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Rivaroxaban or Aspirin for Extended Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism Jonathan Kaplan, MD Internal Medicine and Psychiatry PGY3 Emory University May 2017 Objectives Present a common and relevant clinical scenario Briefly review risk factors for DVT/PE Discuss the EINSTEIN Project that compares rivaroxaban to placebo for secondary prevention of DVT/PE Discuss a meta-analysis comparing DVT/PE prevention and bleed risk for various anticoagulant and antiplatelet drugs Discuss the EINSTEIN CHOICE study comparing rivaroxaban and aspirin Practice relevant calculations to critically appraise the article Make a clinical decision for our patient Clinical Scenario You are called for an admission for a patient with a RLE DVT and a sub-segmental PE on CT PE Protocol Patient is a 60 y.o. obese woman with a hx of HTN, IDDM, HFrEF 40%, and R hip replacement 6 weeks ago. She is a long haul truck driver driving distances 10+ hours. Her last drive was prior to her hip surgery but she plans to return to work. On exam, VS - BP 130/84, P 115, RR 18, O2 sat 96% on room air, afebrile. She has unlabored, clear lungs, cardiac RRR w/ tachycardia. Bedside TTE shows no flattening of the interventricular septum. EKG has S1Q3T3 pattern. Her PESI score is 90 (60 years old, HFrEF, pulse 115; placing her in an intermediate risk category) Clinical Scenario Continued In the morning the intern asks you how long she needs to continue treatment and you reply 3-6 months.You go home to sleep knowing at some point, some physician will have to decide if they should continue treatment and with what agent At discharge, the diligent intern makes a follow up appointment at Grady in the anticoagulation clinic and decides that for continuity of care, this patient will also be scheduled in your clinic The patient arrives 6 months later and wonders about the next steps for treatment…So do you. Risk factors for VTE Major transient risk factors: Hospitalization Plaster cast immobilization Surgery Trauma Minor transient risk factors: Oral contraceptives or hormone therapy Pregnancy Presence of major risk factor 1 to 3 months before VTE Prolonged travel (≥ 2 hours)* Potential acquired or persistent risk factors: Collagen vascular diseases Heart failure Malignancy Medications Myeloproliferative disorders Nephrotic syndrome Recurrent pregnancy loss • Risk of recurrent DVT/PE for patients without reversible risk factors is as high as 10% in the first year •The risk of DVT/PE is higher for patients with non-surgical provoked events than surgical provoked events EINSTEIN Project Three studies: DVT, PE, and continued treatment study (EXT trial) EINSTEIN EXT Trial Enrolled patients who completed 6 - 12 months of treatment with either VKA or rivaroxaban for DVT or PE and randomly assigned them to continue treatment with rivaroxaban 20mg daily or placebo, goal to treat for an additional 6 -12 months Recurrent DVT occurred in 1.3% of treatment group compared to 7.1% of placebo group Major bleeding occurred in 0.7% of treatment group and 0% of placebo group, non major bleeding occurred in 5.4% of treatment group and 1.2% in placebo group Authors determine that the benefit in preventing recurrent events is worth the risk of bleeding as there were no fatal bleeding events Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, 2013 At the time of this study, CHEST recommendations were treatment of VTE and PE for three months if the event was provoked and reversible Unclear recommendations regarding long term treatment for unprovoked events but suggestion that treatment should continue if risk for bleeding is low Selected 12 randomized controlled trials of anticoagulant drugs (rivaroxaban, apixiban, dabigatran, ximelagatran), vitamin K antagonists, placebo, or observation 11,999 participants included in efficacy analysis. 12,167 included in safety analysis. Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, 2013 Results Vitamin K antagonists at goal INR 2-3 demonstrated the highest risk difference and aspirin demonstrated to lowest risk difference when compared to placebo and observation, but aspirin still outperformed placebo Vitamin K antagonists were associated with the greatest risk of major bleeding Other anticoagulants outperformed placebo and there was a suggestion that they outperformed aspirin Limitations Oral anticoagulants had shorter length of study and risks/benefits could not be extrapolated beyond one year Efficacy of aspirin vs oral anticoagulants remained unclear Data for rivaroxaban was from one study (EINSTEIN EXT) and the number of bleeding events was very low overall and difficult to compare to other agents Rivaroxaban or Aspirin for Extended Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism, The Einstein Choice Trial vs. Methods Randomized, double-blind, non placebo controlled Three groups: rivaroxaban 20mg, rivaroxaban 10mg, and aspirin 100mg Primary Efficacy Outcome: Recurrent fatal or non fatal DVT or PE Primary Safety Outcome: Major bleeding defined as decrease in Hb 2+g/dL, transfusion of 2+units RBC, bleeding from a critical site, or bleeding causing death Secondary Efficacy and Safety Outcomes Secondary Efficacy Outcomes: Myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, VTE at an location other than deep veins of lower limbs, and death Secondary Safety Outcomes: Clinically relevant non major bleeding: overt bleeding not meeting criteria for major bleeding but needing medical attention, or required 14 day interruption of the study drug or discontinuation of the study drug, impairment in ADLs Inclusion/Exclusion criteria Inclusion criteria: 18 years and older Confirmed DVT/PE Treatment for 6-12 months with VKA or DOAC Treatment uninterrupted for more than 7 days prior to randomization Exclusion Criteria: Contraindication to continued anticoagulant therapy Required extended anticoagulant therapy at therapeutic doses or required antiplatelet therapy Creatinine clearance less than 30mL/min Hepatic Disease with a coagulopathy Randomization and Monitoring Randomized in a 1:1:1 ratio into three groups rivaroxaban 20mg daily, rivaroxaban 10mg daily, aspirin 100mg daily Assessment at 30, 90, 180, 270, and 360 days and at 30 days after stopping the study medication Participants who stopped a study drug early were followed until the end of the intended treatment period Results Rivaroxaban 20mg Rivaroxaban 10mg Aspirin 100mg Primary Efficacy Outcome: Recurrent fatal or non fatal DVT/PE 17/1107 (1.5%) 13/1127 (1.2%) 50/1131 (4.4%) Primary Safety Outcome: Major Bleeding 6/1107 (0.5%) 5/1127 (0.4%) 3/1131 (0.3%) Secondary Safety Outcome: Any other clinically relevant bleed 30/1107 (2.7%) 22/1127 (2.0%) 20/1131 (1.8%) Recurrent VTE VTE Absolute Risk (Number of Events in Group divided by total group) Rivaroxaban 17/1107 (1.5%) 20 mg Rivaroxaban 13/1127 (1.2%) 10mg Aspirin 100mg 50/1131 (4.4%) Absolute Risk Reduction (AR in group - AR in comparative group) 4.4%-1.5% = 2.9% 4.4%-1.2% = 3.2% Relative Risk (AR in group / AR in comparative group) Relative Risk Reduction (AR in aspirin – AR in rivaroxaban ) divided by AR in aspirin Number needed to treat (1 divided by the ARR) 0.015/0.044= (0.0440.34= 34% 0.015)/0.044 = 0.66 = 66% 1/0.029 = 34.5 0.012/0.044 = (0.0440.27= 27% 0.015)/0.04 4= 0.73 = 73% 1/0.032 = 31.3 Major Bleeding Major Bleed Absolute Risk (Number of Events in Group divided by total group) Absolute Risk Increase (AR in group - AR in comparativ e group) Relative Risk (AR in group / AR in comparative group) Relative Risk Increase (ARI divided by AR in comparable group) Number needed to harm (1 divided by the ARI) Rivaroxaban 20 mg 6/1107 = (0.5%) 0.5%-0.3% = 0.5%/0.3% = (0.5%0.2% 1.66 0.3%)/0.3% = 0.66 = 66% 1/0.002 = 500 Rivaroxaban 10mg 5/1127 = (0.4%) 0.4%-0.3% = 0.4%/0.3% = (0.4%0.1% 1.33 0.3%)/0.3% = 0.33 = 33% 1/0.001 = 1000 Aspirin 100mg 3/1131 = (0.3%) Validity Applicability: Well designed study with broad inclusion, performed across 244 sites in 31 countries Clinically relevant timing of intervention and outcomes Frequency of follow up mimics what could be expected in standard practice 3365 took study medication, 537 (16%) did not complete the study due to adverse events, non adherence to the study regimen (80% of drug taken), safety and efficacy outcomes Limitations: Not placebo controlled Sponsored by Bayer, sponsor responsible for collecting, maintaining, and analyzing data; academic authors had access to data at all times and verified the data and analysis Excluded patients who required extended treatment with therapeutic doses, limiting applicability of rivaroxaban 10mg daily in this population Study not powered to determine a difference between rivaroxaban groups Treatment period was only 12 months, what happens after that? Study extended recruitment because an early review of blinded data revealed fewer than expected DVT/PE Conclusion Rivaroxaban, at either dose, had better outcomes in the primary efficacy measure at the cost of a clinically insignificant and statistically insignificant risk for major bleeding What do we do for our patient? References Galioto NJ, Danley DL, Van Maanen RJ. Recurrent venous thromboembolism. Am Fam Physician. 2011 Feb 1;83(3):293-300. Review. PubMed PMID: 21302870. Weitz JI, Lensing AWA, Prins MH, Bauersachs R, Beyer-Westendorf J, Bounameaux H, Brighton TA, Cohen AT, Davidson BL, Decousus H, Freitas MCS, Holberg G, Kakkar AK, Haskell L, van Bellen B, Pap AF, Berkowitz SD, Verhamme P, Wells PS, Prandoni P; EINSTEIN CHOICE Investigators.. Rivaroxaban or Aspirin for Extended Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism. N Engl J Med. 2017 Mar 30;376(13):1211-1222. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1700518. Epub 2017 Mar 18. PubMed PMID: 28316279. Castellucci LA, Cameron C, Le Gal G, Rodger MA, Coyle D, Wells PS, Clifford T, Gandara E, Wells G, Carrier M. Efficacy and safety outcomes of oral anticoagulants and antiplatelet drugs in the secondary prevention of venous thromboembolism: systematic review and network meta-analysis. BMJ. 2013 Aug 30;347:f5133. doi: 10.1136/bmj.f5133. Review. PubMed PMID: 23996149; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC3758108. Romualdi E, Donadini MP, AgenoW. Oral rivaroxaban after symptomatic venous thromboembolism: the continued treatment study (EINSTEIN-extension study). Expert Rev CardiovascTher. 2011 Jul;9(7):841-4. doi: 10.1586/erc.11.62. PubMed PMID: 21809964.