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Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Babylon University – College Of Medicine Department of Community Medicine Lectures in Community Medicine For 4th Stage Students By Dr. Hassan Baiee 2011 – 2012 Lecture 6 Study Design Study Designs: 1. Observational studies: a- Descriptive studies:1- Case report. 2- Case series. 3- Ecological studies (correlational) 4- Cross-sectional (prevalence studies) b- Analytical studies:1- Case control studies (case references) 2- Cohort studies (prospective studies) 2. Experimental studies (intervention studies): a- Randomized controlled trials (Clinical trials) b- Field trials c- Community trials (Community intervention studies) Observational studies:Allow nature to take its course: the investigator measures but does not intervene. They include descriptive or analytic studies. A descriptive study is limited to a description of the occurrence of a disease in a population and is often the first step in an epidemiological investigation. An analytic study goes further by analyzing relationships between health status and other variables. Advantages of descriptive studies: 1. They use already available data. 2. They are less expensive and less time-consuming. 3. They describe the pattern of disease occurrence. 4. They formulate research hypothesis. 1 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Case reports: Physician who sees unusual presentation of a common disease or a very rare disease and he describes the findings of this case, case description may take any relevant description of findings. An unusual case may add to our knowledge, for example MI in very young person without ECG finding is unusual presentation of MI. Case series (Clinical series): When a group of cases of the same disease are reported but in this study we can not: Study the etiology of the disease Testing hypothesis Have a control group But in this study it can help in generating hypothesis. Example: vaginal ca is very rare in young females, if 10 cases were reported and studied it may help us to generate a hypothesis when we interrogated with stilbestrol taking during pregnancy among their mothers (this can be done by further studies). Discovery of AIDS was a case series. Many clinical studies are case series. Advantages of case reports or case series: 1. Use available clinical data. 2. Detailed individual data. 3. Add to our knowledge. 4. Suggest need for investigation (hypothesis generation). Disadvantages of case report or case series 1. May reflect experience of one person or one clinician. 2. No explicit comparison group. Ecological Studies (correlational): based on studying of a group of people not individual as in previous studies. Correlation data represent average exposure level rather than individual level so we do not have each person information. Ecological studies can generate a hypothesis and need further confirmation, it provides just initial clues to causation. Example: as meat consumption in different countries increases prevalence of ca colon increases, Cigarette smoking increases ca lung prevalence increases as well. 2 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Advantages of Correlational Study: 1. They describe the disease in the entire population in relation to the factor of interest. 2. They use the correlation coefficient (r) to measure the association between the two variables of interest. 3. They are easy to do, inexpensive and can be conducted quickly. 4. They represent the first step in searching for exposure-disease relationship (generate hypothesis) 5. They use available data (administrative or other aggregate data). Disadvantages of Correlational Study: 1. Correlation data represent average exposure level rather than actual individual values. Data on exposure and data on outcome are collected independently. 2. No assurance that persons with exposure (risk factor) of interest are the same ones with outcome (disease) of interest. 3. Inability to link exposure with the disease in particular individual. Cross-Sectional studies (prevalence studies or surveys): It is a study of a group of people at a point in time for the prevalence of a disease or an attribute in a well defined population but data is collected at individual levels. In this study the measurements of exposure and effect are made at the same time. Survey either: Population survey = census Or Sample survey Advantages of cross sectional study: 1. Provide generalization from the sample to the population. 2. They are short term studies and not expensive. 3. Provide good information for the health problems and good for health planners to assess health care needs. 4. Used for generating hypothesis to be test in further studies. Disadvantages of cross sectional study: 1. It is difficult to separate cause and effect because measurement of exposure and disease are made as one point of time and it is impossible to determined which came first. 2. Cases detected are prevalent cases (survivors) leading to survival bias cases cured or died are not detected. 3. Non response and this will affect the representation of the sample. 3 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Case Control Study: A case control study begins with the selection of cases which should represent all cases from a specified population. The most difficult task is to select controls; the controls should represent people who would have been designated study cases if they had developed the diseases. An important aspect of this study is the determination of the start and duration of exposure, the exposure status is usually determined after the development of the disease (retrospective) and usually by direct questioning of the affected person. Exposure may be determined by biochemical measurement, established recording system. Direction of inquiry Time Exposed Disease Non-exposed Population Exposed No disease Non-exposed Figure shows case control study design 4 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Sources of selection of cases in case control study Hospital-based case control study: the cases will be identified from the hospital or other health care facilities. These are common, relatively easy and inexpensive. Population-based case control study: It involves locating and obtaining data from all affected individuals or a random sample from population. Selection of controls in case control study: It is the most difficult aspect of Case Control Study (CCS), it depends on: 1. Characteristics and sources of cases. 2. Need to obtain comparable and reliable information from cases and controls. 3. Practical and economic considerations. The control should be comparable to the source of the population of cases. Any exclusion or restrictions made in the selection of cases should be applied equally to the controls and vice versa. Advantages of case control studies: 1. Suitable for rare diseases. 2. Results can be obtained quickly. 3. Relatively inexpensive and short term study. Disadvantages of case control studies: 1. Incidence or absolute risk cannot be determined directly from a case control study. 2. Difficulty in selection of the control. 3. Case-control studies rely upon retrospective data which lead to recall bias. 4. Because the data are collected after the event (retrospectively) it is difficult to be whether correlation is causal or not. 5 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Example of case control study of coronary heart disease (CHD) and cigarette smoking: CHD Smoke Cigarettes Do not smoke a Control b 112 c 176 d 88 224 Total 200 400 % of smoking 56% 44% odd’s that cases exposed Odd’s ratio = ـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ odd’s that control exposed cases with exposure × control without exposure = ــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ control with exposure × cases without exposure ad a/c = ـــــــــــــــ = ـــــــــــــ bc b/d 112 × 224 25088 = = ــــــــــــــــــــ = ـــــــــــــــــــــــ1.6 176 × 88 15488 The exposure is positively related to the disease because the odd’s ratio is greater than 1 6 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Cohort Study: Follow-up study or incidence study. Begin with a group of people (a cohort) free of disease, who are classified into subgroups according to exposure to potential cause of disease, and the whole cohort is followed up to see how the subsequent development of new cases of the disease differ between the groups with and without exposure. Cohort study is a longitudinal study. Cohort study provides the best information about the causation of disease and the most direct measurement of the risk of developing disease. Direction of inquiry Time Diseased Exposed Non-diseased Population Cohort Diseased Not exposed Non-diseased Figure shows cohort study design Advantages of Cohort studies: 1. They allow complete description of the individuals experience subsequent to exposure. 2. They provide clear temporal sequence of exposure and disease. 3. They provide excellent opportunity to study rare exposures. 4. They permit the assessment of multiple outcomes that may be related to the same risk factor. 5. They permit the direct assessment of risk of exposure and disease development . 6. Less chance of bias . 7 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Disadvantages of Cohort studies: 1. Not suitable for rare disease. 2. Long-term follow up may be needed when the latency period for outcome of interest is long. 3. Attrition or loss of people from the sample during the course of the study. 4. Time consuming. 5. Expensive. 6. The exposure status may change during the conduct of the study. Experimental Studies (intervention): The investigator exercises control over the independent factors manipulating them to see the effectiveness of the new drugs or preventing methods for a certain disease . The investigator would intervene, given the drug to one group of patients but not to another, properly conducted experiment is the most powerful way of establishing cause and effect relationship. This method in medical research commonly takes the form of randomized control trials.Which study a new preventive or regime. Randomized control trial (RCL) is an epidemiological experiment to study a new preventive or therapeutic regime. Subjects in a population are randomly allocated to groups, usually called treatment and control groups and the results are assessed by comparing the outcome in the two or more groups. The outcome of interest will vary but may be the development of new disease or recovery from established disease. To ensure that the groups being compared are equivalent patients are allocated to them randomly i.e. by chance. Within the limits of chance randomization ensures that control and treatment groups will be comparable at the start of an investigation. Any differences between groups are chance occurrence unaffected by the conscious and unconscious biases of the investigators. The investigation under test may be a new drug or a new regime, such as early mobilization after myocardial infarction. 8 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Problems of interventional studies a. Ethical: there should be always some doubt in the beneficial or harmful effect of an agent procedure to be tested. b. Feasibility: it is not always feasible. c. Cost: the cost is higher than other studies. Blindness: a) Single blindness: The patients are not aware about the drugs they received. b) Double blindness: Neither the investigator nor the patients are aware about the drugs received by the study group or the control group. Study Population Selection by defined criteria Potential Participants Nonparticipants (do not meet selection criteria) Invitation to participate Participants Nonparticipants Randomization Treatment Control Design of randomized controlled trial (RCT) 9 Community Medicine: Lecture 6: Study Design _________________________Dr. Hassan Baey Myocardial Patients (507) Uncomplicated (179) Randomized (80) Complicated. Excluded (328) Not included in study (99) Early discharge (40) Late discharge (40) 0 6 0 3 0 10 5 8 Outcome: Deaths Hospital re-admissions Re-infarctions Patients with angina Randomized controlled trial of early hospital discharge after Myocardial infarction 10