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ECO 1 ECONOMIC GROWTH AND BUSINESS CYCLES Erkmen Giray ASLIM (erkmengirayaslim.com) e-mail: [email protected] 11/13/2015 Department of Economics Lehigh University BACKGROUND INFORMATION • How can we define business cycles? • Economic expansion and recession. MORE ON BUSINESS CYCLES DISCUSSION ON BUSINESS CYCLES THE EFFECT ON UNEMPLOYMENT RATE LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH • The process by which rising productivity increases the average standard of living. POTENTIAL GDP • The level of real GDP attained when all firms are producing at capacity. • Operating at normal hours and using a normal workforce. RULE OF 70 70 Number of years to double Growth rate • If real GDP per capita growth rate is 5 percent per year, then it will take 70/5 = 14 years for real GDP per capita to double . • Proof: (Hint: Use ln2 = 0.69) G(t) = G(0) x ert DETERMINANTS OF LONG-RUN GROWTH • Labor productivity. • Increase in capital. • Technological change. Y = F(A, K, L) DISCUSSION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH