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Probability Distribution The probability distribution for a random variable is an assignment of probability to each of the possible values for the variable Probability Distributions Discrete Probability Distributions 1. 2. 3. 4. The The The The Uniform Distribution; Binomial Distribution; Hypergeometric Distribution; and Poisson Distribution Continuous Probability Distributions 1. The Uniform Distribution; and 2. The Normal Distribution Mean of a Discrete Probability Distribution The mean of a discrete probability distribution is also called the expected value of the discrete random variable. E( X ) XP( X ) where, E(X) = expected value of X X = values of the random variable P(X) = probability of each value of X Standard Deviation of a Discrete Probability Distribution Standard Deviation of a discrete random variable 2 x SQRT x E ( x) P( x) where, X = values of the random variable E(X) = expected value of X P(X) = probability of each value of X The Binomial or Bernoulli Process The experiment consists of n identical trials; Each trial results in one of two outcome, success or failure; The probability of success on a single trial is equal to p, and remains the same from trial to trial. The probability of failure is ( 1 - p ); The trials are independent; and The experimenter is interested in X, the number of successes observed during the n trials. Example: Taste Test; Coke Vs. Pepsi Sample size (n) = 3, P(Coke is preferred) = 0.20 Simple Event e1 e2 e3 e4 e5 e6 e7 e8 Consumer One Two Three C C C C C P C P C C P P P C C P C P P P C P P P P(ei)_ ___ (0.20)3 = 0.008 (0.20)2(0.80) = 0.032 (0.20)2(0.80) = 0.032 (0.20)(0.80)2 = 0.128 (0.20)2(0.80) = 0.032 (0.20)(0.80)2 = 0.128 (0.20)(0.80)2 = 0.128 (0.80)3 = 0.512 1.000 Probability Distribution Coke Vs. Pepsi _X_ ___ei___ _P(X)_ 0 e8 0.512 1 e4,e6,e7 0.384 2 e2,e3,e5 0.096 3 e1 0.008 1.000