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More Millennials Living With Family Despite Improved Job Market Source: Pew Research America’s 18- to 34-year-olds are less likely to be living independently of their families and establishing their own households today than they were in the depths of the Great Recession. This has occurred despite the fact that unemployment is down, full-time work is up, and wages have modestly rebounded for young adults in the U.S. labor market. Making sense of the story The 18- to 34-year-old population has grown by nearly 3 million since 2007. But the number heading up their own households has not increased. In the first third of 2015 about 42.2 million 18- to 34-year-olds lived independently of their families. In 2007, before the recession began, about 42.7 million adults in that age group lived independently. In 2010, 69 percent of 18- to 34-year-olds lived independently. As of the first four months of this year, only 67 percent of millennials were living independently. Over the same time period, the share of young adults living in their parents’ homes has increased from 24 to 26 percent. The number of young adults heading their own households is no higher in 2015 (25 million) than it was before the recession began in 2007 (25.2 million). The decline in independent living since the recovery began is apparent among both bettereducated young adults and their less-educated counterparts. For example, today 86 percent of college-educated 25- to 34-year-olds live independently of their families. In 2010, 88 percent of this demographic lived independently. Trends in living arrangements also show no significant gender differences during the recovery. However, in 2015, 63 percent of millennial men lived independently of family, compared with 72 percent of millennial women. Most of the decline in independent living since 2007 can be attributed to more young adults living in their parents’ homes. In the first third of 2015, 26 percent of Millennials lived with their parents. At the beginning of the recovery in 2010, 24 percent of young adults were living with parents. Read the full story http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2015/07/29/more-millennials-living-with-family-despite-improved-jobmarket/ In other news … U.S. Homeownership Rate Hits 48-Year Low Source: Wall St. Journal The homeownership rate continued to decline in the second quarter of 2015, hitting a 48-year low. The country is experiencing its lowest homeownership rate since 1967. According to the Commerce Department, the seasonally adjusted homeownership rate declined to 63.5 percent, down from 64.7 percent in the second quarter of 2014. However, it should be noted that the decline in homeownership reflects a positive trend: The number of rental households is growing. Read the full story http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/07/28/u-s-homeownership-rate-hits-48-year-low/ How will rising interest rates (really) affect you? Source: Christian Science Monitor The financial world will be searching for clues from the Federal Reserve about the timing of the longawaited hike on interest rates. The decision is important to the economy because the eventual increase in the rate will affect anyone who has a home mortgage, a car loan, a savings account, or money invested in the stock market. Most analysts believe that rising interest rates ultimately lead to higher mortgage rates, which means aspiring homeowners should expect to pay more over the course of their mortgage. That could price some people out of the market. Moreover, interest rate movement also impacts the rental market, so even people without a mortgage will notice the change. Read the full story http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2015/0729/How-will-rising-interest-rates-really-affect-you The Shaky Foundation For U.S. Housing-Price Growth Source: Wall St. Journal The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, covering the entire nation, rose 4.4 percent in the 12 months ended in May, slightly greater than a 4.3 percent increase in April. Alarmingly, home prices have been rising at twice the rate of income growth and inflation. That being said, there is already evidence that home-price growth is starting to slow—after a period of time in which home prices have grown just over 4 percent every month of 2015 so far. The equation pushing home prices higher is a simple one: New home construction has been very limited in recent years, while demand has remained fairly strong. Read the full story http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/07/29/the-shaky-foundation-for-u-s-housing-price-growth/ California's drought spurs unexpected effect: Eco-friendly development Source: KPCC Smaller homes built close to each other with a common green space is just one example of new, ecofriendly communities in California's predominantly agricultural Central Valley that are taking shape due to the drought. The severity of the drought is changing the way people are designing residential communities. Cities in the Central Valley are dominated by older homes and basic tract houses, but new developments that will run on solar power with drought-resistant yards are something new for farm towns. Read the full story http://www.scpr.org/news/2015/07/29/53459/california-s-drought-spurs-unexpected-effect-eco-f/ Housing supply falls further, feeding prices Source: CNBC The supply of homes for sale nationally in June fell 6.5 percent from a year ago, according to a new report from Zillow. Demand for housing has returned, but housing supply has not, and the numbers are only getting worse. Stan Humphries, chief economist at Zillow, commented, “Finding a house is the last hurdle for many buyers who have saved a down payment and gotten pre-approved for a mortgage, but low inventory levels like those we're seeing across the country can bring the home-buying process to a screeching halt.” Inventory fell in 19 of the nation's largest metropolitan areas. Read the full story http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/30/housing-supply-falls-further-feeding-prices.html Where Rents Are Eating Up a Bigger Share of Income Source: Wall St. Journal Renters on the West Coast are feeling some of the greatest pressure when it comes to rents growing faster than incomes. Cost burdens are spreading rapidly among moderate-income households, according to a recent report by Harvard University, and rents in cities like Los Angeles and San Francisco have really squeezed household budgets. Economists generally consider a household cost-burdened when it is paying at least 30 percent of its income for rent. There has been a mismatch between robust growth in rents and more tepid gains for income. Read the full story http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/07/28/where-rents-are-eating-up-a-bigger-share-of-income/ Talking Points … An index measuring economic confidence fell to a 10-month low, according to Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index. The index dropped to -14 last week, which was the lowest level recorded since last September. The index has been on a downward trajectory since late January when the index peaked at +5, which was the highest weekly score since Gallup began tracking economic confidence in 2008. Since mid-March, the index has consistently been in negative territory. Gallup's index is the average of two factors: how the public rates the current economy and whether people feel the economy is improving or getting worse.