Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Riga Technical University 53rd International Scientific Conference dedicated to the 150th anniversary and The 1st Congress of World Engineers and Riga Polytechnical Institute / RTU Alumni “Dividend Payment Behaviour in CEE Countries” Julija Bistrova, Riga Technical University, Natalja Lace, Riga Technical University There is a large number of stock investors, who follow “bird-in-hand” theory, and, therefore, invest in the dividendpaying companies. It can become especially topical for the companies listed in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) as the region is often associated with the high level of risk, while the dividends can offer certain shield from the price decline. The present research is dedicated to studying dividend payment behaviour of the CEE companies as well as looks into the factors, which determine dividend payment policy. II. FACTORS AFFECTING DIVIDEND PAYMENTS IN EMERGING MARKETS With the concerns about European debt and slowing growth in China, companies that pay dividends seem to become even more attractive by offering downside protection. Co-CIO of Charlemagne Capital, Julian Mayo, says that “Improving corporate governance and management has led to falling debt levels and steadier cash flows, creating a platform for sustainable dividend payments.” Several prominent researches suggest that dividend policies and dividend payment behavior is very similar to the one observed in the developed countries, and specifically in US. The factors, which have the most significant influence on determining the dividend payments, are profitability, market to book ratio, sales growth and amount of debt [3]. Besides, Aivazian et al. pays special attention to the country specific factors such as high reliance on banking system of the companies located in emerging markets [1]. Therefore, the dividend policy is also being affected by the proportion of long-term debt to total assets. Other researchers add the list of the dividends affecting factors with the level of institutional ownership, business risk, growth rate and firm size [2]. III. DIVIDEND PAYMENT POLICY IN CEE COUNTRIES The following passage briefly describes how and which factors affect dividend payment in CEE countries and provides an overview of the dividend payment behavior during the last seven and a half years, including also crisis period. A. Dividend Yield and Dividend Payout Ratio Average dividend yield in CEE countries ranges from 3% to 6.5%, which appears to be relatively high, which is rather asto share of dividend paying companies 70% 8% dividend yield 60% 7% 50% 6% B. Industry factor On the industry dimension CEE firms follow the classical pattern, when the highest dividend yields are delivered by the utilities, communications and financial companies. C. Size factor Size factor seems to have a certain influence on the dividend payment behaviour as there is a clear discrepancy in dividend yields and payout ratio between small capitalization companies and mid/large capitalization companies, which obviously are paying more to the investors. 7.0% 6.0% 4% 30% 3% 01.06.2012 01.01.2012 01.08.2011 01.03.2011 01.10.2010 01.05.2010 01.12.2009 01.07.2009 01.02.2009 01.09.2008 01.04.2008 01.11.2007 01.06.2007 01.01.2007 01.08.2006 01.03.2006 0% 01.10.2005 1% 0% 01.05.2005 2% 10% 01.12.2004 20% 40.0% 5.0% 35.0% 4.0% 30.0% 25.0% 3.0% 20.0% 2.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% small middle large Fig. 4. Dividend Yield and Payout Ratio based on CEE Firm Size D. Sales Growth Factor Analysis of the sales growth factor influence provides rather ambiguous picture. The companies capable of posting highest sales annual growth rate are also paying the highest dividend yield and stick to rather high payout ratios. The lowest yields and payout ratios are seen in the 25% of analyzed companies, which show second lowest growth rates. IV. CONCLUSIONS The companies located in Central and Eastern European region are rather willing to share the parts of their profits with the investors as indicated by the high dividend yields, which did not suffer significantly due to crisis. Analysis of 117 CEE companies shows that there is a certain influence of the factors, which usually define dividend payment behavior such as industry and size factors. However, the impact of the dynamics of the sales growth does not appear to be very consistent with classical notions. Additional research needs to be done regarding the main shareholders influence exerted on the dividend policies in CEE countries. V. REFERENCES [1] [2] [3] Fig. 1. Dividend Yield and Share of Dividend Paying Companies in CEE 45.0% 1.0% 5% 40% 50.0% dividend yield dividend payout ratio dividend payout ratio I. INTRODUCTION nishing, taking into account the nature of developing markets, which requires large capex. Partly this can be explained by the favourable dividend tax policy. During the crisis time the dividend yield declined a bit as well as the share of dividend paying companies. dividend yield Keywords – dividends, dividend payout ratio, corporate profitability, dividend yield, CEE Countries V. Aivazian, L. Booth and S. Cleary " Do Firms in Emerging Markets Follow Different Dividend Policies From Those in the US: Evidence From Firms in Eight Emerging Countries", Journal of Financial Research, vol. 26, no. 3, pp.371 – 387, 2003. B. Al-Najjar, "Dividend behaviour and smoothing new evidence from Jordanian panel data", Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 26, no. 3, pp.182 – 197, 2009. K. Anil and S. Kapoor, “Determinants of Dividend Payout Ratios-A Study of Indian Information Technology Sector Indian Information Technology Sector”, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, vol. 15, pp.63-71, 2008.