = 0.40, P(Y∣X2 ) = 0.30 and P(Y ∣X3 ) = 0.60. Find P(X3 ∣Y). Income level $0 - 4,999 $5,000 - 9,999 $10,000 - 14,999 $15,000 - 19,999 $20,000 - 24,999 $25,000 - 29,999 $30,000 - 34,999 $35,000 - 39,999 $40,000 - 49,999 $50,000 and over Let U = {q, r, s, t, u, v, w, x, y, z}; A = {q, s, u, w, y}; B = {q, s, y, z}; and C = {v, w, x, y, z}. List the members of the indicated set, using set braces. 28) A ∪ (B ∩ C) Shade the Venn diagram to represent the set. 29) (A' ∪ B) ∩ C Proportion Probability that of population bought a new car 5.2% 0.02 6.4% 0.03 5.4% 0.06 8.7% 0.07 9.4% 0.09 10.2% 0.10 13.8% 0.11 10.7% 0.13 15.5% 0.15 14.7% 0.19 33) $35,000 - $39,999 3 Use the given table to find the indicated probability. 34) The following table contains data from a study of two airlines which fly to Smalltown, USA. Number of flights arrived on time Podunk Airlines 33 Upstate Airlines 43 Find the probability. 38) A family has five children. The probability of having a girl is 1/2. What is the probability of having 2 girls followed by 3 boys? Round your Number of flights answer to four decimal places. arrived late 6 39) A bag contains 19 balls numbered 1 through 5 19. What is the probability that a randomly selected ball has an even number? If a flight is selected at random, what is the probability that it was on Upstate Airlines given that it arrived late? 40) A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of drawing a black card that is not a face card? The lists below show five agricultural crops in Alabama, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Alabama soybeans (s) peanuts (p) corn (c) hay (h) wheat (w) Arkansas soybeans (s) rice (r) cotton (t) hay (h) wheat (w) 41) Assuming that boy and girl babies are equally likely, find the probability that a family with three children has all boys given that the first two are boys. Louisiana soybeans (s) sugarcane (n) rice (r) corn (c) cotton (t) Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability. 42) The incidence of a certain disease in the town of Springwell is 3%. A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. Using this test, 94% of those who have the disease test positive while 6% of those who do not have the disease test positive ("false positive"). If a person tests positive, what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease? Let U be the smallest possible set that includes all of the crops listed; and let A, K, and L be the sets of five crops in Alabama, Arkansas, and Louisiana, respectively. Find the indicated set. 35) A ∩ K Use the rule of total probability to find the indicated probability. 43) Two stores sell a certain product. Store A has 30% of the sales, 2% of which are of defective items, and store B has 70% of the sales, 5% of which are of defective items. The difference in defective rates is due to different levels of pre-sale checking of the product. A person receives one of this product as a gift. What is the probability it is defective? Use a Venn diagram to answer the question. 36) At East Zone University (EZU) there are 625 students taking College Algebra or Calculus. 412 are taking College Algebra, 262 are taking Calculus, and 49 are taking both College Algebra and Calculus. How many are taking Calculus but not Algebra? Solve the problem, rounding the answer as appropriate. Assume that "pure dominant" describes one who has two dominant genes for a given trait; "pure recessive" describes one who has two recessive genes for a given trait; and "hybrid" describes one who has one of each. 37) Suppose a hybrid mates with a pure dominant. If they produce two offspring, what is the probability that neither is a hybrid? Insert "⊆" or "⊈" in the blank to make the statement true. 44) ∅ ∅ Find the odds. 45) Find the odds in favor of drawing a red marble when a marble is selected at random from a bag containing 2 yellow, 5 red, and 6 green marbles. 4 Write the indicated event in set notation. 46) The event that Charlie is selected as a board member when three board members are selected at random from the following group: Allison, Betty, Charlie, Dave, and Emily. [The possible outcomes can be represented as follows. ABC ADE ABD BCD ABE BCE ACD BDE ACE CDE] Let A = { 6, 4, 1, {3, 0, 8}, {9} }. Determine whether the statement is true or false. 47) 4 ∈ A Identify the probability statement as empirical or not. 48) The probability of the NFC football team winning the Super Bowl in a randomly chosen year is 0.55. Use the union rule to answer the question. 49) If n(A) = 5, n(B) = 11, and n(A ∩ B) = 3; what is n(A ∪ B)? Determine whether the given events are mutually exclusive. 50) Obtaining a spade and obtaining an ace when a single card is selected from a deck of cards Tell whether the statement is true or false. 51) {x | x is an even counting number ; 6 ≤ x ≤ 12} = {6, 12} 5 Answer Key Testname: UNTITLED2 1) 3 56 2) 0.187 2 3) 9 4) 0.253 4 5) 13 6) 0.0932 7) {(2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6)} 11 8) 50 9) 36% 5 10) 6 11) 120 12) 0.481 13) 0.121 14) True 15) All soda pops that are not in cans or are caffeinated. 1 16) 6 17) {(female, high income), (female, middle income), (female, low income), (male, high income), (male, middle income), (male, low income) } 18) 0.61 1 19) P(A) = 4 P(B) = 1 13 P(A ∩ B) = 1 52 Yes; P(A ∩ B) = P(A) · P(B) P(A1 ) · P(B∣A1 ) 20) P(A1 ∣B) = n ∑ P(Ai) · P(B∣Ai) i=1 21) (a) Yes, the special multiplication rule (b) No, the general multiplication rule 22) Both the union and the intersection must be events. 23) No; a probability cannot be negative 24) False 25) 128 26) 237 27) 0.64 28) {q, s, u, w, y, z} 6 Answer Key Testname: UNTITLED2 29) 30) 31) True 32) 231 33) 0.13 5 34) 11 35) {h, s, w} 36) 213 37) 0.25 38) 0.0313 9 39) 19 40) 5 13 41) 1 2 42) 0.326 43) 0.041 44) ⊆ 45) 5 to 8 46) ABC, ACD, ACE, BCD, BCE, CDE 47) True 48) Empirical 49) 13 50) No 51) False 7