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Discrete Probability Distributions Random Variable Random variable is a variable whose value is subject to variations due to chance. A random variable conceptually does not have a single, fixed value (even if unknown); rather, it can take on a set of possible different values, each with an associated probability. Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable Discrete Random Variables Discrete Probability Distribution Discrete Probability Distribution Discrete Random Variable Summary Measures Expected Value : the expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of all possible values that this random variable can take on. The weights used in computing this average correspond to the probabilities in case of a discrete random variable, or densities in case of a continuous random variable ; Discrete Random Variable Summary Measures Standard deviation shows how much variation or "dispersion" exists from the average (mean, or expected value); Discrete Random Variable Summary Measures Probability Distributions The Bernoulli Distribution Bernoulli distribution, is a discrete probability distribution, which takes value 1 with success probability p and value 0 with failure probability q=1-p . The Probability Function of this distribution is; The Bernoulli distribution is simply Binomial (1,p) . Bernoulli Distribution Characteristics The Binomial Distribution Counting Rule for Combinations Binomial Distribution Formula Binomial Distribution Binomial Distribution Characteristics Binomial Characteristics Binomial Distribution Example Geometric Distribution The geometric distribution is either of two discrete probability distributions: The probability distribution of the number of X Bernoulli trials needed to get one success, supported on the set { 1, 2, 3, ...} The probability distribution of the number Y = X − 1 of failures before the first success, supported on the set { 0, 1, 2, 3, ... } Geometric Distribution It’s the probability that the first occurrence of success require k number of independent trials, each with success probability p. If the probability of success on each trial is p, then the probability that the kth trial (out of k trials) is the first success is The above form of geometric distribution is used for modeling the number of trials until the first success. By contrast, the following form of geometric distribution is used for modeling number of failures until the first success: Geometric Distribution Characteristics The Poisson Distribution Poisson Distribution Formula Poisson Distribution Characteristics Graph of Poisson Probabilities Poisson Distribution Shape The Hypergeometric Distribution Hypergeometric Distribution Formula Hypergeometric Distribution Example Continuous Probability Distributions Continuous Probability Distributions The Normal Distribution Many Normal Distributions The Normal Distribution Shape Finding Normal Probabilities Probability as Area Under the Curve Empirical Rules The Empirical Rule Importance of the Rule The Standart Normal Distribution The Standart Normal Translation to the Standart Normal Distribution Example Comparing x and z units The Standart Normal Table The Standart Normal Table General Procedure for Finding Probabilities z Table Example z Table Example Solution : Finding P(0 < z <0.12) Finding Normal Probabilities Finding Normal Probabilities Upper Tail Probabilities Upper Tail Probabilities Lower Tail Probabilities Lower Tail Probabilities The Uniform Distribution The Uniform Distribution The Mean and the Standart Deviation for Uniform Distribution The Uniform Distribution The Uniform Distribution Characteristics; The Exponential Distribution The Exponential Distribution Shape of the Exponential Distribution Example