Download An elementary introduction to large deviations

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Birthday problem wikipedia , lookup

Ars Conjectandi wikipedia , lookup

Inductive probability wikipedia , lookup

Infinite monkey theorem wikipedia , lookup

Probability interpretations wikipedia , lookup

Probability box wikipedia , lookup

Karhunen–Loève theorem wikipedia , lookup

Law of large numbers wikipedia , lookup

Central limit theorem wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
0
-0.5
ln P( Mn/n > 0.6 )
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
-3
-3.5
-4
-4.5
10
20
30
40
0
50
n
60
70
80
90
70
80
90
100
-0.05
ln P( Mn/n > 0.6 ) /n
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25
-0.3
-0.35
-0.4
10
20
30
40
50
n
60
100
Figure 8: The distribution of the mean for coin-tossing: ln P( Mn > 0.6 )
(top) is super-additive and so ln P( Mn > 0.6 ) /n (bottom) is approximately
monotone; as n increases, ln P( Mn > 0.6 ) /n converges to its maximum
value.
24