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American Journal of Therapeutics 0, 1–11 (2015) A Network Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials Focusing on Different Allergic Rhinitis Medications Juan Xiao, MM,1 Wen-Xu Wu, MB,2* Yuan-Yuan Ye, MM,3 Wen-Jun Lin, MM,4 and Lu Wang, MM4 This study is aimed to investigate the effectiveness of 4 allergic rhinitis (AR) drugs (loratadine, cetirizine, montelukast, and desloratadine) in reducing functional problems in patients, as indicated by rhinoconjunctivitis quality of life questionnaire scores. After an exhaustive search of electronic databases containing published scientific literature, high-quality randomized controlled trials relevant to our study were selected based on a stringent predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 12.0 and comprehensive meta-analysis (CMA 2.0) software. The literature search broadly identified 386 studies, and after a multistep screening and elimination process, a total of 13 randomized controlled trials contributed to this network meta-analysis. These 13 high-quality studies contained a combined total of 6867 patients with AR on 4 different medications. The results of network meta-analysis revealed that, compared with placebo, all 4 mediations treated AR effectively [cetirizine: mean: 20.62, 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) 5 20.90 to 20.34, P , 0.001; loratadine: mean: 20.32, 95% CI 5 20.55 to 20.097, P 5 0.005; montelukast: mean: 20.28, 95% CI 5 20.54 to 20.023, P 5 0.033; desloratadine: mean: 20.39, 95% CI 5 20.60 to 20.18, P , 0.001]. A comparison of surface under the cumulative ranking curve values of these 4 interventions clearly showed that cetirizine is the most optimal medication for AR treatment. In conclusion, this network meta-analysis provides the first evidence that cetirizine is the most efficacious treatment for AR compared with loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine, significantly reducing the functional problems in patients with AR. Keywords: allergic rhinitis, rhinoconjunctivitis quality of life questionnaire, loratadine, cetirizine, montelukast, desloratadine INTRODUCTION Allergic rhinitis (AR) is a symptomatic and inflammatory disorder of nasal mucosa, characterized by nasal itching, paroxysmal repetitive sneezing, watery rhinorrhea, reduced sense of smell, and nasal 1 Department of Liver Transplantation, The First Hospital of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China; 2Departments of Science and Education; 3The Operating Room; and 4Departments of Orthopaedic, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare. *Address for correspondence: Department of Science and Education, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang 325016, China. E-mail: [email protected] congestion.1,2 AR is classified as seasonal or perennial, depending on the sensitization to cyclic pollens or yearround allergens, such as dust mites, molds, and animal dander.3 Interestingly, the number of patients with AR, particularly with pollinosis, has markedly increased in recent years.4 Epidemiologic studies revealed that AR affects approximately 500 million people worldwide, with high prevalence reported from industrialized nations, especially English-speaking countries.5 AR can occur at any age, although most people first develop symptoms in early childhood or young adulthood.6 The underlying disease mechanisms indicate that AR is part of a systemic inflammatory response and is associated with other inflammatory disorders of mucous membranes, such as asthma, rhinosinusitis, chronic otitis media, and allergic conjunctivitis.7,8 Poorly controlled AR symptoms result in decreased www.americantherapeutics.com 2 health-related quality of life, daytime fatigue, poor sleep quality, impaired learning and cognitive functions, and decreased long-term productivity.6,9,10 The pathogenesis of AR involves both genetic and environmental factors and is aggravated by indoor and outdoor environmental allergens.11 Therapeutic approach to AR includes preventing allergen exposure or irritant contact, pharmacotherapy, and immunotherapy.7 Several previous studies have demonstrated that antihistamines and leukotriene (LT) antagonists are the commonly used agents for the treatment of AR.12,13 Histamine is the most common mediator in early allergic response and cause smooth muscle contraction, increase vascular permeability, and elevate mucus secretion and sensory nerve stimulation, among other symptoms of AR.14 The AR medications loratadine, cetirizine, and desloratadine are second-generation antihistamines effective in relieving histamine-mediated symptoms.15,16 Notably, loratadine and desloratadine have significantly reduced capabilities to cross the blood–brain barrier; therefore, they exhibit reduced central nervous system side effects such as drowsiness. Although the 2 drugs effectively stabilize ocular and nasal symptoms, they have little effect in relieving nasal congestion and are generally combined with nasal decongestants in formulations.14,17 The safety and efficacy of cetirizine has been demonstrated in both perennial AR and seasonal allergic rhinitis (SAR),18 and cetirizine is effective in relieving allergic conjunctivitis symptoms and nasal congestion.19,20 LT antagonists also play significant roles in treatment of AR.17 Montelukast is one of the most commonly used agents in this category and is considered to be effective in patients with SAR and improves nasal obstruction.21 A number of studies have shown that loratadine, cetirizine, desloratadine, and montelukast have significant efficacy in AR management.18,22,23 However, the performance ranking of efficacy of these 4 drugs remains unknown, including the comparison of their rhinoconjunctivitis quality of life questionnaire (RQLQ) scores in patients with AR.9,24 Traditional meta-analyses combine the results of homogeneous studies conducted on the same topic, and the framework does not allow simultaneous comparisons between more than 2 interventions.25 However, compared with the traditional meta-analysis, network metaanalysis framework enables indirect comparison using a common comparator when a direct trial is not accessible and also combines direct and indirect analytical approaches to simultaneously compare several interventions.26,27 Therefore, this study conducted a systematic review including both traditional meta-analysis and network meta-analysis to evaluate more precisely the effects of loratadine, cetirizine, desloratadine, and montelukast on the RQLQ scores of patients with AR. American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) Xiao et al MATERIALS AND METHODS Literature search This systematic review was performed in accordance with PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines. To retrieve relevant literature comparing drugs treatment in AR, we comprehensively searched the following electronic databases: PubMed, Ovid, EBSCO, Springerlink, Wiley, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, and VIP databases (last updated search in October 2014), regardless of language. Keywords used included placebo, loratadine, cetirizine, montelukast, desloratadine and allergic rhinitis, Pollen Allergy and pollinosis in combination with the Boolean operators AND, OR, and NOT. We also manually searched related bibliographies to identify studies that were missed in the electronic search. Inclusion and exclusion criteria Studies were selected for our network meta-analysis if they met the following inclusion criteria: (1) study design: randomized controlled trail (RCT), (2) interventions: drugs treatment in study group versus placebo treatment in control group, (3) study subject: clinically diagnosed patients with AR based on the AR and its impact on asthma (ARIA) guideline revised by World Health Organization (WHO) in 2008,28 (4) course of treatment $2 weeks, and (5) RQLQ was used for the evaluation of quality of life for patients with AR. The exclusion criteria were (1) insufficient data, (2) non-RCT, (3) duplicated publications, and (4) combination use of drugs or treatments mixed with psychological intervention. Data extraction and quality assessment All data from eligible trials were extracted independently by 2 investigators using a standard form and the following information was collected: first author, publication year, country, ethnicity, language, disease, age, gender, and number of cases. Any disagreements on the merits of the extracted data were resolved by discussion with the third investigator. Methodological quality of the included RCTs was evaluated using Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for assessing risk of bias by 2 or more investigators.29 The risk of bias covers 6 domains, including random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants or blinding outcome assessment, incomplete outcome data, selective reporting, and other bias. The detailed assessment criteria were (1) whether allocation sequence is generated properly, (2) whether the method used to www.americantherapeutics.com Number First author Year Country Drug 1 Drug 2 Gender (M/F) Age (yrs) Interventions Drug 1 Drug 2 Drug 1 Drug 2 30.6 6 12.14 Drug 1 Drug 2 USA 228 225 101/127 104/121 31.9 6 12.22 USA USA USA USA 431 301 155 301 431 149 149 155 143/288 110/191 53/102 110/191 150/281 63/86 63/86 53/102 37.8 37 35 37 Noonan et al41 van Adelsberg et al42 van Adelsberg et al42 van Adelsberg et al42 2003 2003 2003 2003 USA USA USA USA 202 180 448 180 198 451 451 448 63/139 61/119 147/301 61/119 72/198 150/301 150/301 147/301 35.8 6 10.6 39 6 13 (15–79) 36 6 13 (15–82) 39 6 13 (15–79) 37.4 6 11.1 36 6 12 (15–82) 36 6 12 (15–82) 36 6 13 (15–82) Cetirizine 10 mg Loratadine 10 mg Montelukast 10 mg Loratadine 10 mg Philip et al43 2004 USA 415 416 150/265 147/269 2005 2005 2005 Japan Japan Japan 28 30 28 27 27 30 14/14 14/16 14/14 11/16 11/16 14/16 33.6 6 13.7 (15–80) 34.6 34.6 34.1 Montelukast 10 mg Hyo et al44 Hyo et al44 Hyo et al44 33.0 6 13.2 (15–78) 32.5 34.1 32.5 Loratadine 10 mg Cetirizine 10 mg Loratadine 10 mg Pradalier et al45 Bachert and Maurer24 Demoly et al47 Holmberg et al48 Bousquet et al16 Jauregui et al15 2007 France 2010 Belgium 2009 France 2009 France 2010 USA 2011 Spain 234 242 118 293 360 242 249 245 115 291 356 245 121/113 126/116 58/60 NR 151/209 NR 129/120 118/127 44/71 NR 157/199 NR 32.7 6 10.7 29.8 6 10.6 40.3 6 13.8 NR 34.0 6 12.1 NR 32.4 6 11 30.6 6 10.6 39.2 6 12.4 NR 33.9 6 12.3 NR Desloratadine Desloratadine Desloratadine Desloratadine Desloratadine Desloratadine 6 6 6 6 10.8 13 11 13 36.5 37 37 35 6 6 6 6 10.6 13 13 11 Loratadine 10 mg Placebo Cetirizine 10 mg Loratadine 10 mg Montelukast 10 mg Loratadine 10 mg Placebo Placebo Placebo Montelukast 10 mg Placebo Placebo Placebo Montelukast 10 mg Placebo 5 5 5 5 5 5 mg mg mg mg mg mg Placebo Placebo Cetirizine 10 mg Placebo Placebo Placebo Placebo Placebo Placebo F, female; M, male; NR, not reported. 3 American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) Van Cauwenberge and 2000 Juniper38 2002 Murray et al39 40 Nayak et al 2002 Nayak et al40 2002 Nayak et al40 2002 Drugs Treatment and Allergic Rhinitis www.americantherapeutics.com Table 1. The baseline characteristics for the included studies. 4 Xiao et al human experimentation (REC Central) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2008. Statistical analysis FIGURE 1. Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for assessing risk of bias of included RCTs. Statistical analysis was conducted with STATA statistical software (version 12.0; Stata Corp, College Station, TX) and comprehensive meta-analysis (CMA 2.0) software. Standard mean difference (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) was calculated by applying a fixedeffects model or random-effects model for evaluating the effects of the intervention group and control group on RQLQ of patients with AR. The pooled effect size was assessed using Z test.30 The Cochran’s Q-statistic (P , 0.05 was considered significant) and I2 test (0%, no heterogeneity; 100%, maximal heterogeneity) were also applied to reflect the heterogeneity among studies.31,32 A random-effects model was applied on case of an evidence of significant heterogeneity (P , 0.05 or I2 test exhibited .50%), otherwise a fixed-effects model was used.33 Network meta-analysis integrates data from a network of trials involving more than 2 interventions. The synthesis of indirect evidence (information about 2 intervention obtained from a common comparator) and direct evidence (studies comparing the interventions directly) enhances the precision in evaluation and produces a relative ranking of all the treatments for the studied outcome.34 In each closed loop, we use the inconsistency factor (IF) to evaluate the heterogeneity among studies. If the 95% CIs of IF values are truncated at zero, it suggests that the direction of the IF is unimportant.35 Funnel plots to identify the presence of smallstudy effects provide further validation of the reliability of the results.36 The assumption of consistency models allows the presence of heterogeneity of the intervention effects among studies while no significant differences in study design. After the generation of heterogeneity matrix, frequentist method was used for the fitted model to calculate the ranking probabilities.37 RESULTS conceal the allocation sequence is appropriate, (3) whether the intended blinding was effective, (4) whether the incomplete outcome data are dealt with appropriately, (5) state how selective outcome reporting was examined and what was found, and (6) whether any other important concerns about bias are covered in the other domains in the tool. Ethical standards The authors assert that all procedures contributing to this work comply with the ethical standards of the relevant national and institutional guidelines on American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) Baseline characteristics of included studies A total of 386 articles relevant to drugs treatment in AR were initially reviewed. After excluding duplicates (n 5 2), letters or reviews (n 5 5), nonhuman studies (n 5 12), and studies unrelated to research topics (n 5 307) and 60 full-text articles remained. Thirteen studies15,16,38–48 ultimately met the inclusion criteria, after we removed studies that were not RCTs (n 5 18) and studies not associated with AR (n 5 5), and had no relevance to the network (n 5 24). A combined total of 6867 patients with AR were enrolled in the 13 selected www.americantherapeutics.com Drugs Treatment and Allergic Rhinitis 5 FIGURE 2. Forest plots for comparison of effects on RQLQ scores of patients with AR between the intervention group and control group. RCTs (665 patients in loratadine group, 657 patients in cetirizine group, 975 patients in montelukast, 1413 patients in desloratadine group, and 3157 patients in placebo group), and these studies were published between 1998 and 2014. Of these 13 high-quality RCTs, 1 study was performed in Asians and 12 studies were performed in whites. Three of the studies are 3-arm trials and the rest are 2-arm trials, a total of 19 comparisons. The baseline characteristics of included studies and Cochrane assessment of risk of bias are displayed in Table 1 and Figure 1, respectively. Results of traditional meta-analysis Heterogeneity test revealed a significant heterogeneity among studies (I2 5 99.1%, P , 0.001), thus a randomeffects model was applied. Meta-analysis results revealed that compared with placebo treatment, 3 medications loratadine, cetirizine, and desloratadine effectively reduced the RQLQ scores of patients with AR (loratadine: SMD 5 21.88, 95% CI 5 22.73 to 21.03, P , 0.001; cetirizine: SMD 5 21.36, 95% CI 522.38 to 20.34, P 5 0.009; desloratadine: SMD 5 20.91, 95% CI 5 21.80 to 20.02, P 5 0.045), whereas montelukast and placebo did not show statistically significant differences (SMD 5 21.64, 95% CI 5 23.53 to 20.25, P 5 0.089) (Figure 2). The results of sensitivity analyses demonstrated that any single study had no significant influence on the overall effect size (SMDs) when comparing the differences of RQLQ scores of the 4 antihistamine drugs and placebo for AR treatment (Figures 3A–D). www.americantherapeutics.com Evidence network The evidence network is shown in Figure 4. Connecting lines represent direct comparisons between 2 connected interventions and pairs of interventions without connection can be compared indirectly through network meta-analysis. The width of lines corresponds to the number of trials. The size of nodes corresponds to the overall sample size of intervention. The color of lines represents the risk of bias of enrolled trials. This study included 4 antihistamine drugs, loratadine, cetirizine, desloratadine, and montelukast. Contribution plot of network meta-analysis Each direct comparison in network meta-analysis contributes differently to the evaluation of the network pooled effects, and the details were shown in Figure 5: (1) 4 of the studies had the direct comparison between loratadine and placebo, whose percentage contribution to loratadine and cetirizine, loratadine and montelukast, and loratadine and desloratadine was 50%, 50%, and 50%, respectively; 25% to the whole network meta-analysis; (2) 3 of the studies had the direct comparison between cetirizine and placebo, whose percentage contribution to loratadine and cetirizine, cetirizine and montelukast, and cetirizine and desloratadine was 50%, 50%, and 50%, respectively; 25% contribution to the whole network meta-analysis; (3) 3 of the studies had the direct comparison between montelukast and placebo, whose percentage contribution to loratadine and montelukast, cetirizine and montelukast, and montelukast and desloratadine was American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) 6 Xiao et al FIGURE 3. Sensitivity analysis about the effects difference in rhinoconjunctivitis quality of life questionnaire (RQLQ) scores of allergic rhinitis (AR) patients between intervention groups and placebo group: (A) loratadine group versus placebo group; (B) cetirizine group versus placebo group; (C) montelukast group versus placebo group; (D) desloratadine group versus placebo group. 50%, 50%, and 50%, respectively; 25% contribution to the whole network meta-analysis; (4) 6 of the studies had the direct comparison between desloratadine and American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) placebo, whose percentage contribution to loratadine and desloratadine, cetirizine and desloratadine, and montelukast and desloratadine was 50%, 50%, and www.americantherapeutics.com Drugs Treatment and Allergic Rhinitis 7 Comparisons of efficacy FIGURE 4. The evidence network of enrolled studies in this network meta-analysis. 50%, respectively; 25% contribution to the whole network meta-analysis. Evaluating and presenting assumptions of network meta-analysis Inconsistency plot was applied to test the heterogeneity among studies in closed loop of this network meta-analysis (Figure 6). This network meta-analysis consisted of 2 triangular loops, including loratadine– cetirizine–placebo loop and loratadine–montelukast– placebo loop. The 95% CIs of IF values were truncated at zero, suggesting there was no significant inconsistency. The P values of the 2 triangular loops (P 5 0.450 and 0.970, respectively) further confirmed that the direct comparisons and indirect comparisons of the 4 drugs had consistency. Network meta-analysis results demonstrated that compared with placebo, the 4 drugs, cetirizine, loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine, effectively treated AR (cetirizine: mean: 20.62, 95% CI 5 20.90 to 20.34, P , 0.001; loratadine: mean: 20.32, 95% CI 5 20.55 to 20.097, P 5 0.005; montelukast: mean: 20.28, 95% CI 5 20.54 to 20.023, P 5 0.033; desloratadine: mean: 20.39, 95% CI 5 20.60 to 20.18, P , 0.001). After ignoring covariance, further analysis suggested significant differences among the results (Table 2). Relative efficacy of the 4 drugs is shown in Figure 7 (black corresponds to 95% CI and red corresponds to 95% predictive intervals). Ranking of interventions The cumulative probability ranking of interventions is shown in Figure 8. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve values of the 5 interventions were 8.5% for placebo, 50.3% for loratadine, 87.1% for cetirizine, 44.5% for montelukast, and 59.6% for desloratadine, suggesting that cetirizine is the most optimal drug for AR treatment compared with loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine. Assessment of publication bias Figure 9 shows the funnel plot for the 5 interventions network, which provides an indication for the presence of small-study effect. All the included studies symmetrically distribute around the vertical line (x 5 0), suggesting no small-study effect in the network. FIGURE 5. Contribution plot of enrolled studies in this network meta-analysis. www.americantherapeutics.com American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) 8 Xiao et al FIGURE 6. Inconsistency test for direct and indirect comparison: (A) placebo; (B) loratadine; (C) cetirizine; (D) montelukast; (E) desloratadine. DISCUSSION The present network meta-analysis was based on 13 RCTs involving 6867 individuals and compared the effects of 4 drugs on the RQLQ scores in patients with AR. Our results demonstrated that compared with placebo, cetirizine, loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine are effective in treating AR. Surface under the cumulative ranking curve values of these interventions suggested that cetirizine is the most optimal drug for the treatment of AR. Atopy is an exaggerated IgEmediated immune response in a type I-hypersensitive reaction mounted against ubiquitous and innocuous environmental allergens, and AR is an atopic disease.49 In response to antigens entering into the mucous membrane, IgE antibodies in the regional lymphatic tissues and nasal mucosa bind to the antigens and cause release of histamine, proteases, and chemotactic factors.7 The antigen–antibody reaction also triggers production of other chemical mediators, such as prostaglandins and peptide LTs, which stimulates the sensory nerve endings and blood vessels of the nasal mucosa to cause pain, sneezing, pruritus, watery rhinorrhea, and nasal congestion.17 LTs and histamine generated by mast cells and other inflammatory cells cause vasodilation, nasal mucosal swelling, mucus hypersecretion, and increased capillary permeability.12,50 For these reasons, antihistamines and LT antagonists are widely used for the treatment of AR.12,13 Our study involved 3 antihistamine drugs, loratadine, cetirizine, and desloratadine. Previous RCTs showed that, compared with placebo, the second-generation antihistamines loratadine, cetirizine, and desloratadine are effective at relieving histamine-mediated symptoms in AR.15,16 Other studies revealed that compared with loratadine and desloratadine, allergic conjunctivitis symptom and nasal congestion were effectively treated with cetirizine, with an added benefit of lack of sedation.14,17,19 Montelukast is one of the most commonly used LT antagonist and is effective in patients with SAR and improves nasal obstruction.21 Recent studies have revealed that montelukast improves disease-specific quality of life in patients with persistent AR better than placebo.9,23 Consistent with most previous studies, our result confirm that compared with placebo, effective AR treatment is achieved with cetirizine, loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine. However, ranking of efficacy of the 4 interventions in AR treatment is unknown. Our study represents the first work to exploit network meta-analysis framework to simultaneously compare the effects of different drugs on RQLQ scores in patients with AR. The result of our study demonstrated Table 2. Therapeutic efficacy of each drug compared with placebo. Therapeutic efficacy (correlation not ignored) Drug Mean Loratadine Cetirizine Montelukast Desloratadine 20.32 20.62 20.28 20.39 95% CI 20.55 20.90 20.54 20.60 to to to to 20.097 20.34 20.023 20.18 American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) Therapeutic efficacy (correlation ignored) Z P Mean 22.79 24.30 22.14 23.62 0.005 0.000 0.033 0.000 20.33 20.63 20.28 20.39 95% CI 20.57 20.93 20.56 20.61 to to to to 20.091 20.33 20.013 20.17 Z P 22.71 24.18 22.05 23.48 0.007 0.000 0.040 0.000 www.americantherapeutics.com Drugs Treatment and Allergic Rhinitis 9 FIGURE 7. The confidence intervals of estimates (black corresponds to 95% CI and red corresponds to 95% predictive intervals). that cetirizine is the optimal drug for the treatment of AR, when compared with 3 other interventions. The strengths of our network meta-analysis are first, we compared interventions indirectly when no head-tohead trial existed to obtain more precise efficacy estimates. Second, our updated integration of existing evidence provides new insights about the quality of life of patients with AR, with important implications in future research. Finally, the 95% CI of IF values are truncated at zero, suggesting there is no inconsistency in our network meta-analysis. Our study also has limitations. First, only 13 RCTs were enrolled in our FIGURE 8. Plots of the surface under the cumulative ranking curves for all treatments in the AR network. www.americantherapeutics.com American Journal of Therapeutics (2015) 0(0) 10 FIGURE 9. Publications bias assessment for the 13 RCTs. study, and the number of included studies was relatively small. Second, because of the limited data on other drugs from our enrolled trials, we were able to analyze only 4 drugs and other drugs were not considered for analysis. Third, our network metaanalysis did not perform subgroup stratification based on drug dosage because of the lack of relevant details in selected studies. Finally, although all the enrolled RCTs mentioned the study design as a blinded, randomized, controlled method, there was no detailed evidence of randomization, which might have impacted our results. CONCLUSIONS This network meta-analysis provides strong evidence that cetirizine is the most optimal drug for the treatment of AR compared with placebo, loratadine, montelukast, and desloratadine. The use of cetirizine significantly reduced functional problems in patients with AR. 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