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Low Carbon Industrial Growth in India TITLE Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India YEAR October 2013 Himanshu Shekhar (Responsible Banking Team, YES BANK) AUTHORS COPYRIGHT Priyanka Kochhar (Sr. Programme Manager, ADaRSH), Sachin Kumar (Fellow, TERI BCSD), Akshima Tejas Ghate (Fellow, TERI BCSD) No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form by photo, photoprint, microfilm or any other means without the written permission of YES BANK Ltd. and TERI BCSD. This report is the publication of YES BANK Limited (“YES BANK”) & TERI BCSD and so YES BANK & TERI BCSD have editorial control over the content, including opinions, advice, statements, services, offers etc. that is represented in this report. However, YES BANK & TERI BCSD will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by the reader's reliance on information obtained through this report. This report may contain third party contents and third-party resources. 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All other information, products and services offered through the report are offered by third parties, which are not affiliated in any manner to YES BANK & TERI BCSD. The reader/ buyer hereby disclaims and waives any right and/ or claim, they may have against YES BANK & TERI BCSD with respect to third party products and services. All materials provided in the report is provided on “As is” basis and YES BANK & TERI BCSD makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, including, but not limited to, warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, title or non – infringement. As to documents, content, graphics published in the report, YES BANK & TERI BCSD makes no representation or warranty that the contents of such documents, articles are free from error or suitable for any purpose; nor that the implementation of such contents will not infringe any third party patents, copyrights, trademarks or other rights. In no event shall YES BANK & TERI BCSD or its content providers be liable for any damages whatsoever, whether direct, indirect, special, consequential and/or incidental, including without limitation, damages arising from loss of data or information, loss of profits, business interruption, or arising from the access and/or use or inability to access and/or use content and/or any service available in this report, even if YES BANK & TERI BCSD is advised of the possibility of such loss. YES BANK Ltd. Registered and Head Office 9th Floor, Nehru Centre, Dr. Annie Besant Road, Worli, Mumbai - 400 018 CONTACTS Tel Fax : +91 22 6669 9000 : +91 22 2497 4088 Northern Regional Office 48, Nyaya Marg, Chanakyapuri New Delhi – 110 021 TERI-Business Council for Sustainable Development (BCSD) The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) Core 6C, Darbari Seth Block, Habitat Place India Habitat Center, Lodhi Road New Delhi - 110 003 Tel Fax Email Website Tel : +91 11 6656 9000 Email : [email protected] Website : www.yesbank.in : : : : (+91 11) 2468 2100, 41504900 (+91 11) 2468 2144, 2468 2145 [email protected] www.teriin.org/bcsd MESSAGE It is heartening to see that YES BANK and TERI-BCSD have developed their second knowledge paper, this one focusing on Low Carbon Industrial Growth in India. This is a subject on which Indian business and industry will have to focus with greater attention and analytical rigor than has been the case in the past. In a world of globalised economic activity comparative advantage would lie in reducing resource use intensity, and if Indian industry is to benefit from reduced costs in the international market, it would have to optimize the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of output. While in some cases the immediate next quarter profit may not benefit from such an approach, the strategic advantages that Indian industry would establish by lowering its carbon intensity are apparent and becoming increasingly more important. To that extent this knowledge paper would provide a very useful roadmap for Indian industry in general. Even more important is the analysis of three industry groups which can contribute substantially to reduction in emissions, and these are iron and steel, electricity and power, and cement production. In the case of cement as well as iron and steel, efficiency improvements in the use of energy, for instance, have only added to the competitive edge of units located in India as compared to the situation a couple of decades ago. The paper clearly identifies several impediments and roadblocks which have come in the way of achieving the high levels of energy efficiency and, therefore, lower carbon emissions intensity. This would require attention not only by business and industry but by government as well as financial institutions. The role of the financial sector in promoting solutions in the right direction is paramount. Two other sectors which have also been mentioned in this paper are transport and buildings. Across the world there is substantial disparity between levels of energy efficiency and emissions intensity in these two sectors. In both these, government regulations, appropriate pricing policies and a set of incentives and disincentives are of critical importance. Overall, the major benefit of this paper would be in stimulating a debate on how Indian industry, with adequate appreciation by banks and financial institutions, can and should reduce carbon intensity of production and use. One major argument apart from competitive reasons lies in the fact that it is just a matter of time before the government in this country would have to lay down policies requiring reduction in carbon intensity. The early initiators and adopters of techniques by which such outcomes can be achieved would have a clear advantage, while those which react to government policy after the fact would have to pay a higher cost in due course and would be at a clear disadvantage with respect to their peers. Overall, a country like India with 1.2 billion people cannot pursue a pattern of industrialisation which replicates the experience of the developed world. We would have to anticipate scarcity and global realities and adopt them early for our own strategic benefits and economic gain. Dr R K Pachauri Director-General, TERI FOREWORD I am pleased to share with you YES BANK's Knowledge Report titled “Low Carbon Industrial Growth in India”. Natural resources depletion has put pressure on Countries and Industries to transform the way business conducts itself. Industrial revolution, population growth, heightened use of fossil fuels like petrol, coal, natural gas, and deforestation have resulted in high green house gas emissions, thus leading to a global warming situation. Multiple international organizations and Governments are working towards various frameworks on climate change, policies to reduce green house gas emission and mitigation programs that would contain the climate change situation. In India too, there is a growing focus on energy and resource efficiency across all major industries. The Government of India has taken significant steps towards promoting green economic growth. Mechanisms such as National Action Plan for Climate Change, Government sponsored regulatory control, standards and quasi-fiscal measures indirectly encouraging clean technology uptake to the National Clean Energy Fund, facilitating clean energy and technology are steps in this direction. Bureau of Energy Efficiency, (BEE) energy emissions cap and trade market mechanism - “Perform, Achieve & Trade” (PAT) applicable to nine most energy intensive sectors to trade energy saving certificates (ECerts), is targeted towards enhancing cost effectiveness and energy efficiency improvement in energy intensive large industries and facilities. Further, in order to encourage the financial sector to finance energy services companies (ESCOs) led energy efficiency projects, the BEE has also instituted partial risk guarantees, subsidized loans and a private equity fund. However, there is a need for a comprehensive policy roadmap towards technology adoption and indigenization wherein the financial sector and the Government of India can play interdependent roles to develop critical and enabling policy environment, and facilitate organizations towards Low Carbon technologies. The financial sector fuels the economy through capital infusion and has a responsible role. We have always believed that it can potentially play a significant role through innovative financing and collaborate with government agencies, civil society organizations and multi lateral funding agencies to co-develop and implement low carbon financing products and trigger a process of clean technology integration within the country. This Knowledge Report focuses on the industry-wide changes expected in the developing world and transformations that are essential from a carbon saving point of view, sustainability of businesses and the role of the financial sector in facilitating organizations to adapt low carbon technologies into their strategy. While there remain some on-the-ground implementation challenges for the widespread uptake of the new Low Carbon technologies, YES BANK and TERI, our knowledge partner for this report are of the view that this low carbon revolution in Indian industrial sectors like Power, Steel & Cement would open up significant business avenues, and corresponding financing opportunities. At the same time, it will also address the critical issues of India's long term energy security, and the reduction of environmental impact ascertained to burning fossil fuels. This Report brings out insights on technologies that can create tremendous reduction in the overall carbon output of Indian industry thus taking India to the forefront of green manufacturing. While currently the penetration of such technologies is limited to a small percentage of new plants, technology improvements in energy efficient technologies, heat & raw material recovery, and renewable energy usage are evolving techniques in the business landscape. Large manufacturing units are already investing in adoption of such technologies, and are scaling manufacturing capacities. The Indian cement industry for example has already taken a lead, and is amongst one of the most carbon efficient cement industries in the world. Environmental concerns and rising price of fossil fuels in the international market have precipitated into an energy security challenge for India. Low carbon technologies provide the best step forward for Indian industry. I firmly believe that the contents of this Knowledge Report, “Low Carbon Industrial Growth in India” will provide important insights to policy makers and Indian Industry in achieving a smooth transition to Low Carbon technologies, thus ensuring India's long term environment sustainability. Thank You. Sincerely, Rana Kapoor Managing Director and CEO Executive Summary The contemporary industrial growth model equates high fossil fuel consumption with high growth; with carbon emissions as a byproduct. However, these emissions now threaten our fragile ecosystem and raise a question over this model. Thankfully, there are technologies that can break this linkage and realize high growth without high fossil fuel usage and high carbon emissions. This study illustrates some of these technologies, the hurdles they face in adoption and the potential way forward to develop a Low Carbon based growth model for India. The paper investigates low carbon technology based development models across three major carbon emitting industries: Steel, Power and Cement. A concerted effort to reduce carbon intensity across these sectors will deliver maximum reduction in carbon emissions. There are industrial units that are adopting these technologies and delivering substantial reductions in emissions. A striking example is the Indian cement industry that is among one of the most carbon efficient cement industries in the world due to adoption of Low Carbon technologies. However, the path to low carbon economy in India has its own set of challenges. The paper presents these issues and the steps that policy makers, financial institutions and industry can adopt to help overcome these challenges. Technologies that can create significant carbon and resource reduction are often not well known. This paper tries to address this gap by identifying the best available low carbon technologies. Most of these technologies require institutional and financial support for mainstreaming. The paper highlights key central and state policies that can provide the needed institutional and financial support, and also critically analyzes the short comings of these schemes. It also identifies prominent financing options that can be explored to channel resources to low carbon technologies: Government sponsored funds, low interest lending, partial project risk guarantees and co-equity investments being some prominent examples. Perhaps the biggest change needed for the transformation is a new industry mindset. The industry needs to focus on the long term results provided by Low Carbon technologies. These technologies not only create an efficient and low cost manufacturing platform for the company, but also allow the company to differentiate its green products in the already crowded market space. The paper presents some of such success stories that we hope will help convince the industry to embrace the transition. Contents MESSAGE FOREWORD Executive Summary 1 Low carbon Growth- Demystified 1 Business as Usual (BAU) and Low Carbon (LC) ................................................2 The Global Development...................................................................................3 The India Relation..............................................................................................4 Climate Change............................................................................................6 International and National Regulatory Pressures .........................................7 Challenges vs. Opportunities for the Industry...................................................7 2 The Focal Industries ...............................................................................................9 Iron & Steel......................................................................................................11 Electricity and Power.......................................................................................12 Cement............................................................................................................12 3 The Pivotal Technologies .....................................................................................15 Energy Efficiency as low carbon initiative........................................................17 Iron & steel......................................................................................................18 Energy Efficiency Improvement Options for Indian Iron ............................18 and Steel Industry Future Technological Options......................................................................19 Electricity & Power..........................................................................................20 Improvement in thermal power plants .......................................................21 Alternative sources of power .....................................................................22 Smart Grids for effective distribution .........................................................24 Cement ...........................................................................................................25 Improvement in current systems ...............................................................26 Alternatives to the current cement ............................................................27 Future technologies....................................................................................27 Energy Conservation options identified during energy audits....................28 Contents 4 Major Road Blocks ...............................................................................................31 Understanding of the severity of the climate change crisis ............................32 Understanding and slow adoption of new technologies .................................32 Cost advantage of old technologies ...........................................................32 Slow adoption of new technologies ...........................................................32 Cost of technology .....................................................................................33 Lack of financing options.................................................................................33 Quantification of Efficiency ........................................................................34 Credibility and ability of the entrepreneur .......................................................34 Effectiveness of government schemes...........................................................34 Lacking focus on energy efficiency .................................................................34 5 The Government Support ...................................................................................37 National Action Plan for Climate Change (NAPCC)..........................................38 State Initiatives................................................................................................39 Renewable Purchase Obligation and Renewable Energy Certificates.............41 Perform Achieve and Trade (PAT) .....................................................................41 Energy Conservation Building Code (ECBC) ...................................................42 Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM)......................43 Standards and labeling scheme ......................................................................43 The Clean Energy Cess and National Clean Energy Fund ...............................43 A Brief Analysis on the Initiatives....................................................................43 6 Role of the Financial Sector ................................................................................47 Natural Capital as a tool...................................................................................48 Developing a market for environment securities.............................................49 Use of innovative financing schemes..............................................................49 Project finance through bonds ...................................................................49 An Environment Bond ................................................................................50 Financial solutions on government initiatives.............................................51 Line of credit from international funding agencies..........................................51 Customer education and financial skill development ......................................51 Contents 7 The Policy Bottlenecks and expectations from the government .....................53 Including New Technology as priority sector ...................................................54 Promoting financial markets for environment securities .................................54 Use of National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF) ....................................................55 Reducing subsidy to fossil fuels......................................................................55 Including banks in policy discussions and making them accountable.............56 8 Looking beyond designated consumers ............................................................57 Transport .........................................................................................................58 The Pivotal Technologies ............................................................................59 Residential & Commercial Building .................................................................60 The pivotal technologies.............................................................................61 Resource optimisation in residential and commercial buildings.................63 9 Conclusion ............................................................................................................65 10 Annexure I: List of Abbreviations .......................................................................69 11 Bibliography .........................................................................................................73 1 Low carbon GrowthDemystified Low carbon Growth - Demystified T A Low-Carbon Economy (LCE) is an economy that adopts the Low Carbon Growth path and minimizes the release of greenhouse gases (GHG) without compromising on the development objectives of the country he growth of economies today, generally, pertains to high industrial growth and modern luxuries dependent on high usage of coal and other fossil fuels, inadvertently leading to high carbon emissions. The Low Carbon growth is a novel concept that challenges this linkage, and promotes economic development based on industrial energy efficiency and low carbon technologies, thus aiming to reduce the carbon-footprint and sustain economic growth in an ecologically sustainable model. A Low-Carbon Economy (LCE) is an economy that adopts the Low Carbon Growth path and minimizes the release of greenhouse gases (GHG) without compromising on the development. Governments and businesses have been making significant strides to research and develop a carbon positive way forward driven by long term resource saving and immediate cost reduction. Some typical examples include: ü The reduction of emissions by increasing efficiencies in current processes ü The absorption of carbon using artificial techniques to reduce the carbon level ü Carbon/Energy Efficiency trading through various global and local trading schemes ü Cutting edge Clean and disruptive technology financing at R&D and implementation levels Business as Usual (BAU) is continuing with current business practices and targeting resource reduction as part of operational improvements, and not as part of environmental requirements 2 Business as Usual (BAU) and Low Carbon (LC) Business as Usual (BAU) refers to the existing scenario of business functions; it assumes that the industry is making, or will make, efforts on its own to reduce energy and resource consumption in its operations. The driver for these changes is the increasing cost of energy and industry peers adopting better technology to reduce their costs and stay competitive. On the other hand, Low Carbon (LC) model supports the next stage of technology innovations which may not make immediate economic sense but are essential from the climate change perspective. Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India LC technology could eventually evolve to mainstream technology in BAU scenario, but the time period required could be much longer since economic growth is the key considerations for BAU. For example, use of renewable energy sources like wind, solar are LC technologies as the carbon emissions per unit of electricity produced is much lower than coal fired thermal power plants. BAU scenario assumes that the coal reserves of the world would eventually deplete, thus increasing the cost of mining and pushing the industry to switch to renewable energy. However, the coal reserves could last 100 years thus impacting the transition and negatively impact potential carbon emissions. (BP) The following exhibit explains the possible carbon emissions in different models for power sector in India Exhibit 1: Emission Trajectory of Power Sector in India in different Economic Scenarios No 2362 Change 1935 2000 BAU 1500 1533 LC 1000 570 2030-31 2028-29 2026-27 2024-25 2022-23 2020-21 2018-19 2016-17 2014-15 2008-09 0 2012-13 500 2010-11 Total Emission (mMt/annum) 2500 Source: (Bhushan, 2010) The Global Development Changing climate patterns have restricted the number of technical options that can help achieve high growth rates 3 The carbon emission projections above illustrate that neither “No change” nor “Business as Usual” is possibly the best of solutions in light of the impending climate change induced disasters like temperature changes of environment and oceans, errant monsoons etc. This demonstrates a possible business case for “Low Carbon” solution. Although the cost of low carbon technology adoption is higher, the possible benefits outweigh the cost when viewed from a triple bottom-line perspective i.e. overall economic, environmental and social impact. (Levy, 2010 June) Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India The Copenhagen climate talks in 2009 were an important landmark in this regards with various countries, including the developing and the least developed countries, promising voluntary reduction targets in their energy intensity. Although the targets were not binding on the member nations; they created a benchmark for countries to innovate and achieve emission reductions. Copenhagen talks led to many countries adopting strategies and defining roadmap for potential low carbon growth model with Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, and South Africa being few notable models. The India Relation The Indian story offers an intriguing case study for Low Carbon based growth models. The Indian economy currently has a comparatively low per capita carbon footprint. Although India is ranked among the top 5 emitters (The Guardian, 2010) due to the size of its economy and population, the per capita CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, at 1.7 tonnes in 2007, was a fraction of the global average of 4.4 tonnes. In the same year, India's CO2 emission intensity per unit of gross domestic product (GDP), valued at purchasing power parity (PPP), was at the world average (exhibit 2). India's per capita emissions are lowest in the world, but this is usually attributed to inadequate infrastructure Exhibit 2 : Tonnes of Carbon -dioxide per 1000 dollars of GDP Tonnes of CO2 per $1,000 of GDP 2.000 1.800 China 1.600 1.400 Russian Federation 1.200 1.000 South Africa 0.800 India 0.600 0.400 0.200 World Italy Brazil 0.000 0 2 1 93 994 995 996 997 1998 999 000 2001 002 003 004 005 006 2007 2 2 2 1 1 199 199 199 19 2 1 1 1 2 2 Sources: IEA 2009a, World Bank 2009, and authors' calculations. Note: GDP is valued at purchasing power parity in 2005 U.S. dollars. 4 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India India's relatively low carbon footprint on per capita (Exhibit 2) basis can be attributed to several factors. Large numbers of people still lack access to electricity and modern commercial fuels, and a large section of the population lives below the poverty line with very low energy consumption. There are roughly 80 million households which still lack access to electricity (GoI, 2011). Another underlying factor behind the composition is the change in the contribution of different sectors to the GDP. Both the industry and service sectors have increased their share of GDP at the expense of agriculture, and service more so than industry. Because the service sector has lower energy intensity than industry, although higher than that of agriculture, there is a small overall reduction in total use of energy for a given amount of GDP (CSO, 2012). On the other hand, India is in an important juncture in its growth trajectory. While the immediate GDP growth rates have faltered to around 6% in the wake of the global economic crisis and the Indian political scenario, the long term prospect of the Indian economy are still very impressive (WorldBank, 2013). Backed by an ever increasing middle class and the relatively young population, the consumption and production both have a steep growth path in the Indian economy. As India follows a steep growth path; the challenges, especially in the energy sector, are going to be plenty. With an increasing middle class, the demand for domestic electricity is bound to grow. The per capita electric consumption will increase with the aspiration need increase with the growing per capita income. As already established, the power generation in India is much below requirements. The overall electrical energy deficit was about 10%, and peak shortages exceeded 17%. More than two thirds of all Indian households relied on traditional use of biomass as the main source of cooking fuel and one third of households on kerosene for lighting in 2009-10 (NSSO, 2012) The energy sector is up for a multiple fold requirement increase pertaining to rising standards of living and increased access through better connectivity. The growing Indian middle class is bound to add pressure on the existing infrastructure requirements 5 Meeting these prospective energy and power requirement could be an uphill task for India. Currently 80% of the power produced is from the Thermal Power plants (CEA, 2013) This could be detrimental to the energy security of the country and the overall carbon emission from energy resources. It also creates an impediment to India's voluntary commitment at Copenhagen of 25% reduction in its total carbon emission footprint, considering 2005 as the base year (IISD) It also Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India presents a strong case for policy makers and industry to look at the low carbon industrial growth model more seriously. In the following section, we shall review on some potential impacts of current industrial model in Indian scenario. Climate Change Climate change could push development towards resource efficient but costly technologies and thus could be a game changer for developing countries Experts usually acknowledge that the carbon emitted by the industries is one of the major reasons behind changing weather patterns (Walker, et al., 2012). Climate change becomes more important for developing countries as these countries possibly stand to lose from changing patterns as the climate change could push development towards much costlier resource efficient technologies. India, in particular with its rich natural resources can be one of the largest victims of climate change. Some of the reasons have been highlighted below: 1. Availability of resources: The large and increasing population will require much more resources. While this can be an opportunity for the industry, the limited availability of resources can be the greatest challenge to the industry. Only the most innovative and efficient nations will survive the race (Rothschild, 2012) 2. Impact on Agriculture: The impact of climate change is evident on agriculture with the increasing irregularity of rainfall and changing patterns of monsoons (Singh, 2013) This impacts the production of the most important resource i.e. food, and the loss in production also reduces the income of the households dependent on agriculture. The loss of market impacts the secondary product manufacturers and the growth of the economy as a whole. 3. Impact on seas and associated communities: The large coastline of India helps in international trade and access to numerous sea resources. The coastal areas are impacted by rising of sea levels, change in frequency and intensity of storms, acidity and temperature changes which impact the millions of dependent livelihoods (USEPA). The rising sea levels also pose a danger of submerging land area. The rising sea levels also pose a danger of submerging land. 6 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India International and National Regulatory Pressures The climate change impacts have prompted both international and national authorities to develop a regulatory environment in this area. India has been an active member to represent the case of developing countries in these talks' at all international forums (The New York Times, 2012). India has volunteered a reduction of 20% to 25% in carbon intensity by 2020 from 2005 levels through policy interventions, including mandatory fuel efficiency standards for all vehicles. This reduction in emission intensity has displayed the seriousness with which the country looks at climate change. The government and various regulatory bodies have taken steps to regulate the Indian industry as a proactive approach to achieve the task. For example, Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) (SEBI, 2012) has mandated large companies to report on their resource consumption patterns under the NVG guidelines developed by IICA. The PAT scheme, by the ministry of Power, has mandated 478 companies to reduce their emissions or buy carbon certificates (MoP, 2012). The Indian government has also come up with National action plan for climate change (NAPCC) which has various supports and incentives provided for companies to adopt new technology and induce energy efficiency. At the same time, the Indian industry witnessing pressure from customers, regulators and traders world for green products. For example, Multinational companies are putting pressure on their suppliers from developing countries like India to improve their operations as part of their greening the supply (Kaerney, 2011), (WWI) chain initiatives. Even the export of goods and service could be subject to Carbon tax regulations in the importing nations. These moved could severely impact the competitiveness of Indian companies if they are not as carbon conscious as the other countries (Simon). Challenges vs. Opportunities for the Industry There has been a constant push from the customers towards green products 7 The low carbon and climate friendly growth poses some very challenging questions for the industry to ponder over. Low carbon technologies offer a lot of promise but are not easy to implement. Many of these technologies have been developed and are in production, but the industry is still skeptical to making large investments as the new technologies have not matured to achieve the scale and be available at a lower cost. Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India The changing business scenario has opened new opportunities for low carbon technologies but there are challenges that are still open While the new technologies face challenges mentioned above, it is also interesting to note that many large Indian companies are actually the lowest cost producers in the world. For e.g. Tata steel Jamshedpur plant has become one of the world's lowest cost producers of steel (Tata Steel), Ambuja Cements, Suli Solan, has total energy consumption comparable to the best in the world for PPC plants (BEE, 2012). The large promoters have realized the importance of these technologies and the cost advantage they bring in. The emerging challenges in the economy have opened a lot of opportunities for the Low Carbon technologies, but at the same time there are various challenge associated with these technologies, some of these issues are listed in Exhibit 3. Exhibit 3: Challenges and Opportunities in Low carbon economy Emerging Challenges Opportunities in Low carbon Challenges for Low carbon Climate Change Innovative Solutions Lack of Clear understanding of technology Regulatory Requirements Regulatory push and support Unclear understanding of financing institutions Market Requirements First mover Advantage Lack of interest in customers and investors High capital investments Huge cost savings Unavailability of skilled manpower Environmental risk to business Reduced fuel and energy costs Lack of repair and maintenance infrastructure Improved brand reputation No regulatory bindings Crowded Marketplace Access to new markets Reduced environmental risks Source: YES BANK Analysis 8 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 2 The Focal Industries The Focal Industries T Focus on high growth, high emission industries will allow them to maintain robust growth rates while adopting a low carbon path his paper focuses on the industries with high carbon footprint. Achieving big carbon reduction in these industries will provide the biggest savings in carbon output for the country as a whole as biggest impact can be achieved by targeting the largest carbon contributors. A focus on high growth high emission industries will allow the industry to maintain high growth rates while adopting a lower carbon path and thus achieve lower emissions in a future ready environment. The industries selected are: 1. Iron & Steel 2. Electricity and Power 3. Cement The list is concurrent with the global standards published by world resources institute with their findings in 2005 as shown in Exhibit 4. Source: World Resources Institute, 2005 10 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India The list also coincides with the PAT list (BEE, 2012) of designated consumers in carbon intensive sectors identified by BEE (See Exhibit 5); it is also in line with Greenhouse Gas Emission 2007 report by Indian Network for Climate Change Assessment with Ministry of Environment and Forests (INCCA, 2010) (Exhibit 6). We have deliberately excluded agriculture from the list since the overall contribution of agriculture to India’s carbon emissions has fallen from 27.6% to 17.6% in the last decade (exhibit 6) which is in line with Indian economy’s transition from an agriculture based economy to a mix of Industrial and services economy. It is also interesting to note that the carbon emissions of the selected sectors have shown an upward trend, thus validating our choice of the sectors (Exhibit 6). The forthcoming sections cover the details of these industries and their environmental impact. Exhibit 5: Sectors identified under PAT Scheme Sector Exhibit 6: Carbon emissions of various sectors in India (1994 – 2007) 1994 Mtoe 2007 CAGR (%) Power (Thermal) 104.1 Electricity 355.03 (28.4%) 719.30 (37.8%) 5.6 Integrated Steel 28.0 Transport 80.28 (6.4%) 142.04 (7.5%) 4.5 Cement 11.87 Residential 78.89 (6.3%) 137.84 (7.2%) 4.4 Fertilizer 7.86 Other Energy 78.89 (6.3%) 100.87 (5.3%) 1.9 Textile 1.62 Cement 60.87 (4.9%) 129.92 (6.8%) 6.0 Aluminium 7.73 Iron & Steel 90.53 (7.2%) 117.32 (6.2%) 2.0 Paper 2.09 Other Industry 125.41 (10.0%) 165.31 (8.7%) 2.2 Chlor-Alkali 1.06 Agriculture 344.48 (27.6%) 334.41 (17.6%) -0.2 Total 164.15 Waste 23.23 (1.9%) 57.73 (3.0%) (mtoe: million tonnes of oil equivalent) Total without LULUCF 1251.95 Source: Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE), 2012 LULUCF 14.29 -177.03 Total with LULUCF 1228.54 1727.71 1904.73 7.3 3.3 2.9 Source: Ministry of Environment and Forest report, (INCCA, 2010) The Working Group on Steel for the 12th Five Year Plan has projected that crude steel capacity in the country is likely to grow by 100% over the next 5 years 11 Iron & Steel Iron and steel industry in India is about 100 years old with first integrated steel plant by Tata steel & Co in 1907 (His12). Steel forms the backbone of traditional sectors such as infrastructure (construction & housing), ground transportation and major engineering industries such as power generation, petrochemicals, fertilisers, automotive, steel tubes and pipes, consumer durables and packaging). The steel industry is growing on account of the high growth rates in the Asian countries Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India mainly India and China. China was the world’s largest crude steel producer in 2011 (684 mt) followed by Japan (108 mt), the USA (86.4 mt) and India (72.2 mt). The Working Group on Steel for the 12th five year plan has projected that the crude steel capacity in the country is likely to be 140 mt by 2016-17. This entails doubling the capacity in 5-6 years timeframe (Ministry of Steel, 2012). Power sector is the largest contributor to the total GHG emissions with around 719 million ton of CO2 emitted per annum Iron & steel industry emits around 117 million ton of CO2 equivalent in 2007 which accounts for 28.4% of total industry emissions and 6.2% of the total emissions from all sectors in India. Although the industry has improved in terms of the total contribution from 7.2% in 1994 to 6.2% of total emission of India it remains one of the largest contributors of GHG emissions (INCCA, 2010) Electricity and Power Power is one of the most critical components of infrastructure affecting economic growth and wellbeing of nations (GoI, 2013).The power sector provides one of the most important inputs for the development of a country and availability of reliable and inexpensive power is critical for its sustainable economic development. Although the total installed capacity in India, 225 GW (CEA, 2013), is 5th largest in the world (The World Factbook, 2009), India lags far behind even in comparison to other developing countries. The per capita annual consumption of electricity in India is one of the lowest in the world at approximately 626(2010) kWh/yr as against the world average of 2977(2010) kWh/yr and middle income countries average of 1686(2010) kWh/yr (World Bank Data, 2012). Power sector is the largest contributor to the total GHG emissions at 719 million ton of CO2 equivalent on 2007 it contributes 37.8% of the total GHG emissions from India. The contribution of power sector has also increased from 28.4% in 1994 to 37.8% in 2007 of the total GHG emissions India. The major contribution comes from the coal fired thermal plant still contributing to 56.92% of the total power generated in India (INCCA, 2010). Cement The cement industry in India is second largest in the world after China with a total installed capacity of 307.6 MT (IBEF, 2012). China (with an 12 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India average annual growth of 11.4%) and India (with an average annual growth of 9.8%) have been the drivers of growth in global cement output. Most of the cement produced in India is consumed internally, and with an all-time high investment in infrastructure projects, imports are also rising steeply. And the industry will require another 150 MT by the end of 12th five year plan. Cement is a major GHG emitter with around 130 million ton of CO2 equivalent in 2007. It has also increased its contribution to India’s total GHG emissions from 4.9% in 1994 to 6.8% in 2007 of total GHG emissions. At current emission intensity, cement is bound to remain a major contributor to GHG emissions (INCCA, 2010). 13 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 3 The Pivotal Technologies The Pivotal Technologies T Indian industry has built plants that can compete with global efficiency standards, but such instances are an exception rather than the rule he Indian growth story supported by its increasing young population not only requires new jobs and increased economic activity but also requires higher standards of living with improved consumption patterns. The youth is not only getting paid more but also spending a larger amount with respect to the previous generation (Farrell, et al., 2007). Boosted by the domestic demand the industries are poised to go for multifold increase in their production capacities. The only saving grace is the dependence of Indian economy on the less carbon intensive service sector for its GDP growth. India is also an energy starved country which imports most of its oil & gas requirement. India has one of the largest deposits of coal in the world, but it’s not of high quality (Coking coal is just 11.5% of total reserves) (Ministry of Coal, 2012). This keeps the energy prices very high and forces the industries to become energy efficient. Technology comes to the rescue of the industry which has to produce at the lowest cost. The technologies not only reduce the resources required but also reduce the overall environmental impact of the product and hence the GHG emissions. In ideal scenario the industry should adopt these technologies as Indian industries have been pioneers in building the most efficient industries. But these instances are not very frequent. For e.g. the carbon intensity of the power sector in India is much higher than the US and Europe (CARMA ) (Exhibit 7). Exhibit 7: Carbon Intensity of Power Sector (kg CO2 / MWh Energy) 1000 800 2004 600 2009 400 200 0 India USA Asia Europe Source: World Bank 16 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Energy Efficiency as low carbon initiative There are a number of technologies can reduce carbon emissions drastically, but there are even larger number of technologies that can help with incremental improvements. These energy efficiency technologies are low cost – low impact technologies which do not require an overhaul in the systems. These technologies can be implemented on existing plants, are low cost and provide incremental savings. Although these technologies are best suited for the older plants and SMEs the major impediment in acceptance is information about these technologies in the industry and the financial sector. Also, lack of available collateral on the basis of technology prevents the financial sector involvement. Iron & Steel The Iron & Steel industry is one of the largest energy consuming sectors in the Indian manufacturing industry. Energy cost is about 3040% of the total manufacturing cost in the sector. Iron making through BF route accounts nearly 70% of the total energy consumed by the industry. The energy efficiency of steel making depends on various factors including production route, types of Iron-ore & coal used, product mix, material efficiency, technology used, plant capacity utilization and economic & political incentives. An analysis of the technology profile of Indian Iron & Steel industry in 2011-12 shows that 42.4% CS (crude steel) is produced through the BF (blast furnace) / BOF (basic oxygen furnace) route (including marginal quantity from THF), 25.1% through EAF (electric arc furnace) route and the balance 32.5% through the EIF (electric induction furnace) route (Ministry of Steel, 2013). Iron-ore is expected to remain the mainstay of crude steel production in India, while developed economies produce around half of their steel from recycled activities 17 The SEC (specific energy consumption) of the Indian Iron & Steel Sector (ISS) has improved dramatically from about 32 GJ/tcs in 2000-2001 to 27.3 GJ/tcs in 2008-09(LBNL 2009). However, the SEC values in Indian plants compare rather poorly against the SEC values in countries like Japan (23.3 GJ/tcs - 2004), US (20.1 GJ/tcs - 2001), EU (15 GJ/tcs 2002) & China (25.6 GJ/tcs - 2001) (CSE 2010). The emissions intensity of steel production in India was estimated at 2.21 MT CO2-eq/tcs in 2007 (Planning Commission, May 2011 ). Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Energy Efficiency Improvement Options for Indian Iron and Steel Industry Considering the non-availability of large volume of scrap for EAF/EIF route of steel making and natural gas for DRI making, Iron-ore will remain the mainstay of crude steel production in the country for the foreseeable future. The two prominent routes for steel making from iron ore are BF-BOF process and Coal-DRI/EAF-EIF. Major energy efficient and environment friendly options that could improve the profile of Indian Iron and Steel sector are presented in Exhibit 8 (Ministry of Steel, September 2011) Exhibit 8: Energy conservation options for Indian Iron and Steel Industry Process Energy Saving option Medium term (2015-2025) Sinter making Saving potential Remarks About 20-25% of the energy requirement in the sinter making process Working in Bhilai Steel Plant (BSP), RSP (Rourkela Steel Plant) and DSP (Durgapur Steel Plant). This option is applicable only with blast furnace technology. Long term (2020-2030) Sinter Cooler Waste Heat Recovery • 0.4-0.55 GJ/tcs (steam generation at 120 kg steam /t of sinter at 9 bar and 273°C) Total heat input for ignition will reduce by about 30% as compared to conventional burner Multi-slit burners in ignition furnace Working in BSP, RSP and BSL. Reduction of moisture content from 7- 8 % to 46% can result in savings of about 1GJ/tcs Coke making Coal moisture control process (CMCP) Coke dry quenching 0.8-1.2 GJ/t of coke (steam generation at 480 °C and 60 bar, at initial stage 0.4 GJ/t of coke or 0.2GJ/tcs) - Applicable only with blast furnace route of steel making;- Tata Steel has already installed CDQ with the help of NEDO to improve COBs; - BSP, RSP & ISP is also in process of installing CDQ; - About 90 to 95% of Indian plants yet to adopt this technology. 18 Automatic combustion control and monitoring system 0.17GJ/t of coke Additional use of coke-oven gas as supplementary fuel in blast furnace Coke oven gas with a heating capacity of 6-8 GJ can be recovered for every ton of coke produced Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Process Energy Saving option Medium term (2015-2025) Remarks • About 18% fuel savings and 13% O2 consumption reduction • Applicable only for green-field projects • • Saving of 4 GJ/tcs (due to use of non-coking coal without pretreatment) and off gas credit of 8-12 MJ/ton of hot metal (tHM) Corex technology (C2000 Module, 1.6 mtpa) is working at JSW, Bellary. Essar Steel is also putting up 2 units of the same module at Hazira. Long term (2020-2030) Iron Smelting – Corex Iron making Saving potential Iron Smelting – Finex Steel making Casting Rolling and Finishing SAIL has signed an agreement with POSCO to incorporate the technology under JV for creating a 2.5-3.0 mtpa additional capacity at BSL. Adoption of top pressure recovery turbine (TRT) 0.4-0.6 GJ/tcs (for 15 MW turbine to generate 40-60 kWh/tHM) Working in BSP, RSP, BSL and ISP Use of Hot Stove Waste Heat Recovery in existing/ new BF 0.3 GJ/t pig iron Working in BSP, RSP, BSL and ISP Pulverized Coal Injection (PCI) in existing/ new BF 0.7-0.77 GJ/tHM Working in BSP, DSP and RSP Bled basic oxygen furnace (BOF) gas and Waste Heat Recovery 1 GJ/tcs Working in BSP, DSP, RSP and BSL Oxy-fuel burners in electric arc furnace (EAF) 0.5 GJ/tcs Applicable to both old and new EAF based steel melting operations Scrap pre-heating with EAF 0.6 GJ/tcs Ultra high power (UHP) transformers with EAF 0.2 GJ/tcs Continuous Casting (CC) replacing Ingot Casting 0.02 GJ/t product Near-Net Shape-Strip Casting (30-60 mm thickness rather than typical 120-300 mm) It integrates the casting hot rolling in one step. Energy savings 2-3 GJ/ton. Walking Beam Furnace 0.59 GJ/t throughput (reduction in electricity consumption by 25% per ton) BSP and BSL are in process of installing this technology (2012-13). Future Technological Options Some of the technological options that could make the Indian Iron and steel sector more competitive are highlighted in Exhibit 9 (Ministry of Steel, September 2011) 19 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 9: Future technological options for Iron and Steel sector Process Technology Remarks Coke making • Installing Stamp Charging & PBCC (partial briquetting of coal charge), • Tata Steel Limited and SAIL has installed stamp charging &PBCC. • Tall COB (coke –oven batteries) • SAIL, RINL and Neelachal Ispat have installed 7 m tall COBs, Bhushan Steel is in the process of setting up a 7.60 m tall COB, the tallest in the country (2012-13). SCOPE21 (Super coke oven for productivity and environment enhancement towards 21st century) Developed by Nippon Steel, Japan and offers more flexibility in terms of coal resource quality and provide reductions in energy & emissions intensity of the coke making process. DAPS (Dry cleaned and agglomerated pre-compaction system) The DAPS is a new coal pretreatment process for coke making to enhance coke strength and suppress dust level to improve the environment friendliness of coke making by drying coal, separating fine coal from lump coal and forming the fine coal into agglomerate. HISMELT process The salient feature of the process is moderate to high degree (70% & above) of post combustion. The technology is still at demonstration stage. FASTMET/FASTMELT Process This process envisages reduction of ore-coal composite pellets in Rotary Hearth Furnace (RHF). The process was successfully demonstrated by MIDREX Corporation, USA jointly with Kobe Steel Ltd. (KSL), Japan and subsequently, a demonstration plant was set up at KSL's Kakogawa Works. This process may be attractive for small to medium iron producing units. Iron making ITmk3 Process Developed by KSL, Japan, the process uses a rotary hearth furnace (RHF) to turn green dry pellets made from low grade iron ore fines and pulverised coal into solid iron nuggets of superior quality (97% Fe) DRI, suitable for use in EAF, BOF and foundry applications. SAIL has entered into an agreement with KSL under JV to set up a 0.5mtpa facility in Alloy Steel Plant, Durgapur. Energy savings 30% over integrated steel making and 10% savings over EAF. It reduce emissions by >40%; (less NOx, SOx& particulate matter emitted). Casting Thin Slab/ Near Net Shape Casting Electricity & Power India is a power starved country with per capita power consumption is among the lowest in the world at 626(2010) kWh/ yr (Ele12). The major sources of power in India include thermal, nuclear, hydel and other renewable including wind, solar. But the distribution is highly skewed towards the thermal which is again skewed towards the high carbon intensive coal based thermal power plants (CEA, 2013) (Exhibit 10). 20 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 10: All India region-wise Installed capacity (MW) as on July 2013 S Region No THERMAL Nuclear HYDRO R.E.S (Renewable) (MNRE) Total Coal Gas Diesel Total 1 Northern 33173.5 (54%) 5031.26 (8%) 12.99 (0%) 38217.75 (63%) 1620.0 (3%) 15467.75 (25%) 5589.25 (9%) 60894.75 2 Western 50144.51 (65%) 8988.31 (12%) 17.48 (0%) 59150.30 (76%) 1840.0 (2%) 7447.50 (10%) 8986.93 (12%) 77424.73 3 Southern 25182.50 (45%) 4692.78 (8%) 939.32 (2%) 31084.60 (55%) 1320.0 (2%) 11353.03 (20%) 12251.85 (22%) 56009.48 4 Eastern 23727.88 (83%) 190.00 (1%) 17.20 (0%) 23935.08 (84%) 0.0 (0%) 4113.12 (14%) 454.91 (2%) 28503.11 5 North Eastern 60.00 (2%) 1187.50 (41%) 142.74 (5%) 1390.24 (48%) 0.0 (0%) 1242.00 (43%) 252.68 (9%) 2884.92 6 Islands 0.00 (0%) 0.00 (0%) 70.02 (92%) 70.02 (92%) 0.0 (0%) 0.0 (0%) 6.10 (8%) 76.12 7 All India 132288.39 20359.85 1199.75 (59%) (9%) (1%) 153847.99 (68%) 4780.0 (2%) 39623.40 (18%) 27541.71 (12%) 225793.10 Source: Central Electricity Authority, 2013 Mitigation and control of GHG emissions from the power sector requires a three pronged approach on the technology front: (1) Improvement in thermal power plants: Shifting to new and efficient technologies (2) Alternative sources of power: Shifting the dependence on carbon intensive thermal to low carbon nuclear and other renewable energy sources (3) Smart grids for effective distribution: reducing transmission losses. The subsequent sections cover these strategies in further details Improvement in thermal power plants The distribution of various sources of power is highly skewed towards Coal based Power plants. Removing the bias would require major policy changes 21 Thermal power plants are the backbone of the Indian power sector contributing more than 66% of the total power generated in India of which 57% is contributed only by coal fired power plants. India enjoys one of the largest coal reserves of the world making it the cheapest source of power in the long run at current technologies. Super Critical & Ultra – Super Critical Power plants The new technology of super heating water generates higher efficiencies up to 42% in net higher heating value (HHV) (Bhushan, 2010). The technology incentives are clear from government of India Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India getting private sectors investments in mega power plants and ultramega power plants. Efficiency increasing technologies New technologies like pressurized fluidized bed combustion and integrated gasification combined cycles increase the efficiency of coal plant drastically. The efficiencies can be improved up to 45% as compared to the current world average of 35%. Use of Natural Gas Natural gas, standalone or in combined cycle power plants, is a lower carbon replacement of coal where the establishment & technology costs are not as high as compared to other renewable power, but the carbon impact is reduced by around 30-40% with respect to coal. But natural gas cannot be the best alternative for India given the limited supply available to India. Carbon capture and Storage (CCS) CCS technologies (ABELLERA, et al., 2011) are not one of the most cost efficient technologies in reducing emissions from the power sector. Still, CCS technologies can be incorporated in both coal and gas fired power plants. It increases the cost of power marginally and provides an effective alternative to costlier solar and off shore wind. Alternative sources of power The government of India is providing the right pressures, incentives and steps to reduce the dependence of India’s power on thermal power. A clear guideline to procure nuclear fuel, increased incentives for renewable power and focus on clearances for hydropower will go a long way in providing energy security to India and at very low environmental impact. Nuclear Power Nuclear power may not be the most carbon efficient, but it gives an excellent middle ground where it reduces up to 80% of emission and is only twice in efficient as a solar PV and produces power at a much lower cost (DoAE, 2011), (2012). Nuclear power contributes only around 2.5% 22 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India of total India’s generation capacity in 2012 as against 12.3 % of the world’s electricity production in 2011. As of August 2012, 30 countries worldwide are operating 435 nuclear reactors for electricity generation and 66 new nuclear plants are under construction in 14 countries (Nuclear Energy Institute); although the potential risks associated with the possible leakages of radioactive material remain a concern with some stakeholders. For E.g. Radioactive leakages due to tsunami at the Fukushima Nuclear Plant, Japan is an actual threat to livelihoods and biodiversity in and around nuclear plants. Renewable Energy Renewables are a potential way forward for India. The Hydel and Wind power have ramped up drastically in India, but the real potential lies in Solar and biomass (MNRE, 2012). The daily average solar energy incident over India varies from 4 to 7 kWh/m2 with about 1500–2000 sunshine hours per year (depending upon location), which is far more than current total energy consumption making solar energy as one of the best potential sources of energy to be harnessed. Exhibit 11 displays the potential and installed capacity of various renewable energy sources in India. Exhibit 11: Potential and installed capacity of Renewable Energy in India Potential and Installed capacity (Mar 2012) of Renewable power in India (in MW) 120000 100000 100000 80000 60000 49130 40000 20000 0 16078 18000 15380 3050 Wind Bio Mass Potential 3252 Small Hydro 445 Solar Installed Source: MNRE Website The major hindrance in the adoption of solar PV and Solar water heating technologies is the huge initial cost of establishment and faith in the technology; though the solar economy is on the move and many entrepreneurs are taking advantage of the subsidies provided by 23 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India national solar mission by government of India to put up both on grid and off grid establishments. India plans to add 20,000 MW by 2022 of solar power under the JNNSM (MNRE, 2010). Other technologies and sources of Energy Along with solar power Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) has identified are (MNRE): • Hydrogen Energy: Hydrogen is an explosive source of energy and low in carbon than other fossil fuels but still availability and production of hydrogen is the major problem. • Chemical Sources of Energy (Fuel Cells): Fuel cells are efficient technology for the combustion of hydrogen and lower hydrocarbons, the carbon emission reduces due to increased efficiency. But the cost, size and availability of hydrogen are the major hindrances. • Alternative Fuels for Transportation: Alternative fuels like biodiesel and ethanol actually fit in the mold of tiding over the energy deficiency but may not be exactly low carbon to the current fossil fuels. • Geo Thermal Energy: Geothermal is an excellent energy source which is abundant and renewable. It is an upcoming technology and expected to grow at a much faster rate. • Tidal Energy: Wind energy is already being harnessed from offshore locations. Tidal energy is a manifestation of wind available to countries with a long coastline. Smart Grids for effective distribution In India transmission and distribution losses in electricity are among the highest in the world as shown in the below figure. It averages around 24% as against the world average of 8-9% (The World Bank). Exhibit 12 displays the consistently high T & D losses of electricity in India. 24 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 12: Transmission & Distribution losses in India, 2009 Transmission & Distribution Losses of grid electricity India 30 25 20 15 10 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 T&D Losses (in % of total output) Source: World Bank Smart grids provide the solution since a smart grid applies sensing, measurement and control devices to capture information from power generation, transmission & distribution and consumption components of the grid. A smart grid switches demand with high load, peak & off peak hours and matches the demand based on supply. It can also integrate different sources of the power grid, renewable, battery etc. and manage their output based on their requirement. Smart grids can help cut down transmission and distribution losses making more power available to consumers and reducing the per capita carbon emissions. Cement The smart grid implementation can have an immediate impact on transmission and distribution losses and, increase power availability to the user 25 Cement production is done in a 4 step process which includes crushing, blending, clinkerization and finally grinding and mixing. Forming clinker involves maximum usage of energy. The Indian cement industry today is by and large comparable to the best in the world in respect of quality standards, fuel & power consumption, environmental norms for new cement plants, use of the latest technology and capacity. Presently, about 97% of the total capacity in the industry is based on modern and environment-friendly dry process technology, and about 50% of the capacity has been built in the last ten years. The industry’s weighted average energy consumption is estimated to be about 725 kcal/kg clinker thermal energy and 80 kWh/t cement electrical energy. The best thermal and electrical energy consumption presently achieved by the Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Coal is one of the major ingredients for cement manufacturing both as a fuel and as an ingredient Indian cement industry are about 667 kcal/kg clinker and 67 kWh/t cement which are comparable to the best reported figures of 660 kcal/kg clinker and 65 kWh/t cement in a developed country like Japan. It is expected that the industry’s average thermal energy consumption by the end of the Twelfth Five –year plan (2012 – 2017) will be about 710 kCal/kg clinker and the average electrical energy consumption will come down to 78 kWh/tonne cement Coal is one of the major ingredients of cement and acts as both a fuel and an ingredient in production. Also limestone a key ingredient in the cement manufacturing process produces a lot of carbon in the ensuing calcinations process. The technologies are available to improve the current system or using a new method to produce cement. Improvement in current systems Thermal and electric efficiency Using latest technologies (IEA, 2009) in newer plants not only improves efficiencies but also reduces carbon impact of the current process. Savings on a per unit basis range from 0.2-3.5 GJ/tonne clinker with thermal efficiency and to around 40 kWh/t cement from electrical efficiency. Use of Alternative fuels and raw materials 0 0 Due to high temperature (800 C to 1600-1700 C) and wide spectrum of residence time up to 3 minutes and the biggest advantage of complete absorption of ash in the complex cement compounds, cement kilns are best suited to use a different kind of waste, which would otherwise be burnt in incinerators, land-filled or improperly destroyed, as AFR. However, the use of alternate fuel is nearly zero (on average 0.6% of thermal energy across the country) as compared to the global average of about 4%. In some countries, the average use is as high as 30%. Typical wastes that can be used as AFR include industrial wastes, sorted municipal solid waste, discarded tyre and tyre chips, expired consumer goods, waste oil and solvents, effluent treatment sludge, biomass etc. Clinker substitution Carbon intensive clinker, an intermediate in cement manufacture, can be substituted with other low carbon materials with cement properties. The best substitutes include Ground blast furnace slag, Fly ash, Natural 26 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India pozzolanas(e.g., volcanic ash), rice husk ash, silica fume, Artificial pozzolanas(e.g., calcined clay), Limestone. The global average clinker ratio was 78%, equivalent to more than 500 million tonnes of clinkersubstituting materials used for 2,400 million tonnes of cement produced. The current clinker to cement ratio in India is about 0.74 compared to a global average of 0.80. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) Capturing CO2 before it is released into the atmosphere and storing it securely, so it is not released in the future. A reduction efficiency of 80% would lead to an overall CO2 emission reduction of maximum 2035 Mt per year. Waste Heat Recovery (WHR) The installed capacity of WHR system in India is about 110 MW against the estimated potential of close to 550 MW. Approximately, 15 kWh/t to 20 kWh/t of clinker or 12% to 15% of the power consumption of cement plant can be generated by using currently available WHR technologies, without significant change in kiln operation. The potential exists in almost all cement plants having kiln capacity 3000 tonnes per day and more. Alternatives to the current cement Low carbon cement alternatives like Novacem, Calera, Calix’s and Geopolymer have a great potential to decrease the overall carbon footprint of Cement industry. Future technologies Several technological options that could improve the profile of Indian cement industry are at various stages of development. Some of them are described briefly in this section. Use of mineralizer to improve burnability of the raw mix Addition of mineralisers to raw material entering the kiln can reduce the clinkerisation temperature by about 500C without compromising the clinker quality. The selection and use of mineralisers is dependent upon factors such as compatibility with raw materials, desired reaction effects, economic viability etc. 27 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Fluidised bed advanced cement kiln system This system is widely used in some other countries although its suitability at scale is yet to be proven. Granulation control is the most important component in this system. Algal growth promotion and use of biofuels Algae can be used directly as fuel or can be converted into biofuel to provide energy for cement production. Geopolymer cement Alkali activated alumina-silicate cements are known as geo-polymeric cements because of similarity of their structure with the structure of silicate and alumina-silicate minerals. Geo-polymeric cements are ecofriendly binders and are produced from non-limestone bearing raw materials and wastes such as fly ash and slag. Geo-polymeric cements include alkali activated slag cement, alkali activated metakolinitic cement and alkali activated fly ash cement. Use of nanotechnology in cement production Nano cement contains nano-sized particles of cement evenly distributed among larger particles of mineral admixtures. Fine distribution of nano particles ensures that even a lower content of cement is able to provide desired bonding of aggregates and admixture particles, generating the required strength and performance in the final concrete. Energy Conservation options identified during energy audits During the past few years, TERI has carried out energy audits of few large cement plants in the country and had identified potential energy saving areas respective to each plant. Major energy saving options recommended by TERI through energy audits for two such Indian cement plants that were engaged in production of OPC, PPC and export of cement are presented in this section. Both the plants have captive power plants and were using coal as the main fuel input. The average specific energy consumption for one plant was about 850 kCal/kg, and for another it was about 892 kCal/kg. 28 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 13: Energy conservation options identified by TERI S. No 29 Major energy saving option Estimate investment (in INR lakhs) Energy Saving 1 Replacement of kiln inlet pneumatic seal with graphite seal 2 Installing variable speed drive for boiler feed water pumps 3 Installation of Roto scale for coal firing 50.0 2 k Cal/kg-clinker 4 Operation of cooling tower fans at lower speed 20.0 about 5 lakh kWh per annum 5 Feeding of pre ground material (100% VRM) product to cement mill 27.0 3 kWh/tonne 6 Installation of screw compressors instead of reciprocating compressors 90.0 about 12 lakh kWh per annum 7 Replacement of HT motor of flash dryer by LT motor with VVVFD 25.0 about 4.5 lakh kWh per annum 25.0 60 2 k Cal/kg-clinker about 13 lakh kWh per annum Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 4 Major Road Blocks Major Road Blocks T he low carbon growth is the potential best solution available for the long term sustainability of the country’s economy, but it is also the most unaffordable one. The major roadblocks are: Understanding of the severity of the climate change crisis Climate change is still not a business consideration for most companies The businesses now focus mostly on quarter to quarter basis and are reluctant to look at a larger time horizon. This view has not only impacted businesses to assess risks in a long term basis but also averted any expenses that may not have any direct impact on the bottom line. The exact correlation of current climatic tragedies like hurricanes could not be established as being caused by climate change or temperature rise. The consumers are slowly waking up to the nature conservation cause, and green products are getting preference. But the rate is really slow as the cost differentials are high and awareness about the climate change is still low in the country. Understanding and slow adoption of new technologies Many of the large companies are very quick in adopting new technology and reducing their costs. These companies set the examples for large investments into energy efficiency and new technology. But there is no broad base adoption. The major reasons include: Cost advantage of old technologies The whole industry operates on the full spectrum of least efficient to most efficient technology available. The cost of new technologies is higher, and the fully depreciated machinery of the industry offers cost advantage to the older players. Slow adoption of new technologies Any new technology has definite rate of adoption which is very slow to start with and picks up gradually overtime. This is also directed by the 32 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India consumers which range from early adopter to laggards. This in turn is also dependent on the stability of the technology, the initial high failure rates and lack of necessary scale to bring down the costs. All these factors together make it very difficult to compete with older technologies. Exhibit 14 explains the standard rate of diffusion of a new technology in a normal scenario which explains the slow adoption. Exhibit 14: Rate of “Diffusion of technologies” 100 50 Market share % 75 25 Innovators 2.5% Early Adopters 13.5 % Early Majority 34 % Late Majority 34% 0 Laggards 16% Source: Everett Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations, 1962(Blue line denotes the time variance with new customers and yellow indicates the population) Cost of technology New and innovative technologies come at a substantially high price in the market and are practically inaccessible to many in the market. At the same time as the acceptance increases and the costs come down and it gets adopted. This creates a doubt in the minds of entrepreneur or consumer of the technology to wait for the prices to come down make the technology more profitable. Lack of adequate financial support is a major roadblock in adoption of new technologies 33 Lack of financing options The technologies for low carbon are still in an evolving stage, and although the benefits are clear the risks associated with these technologies are unknown. The financial sector analyses a project on the basis of risk associated with the project and is unable to ascertain the cost of the project and hence is skeptic towards new technology. Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Quantification of Efficiency Energy efficiency technologies are usually dubbed as 'trivial' even though these can provide immediate returns Energy efficiency measures are the best low hanging fruits when it comes to reducing carbon emissions and are also low cost with respect to changing the equipment. The ESCO model (India Carbon outlook) of financing is an excellent way to provide finance for energy efficiency initiatives. But the major challenge remains in assessing the efficiency as it gets lost in the normal accounting procedures. There is always a difference between the efficiency promised by the vendor and realized at the location. The problem also lies in the handling of the energy efficiency measures in current accounting procedures where the clarity in handling savings is absent. The concerns for the financiers lie in the credibility of the technology providing the promised returns and lessee paying the promised where the realized varies. Credibility and ability of the entrepreneur New technologies are propagated faster by a new generation entrepreneurs who understand the technology and are willing to take it as a business opportunity. Entrepreneurs have the ability to take more risks with the new technology but essentially lack the business acumen to take the model to scale. The entrepreneur also lacks appropriate financial backing to make the initial investments. The business plans lack the basic requirements of a good proposal. This impacts the credibility of the entrepreneur and his ability to conduct business and eventual rejection of the proposal. Effectiveness of government schemes There are many government schemes available for adoption of new technology. But the benefits of government programs are availed by a select few. Although the government has the largest network and outreach the program incentives have very little trickledown effect. The bureaucracy involved acts as a further deterrent on the hands of the beneficiary. Lacking focus on energy efficiency The financial sector is now considering the renewable energy space as a sunrise sector of the economy along with various government incentives and priority sector norms by RBI. The overall spending on renewable energy projects in India has increased from USD 4.2 billion in 2009 has increased three folds to USD 12.3 billion in 2011 (UNEP, 2012). 34 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India A similar growth trend is not seen in energy efficiency space. There have been various reasons for the slow uptake including clarity on the various technologies, inherent flaws in ESCO model of financing and lack of adequate processes in the industry. Apart from the above reasons the uptake from the industry has not been very good as the industry is reluctant to change the existing equipment as the capital costs have not been recovered yet. The new equipment financing is also not categorized as an ‘energy efficient’ investment. The financing also becomes difficult for FIs because many times the ticket size of the total initiative is too small for the bank to finance and too large for an SME / industry to write it off as an expense. 35 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 5 Government Support Government Support T The Government of India is taking various measures like NAPCC, RPO, PAT to tackle climate change he Government of India appears committed to reducing carbon emissions and has declared a voluntary reduction in carbon intensity of up to 25% over 2005 levels by 2025. The government has taken many policy initiatives under the central plan of National Action Plan for Climate Change (NAPCC). Apart from the NAPCC, the government has also focused on individual sectors e.g. emphasis on supercritical and ultra-supercritical power plants for all future power plants in India. Technology support is also arranged from developed nations by the government for the Indian companies. National Action Plan for Climate Change (NAPCC) The Action Plan, launched in June 2008, NAPCC primarily aims at identifying potential opportunities and delineating the path forward for the implementation of technologies that address India's twin objectives: sustainable development and adaptation and mitigation of commercial emissions in an accelerated manner. The NAPCC has 8 core pillars (National Missions) that represent multipronged, long-term and integrated strategies to achieve the said goals in the context of climate change and sustainable development. Exhibit 15 explains the various missions. Exhibit 15: NAPCC Missions, 2008 National Mission Actions Items National Solar Mission ü Solar Capacity targets at national & State levels ü Support for both producers & consumers through subsidies and R&D for new indigenous products ü Attractive Feed-in- Tariffs and Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) with minimum cap on renewable energy for grid to encourage large power plants 38 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India National Mission Actions Items National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency ü Perform Achieve and Trade (PAT):A market based mechanism to enhance cost effectiveness of improvements in energy efficiency in energy-intensive large industries and facilities, through certification of energy savings that could be traded. ü Market Transformation for Energy Efficiency (MTEE): Accelerating the shift to energy efficient appliances in designated sectors through innovative measures to make the products more affordable. ü Energy Efficiency Financing Platform (EEFP): Creation of mechanisms that would help finance demand side management programmes in all sectors by capturing future energy savings. ü Fr a m e w o r k f o r E n e r g y E ff i c i e n t E c o n o m i c D e v e l o p m e n t (FEEED):Developing fiscal instruments to promote energy efficiency National Mission on Sustainable Habitat ü Energy conservation in Buildings ü Waste management & recycling including power from waste ü Encouragement to purchase efficient vehicles & Use of Public transport National Mission on Water ü Comprehensive water database and assessment of impact of climate change on water resource ü Water conservation, augmentation and preservation & increase in water usage efficiency ü Focused attention to over-exploited areas National Mission for a Green India ü Increase forest cover & density ü Improve ecosystem services including biodiversity, hydrological services, carbon sequestration ü Increase forest-based livelihood income National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture ü Dry land Agriculture ü Access to Information ü Use of Bio- technology ü Integrate farming systems with livestock and fisheries National Mission for Strategic Knowledge of Climate Change ü Enlisting the global community to collaborate in R& D of technologies ü The twin focus 1) Mitigation Technologies, and 2) Adaptation Technologies ü Creation of research infrastructure, and Capacity building for institutions and individuals National Mission for Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem ü Safeguard the Himalayan glaciers and mountain eco-systems ü Evolving suitable management and policy measures for sustaining and safeguarding ü Studying traditional knowledge systems for community participation in adaptation, mitigation, and coping mechanisms Source: Government of India, 2008 State Initiatives Apart from the overall initiative from the central government, the state governments have also put up plans (Exhibit 16) to boost solar and other renewable energy initiatives 39 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 16: Renewable Energy Initiatives of States State(s) Type of arrangement Total impact References North-Eastern States, Sikkim, J&K, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand SPV systems including power plants and packs by Central and State Government Ministries/ Departments and their organisations, State Nodal Agencies and local bodies MNRE subsidy: 90% the subsidy will be limited to INR 243/Wp(with battery) and INR 171/Wp(without battery) http://pib.nic.in/newsite /erelease.aspx?relid=8 3277 North-Eastern States, Sikkim, J&K, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand For each of the 100 numbers of solar charging stations per district having module capacity of 300 Wp for charging 50 lanterns and 10 mobiles in all the LWE affected districts Scheme of extending 90% subsidy subject to a maximum of INR 1,35,000/- http://pib.nic.in/newsite /erelease.aspx?relid=8 3277 Rajasthan Fo r s e tt i n g u p o f n e w enterprise, enterprises going for expansion, modernization and diversification, and projects set-up for common social good 50% of the tax deposited, i . e . VAT a n d C ST Employment generation subsidy has been announced @ 1 0 , 0 0 0 p e r employee/annum Up to 10 year for MSMEs http://investrajasthan.c om/cms.php?id=62&m edia=print Rajasthan Power purchase Agreements for solar power plants Pr i c e s by c o m p e t i t i ve bidding upto 25 years http://www.eai.in/ref/a e/sol/policies.html Gujarat Power purchase Agreements for solar power plants PV http://www.eai.in/ref/a e/sol/policies.html Year1-12: INR 15.00/12.00 Year 13-25: INR 5.00/3.00 Thermal Year 1-12: INR 10.00/9.00 Year 13-25: INR 3.00/3.00 40 Karnataka Power purchase Agreements for solar power plants Tariff based competitive bidding with base price of INR 14.50 /kWh (max) http://www.eai.in/ref/a e/sol/policies.html Tamil Nadu Power purchase Agreements for solar power plants A maximum amount of INR 12.00 per Kwh would be provided as incentive for electricity generated from solar photovoltaics and INR 10.00 per Kwh for electricity generated through the solar thermal route and fed to the grid http://www.tn.gov.in/po licynotes/archives/polic y200809/energy_2.htm Kerala State mandates state electricity board to purchase Renewable power Provide Renewable Energy Certificate for each MWh of off grid power Tot al RPO (Renewable Purchase Obligation) of 3% in 2010. Of this, 2.75% is to be met from non-solar sources and 0.25% from solar energy. The RPO increases by 10% of 3% every year, up to a maximum of 10%. http://www.anert.in/ind ex.php/policy/111-recrpo Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India State(s) Type of arrangement Total impact References Kerala For homes with upto 1kW system Cost of Project: 2.5 Lakh Subsidy from center: 81,000 + interest Total subsidy including state: 1.5 lakh http://articles.timesofin dia.indiatimes.com/201 20813/kochi/33182017_ 1_solar-panels-solarpower-solar-scheme Source: Various (Mentioned herewith) Renewable Purchase Obligation and Renewable Energy Certificates Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) and Renewable Energy Certificate Mechanism (RECRI) are market driven mechanisms to promote renewable energy and make it more lucrative business proposition. An REC is a certificate equivalent to 1 MWh of renewable power generated which can be openly traded for offsetting carbon emission due to consumption of fossil fuel generated power. RPO on the other hand mandates the state electricity boards to buy a definite minimum percentage of grid electricity from renewable sources. Under NAPCC the target purchase was set at a minimum of 5% of total grid electricity purchase for FY 2009-10 and a subsequent increase of 1% per year. Perform Achieve and Trade (PAT) The industrial sector has been a consistent driver of GDP growth, accounting for about 28% of GDP over the last three years (2009-12). The overall growth and development in India has brought about a concomitant increase in energy consumption and related GHG emissions. Increasing from 44% in 2005-06 to 47% in 2008-09, the industrial sector has been the highest contributor in final commercial energy consumption in the country. In recent years, Indian industries have taken many initiatives to become energy efficient including use of state-of-the-art technologies. To further accelerate and incentivize energy efficiency, Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE), a statutory body under Ministry of Power, Government of India has designed the Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) mechanism. The genesis of the PAT mechanism flows out of the provision of the Energy Conservation Act, 2001. The Ministry of Power (MoP) has notified industrial units and other establishments consuming energy more than the threshold as Designated Consumers (DCs). These DCs account for 25% of the national gross domestic product (GDP) and about 45% of commercial energy use in India. The details of DCs relevant to PAT mechanism are presented in Exhibit 17. 41 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 17: Estimated number of Designated Consumers (DCs), annual energy consumption and energy saving targets in select sectors under PAT Cycle-1 (2012-15) No. of DCs Minimum Annual Energy Consumption for the DC (tonnes of oil equivalent-toe) Aluminum 10 7,500 7.71 0.456 Cement 85 30,000 15.01 0.816 Chlor-alkali 22 12,000 0.88 0.054 Fertilizer 29 30,000 8.20 0.478 Iron and Steel 67 30,000 25.32 1.486 Pulp and Paper 31 30,000 2.09 0.119 Textile 90 3,000 1.20 0.066 Thermal Power Plant 144 30,000 104.56 3.211 Total 478 1,72,500 164.97 6.686 Sector Annual Energy Consumption (million toe) Energy saving targets under PAT cycle 1 (2012 - 15) in million toe Energy efficiency improvement targets fixed for each sector under PAT mechanism are “unit specific”. Each unit (DC) is mandated to reduce its Specific Energy Consumption (SEC) by a certain value, based on its current SEC (or baseline SEC) within the sectoral bandwidth. BEE has arrived at these sectoral bandwidths through the baseline studies of each sector. The total energy saving targets of 8 sectors covered under first PAT cycle is 6.686 million tonnes of oil equivalent (mtoe).The units have to achieve the target during the first commitment period ending in 2015.When a unit achieve and surpass the target, it can sell its excess savings in the form of Energy Savings Certificates (ESCerts), and if a unit fails to achieve its targets, it is mandated to purchase the appropriate number of ESCerts to “meet” its energy savings targets. Each certificate will be unique tradable commodity which will be traded in two exchanges namely, Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and Power Exchange of India (PXIL). PAT is one of the most promising initiatives to achieve the energy efficiency improvement goal by implementing best available practices and technologies in the identified sectors through economically viable projects. Energy Conservation Building Code (ECBC) The ECBC (USAID-INDIA) was launched by the Ministry of Power in consultation with BEE and USAID. The code defines norms and standards for energy performance of buildings and their components 42 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India based on climate zone in which they are located. ECBC covers building envelop heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system, interior and exterior lighting system, service hot water, electrical power system and motors. It has not been adopted significantly by the Industry. Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) JNNURM (JNNURM) is a city-modernization scheme launched by Government of India in 2005. It works on the centers contribution meant to improve the quality of life and infrastructure in the cities. JNNURM aims at creating ‘economically productive, efficient, equitable and responsive cities’ by a strategy of upgrading the social and economic infrastructure in cities and by provision of basic services to the urban poor. It aims at providing better public transport systems and supporting the transport infrastructure across all major towns and cities of India. Providing better public transport will have a major impact on reducing GHG emissions from India’s transport sector. Standards and labeling scheme The scheme is implemented by BEE (BEE) to improve energy efficiency in both residential and commercial appliances. The schemes aim at promoting energy efficiency through consumer involvement where an enlightened customer will buy higher efficiency product at a higher price and manufacturers get an incentive of higher price with more efficient appliances. The labeling has been made mandatory for most of home appliances enabling customers to take the right decision. The Clean Energy Cess and National Clean Energy Fund Carbon cess can potentially create a level playing field between renewable and non renewable energy sources India has announced a levy a clean energy cess on coal, at the rate of INR 50(~1 USD) per ton of both domestic and imported coal in June 2010. The money will go into National Clean Energy Fund (MoEF, 2010) that will be used to fund research, innovative projects in clean energy technologies, and environmental remedial programs. This initiative further reduces the monetary gap between a clean fuel and a polluting fuel. A Brief Analysis of Initiatives Integration of all major initiatives of the government under one umbrella of NAPCC has put the focus back on the topic of climate change. The overall action plan pans across various ministries. The sub division into 43 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India sub plans has put a further clear vision on the various topics to focus to achieve the national plan. The government has been formulating many action items under each plan and there is a clear review system in place. The NAPCC has also incorporated many existing initiatives like the RECs under its ambit to realign all the initiatives of the government. The action plans are yet to achieve any significant feats but the continuous focus from the government has kept the action plans on track. While there are quite a few government policies to mitigate the effects of climate change but most of these policies require the much needed implementation push There has been some criticism (Byravan, et al., 2012) of NAPCC mainly on lines of priorities of the action plans at the government level and no common framework of targets and evaluation under each action plan. While the plans like NSM and EEE are very detailed and clear guidelines have been provided other plans are broad and clear guidelines are not present. RECs have been a good market linked scheme for popularization of renewable power but has not been very effective after the economic slump hit all industries and the takers of the RECs remained stagnant as against growing producers with improved government incentives (RECRI). Exhibit 18 shows the trends in RECs uptake in India which clearly shows the reduced uptake of RECs by the industry in the last year. Exhibit 18: Progress of Renewable Energy Certificates in India, 2012 RECs Progress 3500.0 RECs(in'000) 3000.0 2500.0 2000.0 1500.0 1000.0 500.0 Opening Balance REC Redeemed REC Issued Closing Balance Jul,13 Aug,13 June,13 May,13 Apr,13 Feb,13 Mar,13 Jan,13 Dec,12 Nov,12 Oct,12 Sep,12 Aug,12 Jul,12 Jun,12 May,12 Apr,12 Mar,12 Feb,12 Jan,12 Dec,11 0.0 Source: RECRI Website 44 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India JNNURM has been a great initiative in the upliftment of the urban transport in all major cities across India. But JNNURM has not been a great success due poor planning and improper execution (The Economic Times, 2012). The objectives have not been realized to the fullest and the initiative requires more prudent handling but the on ground availability The labeling program has worked well and marketers are using the star ratings as a differentiating point for the product as being high tech and low electricity bill. The sales of high consumption items like air conditioner, refrigerator, etc for domestic and boilers for commercial are increasingly being adopted. 45 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 6 Role of the Financial Sector Role of the Financial Sector T he financial sector holds the key to the development of any economy. It has the financial prowess and power to channel the money available in the economy in the right directions. This makes the sector the biggest enabler after the government in an economy. The Reserve Bank of India, the regulator of banks in India, issues guidelines with respect to priority sector lending by the financial sector and these guidelines have been the major driver of funds to the weaker sections of the economy. The same is used by the RBI to channel the flow of funds to a particular sector. Apart from priority sector banks finance projects based on their own understanding of markets and risks. And each proposal is analyzed on the basis of historical risk that a particular sector or a particular company faces. New technology is always considered as high risk investments by the banks. The non-availability of historical data and lack of understanding of the sector enhances the risk perception of the technologies. The risk of the technology can often not be decoupled from the implementation. The lack of experience and risk capital sets the onus of assessing risk and mitigating it rests mostly on the entrepreneur. A comprehensive risk assessment of the current business practices against the climate and natural resource impact can provide a much better understanding of overall risks 48 New technologies not only pose risks of default but also provide opportunities of new business avenues for the financial institution. New technologies provide better returns to the entrepreneur and in turn better repayments for the bank. It also provides future growth opportunity as against the mature technologies. To reap the full benefits of growing technologies the financial institutions (FIs) should work towards eliminating the roadblocks and act as enablers of new and growing businesses. Natural Capital as a tool Financial sector should extend its arm to understand the risks associated with new low carbon technologies. The risks should be associated with the mitigation of climate change risk. The new initiative of Natural Capital declaration taken by financial institutions (FIs) at Rio +20 is a step in the right direction. The financial sector plays a crucial Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India role in assigning value to the natural resources by analyzing the economic value supported by it. A comprehensive risk assessment of current business practices against the climate and natural resource impact will provide the understanding of overall risks. This will bring in light the actual risk of competing projects for the FIs investments with the low carbon sector. Developing a market for environment securities Market linked incentives for promotion of low carbon initiatives is considered the way forward for adoption and assimilation of low carbon growth objectives. A market driven approach allows valuation of the relevance of carbon to the society in its development. Various instruments like Carbon Credits, ECerts (PAT Scheme), RECs have been conceptualized and implemented. The greatest hurdle for these instruments is lack of proper market place to trade these securities which prevents impartial price discovery which in turn reduces the relevance of these instruments. FIs should come together to create a market place for these instruments. India Energy Exchange (IEX) and Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL) have been great initiatives in this regard and need to be further popularized. Launch of BSE Greenex and BSE Carbonex indices on lines with DJ Sustainability index is an excellent initiative to identify the green companies and showing their performance vis-a-vis the broader market. Use of innovative financing schemes Financial institutions (FIs) play a key role of channelizing the societal resources in the right direction. The FIs gather resources from those who have a surplus and distribute it to those who need it to perform economic activity. FIs have come up with new and innovative techniques to gather resources and distribute them taking a risk on both sides as the major concern. While there are various innovative technologies to reduce carbon emissions, they need to be supported by tailor made financial schemes 49 Project finance through bonds Creating special purpose vehicles (SPVs) for different projects is not a new concept in finance and has been used to fund many infrastructure projects across the globe. EU in coordination with EIB has come up with providing a guarantee to investors in the bond through bond guarantee facility (The European union) (Exhibit 14). This is an excellent facility where the government funds share the risk for new technology projects Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India at the same time the impact is enlarged by the pooling in of the private and other investors money. The pilot has been launched by EU in 2012 to channelize government fund in a high impact manner. India can create similar bonds where the role of EU EIB can be played by Government of India and NABARD. Exhibit 18 : Project finance through bonds Special entity Sponsor (s) Senior debt in form of PROJECT BONDS Equity Investors buy or underwrite Project Bond Guarantee Facility EIB Risk sharing EU Source: The Europe 2020 Project Bond Initiative This structure enables the developmental bodies like government agencies to invest small amount and create a larger impact on the ground. An Environment Bond Flow of funds to the new technology sector is a very important to achieve the growth targets planned. The government is already feeling the pinch of falling GDP growth rate and widening current and fiscal deficits. The limited supply of funds from government is not enough to fuel growth in low carbon technologies across various sectors. An environment bond will be ideal equipment to garner resources for the sector. This will allow channelizing of private sector money to promote low carbon and green economy. The environment bond is already used by developmental financial institutions across the globe (NIB). The fund can be used for implementation of large long term projects which cannot compete for money in the open market. The governments on the other hand can provide guarantee to the investor there by lowering the interest requirements. 50 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Financial solutions on government initiatives The Government of India has been rolling out many initiatives under the various missions of NAPCC including financial guarantees, subsidies, and priority sector support. These initiatives have been gaining ground across, but the uptake is not very good because the large FIs have not come up with robust products to support the cause. The government subsidies are not utilized fully, and only small and local FIs are utilizing the opportunity. This makes the percolation of schemes to the customers even more difficult as the critical mass is not achieved. The major cause of this gap between the incentive provided, and actual results are the lack of incentives for the large FIs to look at this highly risky sector. Line of credit from international funding agencies As a developing country India has always been in resource shortage for implementing projects. International development banks like ADB, World Bank have resources earmarked in their budgets for renewable energy and energy efficiency but lack the essential reach in the developing countries to create an impact. Indian FIs should use this opportunity gap to work as a vendor these international funding agencies and get a line of credit specially to lend to these sectors. Some banks like SIDBI for energy efficiency (SIDBI) and ICICI for both RE & EE (ADB, 2012) have already taken some initiative to channel international funds, and the effort should be emulated by other FIs. Customer education and financial skill development Various international funding agencies can provide necessary resources for carbon mitigation 51 Entrepreneurs find it difficult to prepare a good business plan that suits the financial institutions. Especially in case of small new entrepreneurs the FIs are not very inclined to provide service due to their initial size. At the same time, it becomes more hassle for an FI to evaluate so many proposals coming their way in all formats possible. The FIs should provide clear criteria and guidelines for entrepreneurs to provide the proposals in a format that is best understood by the FI and the industry as a whole. Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 7 The Policy Bottlenecks and expectations from the government The Policy Bottlenecks and expectations from the government T he government of India has taken various steps including NAPCC to meet its carbon reduction target. But still there are some bottlenecks especially in terms of implementation of the policies and clarity of the guidelines. Including New Technology as priority sector The priority sector push from RBI can be the single largest policy initiative to channel funds towards low carbon technologies Priority sector targets are very important ways to redirect banking funds to a particular sector and RBI uses it judiciously. The norms direct funds towards the under banked sections of the society. Currently priority sector is available for only off grid renewable energy solutions. Going beyond the priority sector, government financial institutions like NABARD & SIDBI are also promoting new technologies through different schemes (SIDBI). But these schemes are limited to the initiative by SIDBI and lack awareness across sectors. Other financial institutions do not offer similar products which limits the reach of such initiatives. Inclusion in priority sector will help drive the larger banks to offer similar products and hence boost the sector. Promoting financial markets for environment securities Government has introduced many schemes for marketable energy certificates. To augment and promote investors to consider these certificates as an investment instrument a proper market for such securities needs to be developed. The government should come forward to facilitate open market trading and clear price discoveries for these securities. It should incentivize the stock and commodities exchanges in India to open trading terminals for these securities. It should also promote digitization of such securities to smoothen the transactions. A clear policy intervention to create markets for these securities will add life to credibility and make the initiative truly market driven. 54 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Use of National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF) The coal cess collected over the 2 years is estimated to aggregate to INR 8200 crores in the NCEF, and the disbursal is only about one eighth of this amount (The Hindu). This leaves a big corpus to be utilized for innovations in clean energy projects, the objective of the fund. NCEF, while being a great initiative, should be used efficiently and swiftly. The government should promote research projects at universities in the clean energy space. The government could also start dedicated institute on the lines of Fraunhofer institute, Germany (Fraunhofer Institute) where post graduate research can be done on dedicated topics of low carbon technologies. This will go a long term in making indigenous low cost technologies which can be used to accelerate the process of adoption by reducing the cost. The fund can also be used to garner extra resources from public and private sector by channelizing this fund as partial guarantees to existing and new environment and green dedicated funds/ bonds. This will help multiply the effect that the government creates in this sector. Along with the higher impact it will also shift the burden of implementation off governments’ shoulder to the fund owners. This will also improve accountability on the projects. NCEF should also take cues from the aggregation of all national plans under one head i.e. NAPCC and work as a common fund to support all the causes. It is very essential to channel resources in a concerted manner. This helps keep track on investments in a particular sector, increases accountability, and measure the impact. NCEF should act as a common fund which can be used to fund all the missions which gets funding from the government budget allocations and from carbon cess like instruments. Reducing subsidy to fossil fuels Fossil fuels consume most of India's subsidy budget and low carbon technologies need a reduction in subsidies to compete with prevalent technologies 55 India spends a lot in subsidizing fossil fuels and grid electricity for consumption, and the amount has been increasing over the years to around USD 39 billion (Exhibit 20) for the year 2011 (IEA). This not only consumes a big proportion of countries resources but also makes the new and renewable energy options less attractive to the already subsidized fossil fuels. The higher subsidy on fossil fuels entails higher consumption and in turn higher subsidies for the next year. The government should reduce the subsidy on fossil fuels and provide the necessary incentives to the new energy sector. Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 20 : Subsidy by fuel in India (in billion USD) Fuel 2009 2010 2011 Oil 11.49 16.2 30.86 Electricity 6.21 3.87 5.81 Natural Gas 2.72 2.22 3.03 Coal 0 0 0 Source: (IEA) Including banks in policy discussions and making them accountable The growth of large private sectors banks which provide services in all corners of the country has made them an important stakeholder to achieve financial inclusion. The government should include representation from both public and private sector banks while discussing the policy. Private sector banks operate with business generation in mind hence will be able to provide good policy recommendations. It’s not only that the policy should be framed in consultation with all the banks, it is also important to make the banks accountable for the feedback given by them. Banks should be cajoled to offer products that bridge the gap between the consumer requirements and government policy incentives. This will not only offer better service but also create a larger ecosystem for low carbon development of the economy. 56 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 8 Looking beyond designated consumers Looking beyond designated consumers T Transport and Buildings are other major sectors that need to be targeted to achieve the goal of low carbon growth he BEE & Government of India have taken prudent steps to identify Power, Steel and Cement sectors as designated consumers in the PAT scheme and have assigned a cap on their emissions. But achieving a Low Carbon Economy in India should look beyond the designated consumers and also focus on other highly emitting sectors. In this section, we take a brief look at two such sectors – Transport and Buildings and the possible approach that these sectors might consider adopting. Transport The transport sector forms an integral part of the economy, ensuring smooth flow of goods and passengers to keep the wheel of the economy moving. The major modes of transport in India include railways, roadways, airways and coastal shipping. Although the railways alone carried 8.22 million passengers over 1,047 billion passenger kilometers, and 969 million tonnes of freight over 669 billion tonne kilometers in 2011-12 (Ministry of Railways, 2012) it was only a fraction of the total traffic in the country. As of 2011, the railways are estimated to have only about 13 and 38% of the total passenger and freight traffic shares respectively (TERI 2013). The remaining shares are largely moved by the roadways, and less than one percent on air and water. The transport sector is also seen as a major contributor to GHG emissions. The sector accounted for the consumption of 15% (IEA, 2007) of the commercial energy consumption in India in 2007, and generated about 7.5% of the total GHG emissions. The major fuels used for transportation in India are petroleum, coal and very recently natural gas. The total GHG emission from transportation is expected to grow to about 712 million ton of CO2 by 2030 (INCCA, 2010). 58 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India The Pivotal Technologies Transportation in India can be categorized into passenger and freight transport. Currently a large share of the passenger traffic moves on public and non-motorized modes of transport. This is one of the most important reasons why the country has a low per capita emissions footprint from transport. However, with economic development of the nation, this scenario is fast changing. There is a continuous increase in motorization across the country, and a rapid uptake of personal modes of transport. To add to this, the development of the national highways in the country has led to a large shift of freight transport from rail to road (MoRTH, 2012). The roadways being more energy and emissions intensive than the railways have led to an overall increase in both energy and emissions from the sector. Efforts to control this unwarranted and unwanted change have to be made by both the Government and the private sectors; the Government with inducing policy changes and the private sector by making the appropriate changes in logistics and planning. Given the objective of this paper, the following section highlights some of the ways in which this trend can be first halted and then reversed specifically from the point of view of the industry sector. Railways and Waterways are usually more efficient and environmentally friendly modes of transport compared, to Roadways and Airways Increase share of the railways in National mobility The railways and waterways are significantly more efficient and environmentally friendly modes of transport compared to road and airways (Exhibit 21).Although historically the railways had a major share of the traffic movement for the industries in India, as mentioned above, the last couple of decades have seen it lose a significant share of traffic to the roadways. Exhibit 21: Carbon intensity of different modes of freight transport in per tonnes-km(TCS &Xyntéo, 2011) 59 Mode (freight) Emission (Kg CO2 per tonne-km) Train 0.02 Air 0.62 Waterways 0.01 Road 0.16 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India By having a national transport plan which encourages increasing the share of transport movement by the industries on the railways and by ensuring multimodal transport planning there is scope for large reductions of emissions from this sector. Multimodal transport planning can be efficiently done by the prudent use of ICT solutions to both reduce the costs and the emissions from industries. Efficiency improvement Given its large share of total mobility in India, the road transport sector generates the highest volumes of overall emissions. It is estimated that road transport generated about 87% of the transport sector emissions (INCCA, 2010); of this heavy commercial vehicles constituted the largest share. Given that the industrial sector mostly uses commercial vehicles for its mobility, efficiency improvements in commercial vehicle engine technologies will make the largest difference in reduction of overall emissions from the transport used by the industrial sector. Fuel choices Although petroleum sources will continue to dominate the fuel mix for the transport sector as a whole, it is important to move towards cleaner fuels for a low carbon scenario. There is a need therefore to promote and use CNG and other forms of natural gas and supplement petroleum with bio-diesel wherever possible. In addition to this, increasing the use of electricity in the railways while changing the source of power from coal fired power plants to renewables and nuclear would help in reducing overall emissions (TERI 2009). Residential & Commercial Building The rapid increase in Indian population and growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has given rise to an enormous demand for buildings with a subsequent pressure on availability of resources. With an anticipated 500 million people living in urban India by 2020, the challenges of greenhouse gas emissions from electricity use in new and existing buildings, and building material manufacturing are likely to spike up significantly. Another key challenge for the built-environment of Indian cities is the diminishing availability of water for urban areas. The electricity consumption by buildings has been growing over the years, from 15% in 1970-71 to 34% of the total consumption in 2010-11. 60 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 22 : Historical growth in Sector-wise Electricity Consumption in India (1970-2011) Historical Growth in Sector-wise Electricity Consumption in India (1970-2011) 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 Others Traction & Railways Commercial Domestic Agriculture Indusrtry 300000 200000 100000 19 70 -7 19 1 75 -7 6 19 80 -8 1 19 85 -8 19 6 90 -8 1 19 95 -9 20 6 00 -0 20 1 01 -0 20 2 02 -0 20 3 03 -0 20 4 04 -0 20 5 05 -0 20 6 06 020 7 07 -0 20 8 08 20 -0 09 9 -1 20 0(p ) 10 --1 1( p) 0 (Source: Central Electricity Authority) The residential sector accounts for 137.84 MT of CO2 equivalent or 7.2% of total GHG emissions of India and has risen to this level from 78 MT of CO2 equivalent in 1994. The commercial buildings not being the largest contributor to the GHG emissions still account for more than 1% of India emissions (INCCA, 2010). The pivotal technologies This fast paced growth of the Indian building stock is likely to result in an enormous demand for energy in the near future. At present the building sector consumes 34% of the overall electricity consumption (from utilities) by the country, out of which almost 72% is consumed by the residential sector. A closer look at the electricity consumption pattern of the residential sector shows that fans and lighting consume 62% (Approximately 105,000 GWh) of total consumption, more than 1.5 times the total electricity consumption of the Commercial Sector. 61 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India Exhibit 23: Sector wise consumption of Electricity (2010-11) Exhibit 24: Electricity Consumption Pattern in Residential Buildings Others 6% Evaporative Cooler 4% Industry 39% Refrigeration 13% Lighting 28% TV 4% Agriculture 19% Fans 34% Traction & Railways 2% Residential 24% Air conditioning 7% Commercial 10% (Source: Energy Statistics 2012, Central Statistics Office, MOSPI) Others 10% (Source: BEE, Figure taken from the Interim Report of the Expert Group on Low Carbon Strategies for Inclusive Growth, Planning Commission, Government of India) Higher income will result in increase in the disposable income of the households, resulting in increased spending. Growing income will lead to increase in ownership of home appliances and therefore increase in fuel demand. With reference to the year 2011, by 2021 the electricity consumption by heating/ cooling appliances and by lighting will grow by 180% and 80% respectively. Higher household incomes can potentially translate into an increase in air conditioner usage Exhibit 25: Energy Consumption Distribution in Commercial Buildings Lighting 25% Internal loads 15% HVAC 55% Others 5% (Source: BEE, Figure taken from the Interim Report of the Expert Group on Low Carbon Strategies for Inclusive Growth, Planning Commission, Government of India) 62 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India As per a study conducted by TERI for the commercial sector, it is estimated that 55% of energy consumption in commercial buildings is due to HVAC systems. Resource optimisation in residential and commercial buildings Residential buildings Based on a study done by TERI (TERI, 2010), 19-35% savings can be achieved in air conditioned residential buildings through efficient building envelope. At present the stock of residential air conditioned houses is very small compared to the total urban housing stock- less than 5% (Estimated by TERI). However, with rapid growth in the population of Air Conditioners, the proportion of air conditioned housing is likely to increase at a fast pace in the coming years. Commercial Sector As per a study conducted by TERI (TERI, 2010), in a conventional air conditioned commercial building, approximately • 20% savings can be achieved by incorporating passive design features like optimum orientation, envelope shading, daylight integration, etc. • 30% savings can be achieved by making the building ECBC compliant • 40% savings can be achieved by incorporating passive design features and making the building ECBC compliant Way forward Both transport and buildings sectors involve public and private enterprises. The consumption of these sectors is also highly fragmented and diverse. These sectors may not also offer the best cases for short term solutions to achieve a low carbon impact. At the same time, being one of the biggest GHG emitters these sectors offer our best case of improvement over a long term including efficient transport and housing. 63 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 9 Conclusion Conclusion T he Working group I contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) has reiterated the fact that the average temperatures across the location have been highest in the last 30 years (1983 -2012) in a period of last 1400 years. The report also concludes with high certainty that the temperatures will keep on increasing in the coming years. These results are a reminder of the fact that increasing carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere is leading to global climatic changes. As we move towards higher economic development, we should be prudent enough of our impacts on the environment. India is one of the largest and fastest growing economies of the world and the growth path that it has to choose cannot be the one with carbon output equivalent to that of the developed nations. The green house gas emissions of India face two challenges international pressures and the inherent resource crunch. At the same time, the Low Carbon technologies present various opportunities, including future energy security, sustainable development and lower environmental impact. The prime sectors for GHG emissions in India as highlighted by the PAT scheme are the Power, Steel and Cement. These sectors also have extensive opportunities to reduce emissions by using various Low Carbon technologies. Some of these technologies have already been tested and implemented in India by select companies mostly in their green field projects. The most important factors to develop these technologies on a mass scale are awareness and requisite incentives to the industry at large. Buildings and Transport are the other two sectors that should be looked into from a strategic perspective to achieve a Low Carbon economy. Although segregated in their production and consumption, these sectors pose a huge carbon impact on India's total carbon emissions and provide for various opportunities of abatement. 66 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India The financial sector can play a pioneering role in enabling the change. The low carbon technologies can be adopted easily with dedicated financial products to support these technologies. The financial sector can also generate resources for these technologies through special financing mechanisms like project financing and environment bonds. Bridging the knowledge gap between the technology supplier and financier will also go a long way. The Indian government has already put environmental programs at the forefront of policy making through various missions of the NAPCC and other programs. The different state governments have also provided for various incentives to adopt new technologies. The essential link to achieving the best results remain the effective implementation of these initiatives. While the first assessments for the PAT scheme is awaited next year. A focused approach of policy and reducing bottlenecks in emerging business scenario can go a long way in enabling a Low Carbon Economy. 67 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 10 Annexure I: List of Abbreviations Annexure I: List of Abbreviations 70 S No Term Explanation 1 2 BAU BAU IEA International Energy Agency 3 NAPCC 4 BEE 5 S No Term Explanation 23 24 PAT Perform, Achieve & Trade ECBC Energy Conservation Building Code National Action Plan for Climate Change 25 Bureau of Energy Efficiency 26 JNNURM Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission NCEF National Clean Energy Fund LCE Low Carbon Economy 27 GHG Green House Gas 6 GDP 28 PPP Purchasing Power Parity 7 INCCA Gross Domestic Product Indian Network for Climate Change Assessment 29 NSSO National Sample Survey Organization 8 SEBI Securities Exchange Board of India 30 MoEF Ministry of Environment and Forests 9 MoF Ministry of Finance 31 NVG National Voluntary Guidelines 10 SIDBI Small Industries Development Bank of India 32 IICA Indian Institute of Corporate Affairs 11 MoP Minstry of Power 33 MoF Ministry of Finance 12 SME Small & Medium Enterprises 34 CCS Carbon Capture and Storage 13 JNNSM Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission 35 MNRE Ministry of New and Renewable Energy 14 PV Photo Voltaic 36 ESCo Energy Services Company 15 UNEP United Nations Environment Program 37 NMEEE National Mission for Enhances Energy Efficiency Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India S No 71 Term Explanation S No Term Explanation 16 RBI 17 ESCert Reserve Bank of India Energy Saving Certificate 38 REC Renewable Energy Certificates 39 DCs Designated consumers 18 NABARD National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development 40 USAID United States Agency for International Development 19 FI Financial Institution 41 DJSI Dow Jones Sustainability Index 20 SPV Special Purpose Vehicles 42 EU European Union 21 EIB European Investment Bank 43 DoEA Department of Atomic Energy 22 ADB Asian Development Bank 44 CEA Central Electricity Authority Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India 11 Bibliography Bibliography 1. “Emerging Energy-saving and CO2 emission reducing technologies in the Iron and Steel Industry: Worldwide" [Report] / auth. 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Decemeber 2012. http://www.nei.org/resourcesandstats/nuclear_statistics/worldstatistics/. 78 Low Carbon Industrial Growth In India YES BANK, India's fourth largest private sector Bank, is the outcome of the professional & entrepreneurial commitment of its Founder, Rana Kapoor and his top management team, to establish a high quality, customer centric, service driven, private Indian Bank catering to the Future Businesses of India. YES BANK has adopted international best practices, the highest standards of service quality and operational excellence, and offers comprehensive banking and financial solutions to all its valued customers. YES BANK has a knowledge driven approach to banking, and a superior customer experience for its retail, corporate and emerging corporate banking clients. YES BANK is steadily evolving as the Professionals' Bank of India with the vision of building the "Best Quality Bank of the World in India" by 2015. With a vision to create a synergy for the corporate sector as a whole to move towards sustainability, TERI-BCSD (Business Council for Sustainable Development) India was set up by The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) in 2001. It has now evolved into a strong industry body, with membership from diverse sectors, including public sector undertakings, multinationals, and private companies from across India. They work towards evangelizing business sustainability through industry specific initiatives that provide a platform for knowledge, learning and encourage sharing of best practices. It is also the Indian partner of the WBCSD (World Business Council for Sustainable Development), Geneva. TERI-BCSD India member company representatives identify, conceptualize and implement projects in partnership with researchers at TERI and the structure of the business council reflects this partnership. TERI provides research and implementation support to the business council and acts as the permanent technical resource for various theme specific action oriented projects, knowledge papers, seminars and capacity building workshops. Membership is by invitation only. For more information please visit www.teriin.org/bcsd N OT E S N OT E S N OT E S