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Bernoulli Random Variable Random variable X is the indicator or Bernoulli random variable so that: ! ! Probability Mass Function: ! Mean E[X]: p ! P( X ! 1) q ! 1 " p ! P( X ! 0) E [ X ] ! 0.q # 1. p ! p ! P( X ! 1) E[ X 2 ] ! 0.q # 1. p ! p Var[ X ] ! p " p 2 ! pq Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 40 Binomial Distribution ! Let Y be a binomial rv with parameter n, p. pk ! P (Y ! k ) ! C(n,k) p k ( 1-p)n- k ! So Y can be written as the sum of n mutually independent Bernoulli rv’s X1,X2 ..Xn. ! So using the linearity property of the expectation we have n E[Y ] ! $ E[ X i ] ! np i !1 ! n Similarly variance is given by Var[Y ] ! $Var[ X i ] ! npq i !1 Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 41 Geometric Distribution ! The pmf is given by ! The mean is computed as Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 42 Poisson Distribution probability mass function (pmf): ! Mean ! i ( ( ) p X (i ) ! e "( , 0 ' i ' &, ( % 0 i! & i( i "( E[X] : E[ X ] ! $ e i ! 0 i! E[X ] ! ( The variance is also given by Var [ X ] ! ( ! Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 43 Exponential Distribution (Very important) ! Distribution Function:F )t * ! 1 " e ", t t+0 Density Function: f )t * ! , e " , t ! Reliability: ! Failure Rate (CFR): R ) t * ! e " ,t t+0 f )t * h)t * ! !, R )t * ! ! t+0 Failure rate is age-independent (constant) 1 ! Mean Time to Failure: MTTF ! , Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 44 Exponential Distribution (Very important) ! ! The rate parameter is not exponential; it is constant or age independent Mean (expected) value is the reciprocal of its rate parameter Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 45 Weibull Distribution ! Failure Rate: h)t * ! ! IFR for ( % 1 DFR for ( - 1 ! Expectation (MTTF): f (t ) R (t ) ! ,( t ( "1 t+0 1 3 1 0( 3 1 0 E[X ] ! 1 . 411 # . 2,/ 2 ( / ! Shape parameter ( and scale parameter, Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 46 Continuous Uniform Distribution ! The density function is given by ! Expectation is calculated as ! The kth moment is computed as: ! Therefore variance becomes Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 47 Hypoexponential Distribution ! ! if X1,X2, . . . , Xn are mutually independent exponentially distributed random variables with parameters then is hypoexponentially distributed with parameters So using linearity property of expectation we have Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 48 Hypoexponential Distribution (contd.) •Expectation as •And Variance as •The coefficient of variation: Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 49 Hyperexponential Distribution ! The density in this case is given by ! Then the mean becomes Copyright © 2006 by K.S. Trivedi 50