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1 MATH CURRICULUM MAP Park East High School Instructor: Brady Course: Statistics I Unit (Number of Days) Central tendency with outliers and variables (11) Knowledge/Content Central tendency with outliers: baseball salaries The effect of outliers on a graph, shape of a graph, mean and median Accuracy of measure of central tendency when there are outliers Applications: baseball salaries, income by education level, colleges, and politicians Modality Nominal and quantitative variables Relationships between variables: independent and dependent, correlational, no relationship Scales Teach study skill: consolidating notes Assessments Transferrable Skills Homework: central tendency letter Study skills Homework: voter registration Recall factual information Homework: consolidate unit 1 notes Homework: unit 1 review problem set Exam: central tendency with outliers and variables (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Self-reflection Big Ideas Averages reported by colleges, politicians, and other organizations should be looked at with a critical eye. Sometimes they intentionally or unintentionally report biased averages due to the presence of outliers Common Core Standards STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable S-ID.2. Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets. S-ID.3. Interpret differences in shape, center, and spread in the context of the data sets, accounting for possible effects of extreme data points (outliers). 2 Unit (Number of Days) Sampling bias (13) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Sample survey vs. census, sample vs. population, parameter vs. statistic Homework: article on sampling bias with questions Study skills Surveys and polls (including election polls) should be viewed with a critical eye. They sometimes include bias or errors due to sampling methods, survey methods, errors in sampling, and/or poor question wording. STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Sampling methods: random, voluntary response, convenience The difference between race and ethnicity Errors in sampling: non-response, undercoverage, response error, processing errors Survey methods: group administration, mail, internet, telephone, face-to-face, focus group How question wording can lead to sampling error Homework: Dewey defeats Truman article with questions Homework: consolidate unit 2 notes Homework: unit 2 review problem set The impact of question wording on poll results Project: census letter Identifying the problems with question wording in real polls Exam: sampling bias (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Identifying biased sampling methods and sampling errors Teach study skill mnemonic devices: association Formulation and justification of hypotheses Identify bias Recall factual information Think critically The difference between race and ethnicity explains why Hispanic is not considered a race. Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.3. Recognize the purposes of sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each. S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 3 Unit (Number of Days) Variability and hypothesis testing (16) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Advantages/disadvantages of types of variability (range and variance/standard deviation) Homework: marking period 1 course reflection Study skills STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Homework: calculating standard deviation Multiple methodologies An ideal investment in the stock market would have a high mean and a low standard deviation. Homework: decision matrices Analysis of data Standard deviation application: interpreting class test scores Standard deviation application: stock market Calculating SS, variance, and standard deviation Writing research questions, H0, and H1 Deciding whether to accept or reject H0 Type I/II error and decision chart Decision chart application to jury trials and famous court cases Evaluating which type of error is worse in various real world contexts Selecting a significance test Teach study skill: elimination quizzing in pairs Homework: consolidate unit 3 notes Homework: unit 3 review problem set Exam: variability and hypothesis testing (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Cooperative learning Use of technology Formulation and justification of hypotheses Interpretation of results and development of theories Interpretation of graphs Perform multi-step calculations Recall factual information Think critically An appropriate standard for decision making should be used to balance the possibility of Type I and Type II errors. In court cases, the balance is between convicting the innocent or letting the guilty go free. In research, it’s between concluding there is a significant relationship when there actually is not one and failing to identify a significant relationship that actually does exist. For example, it could be between distributing a false cure and failing to distribute a true cure, or operating when a patient does not need it and failing to operate when a patient actually does need it. Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable S-ID.2. Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 4 Unit (Number of Days) Correlation (16) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Creating a scatter plot and application activity Homework: read sample research paper and answer questions Use of technology (TI84 PLUS graphing calculator) Correlation does not imply causation. STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Homework: select variables and run prestudy Formulation and justification of hypotheses Identifying the strength and direction of a correlation Analysis of data Testing the significance of r Calculating r by hand using real world data sets Calculating r on the TI-84 PLUS using real world data sets Formulating a hypothesis and reason Homework: consolidate unit 4 notes Interpretation of results and development of theories Evaluating significance Formulating an interpretation and theory Homework: unit 4 review problem set Errors in interpreting r (correlation does not imply causation, curvilinear relationships, and restricted range) Project: formal study group Exam #4: correlation (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Oral expression of and defense of ideas Conduct original research Distinguish between correlation and causation Identify bias Perform multi-step calculations Recall factual information Think critically Questions about the relationship between two quantitative variables can be answered via a survey and correlation analysis. Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables S-ID.6. Represent data on two quantitative variables on a scatter plot, and describe how the variables are related Interpret linear models S-ID.8. Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit. S-ID.9. Distinguish between correlation and causation. Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 5 Unit (Number of Days) Correlation Research (20) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Problems with survey questions Homework: weekly checkpoints on research project progress Study skills STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Project: correlation research Identify bias Questions about the relationship between two quantitative variables can be answered via a survey and correlation analysis. Workshop survey questions / research design Choose two quantitative variables Create survey Title page Table of contents Peer edit Revision Time management Introduction Think critically Administer survey Use of technology (TI84 PLUS graphing calculator and Microsoft Excel) Data analysis Create scatter plot in Excel Results Method Discussion Abstract Peer edit Presentation planning guide Presentations Analysis of data Methodology for conducting and formally writing up research. Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables S-ID.6. Represent data on two quantitative variables on a scatter plot, and describe how the variables are related Interpret linear models S-ID.8. Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit. S-ID.9. Distinguish between correlation and causation. Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 6 Unit Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards (Number of Days) Final Exam Review CUNY placement test background information Homework: consolidate semester notes Study skills Study stills are particularly important tools for the recall large quantities of information on a cumulative exam. All of the above (8) Finals review Homework: semester review with mnemonic devices Final Exam (matching column, multiple choice, calculations, short answer and self-reflection essay) Self-reflection Recall factual information 7 MATH CURRICULUM MAP Park East High School Instructor: Brady Course: Statistics II Unit (Number of Days) Data ethics (12) Knowledge/Content Assessments Ethics: ethical/unethical, deception, confederate, debriefing, costbenefit analysis Homework: Heinz dilemma and MyersBriggs Typology Indicator IRB: minimal risk, costs/benefits Stanford Prison experiment Milgram obedience experiment Informed consent: little Albert experiment Confidentiality, anonymity, and privacy Bystander effect Placebo effect, clinical trials (article: sham surgeries) When are clinical trials unethical?: Tuskegee syphilis study Five ways a study can be unethical: Kohlberg chart: interpretations of responses to the Heinz dilemma Homework: Tuskegee syphilis study and design a clinical trial Homework: consolidate unit 1 notes Homework: unit 1 review problem set Exam: data ethics (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Transferrable Skills Learn material independently from a textbook Recall factual information Big Ideas Decision making via cost-benefit analysis Apply ethics to dilemmas Common Core Standards STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. 8 Unit (Number of Days) The normal curve and standard scores (10) Knowledge/Content The normal curve: curving tests Calculations based on the normal curve Percentiles Z scores given mean and standard deviation T scores given mean and standard deviation SAT scores given mean and SD Converting raw scores to z, t, and SAT scores Assessments Transferrable Skills Homework: curving policies Recall factual information Homework: the normal curve and standard scores Represent data in multiple ways Homework: resume Compare individual performance to group performance Analysis of data Homework: resume edits and post high school plans Homework: consolidate Unit 2 notes Homework: unit 2 review problem set Project: tackle the textbook Exam #2: the normal curve and standard scores (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Big Ideas Curving is a comparative form of grading that can help or hurt a score. Common Core Standards STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable S-ID.4. Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. 9 Unit Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards (Number of Days) Chi square and reliability / validity Applying the normal curve to Park East PSAT data Homework: chi square tables Multiple methodologies STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Homework: consolidate unit 3 notes Use of technology (TI84 PLUS graphing calculator) Questions about the relationship between two nominal variables can be answered via a survey and a chi square test. Homework: unit 3 review problem set Analysis of data (15) Chi square by hand with real world data sets Chi square 2x2 shortcut with real world data sets Chi square on the TI-84 plus with real world data sets Reliability and validity Percent variance Predictive validity Project: chi square: gender vs. race Exam: chi square reliability / validity (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Formulation and justification of hypotheses Interpretation of results and development of theories Identify bias Perform multi-step calculations Read and interpret journal articles Recall factual information Think critically The difference between reliability and validity. Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables S-ID.5. Summarize categorical data for two categories in two-way frequency tables. Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies). Recognize possible associations and trends in the data. Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 10 Unit (Number of Days) t-test (10) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Selecting a significance test and writing H0 Homework: selecting a significance test Multiple methodologies Questions about the relationship between a quantitative variable and a nominal variable with two levels can be answered via a survey and a t-test. STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY t test given n, mean, and s Calculating t test with raw data by hand t-test with hypothesis, reason, significance, interpretation and theory t test on the TI-84 PLUS with real world data sets t test activity in partners on the TI84 PLUS Homework: stereotype brainstorm Use of technology (TI84 PLUS graphing calculator) Analysis of data Homework: consolidate unit 4 notes Homework: unit 4 review problem set Exam: t-test (matching column, multiple choice, calculations and short answer) Formulation and justification of hypotheses Interpretation of results and development of theories Identify bias Perform multi-step calculations Recall factual information Think critically Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. S-IC.6. Evaluate reports based on data. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 11 Unit (Number of Days) CUNY Placement Test Review (7) Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards How to choose a college math class Homework: CUNY placement diagnostic tests Use of technology (Microsoft Windows calculator) College classes in a catalog can be distinguished by course number (a lower number means lower level) and course description. ALGEBRA Arithmetic/pre-algebra Algebra Creating Equations Create equations that describe numbers or relationships. A-CED.1. Create equations and inequalities in one variable and use them to solve problems. Include equations arising from linear and quadratic functions, and simple rational and exponential functions. Reasoning with Equations and Inequalities Understand solving equations as a process of reasoning and explain the reasoning. A-REI.2. Solve simple rational and radical equations in one variable, and give examples showing how extraneous solutions may arise. Solve equations and inequalities in one variable. A-REI.3. Solve linear equations and inequalities in one variable, including equations with coefficients represented by letters. Solve systems of equations. A-REI.6. Solve systems of linear equations exactly and approximately (e.g., with graphs), focusing on pairs of linear equations in two variables. Seeing Structure in Expressions Write expressions in equivalent forms to solve problems. A-SSE.3. Choose and produce an equivalent form of an expression to reveal and explain properties of the quantity represented by the expression. a. Factor a quadratic expression to reveal the zeros of the function it defines. 12 Unit Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards (Number of Days) Chi square research Workshop survey questions / research design Homework: weekly checkpoints on research project progress Use of technology (TI-84 PLUS graphing calculator and Microsoft Excel) Questions about the relationship between two nominal variables can be answered via a survey and a chi square test. STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (19) Choose 2 nominal variables Create survey Title page Table of contents Introduction Analysis of data Project: chi square stereotype research Formulation and justification of hypotheses Administer survey Data analysis Write results Method Table Discussion Abstract Interpretation of results and development of theories Oral expression and defense of ideas Conduct original research Presentation planning guide Peer edit Peer edit Presentations Revision Methodology for conducting and formally writing up research Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables S-ID.5. Summarize categorical data for two categories in two-way frequency tables. Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies). Recognize possible associations and trends in the data. Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies S-IC.4. Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments S-IC.1. Understand statistics as a process for making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. Identify bias Time management Think critically MODELING Relating population statistics to individual predictions. 13 Unit (Number of Days) Final Exam Review Knowledge/Content Assessments Transferrable Skills Big Ideas Common Core Standards Finals review Homework: consolidate semester notes Self-reflection Study stills are particularly important tools for the recall large quantities of information on a cumulative exam. All of the above (6) Homework: semester review with mnemonic devices Final exam (matching column, multiple choice, calculations, short answer and self-reflection essay) Recall factual information