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10/05/16 Natural Selection Martin Lascoux Dpt of Ecology and Genetics Interacting forces Evolution through Natural selection 1. The principle of variation Among individuals within any population there is variation in morphology, physiology and behavior. 2. The principle of heredity This variation is geneticallycontrolled. Offspring resemble their parents more than they resemble unrelated individuals 3. The principle of selection Some forms are more successful at surviving and reproducing than other forms in a given environment. 1 10/05/16 The evidence Evidence of natural selection I Evidence of natural selection II 2 10/05/16 Evidence of natural selection II • Beak size is heritable • Beak size is correlated with climatic fluctuations. Evidence of natural selection II Calmodulin expression correlates with beak morphology Abzhanov et al 2006 Evidence of natural selection III Widespread parallel evolution in sticklebacks by repeated fixation of Ectodysplasin alleles. Colosimo et al. , Science 307:1928-1933 3 10/05/16 Three-spines sticklebacks (Gasterosteus aculeatus): an interesting evolutionary system • Sticklebacks have undergone one of the most recent evolutionary radiations on earth, generating a large number of distinct populations with dramatic changes in morphological, physiological, and behavioral characteristics. Lateral plates • Easy to manipulate in the lab, large clutches, availability of genomic data. Evolution of lateral armor plates:QTL mapping Gac4174: QTL explains 77% of the variation in plate morph/number Genetic, physical and linkage disequilibrium map of the plate morph interval 1cm Largest differences in allele frequency between complete and low morphs. 4 10/05/16 Parallel evolution most low-plate populations have a shared history at the Eda locus (B) but not at other nuclear genes (C) Low-plate alleles are present in detectable frequencies in completely-plated sticklebacks Transgenics Low-plate Transgenic 5 10/05/16 The mechanics of natural selection A simple case: haploid model • To keep things simple assume two bacterial genotypes A and B that reproduce asexually. • Genotype A grows faster than genotype B. At=(1+a)tA0 and Bt=(1+b)tB0 • What will happen in the long run if a=0.5 and b=0.4? Selection takes place when a≠b 6 10/05/16 Selection takes place when a≠b: B’s are replaced by A’s Selection takes place when a≠b: B’s are replaced by A’s • The quantity that matters here is: w= 1+ b 1+ a the relative fitness € Example: experimental evolution of E. coli Mutations with higher fitness Travisiano & Lenski 1994 7 10/05/16 Two major points! • It’s relative fitness that matters, not absolute fitness. • Relative fitness depends on the environment: an environmental change can change the relative fitness Fitness and environment Experimental evolution In Pseudomonas. Different morphs evolve to occupy the different ecological niches in the Petri dish. Travisiano & Rainey 1998 Complex environment Homogeneous environment 8 10/05/16 Relative fitness of the different morphs Selection in diploids: viability selection Removing assumptions from the basic model • • • • • Infinite population size No mutation No migration No selection Random mating 9 10/05/16 Viability selection: basic model • Genetic system • • • Single, biallelic, autosomal locus Diploidy Random mating among individuals • Selection • • • Selection identical in both sexes Selection occurs through differences in viability Constant fitness values • Other factors • • • • • Nonoverlapping generations No inbreeding Infinite population size No gene flow No mutation Relative Fitnesses Genotypes AA Aa aa Number of zygotes 100 200 100 Number of adults Survival Relative fitnesses 80 160 50 0.80 1 0.80 1 0.5 0.625 Viability selection Genotype Frequency Fitness AA p2 WAA Aa 2pq WAa aa q2 Waa 10 10/05/16 Change in genotype frequency AA Aa aa W 2 pq Aa W W AA p W 2 Waa q W 2 Change in allele frequency WAA=1, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 p0=0.1 1 0.9 A 0.8 0.7 0.6 p(A) W p' = p W 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations € WAA=1, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 0.12 Change in allele frequency 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Allele frequency (A) 11 10/05/16 WAA=1, WAa=0.5, Waa=0.5 p0=0.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 p(A) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations WAA=1, WAa=0.5, Waa=0.5 0.12 Change in allele frequency 0.1 0.08 0.06 Series1 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Allele frequency (A) Purging recessive deleterious genes Full recessive Partly recessive WAA=0.1, WAa=0.8, Waa=1 WAA=0.1, WAa=1, Waa=1 1 1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 p(A) p(A) 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Generations 30 35 40 45 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations 12 10/05/16 WAA=0.5, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 p0=0.1 and p0=0.9 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations WAA=0.5, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 0.08 Change in allele frequency 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 Allele frequency (A) WAA=0.1, WAa=1, Waa=0.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 p(A) p(A) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations 13 10/05/16 WAA=0.1, WAa=1, Waa=0.1 0.3 Change in allele frequency 0.2 0.1 0 Series1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 Allele frequency (A) WAA=0.1, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations WAA=0.1, WAa=1, Waa=0.5 0.1 Equilibrium value 0.05 Change in allele frequency p(A) 0.6 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 -0.05 -0.1 Series1 -0.15 -0.2 -0.25 -0.3 Allele frequency (A) 14 10/05/16 WAA=1, WAa=0.5, Waa=1 p0=0.1 and p0=0.9 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 p(A) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Generations Another parameterization Fitness AA Aa aa WAA WAa Waa 1 1-hs 1-s s: selection coefficient h: dominance coefficient (h=0: a fully recessive, h=0.5, additivity of allelic effects) In the case of overdominance 15 10/05/16 Viability selection in diploids Contrary to the haploid case there exists a case, and only one, where, in the absence of mutation, selection can maintain genetic variation: this is called overdominance Overdominance: an example β-globin locus (HbS/HbA) Malaria • Became common with the spread of agriculture (ca 10,000 ya) • Many genes involved in resistance to malaria (complex trait) 16 10/05/16 Table 1: Percentage Frequencies of the Sickle Cell Trait in the New World Malarious Regions 23.3 20.3 11.5 14.0 Honduras Surinam Jamaica St.Lucia Non-Malarious Regions Curacao St.Vincent Dominique Barbados 7.2 8.7 9.5 7.0 Frequency-dependent selection Gametophytic SI system (Solanaceae) Sporophytic SI system (Brassicaceae) Gametophytic SI with 3 alleles Progeny Female parent Pollen Freq S1S2 S1S3 S2S3 S1S2 S3 P12 - 1/2P12 1/2P12 S1S3 S2 P13 1/2P13 S2S3 S1 P23 1/2P23 1/2P23 1/2(1-P12) 1/2(1-P13) 1/2P13 1/2(1-P23) 17 10/05/16 Gametophytic SI with 3 alleles 0.6 0.5 Allele frequency 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Generation Mutation-selection balance • Recessive mutant • Partially recessive mutant (more mutations are eliminated) qˆ = qˆ ≈ µ s µ hs Conclusion Selection is a force that is more difficult to model than, say, genetic drift. There are many examples in the wild and the efficacy of directional selection has been shown repeatedly by breeding 18