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Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous Confucius (551-479 BC) Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 1 Econ 101: Microeconomics Chapter 7: How Firms Make Decisions: Profit Maximization The Goal Of Profit Maximization To analyze decision making at the firm, let’s start with a very basic question • What is the firm trying to maximize? A firm’s owners will usually want the firm to earn as much profit as possible We will view the firm as a single economic decision maker whose goal is to maximize its owners’ profit Why? • Managers who deviate from profit-maximizing for too long are typically replaced either by • • • Current owners or Other firms who acquire the underperforming firm and then replace management team with their own Many managers are well trained in tools of profitmaximization Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 3 Understanding Profit: Two Definitions of Profit Profit is defined as the firm’s sales revenue minus its costs of production If we deduct only costs recognized by accountants, we get one definition of profit • Accounting profit = Total revenue – Accounting costs A broader conception of costs (opportunity costs) leads to a second definition of profit • • Economic profit = Total revenue – All costs of production Or Total revenue – (Explicit costs + Implicit costs) Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 4 Understanding Profit: Two Definitions of Profit Difference between economic profit and accounting profit is an important one • When they are confused, some serious (and costly) mistakes can result Proper measure of profit for understanding and predicting firm behavior is economic profit • Unlike accounting profit, economic profit recognizes all the opportunity costs of production—both explicit and implicit costs Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 5 Why Are There Profits? Economists view profit as a payment for two necessary contributions Risk-taking • Someone—the owner—had to be willing to take the initiative to set up the business • This individual assumed the risk that business might fail and the initial investment be lost • Innovation • In almost any business you will find that some sort of innovation was needed to get things started Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 6 The Firm’s Constraints: The Demand Constraint Demand curve facing firm is a profit constraint • Curve that indicates for different prices, quantity of output customers will purchase from a particular firm Can flip demand relationship around • Once firm has selected an output level, it has also determined the maximum price it can charge Leads to an alternative definition • Shows maximum price firm can charge to sell any given amount of output Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 7 The Demand Curve Facing The Firm Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 8 Total Revenue The total inflow of receipts from selling a given amount of output Each time the firm chooses a level of output, it also determines its total revenue • Why? • Because once we know the level of output, we also know the highest price the firm can charge Total revenue—which is the number of units of output times the price per unit—follows automatically Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 9 The Cost Constraint Every firm struggles to reduce costs, but there is a limit to how low costs can go • These limits impose a second constraint on the firm The firm uses its production function, and the prices it must pay for its inputs, to determine the least cost method of producing any given output level For any level of output the firm might want to produce • It must pay the cost of the “least cost method” of production Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 10 Two Approaches to Profit Maximization TR and TC approach MR and MC approach Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 11 Total Revenue (TR) and Total Cost (TC) Approach At any given output level, we know • • How much revenue the firm will earn Its cost of production Loss • A negative profit—when total cost exceeds total revenue In the total revenue and total cost approach, the firm calculates Profit = TR – TC at each output level • Selects output level where profit is greatest Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 12 The TR and TC Approach Using Graphs To maximize profit, firm should • Produce quantity of output where vertical • • distance between TR and TC curves is greatest and TR curve lies above TC curve Figure 2a Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 13 Figure 2a: Profit Maximization Dollars $3,500 TC 3,000 Profit at 7 Units 2,500 Profit at 5 Units 2,000 Profit at 3 Units 1,500 1,000 DTR from producing 2nd unit 500 Total Fixed Cost TR DTR from producing 1st unit 0 1 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output 14 Marginal Revenue (MR) and Marginal Cost (MC) Approach Marginal revenue • Change in total revenue from producing one more unit of output • MR = ΔTR / ΔQ Tells us how much revenue rises per unit increase in output Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 15 Marginal Revenue (MR) and Marginal Cost (MC) Approach Important things to notice about marginal revenue • • When MR is positive, an increase in output causes total revenue to rise Each time output increases, MR is smaller than the price the firm charges at the new output level When a firm faces a downward sloping demand curve, each increase in output causes • • • Revenue gain • From selling additional output at the new price Revenue loss • From having to lower the price on all previous units of output Marginal revenue is therefore less than the price of the last unit of output Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 16 Using MR and MC to Maximize Profits Marginal revenue and marginal cost can be used to find the profit-maximizing output level • • • Logic behind MC and MR approach • An increase in output will always raise profit as long as marginal revenue is greater than marginal cost (MR > MC) Converse of this statement is also true • An increase in output will lower profit whenever marginal revenue is less than marginal cost (MR < MC) Guideline firm should use to find its profit-maximizing level of output • Firm should increase output whenever MR > MC, and decrease output when MR < MC Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 17 The MR and MC Approach Using Graphs Figure 2b also illustrates the MR and MC approach to maximizing profits Can summarize MC and MR approach • To maximize profits the firm should produce level of output closest to point where MC = MR • Level of output at which the MC and MR curves intersect This rule is very useful—allows us to look at a diagram of MC and MR curves and immediately identify profit-maximizing output level Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 18 Figure 2b: Profit Maximization Dollars 600 MC 500 400 300 200 100 0 –100 1 –200 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 2 3 profit rises 4 5 6 7 profit falls 8 Output MR 19 Exception Important exception to this rule • Sometimes MC and MR curves cross at two • different points In this case, profit-maximizing output level is the one at which MC curve crosses MR curve from below Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 20 Figure 3: Two Points of Intersection Dollars MC A B MR Q1 Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Q* Output 21 What About Average Costs? Different types of average cost (ATC, AVC, and AFC) are irrelevant to earning the greatest possible level of profit • Common error—sometimes made even by business managers—is to use average cost in place of marginal cost in making decisions • Problems with this approach • • ATC includes many costs that are fixed in short-run—including cost of all fixed inputs such as factory and equipment and design staff ATC changes as output increases Correct approach is to use the marginal cost and to consider increases in output one unit at a time Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 22 Dealing With Losses: The Short Run and the Shutdown Rule You might think that a loss-making firm should always shut down its operation in the short run • However, it makes sense for some unprofitable firms to continue operating The question is • Should this firm produce at Q* and suffer a loss? • The answer is yes—if the firm would lose even more if it stopped producing and shut down its operation If, by staying open, a firm can earn more than enough revenue to cover its operating costs, then it is making an operating profit (TR > TVC) • • Should not shut down because operating profit can be used to help pay fixed costs But if the firm cannot even cover its operating costs when it stays open, it should shut down Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 23 Dealing With Losses: The Short-Run and the Shutdown Rule Guideline for shutdown rule—for a loss-making firm: Let Q* be output level at which MR = MC Then in the short-run • • • firm should keep producing: • firm should shut down: • If TR < TVC or p < AVC at Q* firm should be indifferent between shutting down and producing: • If TR >TVC or p > AVC at Q* If TR = TVC or p = AVC at Q* The shutdown rule is a powerful predictor of firms’ decisions to stay open or cease production in short-run Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 24 Figure 4: Loss Minimization Dollars TFC Q* Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Output 25 Figure 5: Shut Down Dollars TC TVC Loss at Q* TFC TR TFC Q* Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles Output 26 The Long Run: The Exit Decision We only use term shut down when referring to short-run If a firm stops production in the long-run it is termed an exit A firm should exit the industry in longrun • When—at its best possible output level—it has any loss at all Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 27 Using The Theory: Economics in Action Between November 2000 and May 2001 the state of California went through an electricity crisis. Supply of power were limited, and wholesale price of electricity ran constantly at more than 10 times its normal level. Economists used data on electricity generating costs to estimate marginal cost curves for producers. Economist accused the power generators of deliberately withholding electricity from the market in order to drive up prices. Power companies were caught red-handed: tape recordings revealed they purposely shut down plants in order to drive up prices. Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 28 Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous Confucius (551-479 BC) Hall & Leiberman; Economics: Principles 29