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Thursday • March 3, 2016 Dairy Cow Slaughter 135 S. LaSalle St. | Suite 3000 Chicago, IL 60603 312-492-4200 www.ricedairy.com By Ryan Yonkman • [email protected] HIGHLIGHTS • Week 2 of February was down 3.0% from a year ago (Total U.S - 1,900) • The Southwest down 4.4% from a year ago (region 6- AR, LA, NM, OK & TX - 400) • The Northeast was down 7.6% from a year ago (region 3- DE-MD, PA, WV & VA - 800) • The West was up 1.1% from a year ago (region 9- AZ, CA, HI & NV + 200) • The Midwest is not reporting cow numbers (region 5- IL, IN, MI, MN, OH & WI ) • The Northwest was up 2.6% YOY (region 10 - AK, ID, OR, & WA + 100) REGIONAL BREAKDOWN Region 3 - DE-MD, PA, WV, & VA Total U.S. Dairy Cow Slaughter AMS Weekly Est. 2016 2015 Y.O.Y. Change Feb. Week 1 64,600 62,800 1,800 Feb. Week 2 61,800 63,700 (1,900) Feb. Week 3 58,800 57,300 1,500 2.6% 2016 2.9% Feb. Week 1 10,200 9,800 400 -3.0% Feb. Week 2 9,700 10,500 (800) Feb. Week 3 8,300 8,800 (500) -5.7% Region 9 - AZ, CA, HI, & NV AMS Weekly Est. 2016 2015 Feb. Week 1 18,900 18,800 100 Feb. Week 2 18,000 17,800 200 Feb. Week 3 17,500 17,200 300 2015 Region 6 - AR, LA, NM, OK, & TX AMS Weekly Est. Y.O.Y. Change AMS Weekly Est. 2016 2015 4.1% Feb. Week 1 10,100 9,100 1,000 11.0% -7.6% Feb. Week 2 8,700 9,100 (400) -4.4% Feb. Week 3 8,500 7,800 700 9.0% Region 10 - AK, ID, OR, & WA Y.O.Y. Change Y.O.Y. Change Cows Slaughtered YTD AMS Weekly Est. 2016 2015 Y.O.Y. Change 0.5% Feb. Week 1 4,100 4,000 100 2.5% 1.1% Feb. Week 2 4,000 3,900 100 2.6% 1.7% Feb. Week 3 3,800 3,500 300 8.6% 2016 2015 Change % Change 490,000 492,200 (2,200) - 0.85% Futures and options on futures trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Information contained herein is strictly the opinion of its author and not necessarily of Rice Dairy and is intended for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or trade in any commodity or security mentioned herein. Information is obtained from sources believed reliable, but is in no way guaranteed. Opinions, market data and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past results are not indicative of future results. Ryan Yonkman does not maintain positions in the commodity (s) contracts mentioned within this report. Reproduction or redistribution prohibited by law.