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Avalanches: Disaster or Miracle? A Changing Ecological Effect Jason Blair February 21, 2009 Winter Ecology Spring 2009 Mountain Research Station, University of Colorado, Boulder Introduction A commom natural disaster with frequently overlooked ecological benefits. Inherent Danger and Destuctive Nature Avalanche Corridors Climate Change Avalanche Path Habitats Avalanches not only destroy habitats, but they create new ones. Increase Ecotones “The biodiversity within avalanche tracks is highly increased compared to the surrounding forest. The more avalanches occur, the more significant the difference becomes.” (Rixen) Biodiversity Avalanche Corridors Forest Complexity Avalanche Cylces “Over 80% of the 141 observed species grew in less than 5% of the investigated plots, although the undisturbed vegetation outside of the avalanche tracks consisted of a larchspruce forest throughout the entire monitoring area” (Rixen.) Climate Change “In the past 15 years the frequency of avalanches has increased from 1 every decade to one every 35 years” (Huggel) Reflects changes in trigger mechanisms Wet Avalanches Permafrost Impermeable by meltwater Failing to freeze Wet Avalanches Danger to Humans: -Harder to Predict -Harder to control with explosives -Occur on more gentle slopes (5-20 degrees ) -Lower Elevations -Heavier debris Effect on Ecosystem: -Slower Moving -Less total snowpack Aspen Mountain Research A 2007 study modeled climate change in CO ski areas “evaluated how climate change resulting from increased greenhouse gas emissions may affect the timing of wet avalanches and snow quality at Aspen Mountain in the years 2030 and 2100.”(Lazar, Williams) Potential to change the timing of wet avalanches and snow quality Air Temperature Graphs Top of Aspen Base of Aspen Conclusion Avalanches are a natural disturbance like fire Integral part in shaping the forest community Patterns of Forest Cover Biodiversity New Seedling Establishment More Complex and Balanced Ecosystem Dynamics and ecology of Avalanches being directly effected by climate change. Changing Cycle Wetter Snowpack Less disturbance avalanches More reasearch is necessary Further testing on how wet avalanches effect enivronment differently. Literature Cited Armstrong R, Ives J.D.; “Wet snow avalanches” in “Avalanche release and snow characteristics, San Juan Mountains, Colorado.” 1976 p. 67 Baggi, Stefano, Schweizer, Jurg; Characteristics of wet-snow avalanche activity: 20 years of observations from a high alpine valley; November 2008; http://www.wsl.ch/personal_homepages/schweizj/publications/Baggi_Schweizer_wet_snow_avalanch es_preprint.pdf Huggel, Christian; “Recent Extreme Avalanches: Triggered by Climate Change?” Eos, Vol. 89, No. 47, P. 469; 18 November 2008 Lazar, Brian, and Williams, Mark; “Climate change in western ski areas: Potential changes in the timing of wet avalanches and snow quality for the Aspen ski area in the years 2030 and 2100” Cold Regions Science and Technology 51(2008) p. 219 Rixen, Christian; “Avalanches Create New Habitats for Plants” June 25, 2003 http://www.waldwissen.net/themen/naturgefahren/schnee/wsl_lawinen_pflanzen_EN?-C=& Simonson, S., Fassnacht,S.R.; “Snow Avalanche Disturbance Ecology: Examples From the San Juan Mountains, Colorado.” American Geophysical Union, December 2008 Fagre, Daniel B., Reardon, Blase A; “Avalanches in Glacier National Park” Park Science; Vol. 24 No. 1, Summer 2006. P. 37 www.nrmsc.usgs.gov/files/norock/products/GCC/ParkScience_WMI_Reardon_06.pdf