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chapter eleven Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Prepared by: Fernando & Yvonn Quijano © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Aggregate expenditure (AE) The total amount of spending in the economy: the sum of consumption, planned investment, government purchases, and net exports. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 2 of 49 1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Aggregate Expenditure Model Aggregate expenditure model A macroeconomic model that focuses on the relationship between total spending and real GDP, assuming the price level is constant. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 3 of 49 The Aggregate Expenditure Model CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Aggregate Expenditure Consumption (C) Planned Investment (I) Government Purchases (G) Net Exports (NX) AE C I G NX © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 4 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Aggregate Expenditure Model The Difference between Planned Investment and Actual Investment Inventories Goods that have been produced, but not yet sold. Macroeconomic Equilibrium Aggregate Expenditure = GDP © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 5 of 49 2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Determining the Level of Aggregate Expenditure in the Economy 11 – 2 Components of Aggregate Expenditure, 2004 EXPENDITURE CATEGORY Consumption EXPENDITURE (BILLIONS OF 2000 DOLLARS) $7,589 Investment 1,810 Government 1,952 Net Exports -601 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 6 of 49 Determining the Level of Aggregate Expenditure in the Economy CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION Consumption function The relationship between consumption spending and disposable income. Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) The slope of the consumption function: the amount by which consumption spending increases when disposable income increases. Change in consumptio n C MPC Change in disposable income YD © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 7 of 49 Graphing Macroeconomic Equilibrium CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run 11 - 9 Macroeconomic Equilibrium on the 45E-Line Diagram © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 8 of 49 5 LEARNING OBJECTIVE CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Multiplier Effect 11 - 12 The Multiplier Effect © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 9 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Multiplier Effect Autonomous expenditure Expenditure that does not depend on the level of GDP. Multiplier The increase in equilibrium real GDP divided by the increase in autonomous expenditure. Multiplier effect The process by which an increase in autonomous expenditure leads to a larger increase in real GDP. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 10 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Multiplier Effect A Formula for the Multiplier 1 1 MPC Change in equilibriu m real GDP 1 Multiplier Change in autonomous expenditur e 1 MPC © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 11 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Multiplier Effect Summarizing the Multiplier Effect 1. The multiplier effect occurs both when autonomous expenditure increases and when it decreases. 1. The multiplier effect makes the economy more sensitive to changes in autonomous expenditure than it would otherwise be. 1. The larger the MPC, the larger the value of the multiplier. 1. The formula for the multiplier, 1 , is oversimplified because it 1 MPC ignores some real world complications, such as the effect that an increasing GDP can have on imports, inflation, and interest rates. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 12 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run The Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate demand curve (AD) A curve showing the relationship between the price level and the level of planned aggregate expenditure in the economy, holding constant all other factors that affect aggregate expenditure. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 13 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Aggregate demand curve (AD) Aggregate expenditure (AE) Aggregate expenditure model Autonomous expenditure Cash flow Consumption function Inventories Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) Marginal propensity to save (MPS) Multiplier Multiplier effect © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 14 of 49 CHAPTER 11: Output and Expenditure in the Short Run Appendix 11A: The Algebra of Macroeconomic Equilibrium 1. C C MPC (Y ) 2. I 1 Consumption function Investment function 3. G G Government spending function 4. NX N X Net export function 5. Y C I G NX Equilibrium condition © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1st ed. 15 of 49