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PROBLEMS 1. LO: 2 The 2001 fiscal policy package included roughly $38 billion in tax rebates that were mailed to taxpayers. By how much would aggregate demand shift (a) initially and (b) ultimately as a result of these rebates? AACSB: Analytic BT: Application a. If we assume an MPC of 0.80, AD would initially increase by $30.4 billion. b. The ultimate change in equilibrium GDP will depend on the value of the MPC and the multiplier. Again assuming an MPC of 0.80 then the multiplied changes in AD will be 5 x $30.4 billion = $152 billion. (This answer assumes a constant price level.) 2. Suppose the federal budget is balanced but that automatic stabilizers increase tax revenues by $30 billion per year and decrease transfer payments (e.g., welfare, unemployment benefits) by $10 billion per year for every 1-percentage point change in the real GDP growth. Using this information, complete the following table: LO: 4 AACSB: Analytic Change in GDP Growth Rate -2% +1% +3% 3. LO: 4 Change in Tax Revenue -$60 billion +$30 billion +$90 billion BT: Application Change in Transfer Payments +$20 billion -$10 billion -$30 billion Change in Budget Balance -$80 billion +$20 billion +$60 billion Based on the information in the preceding question, what will happen to the federal budget balance if the economy falls into a recession of –2.0 percent from a growth path of +2.5 percent? AACSB: Analytic BT: Application The total change in the GDP growth rate is -4.5%, which will result in a decrease in tax revenue of $135 billion (-4.5*$30 billion=-$135 billion) and an increase in transfer payments of $45 billion (-4.5*$10 billion=-$45 billion). The total change in the budget balance will be -$180 billion (increase the deficit/decrease a surplus by $180 billion). 4. The following table presents hypothetical data on government expenditure, taxes, exports, imports, inflation, unemployment, and pollution for three levels of equilibrium income (GDP). A government decision maker is trying to determine the optimal level of government expenditures, with each of the three columns being a possible choice. At the time of the choice the inflation index is 1.0. Dollar amounts are in billions per year. Nominal GDP $8,000 $9,000 $10,000 Government expenditure $700 $800 $900 Taxes collected $600 $800 $1,000 Exports $300 $300 $300 Imports $100 $300 $500 Inflation (index) 1.00 1.04 1.15 Unemployment rate 10% 4% 3.5% Pollution index 1.00 1.80 2.00 (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) LO: 2 Compute the federal budget balance, balance of trade, and real GDP for each level of nominal GDP. What government expenditure level would best accomplish each of the following goals? Lowest taxes collected, largest trade surplus, lowers pollution, lowest inflation rate, lowest unemployment rate, highest amount of public goods and services, highest real income, balancing the federal budget, achieving a balance of trade, maintaining price stability, achieving full employment. What government expenditure levels would most flagrantly violate each of the preceding goals? Which policy would be in the best interests of the country? What policies, in addition to changes in government expenditures, might the government use to attain more of its desired goals? AACSB: Analytic (a) BT: Application Completing the information from the table in the text: Nominal GDP 8000 Federal Budget Balance -100 Balance of Trade 200 Real GDP 8000 (b) 9000 0 0 8654 10000 100 -200 8696 The level of expenditures that would best accomplishes each goal, and (c) the level that would most flagrantly violate each goal. BEST EXPENDITURE 700 700 700 700 900 900 900 800 GOAL TO BE ACCOMPLISHED Lowest taxes Largest trade surplus Lowest pollution Lowest inflation rate Lowest unemployment rate Most public goods and services Highest Real Income Balanced federal budget WORST EXPENDITURE 900 900 900 900 700 700 700 700,900 800 700 800 Balancing balance of trade Price stability Full employment 700,900 900 700 (d) There is no clear best policy because there are competing macroeconomic goals. (e) Monetary policy and supply side policies, as well as changing taxes, might be used in addition to changes in government spending in the attempt to attain more desirable goals.