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Economics 182 - Spring 2006 Professor Maurice Obstfeld Office Hours: Wednesday, 1 - 2 P.M., 699 Evans GSIs: Gabriela Dobrescu, Guillermo Noguera Course requirements: Final, Midterm, Problem Sets Text: Paul R. Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld, International Economics: Theory and Policy, 7th edition (Boston: Addison Wesley, 2006). http://www.econ.berkeley.edu/~obstfeld/182_sp06/182_ s06.shtml Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-1 United States:Trade/Income Ratio since 1790 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. 2000 1986 1972 1958 1944 1930 1916 1902 1888 1874 1860 1846 1832 1818 1804 1790 0 Slide 12-2 Founding Parents -- of the Modern U.S. Economy . Washington Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Hamilton Slide 12-3 U.S. Balance of Trade since 1790 (Ratio to National Income) 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 1999 1988 1977 1966 1955 1944 1933 1922 1911 1900 1889 1878 1867 1856 1845 1834 1823 1812 1801 -0.02 1790 0 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-4 US Share World Output (PPP-Adjusted) 0.245 0.24 0.235 0.23 0.225 0.22 0.215 0.21 0.205 0.2 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-5 GDP Per Capita in 3 Countries, 1996 U.S. Dollars 35000 30000 25000 20000 Argentina USA 15000 Korea 10000 5000 19 50 19 54 19 58 19 62 19 66 19 70 19 74 19 78 19 82 19 86 19 90 19 94 19 98 0 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-6 RMB/$ (left axis) and euro/$ (right axis) exchange rates 8.3 1.4 8.25 1.2 8.2 1 8.15 0.8 8.1 0.6 8.05 0.4 8 0.2 euros/$ 0 Ja n99 Ju l-9 9 Ja n00 Ju l-0 0 Ja n01 Ju l-0 1 Ja n02 Ju l-0 2 Ja n03 Ju l-0 3 Ja n04 Ju l-0 4 Ja n05 Ju l-0 5 7.95 RMB/$ Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-7 Economics 182 - Spring 2006 National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments Exchange Rates and the Foreign Exchange Market: An Asset Approach Money, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates Price Levels and the Exchange Rate in the Long Run Output and the Exchange Rate in the Short Run Fixed Exchange Rates and Foreign Exchange Intervention Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-8 Economics 182 - Spring 2006 The International Monetary System, 1870-1973 Macroeconomic Policy and Coordination under Floating Exchange Rates Optimum Currency Areas and the European Experience The Global Capital Market: Performance and Policy Problems Developing Countries: Growth, Crisis, and Reform Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 12-9