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MATH 341: Statistical Methods I Spring 2016 Course Syllabus NJIT Academic Integrity Code: All Students should be aware that the Department of Mathematical Sciences takes the University Code on Academic Integrity at NJIT very seriously and enforces it strictly. This means that there must not be any forms of plagiarism, i.e., copying of homework, class projects, or lab assignments, or any form of cheating in quizzes and exams. Under the University Code on Academic Integrity, students are obligated to report any such activities to the Instructor. COURSE INFORMATION Course Description: Covers applications of classical statistical inference. Topics include transformation of variables, moment generating technique for distribution of variables, introduction to sampling distributions, point and interval estimation, maximum likelihood estimators, basic statistical hypotheses and tests of parametric hypotheses about means of normal populations, chi-square tests of homogeneity, independence, goodness-of-fit. Effective From: Spring 2009. Number of Credits: 3 Prerequisites: Math 244 with a grade of C or better or Math 333 with a grade of C or better. Course-Section and Instructors Course-Section Math 341-002 Instructor Professor S. Subramanian Required Textbook: Title Mathematical Statistics with Applications Author Wackerly, Mendenhall, and Scheaffer Edition 7th Publisher Thomson Brooks/Cole ISBN # 978-0495110811 University-wide Withdrawal Date: Please note that the last day to withdraw with a W is March 28, 2016. It will be strictly enforced. COURSE GOALS Course Objectives: Covers applications of classical statistical inference. Topics include transformation of variables, moment generating technique for distribution of variables, introduction to sampling distributions, point and interval estimation, maximum likelihood estimators, basic statistical hypotheses and tests, classical tests of parametric hypotheses about means of normal populations, chi-square tests of homogeneity, independence, goodness- of-fit. Course Outcomes Develop skills in the methods of mathematical statistics. Learn different estimation techniques such as method of moments, maximum likelihood. Develop the skills to compute uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators. Learn the likelihood ratio test. Compute confidence intervals. Compare treatments using ANOVA. Use Chi-squared test of homogeneity of populations, independence of categorical variables. Use Chi-squared test to evaluate the goodness-of-fit of data to a specified distribution. Course Assessment: Will be based on regular homework, two midterm exams and one final exam. POLICIES DMS Course Policies: All DMS students must familiarize themselves with, and adhere to, the Department of Mathematical Sciences Course Policies, in addition to official university-wide policies. DMS takes these policies very seriously and enforces them strictly. Grading Policy: The final grade in this course will be determined as follows: Homework and Quizzes 20% Midterm Exam I 25% Midterm Exam II 25% Final Exam 30% Attendance Policy: Attendance at all classes will be recorded and is mandatory. Please make sure you read and fully understand the Math Department’s Attendance Policy. This policy will be strictly enforced. Homework and Quiz Policy: Regular homework will be assigned. They need to be submitted on the due date in class. Late homework will not be accepted. Exams: There will be two midterm exams held in class during the semester and one comprehensive final exam. Exams are held on the following days: Midterm Exam I February 19, 2016 Midterm Exam II April 15, 2016 Final Exam Period May 6 - 12,2016 The final exam will test your knowledge of all the course material taught in the entire course. Make sure you read and fully understand the Math Department's Examination Policy. This policy will be strictly enforced. Makeup Exam Policy: There will be NO MAKE-UP QUIZZES OR EXAMS during the semester. In the event an exam is not taken under rare circumstances where the student has a legitimate reason for missing the exam, the student should contact the Dean of Students office and present written verifiable proof of the reason for missing the exam, e.g., a doctor’s note, police report, court notice, etc. clearly stating the date AND time of the mitigating problem. The student must also notify the Math Department Office/Instructor that the exam will be missed. Cellular Phones: Cell phones if used for communicating (e.g. texting, etc.) during lecture in the classroom will be confiscated and returned to the student only at the end of class. All cellular phones and beepers must be switched off during all class times. Laptops: Computers and other communication devices should remain closed during lecture time, exams and quizzes. Grading: Any complaints regarding grading have to be presented immediately after receiving the graded test, quiz, HW or exam in-class. Looking into neighbors work during exams: Keeping eyes hidden using hats, caps, etc., from the proctor, but not from the neighbors work during exams is not allowed. Wandering: Going in and out of the classroom often is not allowed. Calculators: Calculators are allowed but should be basic, without graphing capabilities, algebraic simplification capabilities, formula storing capabilities and without other such capabilities. ADDITIONAL RESOURCES Math Tutoring Center: Located in Cullimore, Room 214 (See: Spring 2016 Hours TBA) Further Assistance: For further questions, students should contact their instructor. All instructors have regular office hours during the week. These office hours are listed on the Math Department's webpage for Instructor Office Hours and Emails. All students must familiarize themselves with and adhere to the Department of Mathematical Sciences Course Policies, in addition to official university-wide policies. The Department of Mathematical Sciences takes these policies very seriously and enforces them strictly. Accommodation of Disabilities: NJIT is committed to providing students with documented disabilities equal access to programs and activities. If you have, or believe that you may have, a physical, medical, psychological, or learning disability that may require accommodations, please contact the Coordinator of Student Disability Services located in the Center for Counseling and Psychological Services, in Campbell Hall, Room 205, (973) 596-3414. Further information on disability services related to the self-identification, documentation and accommodation processes can be found on the webpage at: http://www.njit.edu/counseling/services/disabilities.php Important Dates (See: Spring 2016 Academic Calendar, Registrar) Date Day Event January 19, 2016 T First Day of Classes January 25, 2016 M Last Day to Add/Drop Classes March 13 - 20, 2016 Su - Su Spring Recess - No Classes, University Open March 25, 2016 F Good Friday - No Classes, University Closed May 3, 2016 T Friday Classes Meet/ Last Day of Classes May 4 & 5, 2016 W&R Reading Days May 6 - 12, 2016 F-R Final Exam Period Course Outline Lecture Sections Topic Assignment 1 (1- 19) 2.1 One variable transformation; Section 2.5: 1-4, 6, 7a, 9, 11b, Section 5.7: 49a,b 2 (1-22) 2.3 Moments and Moment Generating Functions Section 2.5: 30, 32, 33, 38a 3 (1-26) 4.1 Joint and Marginal Distributions Section 4.8: 1, 4a, 5, 11, 48a, 49a 4 (1-29) 4.2 Conditional Probability Distributions and Marginal Distributions and Independence Section 4.8: 4, 7, 9, 10, 15, 30b, 49b 5 (2-2) 4.3 Bivariate Transformations Section 4.8: 18 – 22, 51a 6 (2-5) 4.3 Bivariate Transformations Section 4.8: 23, 24, 27, 28a, 30b, 46c 7 (2-9) 4.4 Conditional Probability Distributions and Marginal Distributions Section 4.8: 30a no Cov., 31, 32a, 34 8 (2-12) (2-16) 4.5 Covariance and Correlation Section 4.8: 4 and 5 find Correlations of X and Y, 30a Cov., 49c, 50 first part. EXAM 1: FEBRUARY 19TH 9 (2-19) 10 (2-23) 5.1-5.3 Random Samples, Sampling Distributions related to the Normal Distribution Section 5.7: 1, 3, 5, 6, 10, 15, 16, 17c, 18b, 34, 36a, 57a,b. 11 (2-26) 5.4 Order Statistics Section 5.7: 22, 24, 27a 12 (3-1) 5.5 Central Limit Theorem Section 5.7: 30, 31 with CLT, 37, 51a,b 13 (3-4) 6.2-6.2.15 Sufficient Statistics Section 6.5: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 17 first two parts 14 (3-8) 7.1, 7.2.1 Method of Moments (MOM); Section7.4: 6c, 8c, 10a, 11b, 18a 15 (3-11) 7.2.2 Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) Section7.4: 1, 2a, 3, 6ab, 7, 8b, 10a, 11a, 12a, 13 16 (3-22) 7.3.1-7.3.3 Bias and Mean Square Error of Point Estimators, Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators (UMVUE) Section7.4: 1, 7.2a, 8a, 9, 12bc, 46, 49, 50abc-sufficient 17 (3-25) 8.1, 8.2.1 Hypothesis Testing; LRT Section 8.4: 1, 3, 12, 14 18 (3-29) 8.3.1 Type II error; Power of Tests Section 8.4: 13ab, 17c, 18, 37c-size, 38a 19 (4-1) 8.3.2 Neyman-Pearson Lemma Section 8.4: 15, 19, 20, 22, 23 20 (4-5) 8.3.4 p-values Section 8.4: 2, 49 21 (4-8) 9.1, 9.2.19.2.2 Interval estimation Section 9.4: 12, 16, 17 with n =1, 37 first part 22 (4-12) 9.3.1 Size and Coverage Probability Section 9.4: 13ab, 14ab, 25 pivotal method only. 33a, 34a 23 EXAM 2: APRIL 15TH (4-15) 24 (4-19) 11.1, ANOVA for one-way classification 11.2.,11.2.2, 11.2.6 TBA 25 (4-22) Class Notes Categorical Data; Goodness-of-Fit Test TBA 26 (4-26) Class Notes Chi-Squared Test of Independence TBA 27 (4-29) Class Notes Chi-Squared Test of Homogeneity TBA 28 (5-3) REVIEW Updated by Professor S. Subramanian - 12/28/2015 Department of Mathematical Sciences Course Syllabus, Spring 2016