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Important Distribution Functions Dr. Dennis S. Mapa Prof. Manuel Leonard F. Albis UP School of Statistics Normal Distribution The Normal Distribution is the most important continuous distribution. This distribution represents adequately many random processes. This has a bell-like shape with more weight in the center and tails tapering off to zero. The normal distribution can be characterized by its first two moments, the mean µ (location) and the variance 2 (dispersion). Normal Distribution A continuous random variable X is said to be normally distributed if its density function is given by , f ( x) 1 2 2 1 x 2 exp 2 for - < x < Its mean is E[X] = µ and variance is V[X] = 2. We denote the distribution as N(µ,2). The Normal Distribution 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 u-3s u-2s u-s u u+s u+2s u+3s distribution of values is bell-shaped symmetric about the population mean values (µ) both tails of the curve will approach the horizontal axis but will never touch it The Normal Distribution In any normal distribution, observations are distributed symmetrically around the mean, with, about 68.27% of all values under the curve lie within one standard deviation of the mean (µ ± ) about 95.45% of all values under the curve lie within two standard deviation of the mean (µ±2) about 99.73% of all values under the curve lie within three standard deviation of the mean (µ±3) The Normal Distribution with Different Means and Variances The Standard Normal Distribution Instead of having to deal with different parameters, it is often convenient to work with the standard normal variable, Z. The standard normal distribution has a mean 0 and variance of 1 (standard deviation is also 1). If X is normally distributed with mean µ and standard deviation , X may be transformed into Z = (X - µ)/, where Z is standard normal. Central Limit Theorem If X is the mean of a random sample of size n taken from a large (or infinite) population with mean and variance 2, then the sampling distribution of X is approximately normally distributed with mean and variance 2/n when n is sufficiently large. Hence, the limiting form of the distribution of X Z n is the standard normal distribution. The Student’s t Distribution The Student’s t distribution is an important distribution that we use in hypothesis testing. It describes the distribution of the ratio of the estimated coefficient and its standard error. The distribution is characterized by the parameter k known as the degrees of freedom. Its probability density function is given by, k 1 / 2 1 1 f ( x) k / 2 k 1 x 2 / k ( k 1) / 2 The Student’s t Distribution The distribution is symmetrical with mean zero and variance V(X) = k/(k – 2), provided k > 2. Its kurtosis is = 3 + 6/(k – 4), provided k > 4. It has fatter tails than the normal distribution which often provides a better representation of typical financial variables. k is usually between 4 to 6. The Student’s t Distribution Student’s t – distribution If X and S2 are the sample mean and sample variance, respectively, of a random sample of size n taken from a population which is normally distributed with mean and variance 2, then X T S n is a random variable having the t - distribution with v = n-1 degrees of freedom. The t-distribution is an important distribution in hypothesis testing. F- distribution The F distribution is an asymmetric distribution that has a minimum value of 0, but no maximum value. The curve reaches a peak not far to the right of 0, and then gradually approaches the horizontal axis as the F value becomes large. The F distribution approaches, but never quite touches the horizontal axis. The F distribution has two degrees of freedom, d1 for the numerator, d2 for the denominator. For each combination of these degrees of freedom there is a different F distribution. The F distribution is most spread out when the degrees of freedom are small. As the degrees of freedom increase, the F distribution is less dispersed. F- distribution The figure below shows the shape of the distribution. The F value is on the horizontal axis, with the probability for each F value being represented by the vertical axis. The shaded area in the diagram represents the level of significance α shown in the table. Chi Square Distribution In probability theory and statistics, the chi-square distribution (also chi-squared or χ²-distribution) with k degrees of freedom is the distribution of a sum of the squares of k independent standard normal random variables. The chi-square distribution is a mathematical distribution that is used directly or indirectly in many tests of significance. The chi-square distribution has one parameter, its degrees of freedom (df). It has a positive skewness. As the df increase, the chi square distribution approaches a normal distribution. Chi Square Distribution Examples of Chi-Square Distribution with varying degrees of freedom