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Section 7.2 Tables 7.2-1 and 7.2-2 summarize hypothesis tests about one mean. (These tests assume that the sample is taken from a normal distribution, but the tests are robust when the sample is taken from a non-normal distribution with finite mean and variance.) The relationship between hypothesis testing and confidence intervals can be described by saying that rejecting the hypothesized value of a parameter with significance level is expected to correspond to that hypothesized value not being contained in the 100(1 – )% confidence interval, not rejecting the hypothesized value of a parameter with significance level is expected to correspond to that hypothesized value being contained in the 100(1 – )% confidence interval. Confidence intervals have the following properties: (1) For fixed sample size n, the length of the confidence interval tends larger to be __________ as the confidence level 100(1 – )% is increased, smaller as and the length of the confidence interval tends to be __________ the confidence level 100(1 – )% is decreased. (2) For fixed confidence level 100(1 – )%, the length of the confidence interval tends to be __________ smaller as the sample size n is increased, and the length of the confidence interval tends to be larger __________ as the sample size n is decreased. Hypothesis tests have the following properties: (1) For fixed sample size n, as the significance level is decreased, a type II error probability is __________, increased and as the significance level is increased, a type II error probability is __________. decreased (2) For fixed significance level , as the sample size n is increased, a type II error probability is __________, decreased and as the sample size n is decreased, a type II error probability is __________. increased 1. It is assumed that the cereal weight in a “10-ounce box” is N(, 2). To test H0: = 10.1 versus H1: > 10.1 with a 0.05 significance level, a random sample of size n = 16 boxes is selected where it is observed that x = 10.4 and s = 0.4. (a) Calculate the appropriate test statistic, describe the appropriate critical region, and write a summary of the results. x – 10.1 10.4 – 10.1 The test statistic is t = ——— = ————— = 3.000 s /n 0.4 /16 The one-sided critical region with = 0.05 is t 1.753 . Since t = 3.000 > t0.05(15) = 1.753, we reject H0. We conclude that the mean weight of cereal per box is greater than 10.1 ounces. (b) Find the approximate p-value of this hypothesis test. The p-value of the test is X – 10.1 P ——— 3.000 ; = 10.1 S /n slightly less than 0.005. a t(15) random variable = P(T 3.000) is 2. Use the Analyze > Compare Means > One-Sample T Test options in SPSS to do Text Exercise 7.2-4. x – 7.5 x – 7.5 (a) The test statistic is t = ——— = ——— s /n s /10 The two-sided critical region with = 0.05 is |t| 2.262 . – 2.262 2.262 = t0.025(9) (b) One-Sample Statistics N thick 10 Mean 7.5500 Std. Deviation .10274 Std. Error Mean .03249 One-Sample Test Tes t Value = 7.5 thick t 1.539 df 9 Sig. (2-tailed) .158 Mean Difference .05000 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -.0235 .1235 From the SPSS output, we find t = 1.539 . Since t = 1.539 < t0.025(9) = 2.262, we fail to reject H0. We conclude that the mean thickness for vending machine spearmint gum is not different from 7.5 hundredths of an inch. (c) From the SPSS output, we find that the limits of the 95% confidence interval for are 7.4765 and 7.6235. The hypothesized mean = 7.5 is contained in these limits, just as we would expect. Note that to calculate the p-value of this test, we need to find P X – 7.5 ——— 1.539 ; = 7.5 S /n 3. Use the Analyze > Compare Means > One-Sample T Test options in SPSS to do Text Exercise 7.2-6. (a) H0: = 3.4 (b) H1: > 3.4 x – 3.4 x – 3.4 (c) The test statistic is t = ——— = ——— s /n s /9 (d) The one-sided critical region with = 0.05 is t 1.860 . 1.860 = t0.05(8) (e) One-Sample Statistics N liters Mean 3.5556 9 Std. Deviation .16667 Std. Error Mean .05556 One-Sample Test Tes t Value = 3.4 liters t 2.800 df 8 Sig. (2-tailed) .023 Mean Difference .15556 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper .0274 .2837 From the SPSS output, we find t = 2.800 . (f) Since t = 2.800 > t0.05(8) = 1.860, we reject H0. We conclude that the mean FVC for the volleyball players is greater than 3.4 liters. 3.-continued (g) The p-value of the test is X – 3.4 P ——— 2.800 ; = 3.4 S /n a t(8) random variable = P(T 2.800) is between 0.01 and 0.025, from Table VI in Appendix B. From the SPSS output, we find the p-value of the test to be 0.023 / 2 = 0.0115. 4. Use the Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Descriptives options in SPSS to do Text Exercise 7.2-8. We shall perform this hypothesis test about the mean under the assumption that the variance in weight of home-born babies is 5252. x – 3315 x – 3315 (a) The test statistic is z = ———— = ———— 525 /n 525 /11 The one-sided critical region with = 0.01 is z 2.326 . (b) Descriptive Statistics N grams Valid N (lis twis e) 11 11 Minimum 2657.00 Maximum Mean 3856.00 3385.9091 Std. Deviation 336.31606 From the SPSS output, we find x = 3385.91 . x – 3315 z = ———— = 0.448 525 /11 Since z = 0.448 < z0.01 = 2.326, we fail to reject H0. We conclude that the mean weight of home-born babies is not greater than 3315 grams. (c) The p-value of the test is X – 3315 P ———— 0.448 ; = 3315 = P(Z 0.448) = 525 /n 1 – (0.448) = 1 – 0.6736 = 0.3264 . Variance 113108.5 5. Note that a hypothesis test concerning the mean difference between two random variables measured on the same units is essentially a one-sample test about a mean when the data consist of differences between paired observations. Use the Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Paired-Samples T Test options in SPSS to do Text Exercise 7.2-14. Paired Samples Statistics Pair 1 dist_a dist_b Mean 256.1765 251.4118 N 17 17 Std. Deviation 18.70239 14.93343 Std. Error Mean 4.53600 3.62189 Paired Samples Test Paired Differences Pair 1 dist_a - dist_b Mean 4.76471 Std. Deviation 9.08659 Std. Error Mean 2.20382 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper .09281 9.43660 d–0 d–0 The test statistic is t = —— = ——— sd /n sd /17 t 2.162 df 16 Sig. (2-tailed) .046 The one-sided critical region with = 0.05 is t 1.746 . From the SPSS output, we find t = 2.162 . Since t = 2.162 > t0.05(16) = 1.746, we reject H0. We conclude that the mean distance is greater with brand A golf balls than with brand B. The p-value of the test is D–0 P ——— 2.162 ; D = 0 SD /n a t(16) random variable = P(T 2.162) is between 0.01 and 0.025, from Table VI in Appendix B. From the SPSS output, we find the p-value of the test to be 0.046 / 2 = 0.023.