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CBMS For PRSP Monitoring in Nepal • • • • • • Brief description about Nepal Tenth Plan & PRSP PRSP Monitoring MIMAP and PDMS Activities Use of PDMS PRSP Monitoring vis-à-vis MIMAP PDMS Major Long Term Objectives of PRSP 1. Macroeconomic Targets Annual growth rates (at factor cost) -Agriculture -Non-agriculture Saving/GDP Ratio (%) Investment/GDP Ratio (%) 2. Major Physical Infrastructure Districts with Roads (%) Irrigation (in '000 Hectares) Telephone Lines (per 1000 population) Population served by Electricity (%) 3. Major Socioeconomic Objectives Infant Mortality Rate (per'000) Total Fertility rate (%) Maternal Mortality rate (per '00000) Primary Education (%) Literacy rate (15 yrs and above) Population Below Poverty Line (%) Population Growth rate Water Supply (% of population) 8.3 5 9.7 30 34 100 1685 150 80 34.4 3.05 250 100 100 10 1.5 100 Major Socio-Economic Objectives of PRSP/Tenth Plan Items 1. Infant Mortality rate (per '000) 2. Total Fertility Rate (%) 3. Maternal Mortality Rate (per '00000) 4. User of Family Planning Services (%) 5. Health Person Attended Child Birth (%) 6. Average Age (yrs) 7. Primary Education Net Enrolment (6 yrs and above %) 8. Literacy (6 yrs and above %) 9. Literacy (15 yrs and above %) 10. Water supply (% of population) 11. Population Growth rate 12. Population Below Poverty Line (%) 13. Human Development Index 14 Human Poverty Index Baseline (2001/2) 64.2 4.1 415 39.3 13 61.9 80.4 55.5 49.2 71.6 2.25 38 0.466 39.2 Projected Growth rate in 2006/7 at 6.2% at 4.3% 45 47 3.5 3.6 300 315 47 46 18 17 65 64 90 89 70 68 63 61 85 83 2.1 2.1 30 33 0.517 0.512 34 34.5 Poverty Monitoring & Analysis System (PMAS) • Poverty Monitoring Section (PMS) under the CMED (Central Monitoring and Evaluation division) of NPC will be the focal point for the system. • A system of input, output monitoring requiring coordination between line ministries, district level agencies and Central Monitoring and Evaluation Division of the NPC has been specified. • A public expenditure tracking of programmes and projects has been proposed. • Performance monitoring based on intermediate indicators is to be performed annually through the sectoral MIS. • A core set of Outcome/Impact and process indicators have been proposed for tracking over time; • A sequencing of surveys has been proposed as follows as the key source of data for poverty monitoring; it will also avoid the past duplication of efforts, information and lack of coordination. • A sequencing of surveys has been proposed as follows as the key source of data for poverty monitoring; it will also avoid the past duplication of efforts, information and lack of coordination. Proposed Sequencing of Surveys 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 National Living Standards Survey x x Consolidate Social Survey x Expenditure Tracking and/or x x x x x Service Delivery Surveys Labor Force Survey x Agricultural Survey x x x • CBS will be the focal point for conducting the national HH surveys; its capacity will be improved. • Participatory monitoring and evaluation will complement the quantitative surveys. District Poverty & Analysis System (DPMAS) • Six key sectors have been identified for implementation and outcome/impact monitoring which are to be primarily based on the sectoral MIS supported by information derived from household surveys; • Monitoring of 28 input, 39 output, and 37 outcome/impact indicators are proposed; • Quantitative and qualitative approaches (including PPA) have been proposed as monitoring tools; most of the outcome/impact indicators are to be derived from 'household survey'. However, there is no further elaboration on whether the HH survey would be based on sample or census basis and how it is to be conducted • DDC is to be the lead institution for DPMAS implementation; • NPC and MLD are to support DDC in DPMAS implementation; • Building the system from existing institutional framework rather than building new mechanism; and • The system is to be institutionalized both at the DDC level; MIMAP: Poverty & Development Monitoring System • 62 Indicators • Community level data collection & analysis system Uses of PDMS • Poverty & Development Monitoring • VDC Planning Exercise VDC Planning Exercise • PDMS information & VDC Profile for need assessment & Resource Analysis. • Broad areas covered in VDC Planning Exercise a.Agriculture Irrigation, Seed multiplication, Horticulture, Vegetable, Livestock b. Roads c. Electrification d. Forest e. Information and Communication f. Social Services Education, Health, Drinking Water, Sanitation, Social Security g. Small Scale and cottage industry h. Women Development PRSP Monitoring vis-à-vis a. • • • • Administrative & Statistical level MIMAP-PDMS : VDC level PRSP-PMS : District level MIMAP-PDMS : Whole community PRSP-PMS : Selected Households b. Statistical Coverage • MIMAP-PDMS : All VDCs & all Wards • PRSP-PMS : Sampling Basis c. Periodicity • MIMAP-PDMS : Yearly updated set of indicators • PRSP-PMS :4 years based system d. Sustainability • MIMAP-PDMS :Feasible with the human,physical & financial resources available at VDC level. • PRSP-PMS: Relies on the technical staff of the CBS Conclusion