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Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income 1 of 33 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 2 of 33 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 19 19 CHAPTER CHAPTER Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income In the more than 100 years that Ford Motor Company has been in business, its experiences have often mirrored those of the U.S economy. Prepared by: Fernando Quijano Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 3 of 33 19 19 CHAPTER CHAPTER Chapter Outline and Learning Objectives Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income 19.1 Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Explain how total production is measured. 19.2 Does GDP Measure What We Want It to Measure? Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. 19.3 Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. 19.4 Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income Become familiar with other measures of total production and total income. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 4 of 33 GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Microeconomics The study of how households and firms make choices, how they interact in markets, and how the government attempts to influence their choices. Macroeconomics The study of the economy as a whole, including topics such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth. Business cycle Alternating periods of economic expansion and economic recession. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 5 of 33 GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Expansion The period of a business cycle during which total production and total employment are increasing. Recession The period of a business cycle during which total production and total employment are decreasing. Economic growth The ability of an economy to produce increasing quantities of goods and services. Inflation rate The percentage increase in the price level from one year to the next. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 6 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Explain how total production is measured. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Measuring Total Production: Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product (GDP) The market value of all final goods and services produced in a country during a period of time, typically one year. GDP Is Measured Using Market Values, Not Quantities The word value is important in the definition of GDP. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 7 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Explain how total production is measured. Measuring Total Production: Gross Domestic Product GDP Includes Only the Market Value of Final Goods Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Final good or service A good or service purchased by a final user. Intermediate good or service A good or service that is an input into another good or service, such as a tire on a truck. GDP Includes Only Current Production GDP includes only production that takes place during the indicated time period. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 8 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Solved Problem 19-1 Explain how total production is measured. Calculating GDP PRODUCTION AND PRICE STATISTICS FOR 2011 (1) PRODUCT Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Eye examinations (2) QUANTITY (3) PRICE PER UNIT 100 $50.00 Pizzas 80 10.00 Textbooks 20 100.00 2,000 0.10 Paper PRODUCT Eye examinations (1) QUANTITY (2) PRICE PER UNIT (3) VALUE 100 $50 Pizzas 80 10 $5,000 800 Textbooks 20 100 2,000 YOUR TURN: For more practice, do related problem 1.12 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 9 of 33 Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Production, Income, and the Circular-Flow Diagram FIGURE 19-1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income The Circular Flow and the Measurement of GDP The circular-flow diagram illustrates the flow of spending and money in the economy. Firms sell goods and services to three groups: domestic households, foreign firms and households, and the government. To produce goods and services, firms use factors of production: labor, capital, natural resources, and entrepreneurship. Households supply the factors of production to firms in exchange for income in the form of wages, interest, profit, and rent. Firms make payments of wages and interest to households in exchange for hiring workers and other factors of production. The sum of wages, interest, rent, and profit is total income in the economy. We can measure GDP as the total income received by households. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 10 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Production, Income, and the Circular-Flow Diagram FIGURE 19-1 (continued) Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income The Circular Flow and the Measurement of GDP The diagram also shows that households use their income to purchase goods and services, pay taxes, and save. Firms and the government borrow the funds that flow from households into the financial system. We can measure GDP either by calculating the total value of expenditures on final goods and services or by calculating the value of total income. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 11 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Production, Income, and the Circular-Flow Diagram Transfer payments Payments by the government to individuals for which the government does not receive a new good or service in return. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 12 of 33 Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Components of GDP Personal Consumption Expenditures, or “Consumption” Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Consumption Spending by households on goods and services, not including spending on new houses. Gross Private Domestic Investment, or “Investment” Investment Spending by firms on new factories, office buildings, machinery, and additions to inventories, and spending by households and firms on new houses. Don’t Let This Happen to YOU! Remember What Economists Mean by Investment YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 1.8 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 13 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Components of GDP Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Government Consumption and Gross Investment, or “Government Purchases” Government purchases Spending by federal, state, and local governments on goods and services. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 14 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Components of GDP Net Exports of Goods and Services, or “Net Exports” Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Net exports Exports minus imports. An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values Y = C + I + G + NX Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 15 of 33 Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values FIGURE 19-2 Components of GDP in 2008 Consumption accounts for 70 percent of GDP, far more than any of the other components. In recent years, net exports typically have been negative, which reduces GDP. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production 16 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Explain how total production is measured. An Equation for GDP and Some Actual Values • Consumer spending on services is greater than the sum of spending on durable and nondurable goods. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income • Business fixed investment is the largest component of investment. • Purchases made by state and local governments are greater than purchases made by the federal government. • Imports are greater than exports, so net exports are negative. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making Will U.S. Consumers Connection Be Spending Less? the Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income 17 of 33 Explain how total production is measured. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 1.11 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 18 of 33 19.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Gross Domestic Product Measures Total Production Explain how total production is measured. Measuring GDP by the Value-Added Method Value added The market value a firm adds to a product. Table 19-1 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Calculating Value Added VALUE OF PRODUCT VALUE ADDED Cotton farmer Value of raw cotton = $1 Value added by cotton farmer Textile mill Value of raw cotton woven into cotton fabric = $3 Value added by cotton textile mill = ($3 – $1) Value of cotton fabric made into a shirt = $15 Value added by shirt manufacturer = ($15 –$3) Value of shirt for sale on L.L. Bean’s Web site = $35 Value added by L.L. Bean = ($35 – $15) FIRM Shirt company L.L. Bean =1 =2 = 12 = 20 Total Value Added = $35 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 19 of 33 19.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Does GDP Measure What We Want It to Measure? Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. Shortcomings in GDP as a Measure of Total Production Household Production Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Household production refers to goods and services people produce for themselves. The Underground Economy Underground economy Buying and selling of goods and services that is concealed from the government to avoid taxes or regulations or because the goods and services are illegal. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 20 of 33 19.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making Why Do Many Developing Countries the Have Such Large Underground Connection Economies? Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income A large informal sector can be a sign of government policies that are retarding economic growth. In some developing countries, more than half the workers may be in the underground economy. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 2.6 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 21 of 33 19.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Does GDP Measure What We Want It to Measure? Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. Shortcomings of GDP as a Measure of Well-Being The Value of Leisure Is Not Included in GDP Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income GDP Is Not Adjusted for Pollution or Other Negative Effects of Production GDP Is Not Adjusted for Changes in Crime and Other Social Problems GDP Measures the Size of the Pie but Not How the Pie Is Divided Up Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 19.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Making the 22 of 33 Did World War II Bring Prosperity? Discuss whether GDP is a good measure of well-being. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Connection World War II was a period of extraordinary sacrifice and achievement by the “greatest generation.” But statistics on GDP may give a misleading indication of whether it was also a period of prosperity. YOUR TURN: Test your understanding by doing related problem 2.8 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 23 of 33 19.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. Calculating Real GDP Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Nominal GDP The value of final goods and services evaluated at current-year prices. Real GDP The value of final goods and services evaluated at base-year prices. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 24 of 33 Solved Problem 19.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE 19-3 Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. Calculating Real GDP 2005 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income PRODUCT 2011 QUANTITY PRICE QUANTITY PRICE Eye examinations 80 $40 100 $50 Pizzas 90 11 80 10 Textbooks 15 90 20 100 2011 QUANTITY 2005 PRICE 100 $40 Pizzas 80 11 880 Textbooks 20 90 1,800 PRODUCT Eye examinations VALUE $4,000 YOUR TURN: For more practice, do related problem 3.3 at the end of this chapter. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 25 of 33 19.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. Comparing Real GDP and Nominal GDP FIGURE 19-3 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Nominal GDP and Real GDP, 1990–2008 Currently, the base year for calculating GDP is 2005. In the years before 2005, prices were, on average, lower than in 2005, so nominal GDP was lower than real GDP. In 2005, nominal and real GDP were equal. After 2005, prices have been, on average, higher than in 2005, so nominal GDP is higher than real GDP. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 26 of 33 19.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. The GDP Deflator Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Price level A measure of the average prices of goods and services in the economy. GDP deflator A measure of the price level, calculated by dividing nominal GDP by real GDP and multiplying by 100. GDP deflator = Nominal GDP × 100 Real GDP Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 27 of 33 19.3 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Real GDP versus Nominal GDP Discuss the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income The GDP Deflator 2007 2008 NOMINAL GDP $14,078 billion $14,441 billion REAL GDP $13,254 billion $13,312 billion FORMULA GDP Deflator APPLIED TO 2007 = Nominal GDP × 100 Real GDP ⎛ $14,078 billion ⎞ ⎜ ⎟ × 100 = 106 ⎝ $13,254 billion ⎠ APPLIED TO 2008 ⎛ $14, 441 billion ⎞ ⎟ × 100 = 108 ⎜ ⎝ $13,312 billion ⎠ From these values for the deflator, we can calculate that the price level increased by 1.9 percent between 2007 and 2008: ⎛ 108 − 106 ⎞ ⎜ ⎟ × 100 = 1.9% ⎝ 106 ⎠ Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income 28 of 33 19.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Become familiar with other measures of total production and total income. Gross National Product (GNP) Gross national product (GNP) is the value of final goods and services produced by residents of the United States, even if the production takes place outside the United States. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income National Income National income is calculated as GDP minus the consumption of fixed capital, or depreciation. Personal Income Personal income is income received by households. Disposable Personal Income Disposable personal income is equal to personal income minus personal tax payments. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income 29 of 33 19.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Become familiar with other measures of total production and total income. FIGURE 19-4 Measures of Total Production and Total Income, 2008 The most important measure of total production and total income is gross domestic product (GDP). As we will see in later chapters, for some purposes, the other measures of total production and total income shown in the figure turn out to be more useful than GDP. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 30 of 33 19.4 LEARNING OBJECTIVE Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income Become familiar with other measures of total production and total income. Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income The Division of Income FIGURE 19-5 The Division of Income We can measure GDP in terms of total expenditure or as the total income received by households. The largest component of income received by households is wages, which are more than three times as large as the profits received by sole proprietors and the profits received by corporations combined. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. AN INSIDE 31 of 33 LOOK >> Falling Auto Purchases Lead to Lower GDP Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income A Slowing Descent: Auto Sales Fell 37Percent, but Improved Slightly Real GDP declined for three consecutive quarters beginning in the third quarter of 2008. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 32 of 33 Chapter 19: GDP: Measuring Total Production and Income KEY TERMS Business cycle Macroeconomics Consumption Microeconomics Economic growth Net exports Expansion Nominal GDP Final good or service Price level GDP deflator Real GDP Government purchases Recession Gross domestic product (GDP) Transfer payments Inflation rate Underground economy Intermediate good or service Value added Investment Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Economics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. 33 of 33