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AP Statistics Course Syllabus Mr. Bastien Room 909 2013-2014 Bonita Vista High School General Description: AP Statistics is the high school equivalent of a one semester, introductory college statistics course. In this course, students develop strategies for collecting, organizing, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. Students design, administer, and tabulate results from surveys and experiments. Probability and simulations aid students in constructing models for chance phenomena. Sampling distributions provide the logical structure for confidence intervals and hypothesis tests. Students use a TI-84 graphing calculator, statistical software, and Web-based java applets and activities to investigate statistical concepts. To develop effective statistical communication skills, students are required to prepare frequent written and oral analyses of real data. Released Exams are relied upon heavily to prepare for the AP Exam. Materials: Text: Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis, Peck, Olsen & Devore 2nd edition Pencils and/or pens (either is acceptable, but pencil is preferred) 3 ring binder with paper and 3 dividers Graphing Calculator (TI-84+ or TI-84+ Silver Edition are STRONGLY recommended) Course Outline (Organized by chapters in primary textbook) Graphical displays include, but are not limited to using boxplots, dotplots, stemplots, back-to-back stemplots, histograms, frequency plots, parallel boxplots, and bar charts. This syllabus has flexibility and it might change as we move forward. Chapter 1: An introduction to Statistics Three Reasons to Study Statistics Statistics and Data Analysis The Nature and Role of Variability Chapter 2: The Data Analysis Process and Collecting Data Sensibly (emphasis on sampling and experimentation) Types of Data The Data Analysis Process Collecting Data Sensibly: Observation and Experimentation Sampling Simple Comparative Experiments Graphing Calculator Explorations Chapter 3: Displaying Univariate Data-Graphical Methods (emphasis on exploring data) Displaying categorical data: Frequency Distributions, pie and bar charts Displaying Numerical Data: Dotplots and Stem-and-Leaf Displays Displaying Numerical Data: Frequency Distributions and Histograms Interpreting the Results of Statistical Analyses Graphing Calculator Explorations Chapter 4: Describing Univariate Data (use of graphing calculator and computer to enhance understanding of statistics) Describing center: mean and median Describing spread: range, interquartile range, and standard deviation Boxplots Outliers Using the TI-84 The empirical rule Standardized scores Percentiles and quartiles Interpreting the results of Statistical Analyses Graphing Calculator Explorations Chapter 5: Describing Bivariate Data Introduction to Bivariate data Making and describing scatterplots The correlation coefficient Properties of the correlation coefficient Least squares regression line Using the TI-84 Midterm: Chapters 1-5 Review Chapters 1-5 using previous AP questions Introduce first semester project Chapter 6: Probability Definition of probability, outcomes and events Law of large numbers Properties of probabilities Conditional probability Independence Addition Rule Multiplication rule Estimating probabilities using simulation Using the TI-84 for simulations Chapter 7: Random Variables Properties of discrete random variables Properties of continuous random variables Expected value (mean) of a discrete random variable Standard deviation of a discrete random variable Linear functions and linear combinations of random variables The binomial distribution The geometric distribution The normal distribution Using the normal table Using the TI-84 distribution menu Combining normal random variables Normal approximation to the binomial Chapter 8: Sampling Distributions (emphasis on sampling and experimentation) Sampling distributions Activity: How many textbooks? Activity: Cents and the central limit theorem Sampling distribution of the sample mean (including distribution of a difference between two independent sample means) Sampling distribution of the sample proportion (including distribution of a difference between two independent sample proportions) First Semester Final Exam Review using previous AP questions Chapter 9: Confidence Intervals (emphasis on statistical inferences) Properties of point estimates: bias and variability Confidence interval for a population proportion Confidence interval for a population mean Logic of confidence intervals Meaning of confidence level Activity: What does it mean to be 95% confident? Finding sample size Finite population correction factor +4 confidence interval for a proportion Confidence interval for a population mean The t-distribution Checking conditions Chapter 10: Hypothesis Tests Forming hypothesis Logic of hypothesis testing Type I and Type II errors Hypothesis test for a population proportion Test statistics and p-values Activity: Kissing the right way Two-sided tests Hypothesis test for a population mean Checking conditions Power Chapter 11: Two Sample Procedures Hypothesis test for the difference of two means (unpaired) Two-sided tests Checking conditions Confidence interval for the difference of two means (unpaired) Matched pairs hypothesis test Matched pairs confidence interval Hypothesis test for the difference of two proportions Confidence interval for the difference of two proportions Using TI-84 test menu Choosing the correct test: It’s all about the design Midterm (Chapters 9-11) Review using previous AP questions Chapter 12: Chi-square Tests (emphasis on statistical inferences) The Chi-Square distribution Goodness of Fit Test Checking conditions Assessing normality Homogeneity of proportions tests ( including large sample test for a proportion) Using the TI-84 Test of independence Choosing the correct test: It’s all about the design Chapter 13: Inference for slope Hypothesis test for the slope of a least squares regression line Confidence interval for the slope of a least squares regression line Using the TI-83 Using JMP-Intro Understanding computer output 2014 Complete AP Exam Remaining AP questions Final Exam AP Exam Assignments: Assignments are given each day and are due the following meeting. Late assignments will not be accepted unless the student has an excused absence, in which case the student is responsible for obtaining the missed assignment(s) by Checking the internetNormally, the three lowest assignment scores are dropped at the end of the semester. This allows for those unforeseen episodes (emergency room visits, family situations out of your control, extracurricular events, etc…) and will not affect the grade. Tests and Quizzes: Students will demonstrate competence of the subject through tests and quizzes. Students should expect a quiz or test approximately once each week. Students who miss a quiz or test must have an EXCUSED absence in order to make up the missed quiz or test. There are NO retakes on quizzes or tests. Cheating will not be tolerated. Electronics use of any kind (except student’s graphing calculator) during a test or quiz is considered cheating. Any and all students involved will receive an automatic 0 (zero) on his/her test and a record of the event will be placed in the student’s cumulative file. In addition, administrative consequences will occur. Scholarship Grades: Assignments/ notes/ warmups/ classwork: daily/ due the following class NO WORK= NO CREDIT- 10% of final grade. Quizzes, Tests, and Projects: 65% of the final grade. Final Exam (Sem 1) / Project (Sem 2): 25% of the final grade Final grades are determined by the weighted percentages listed below: A+:98 A:98 – 93 A-:92 – 90 B+: 89 – 88 B:87 – 82 C+: 79 – 78 C:77 – 72 C-:71 – 70 D: 69 – 63 D-:62-60 B-:81 - 80 F: below 60% The Sweetwater Union High School District does not discriminate with regard to sex, sexual orientation, gender, ethnic group identification, race, ancestry, national origin, religion, color, mental disability and/or physical disability, age, marital or parental status or any other unlawful consideration Citizenship Rubric No negative behaviors Works well with peers and teacher most of the time Sets a good behavior example in class 2 Very few disruptive behaviors 1 Frequent disruptive behaviors 0 Responds when corrected At times disrespectful of peers and teacher At times questions authority Disrupts class regularly Often disrespectful of peers and teacher Continually questions authority Respectful of teacher and peers Effort No negative behaviors Works well with peers and teacher all of the time Enhances the class by his or her presence 3 Actively participates in class daily On task at all times Prepared for class all of the time Actively participates in class almost daily On task most of the time Prepared for class most of the time Participates more than not On task some of the time Prepared for class more often than not Little or no participation in class Off task more often than on Unprepared for class more often than not No participation in class Continually off task Always unprepared for class Attendance Behavior 4 1 unexcused/ uncleared tardy or absence 2 unexcused/ uncleared tardies and/or absences 3 unexcused/ uncleared tardies and/or absences 4 unexcused/ uncleared tardies and/or absences 5 unexcused/ uncleared tardies and/ or absences Student's level on rubric is determined at each progress report and is cumulative for the entire semester leading up to each progress report. Point value for each category is averaged to determine actual grade. 4 = A 3.0 - 3.9 = B 2.0 - 2.9 = C 1.0 - 1.9 = D Below 1.0 is an F Cell Phones and other electronic devices (IPOD, MP3, games, etc…): Per school policy these are not allowed in class. Cell phones, ipods, and other electronic devices must be inside the student’s backpack and turned off during class. Additional Help: Students: Use the links on www.bastien-chan.info page for tutorial practice. In addition, I am usually available before school starting at 6:30 or so for help, during lunch and from 2:30 to 3:00 every day. Parents: The best way to reach me is through email ([email protected]). If email is not convenient for you, you may call 619-397-2000 and leave a message and I will return your call at my earliest convenience. If there is a real emergency, my cell is 909-806-9296 AP EXAM: Students enrolled in this course are expected to take the AP Statistics Exam in May. If a student outperforms his/her course grade on the AP Exam, he or she may earn an upward scholarship grade adjustment. For example: if a student earns a B in the course, then earns a 5 on the AP Exam, that student would have his/her scholarship grade changed from a B to an A. MR. BASTIEN’S PARENT PAGE ******Parents: please keep this page****** TO CHECK GRADES ONLINE: Go to www.jupitergrades.com In the box labeled ‘Username” type in: In the box labeled ‘Password’ type in: _____________________________ (This is the student’s SUHSD ID number) The next screen will have grade information on it, but it WILL NOT have the student’s name for confidentiality reasons. It will show the current overall grade with percent. For detailed scores you may use the “see all assignments” link. TO CHECK ON ASSIGNMENTS/ SCHOOL SCHEDULES: I update the list of given assignments on a daily basis, so if a student is absent, he/she may go online to obtain the missed assignment(s). Go to: http://bastien-chan.info TO REACH ME: The best way to reach me is by email: [email protected] If you would prefer to talk on the telephone, please call 909-806-9296 and leave a message. I will return your call at my earliest convenience. Mr. Bastien AP Statistics Course Information 2013-2014 My child and I have read Mr. Bastien’s AP Statistics Course Information sheets. Student name (printed)________________________________________________________________________ Student signature____________________________________________________________________________ Parent/Guardian name(s) (printed)_______________________________________________________________ Parent/Guardian signature_____________________________________________________________________ Parent/Guardian email ______________________________________________________________________ Parent/Guardian phone numbers (early morning/daytime)_____________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Additional comments or questions?______________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________