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Topic 2: Demand 1 Consumer behaviour 1.1 Consumers gain satisfaction from consuming goods and services. Economists call this satisfaction utility. The utility gained from consuming a product is difficult to measure accurately but three possible ways of m easuring it are by noting: • how people react when they are consuming • how much of the product people consume • the price that people are willing to pay for it. Note that none of these measures is totally reliable, but the third is the most commonly used. 1.2 Total utility is the total satisfaction gained from consuming a product in a period of time. Marginal utility is the satisfaction gained from consuming an extra unit of a product. Total utility, then, is the total of the marginal utilities gained from each unit consumed. 1.3 Diminishing marginal utility. As a person consumes more of a good or service in a certain period of time, the utility gained from each extra unit (the marginal utility (MU)) decreases. Total utility will continue to increas e, although at a decreasing rate, until a maximum is reached. At this point there is no further satisfaction to be gained from consuming more of the product. Marginal utility will be zero. Example Using the price the consumer is prepared to pay as a measure of utility: Pints of beer (per night) First Second Third Fourth Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) Marginal utility £2.00 £1.80 £1.50 £1.10 Total utility £2.00 £3.80 £5.30 £6.40 1 This is the same as saying that: • if price were £2.00 the consumer would be willing to buy 1 p int because he gets £2 worth of utility • if price were £1.80 the consumer would be willing to buy 2 pints because he gets £2 worth of utility from the first pint and £1.80’s worth from the second • if price were £1.50 the consumer would be willing to buy 3 pints • if price were £1.10 the consumer would be willing to buy 4 pints. Marginal utility of pints of beer 1.4 Total utility of beer consumed The information in 1.3 can be converted into a demand schedule: Price £2.00 £1.80 £1.50 £1.10 Quantity demanded per night (in pints) 1 2 3 4 Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 2 1.5 The same information can be shown on a graph as a demand curve. Demand for beer Note that the demand curve and the marginal utility curve you drew in para. 1.3 are the same curve. 1.6 Consumer surplus is the difference between how much a consumer would be prepared to pay and what is actually paid, e.g. if beer were £1.80 per pint, 2 pints would be bought. The consumer was prepared to pay £2 for the first pint so he gets 20p of utility free i.e. he gets a consumer surplus of 20p. If the price were £1.50, he would gain consumer surplus of 80p (50p + 30p) of utility free. 1.7 Rational consumer behaviour. Economists assume that consumers act in a rational way i.e. they spend their money in the way that gains them maximum utility or, in plain English, best value for money. Of course, in practice, this does not always happen. Several factors may prevent this, e.g.: • imperfect knowledge of the product or of rival products • the actions of other people (both positive and negative) • lack of self-control – the consumption of some addictive products may be involuntary. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 3 Assuming rational behaviour, a consumer will achieve maximum utility in the spending of their income when the marginal utility (MU) per p, spent on the last unit of each good is equal, i.e. when: MU of last unit of good A MU of last unit of B = Price of A MU of last unit of C = Price of B Price of C Example A student has £10 to spend one day on her lunch. There is only beer and sandwiches available. She gives a score out of 100 for the utility she thinks she would gain from each pint and each sandwich. Beer costs £1 per pint and sandwiches cost £1 each. How should she spend her £10 in order to gain maximum satisfaction? See the following table. Beer (pints) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Marginal utility 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Marginal utility per p 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Sandwiches 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Marginal utility 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Marginal utility per p 0.5 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 At 7 pints of beer and 3 sandwiches, satisfaction is maximised. If she were to buy an eighth pint of beer she would gain 0.3 units of utility per p, but this would have an opportunity cost of 0.4 units of utility per p from the third sandwich given up. If a fourth sandwich were bought, 0.35 units of utility would be gained but at an opportunity cost of 0.4 units of utility from the seventh pint of beer given up. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 4 2 Demand 2.1 Definition. Demand (sometimes called effective demand) is th e quantity of a good or service which consumers are willing and able to buy at a particular price in a certain period of time. 2.2 Individual demand and market demand. Individual demand refers to the demand of an individual consumer for a product. Market demand is the sum of all individual consumers’ demand for a product, i.e. total demand. 2.3 The Law of Demand states that the demand for a product varies inversely with its price. 2.4 As the price of a commodity goes up then there is a fall in the quanti ty which consumers are willing and able to buy. This happens for two main reasons: • The income effect. As the price of a good rises then a person’s real income (i.e. their buying power) falls. They are not able to buy the same quantity. • The substitution effect. As the price rises then the marginal utility per p of the last unit(s) consumed falls. The rational consumer would switch to substitutes which would give a higher marginal utility per £ (better value for money). They are less willing to buy. Remember from para 1.7 that a consumer will arrange his spending until: MU of last unit of good A MU of last unit of B = Price of A MU of last unit of C = Price of B Price of C If the price of apples were to rise then the MU per p gained fro m the last apple would fall. The consumer would switch that spending to bananas or chocolate until equality of MU per p was restored. By consuming fewer apples the MU per p from the last apple will rise and by consuming more bananas or chocolate the MU per p from the last unit of these will fall. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 5 2.5 Exceptions to the Law of Demand • Goods of prestige or ostentation, e.g. the demand for certain brands of jeans, training shoes or cars may rise as their price rises. • Assumption of link between price and quality – consumers may equate a rise in the price of a product as meaning that its quality has improved. • Expectation of future price rises, e.g. speculators may react to a rise in the price of shares by buying more, expecting them to rise even further. • Giffen goods – Giffen, a nineteenth-century economist, observed that during the Irish potato famine, the demand for potatoes rose as their price rose. This was because living standards were so low that most people spent nearly all their income on potatoes, a filling food, so that when the price rose they had so little money to buy meat, etc., that they bought more potatoes. This effect can apply to any basic foodstuff in conditions of poverty. The demand curve in any of the above situations will slope u pwards but note that above a certain price it will resume its normal shape, as the income effect will reduce people’s ability to buy the product. Notice that the demand curve resumes its normal slope above a certain price. This is because the income effect will come into force. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 6 3 Changes in conditions of demand 3.1 Ceteris paribus. One difficulty in economics is predicting the effect of a change in a variable because there may be a number of different causal factors. The economist’s way round this is to assume ceteris paribus. ‘Ceteris paribus’ is a Latin phrase meaning other things remaining the same. Ceteris paribus is assumed so that the effect of one changing variable can be predicted. Example Price is only one of many factors which determines the demand for a product – others include changes in income, prices of other goods, population, etc. With all these conditions affecting demand, one cannot predict a fall in demand as price rises unless these other conditions remain the same. Ceteris paribus is therefore assumed in the Law of Demand, i.e. the only changing influence is price, and all other conditions which could cause demand to change have not changed. Of course, in real life things are not so simple! 3.2 What are the conditions of demand? These are the factors, other than the price of the product, which may cause demand to change. They include: • number of consumers (think of the effects of a change in total population and of a change in age distribution) • disposable income (think of the effect on normal goods and on inferior goods) • prices of other goods (think of complementary goods e.g. central heating and gas, and of substitute goods, e.g. gas and electricity) • tastes and preferences, e.g. the influence of fashion and advertising. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 7 3.3 Note the different ways of showing the effect of a change in price on a demand curve and the effect of a change in a ceteris paribus condition. A change in price is shown by a movement along the demand curve, whereas a change in a condition is shown by a shift in the curve. Change in price Change in a demand condition Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 8 Higher only 4 Elasticity of demand You need to know about two types: • price elasticity • income elasticity. Note that when writing or talking about elasticity of demand you should sta te what kind of elasticity of demand it is, i.e. price or income. 4.1 Price elasticity of demand (PED). This is a measure of the responsiveness of demand to a change in price. Price elasticity measures the reaction of consumers to a change in the price of a product. It is measured by comparing the percentage change of demand to the percentage change in price, i.e. % change in demand Price elasticity of demand = % change in price • If PED is greater than 1, i.e. if the % change in demand is greater than the % change in price, then demand has been very responsive to the change in price. Demand is said to be price elastic. • If PED is less than 1, then demand is price inelastic. • If PED is 0, then demand has not changed at all. Demand is perfectly inelastic. • If PED is equal to infinity (meaning that demand changed without a price change) then demand is perfectly elastic. • If PED =1, then demand has unitary elasticity. This means that the % change in demand and the % change in price are the same. Note that the value of PED will usually be negative because an increase in price will cause a decrease in demand and vice versa. PED would only be positive in cases where demand does not follow the normal law of demand. This would be when demand increases as price rises (see para. 2.5). Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 9 4.2 Effects of price elasticity on sales revenue Graph A Graph B Revenue gain Revenue gain Revenue loss Revenue loss Graph A shows that demand is price inelastic. A rise in price from P to P 1 leads to a fall in demand from Q to Q 1 . The % fall in demand is less than the % rise in price. The revenue gained as a result of the rise in price is greater than the revenue lost as a result of the drop in demand so that revenue rises. You should also be able to say what would happen to revenue if price fell. 4.3 Graph B shows that demand is price elastic. A rise in price from P to P1 leads to a fall in demand from Q to Q1. The % fall in demand is greater than the % rise in price. The revenue gained as a result of the rise in price is less than the revenue lost as a result of the drop in demand so that revenue falls. You should be able to explain what would happen to revenue if price fell. Factors affecting price elasticity of demand • Availability of substitutes. The closer the substitute the more elastic is demand (the more responsive are consumers). • Price relative to total spending. If low then consumers take little notice of a change in price, e.g. the demand for a box of matches will tend to be price inelastic – consumers will take little notice of a 10% (1p or 2p) change in price. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 10 • Habit. The more a commodity is considered to be a necessity then the more demand will be price inelastic, e.g. petrol, cigarettes, a newspaper. • Fashion. Products which are in fashion will tend to have a price inelastic demand, e.g. certain brands of jeans, toys, hairstyles. • Frequency of purchase. Products that have to be bought frequently have price inelastic demands, e.g. fresh milk. Where purchase can be postponed, e.g. consumer durables (TVs) demand tends to be price elastic, in the short run at least. 4.4 The importance of price elasticity of demand (a) Businesses will want to know the effects on sales revenue if they change their prices. • raising the prices of goods that have an inelastic demand will raise revenue • lowering the prices of goods that have an elastic demand will raise revenue. Note that firms cannot predict exactly what will happen to revenue since they cannot predict accurately the response of consumers to a change in price, and of course ceteris paribus does not exist in the real world. (b) 4.5 Government will want to know the effect on tax revenue if they change an expenditure tax. An increase in an expenditure tax increases the price of a good. Whether revenue increases depends on demand for the taxed product being price inelastic. Income elasticity of demand Income elasticity of demand measures the responsivenes s of demand to a change in income. It is calculated by: % change in demand % change in income Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 11 If a person’s income rises by 10%, it does not follow that he will buy 10% more of all that he was previously buying. 4.6 (a) Some commodities will still be out of his reach – 0 income elasticity. (b) Some commodities he will buy no more or no less of, e.g. a newspaper – 0 income elasticity. (c) Some commodities he may buy only a little more of, e.g. food – income inelastic demand. The demand for necessities in a high-income economy such as the UK tends to be income inelastic. (d) Some he may buy significantly more of, e.g. meals out, entertainment – income elastic demand. Luxury goods/services tend to have an income elasticity of demand greater than 1. (e) Some he may buy less of, i.e. inferior goods such as bread, cheap brands of clothing – negative income elasticity. The importance of income elasticity (a) If sellers know the income elasticity of demand for their products they will be able to predict what will happen to their total revenue in times of changing incomes, e.g. if demand for a product is income elastic then in times of rising incomes sellers can expect a significant rise in demand and in revenue. For products which have an income in elastic demand then the rise in incomes will increase demand but not by much – sellers can expect a small rise in revenue. For inferior products which have negative income elasticity demand then demand would fall and so would revenue. On the other hand in a period of falling incomes, say in a recession, the demand for inferior goods and services should rise. (b) The Government would also be able to predict changes in revenue from taxes on products. Bannerman High School Higher Grade Economics Unit 2 Summary (Theory of Demand) 12