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Existing market environment R Existing market environment The electricity and gas directives prescribe the opening of the respective energy markets. Apart from strengthening the single market, and Europe as a business location, these measures are aimed at permitting free movement of goods in these sectors throughout the European Union. After providing an overview of the sources of law underlying electricity and gas liberalisation in the European Union and Austria, this chapter looks at the effects of the changed legal framework on energy price formation, and at the overall economic importance of power and gas, and the factors that influence demand. R Sources of liberalisation law 12 Sources of electricity liberalisation law The Austrian Energy Liberalisation Act1, amending the Electricity Industry and Organisation Act (EIWOG), goes beyond the requirements of the Electricity Directive (96/92/EC) in many areas.The full liberalisation of the Austrian electricity market as of 1 October 2001 gave all electricity consumers a free choice of suppliers. The Acceleration Directive enacted in June 2003 obliges all other EU member states (Figure 1) to ensure that all electricity consumers within their borders likewise have an unrestricted choice of suppliers by 1 July 2007 at the latest. The new directive also provides for the mandatory establishment of independent regulatory authorities by 1 July 2004.This obligation affects Germany, which is the only member state still without an independent regulator. Under the directive, regulated network access will in future be the only permitted system, and negotiated access like that currently practised in Germany will no longer be allowed. Other key provisions concern legal unbundling (legal separation of electricity grids from other functions) and public service obligations (e.g. security of supply). Some provisions still require implementation in Austria, while in other instances (e.g. the supplier of last resort) it is for member 1 2 3 states to decide whether or not to introduce new arrangements. Special attention will need to be paid to the form taken by unbundling, as the effective implementation of the unbundling rules is critical to creating a level playing field and stimulating competition. The most recent amendment to the ElWOG, in the summer of 2002, was necessitated by the Ökostromgesetz (Green Electricity Act)2.The latter regulates the promotion of electricity generated from renewable energy sources, and at combined heat and power (CHP) plants.The Act obliges “green” power balancing group representatives to purchase the electricity in question at the prices (injection tariffs) prescribed by the Minister of Economic Affairs and Labour, which are above market levels.There is a support tariff for electricity generated at CHP plants.This is financed by a surcharge on all power supplied to final customers (similarly to the stranded costs charge). Under the Gaswirtschaftsgesetz (Natural Gas Act) the Elektrizitäts-Control Kommission (Electricity Control Commission) was renamed Energie-Control Kommission (E-Control Commission), and Elektrizitäts-Control GmbH became Energie-Control GmbH (E-Control) The change of name was not related to any significant changes in E-Control’s existing duties in respect of the electricity sector. However, E-Control was given additional powers, e.g. regarding arbitration. Market participants can now direct complaints about service quality or billing to the regulator. In addition to their regulatory responsibilities in the narrower sense, since the entry into force of the new competition law regime3 on 1 July 2002 the sectoral regulators – and hence E-Control – have been entitled to make applications and submissions to the Cartel Court independently of the official parties to proceedings (the Federal Competition Authority and the Federal Cartel Prosecutor).The amended Federal Law Gazette I No. 121/2000 Federal Law Gazette I No. 149/2002 Federal Act amending the Federal Act on the Establishment of a Federal Competition Authority (Competition Act), the Cartel Act 1988, the criminal code and the Federal Finance Act 2002, Federal Law Gazette I No. 62/2002. R Electricity and gas market opening in Europe Figure 1 ■ Electricity ■ Gas UK 100% Spain 100% Austria 100% Netherlands 100% Germany 100% 47% Sweden 100% 35% Denmark 100% Portugal 0% Finland 0% 100% 100% 72% Luxembourg 57% Belgium 52% 100% Italy 45% 13 82% Ireland Greece 59% 40% 0% 34% 20% France 30% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: European Commission competition legislation also provides for close cooperation between the competition authorities and the regulator. Between July 2002 and the end of June 2003 E-Control and the competition authorities jointly brought eight merger proceedings before the Austrian Cartel Court. In two cases application was made for an investigation, and preliminary investigations were conducted on suspicion of cartel agreements in connection with increases in “green” power prices. In addition, the Federal Competition Authority and E-Control cooperated closely on a merger proceeding before the European Commission. Sources of gas liberalisation law Directive 98/30/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council concerning common rules for the internal market in natural gas entered into force on 10 August 1998.The directive provided for national implementation by 10 4 ABl. 2003 L 176, 57 August 2000, and for progressive market opening in member states, namely: R At least 20% of total annual gas consumption by 10 August 2000; R At least 28% of total annual gas consumption by 10 August 2005; R At least 33% of total annual gas consumption by 10 August 2010. This schedule has been superseded by the Acceleration Directive4 which must be implemented by 1 July 2004. Austria met the targets set by the original EU directive by introducing the Natural Gas Act 2000 (GWG I). At the same time 1 October 2002 was established as the deadline for full market opening.This was implemented by the Natural Gas (Amendment) Act (GWG II). The extent to which the directive has been implemented in member states varies. Apart from the Austrian, only the British, Dutch, German, Italian and Spanish markets have been entirely liberalised, and the negotiated access system remains a de facto obstacle to entry to the German market. The Acceleration Directive which replaces the Gas Directive also provides for phased market opening, but with much shorter transitional periods (full liberalisation by 1 July 2007). In addition, it abolishes member states’ right to choose between negotiated and regulated network access, in favour of a uniform system based on the latter. 14 The Natural Gas (Amendment) Act and the Energy Regulatory Authority (Amendment) Act which entered into force at the same time anticipated a number of provisions of the Acceleration Directive. Central to the Austrian legislative regime since 1 October 2002 are: Independent regulator E-Control and the E-Control Commission, which were exclusively concerned with the electricity market until the Natural Gas (Amendment) Act came into effect, fulfil the requirements of the directive with regard to independence from gas industry interests. Unbundling Under article 7 Natural Gas (Amendment) Act integrated gas companies are required to legally unbundle their grid operation functions from their other activities. An exception is made for grid operators with less than 50,000 domestic connections.This exemption mainly applies to small distributors. While the directive merely requires that network access tariffs be published, and that the methodologies underlying their calculation be subject to ex ante approval by the regulator, the Natural Gas (Amendment) Act provides for setting of the tariffs by the regulator itself (the E-Control Commission). As regards access to storage facilities, the directive allows for a choice between negotiated and regulated access. Austria has opted for negotiated access to storage capacity. R Price formation in the electricity and gas markets Prior to electricity liberalisation the prices paid by consumers to their suppliers were subject to statutory regulation.They were partly set by the Price Commission, under a negotiation procedure.The object of which was defined by the Prices Act as arriving at an “economically justified price” as a maximum. In practice, this usually meant that representatives of the federal government, interest groups and energy suppliers – each pursuing their various economic and distributive goals – reached agreement on prices. The same applied to gas prices which were set by the Prices Sub-Committee of the Parity Commission. Here, too, only all-inclusive prices were proposed by the gas companies and negotiated by them with the social partners. Price transparency for consumers was limited to the publication of final rates.The composition of the latter (cost components such as network and energy costs) and the process of negotiation by which they were arrived at remained a closed book for final customers. Market opening was followed by fundamental changes in the price formation system. In the deregulated areas of the market (e.g. supplies to final customers) centralised negotiations have given way to market mechanisms. Prices reflect the interplay of supply and demand, and the negotiating power of market participants. In transmission and distribution, which continues to be organised along monopolistic lines, the tariffs are set by the E-Control Commission. R Competition in network industries R Competitive efficiencies Figure 2 The main purpose of opening the electricity and gas markets is to promote competition in the interests of the economy and Austria’s attractiveness as a business location. But what are the economic benefits of competition? Competition Competition offers buyers a choice and suppliers entrepreneurial freedom. Economists call competition “perfect” when no supplier is large enough to exercise a significant influence on the “unseen hand” of the market. Due to their large number, and their wish to maximise their market shares, suppliers are forced to cut their prices to the level of their marginal costs. Suppliers are stimulated to seek process and product innovations as these yield higher profits in the short run (temporary monopoly prices because it takes time to imitate new products and processes). given volume of goods at lower cost than a number of companies would be able to.There may also be economies of scope, in that a company can manufacture a number of products together at lower unit costs than would be the case with separate production processes. Due to certain production conditions, in some markets a single supplier may be able to satisfy demand at lower prices than could a number of suppliers. Such so-called “natural monopolies” are generally presumed to exist mainly in industries in which investments, e.g. in infrastructure, result in high sunk costs.These industries include electricity and gas, water, transport and telecommunications. The reasons for natural monopolies lie in the subadditivity of cost functions. In other words, unit costs fall as production rises (economies of scale), and a single supplier can produce a Efficiency Entrepreneur as price taker Good access to information Price equal to marginal cost This yields two conclusions: R Under circumstances of cost subadditivity it is economically inefficient for output to be produced by a number of enterprises, and this will result in wastage of resources. R Over time subadditivity will automatically lead to a monopoly due to participants’ dropping out of the market. High sunk costs5 deter potential entrants (i.e. there is no contestable market6 ). Coupled with subadditivity, this leads to natural monopolies. The areas in which competition is possible are listed in Table 1. A so-called “monopolistic bottleneck” exists when there is a natural monopoly at a stage in the production chain, and the plant concerned represents an “essential facility”. An “essential facility” is one that third-party companies have to be able to use to R Monopolistic bottlenecks Sunk costs Table 1 Significant sunk costs No significant sunk costs Natural monopoly Monopolistic bottlenecks Competition feasible No natural monopoly Competition between suppliers possible Monopoly Profit maximisation and maximisation of the consumers´surplus Source: Knieps (2000) 5 6 Sunk costs: costs of market entry that cannot be amortised. Contestable markets are characterised by low entry barriers. In a perfectly contestable market there are no barriers to entry, exit costs nothing, and existing competitors cannot react immediately to new entrants. 15 reach downstream markets, e.g. final customers. In the electricity and gas sectors this is achieved by ensuring that there is non-discriminatory network access.Where there no significant sunk costs, potential competitors can enter and leave a market at any time, at low financial risk.This possibility forces the monopolist to set its prices as though it were operating under competitive conditions. Monopoly and oligopoly7 Text Box 1 Monopoly:A monopolistic market is one in which there is only one supplier, which is free to determine price and output. Market entry is unprofitable or impossible for other firms, due to technical or legal barriers. Monopoly is one of the classic problems of economics.Traditionally, it has been argued that, by comparison with the optimal welfare that results from perfect competition, monopolies lead to lower output and higher prices, and the latter cause allocative inefficiencies8 . As an example, take a company that only operates base load power stations, and shuts down one of them or reduces output (see Figure 3). The reduction in supply shifts the supply curve to the left, resulting in a higher price (Pc instead of Pm) and lower output (Qc instead of Qm). 16 R Effects of a reduction in output by a monopolist Figure 3 Monopoly equilibrium Pm Competitive Supply Price increase Competitive equilibrium Pc Demand Output reduction Qm Qc Oligopoly: In an oligopoly a small number of suppliers, each with a substantial market share, sell to a large number of buyers.The strategic decisions of each supplier affect the others, and it must take their potential reactions into account. The existence of a small number of dominant suppliers can also lead to collusion (e.g. price agreements). Oligopolists tend to have an incentive to cooperate rather than to compete. The outcome is similar to that of a monopoly, and leads to misallocation of resources and to disadvantages for consumers. 7 8 Due to the large number of special cases of monopoly and oligopoly only a broad overview of this market forms is given here. Allocative inefficiency occurs when scarce resources are not allocated to their optimal uses. R Monopoly structures and potential for competition in Austria Sector Electricity Gas Production stage Market structure Generation Oligopoyl/ competition Transmission Distribution Monopoly Monopoly Supply Oligopoly/ competition Import/ trading (Quasi) monopoly Transmission Monopoly Distribution Monopoly Supply Oligopoly Vertical integration Yes, mostly Yes, (at least over two production stages Public ownership Yes, but some private participation Yes, but some private participation Table 2 Subadditivity Sunk costs Natural monopoly No Medium No Yes Yes High High Yes Yes No Low No No Low/ Medium Partly / No Yes High Yes Yes High Yes No Low No Sources: Kruse, J. (2001), E-Control Table 2 shows the market structures and potential for competition in the electricity and gas sectors, differentiated according to production stages.A differential analysis of the potential competition at each production stage is necessary because only some stages are resistant to monopoly. In both the electricity and the gas sector, transmission and distribution meet the conditions for monopolistic bottlenecks. Both have high and mostly irreversible investment costs which are specific to the market in question (sunk). From an economist’s perspective, the existence of permanent monopolies (combination of subadditivity and persistent barriers to entry) is a sufficient argument for regulation.The potential for discrimination against other market participants and the inefficient allocation of resources due to the lack of competition caused by monopolistic bottlenecks calls for state intervention. Regulation not just of access but also of prices is necessary to ensure that there will be competition in upstream and downstream markets. 17 By contrast, there is generally no difficulty in ensuring that the markets for products sold via networks are organised along competitive lines. Differential treatment of the various production stages is the key to effective regulation, and to the success of liberalisation. A critical situation for deregulation is one in which network infrastructure is owned by a vertically integrated company that also markets final products. R Economic importance of electricity and gas Power and gas are the main energy forms used by Austrian households and businesses. In terms of final consumption, liquid fossil fuels (diesel, petrol, heating oil, etc.) are the most widely used energy form, and electricity and gas are placed second and third, respectively. According to Statistics Austria, in 2002 electricity accounted for a good 20% of final energy consumption, and gas for some 17%. Fossil fuels, most of which are used for road transport, represented about 43% of the total. Electricity and gas are both large economic sectors. In 2001 some 59,372 GWh of electrical energy and 7,590 bn cu m of gas were supplied to final consumers. Some 25,000 people were employed by electricity supply and 3,000 by gas supply companies.The value added of both sectors was in excess of e 4bn, that of the electricity sector being the larger; it contributed 3% of gross value added. of a company’s total costs.The profit margins of export companies can be as low as 2 – 3%, so even relatively minor reductions in electricity prices can result in significant improvements in cost structures and hence in competitiveness. Due to European integration and globalisation, energy prices have become crucial to the competitiveness of the Austrian economy. R Influences on electricity and gas Not only are they large economic sectors in their own right, but the industries operate infrastructure which is vital to the functioning of the entire economy. Security of electricity and gas supply is crucial to the performance of the economy as a whole, as they are indispensable inputs for the production and consumption of goods and services. 18 Infrastructure costs are a key factor in business location decisions. In energy intensive industries electricity can account for as much as 20% demand A number of different factors are responsible for the intra-year fluctuations in Austrian electricity and gas consumption.While gas use is most strongly correlated with temperatures, electricity use is considerably less prone to seasonal shifts. As Figure 4 shows, electricity demand rises by about one-quarter in the winter months, while gas demand peaks at almost two-and-a-half times summer levels. R Intra-year electricity and gas consumption in Austria Figure 4 ■ Electricity ■ Gas 14,000 in GWh 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 January Source: E-Control February March April May June July August September October November December Domestic electricity consumption is also strongly influenced by economic activity. Since power is an important input for industrial production – especially in the paper, chemical, engineering and motor industries – its use naturally varies with manufacturers’ order books.The link between economic and power consumption trends is revealed in Figure 5. As climatic conditions, or substitution effects relating to energy shortages (e.g. oil crises) can affect electricity demand, the connection is sometimes less pronounced. When energy demand is viewed over a number of decades, certain trends emerge. For instance, the gas intensity of the economy has risen steadily in recent decades.This is principally due to the gas companies’ efforts to connect dwellings to the grid, and to the substitution of the traditional energy forms, coal and heating oil. However, it also reflects the fact that some 20% of total gas supply now goes to electricity generation at thermal power stations.The proportion of thermal electricity generation accounted for by gas averaged just under 30% in the 1960s, and had climbed to almost 50% by the 1990s. There are growing signs that electricity demand is becoming decoupled from economic growth. Energy saving appliances, new technologies and improvements to energy-intensive production plant have resulted in increased energy efficiency. The structural shift towards a service economy has also reduced the electricity intensity of the economy. While Austrian gross domestic product (GDP) grew by an annual average of 2.6% from 1990–2000, electricity consumption increased by only 2.1% per annum over the period. By contrast, between 1975–1985 electricity con- R Economic trends and Austrian electricity consumption Figure 5 ■ Total domestic electricity consumption excl. PS ■ GDP at market prices in % 5.5 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 -1.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Sources: Statistik Austria,WIFO, E-Control 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 19 sumption growth, at an annual average of 3%, outpaced economic growth (2.2%) by a wide margin.The watershed came at the start of the 1990s. Electricity intensity – electricity consumption per unit of GDP (e1,000) – fell by some 5% between 1990–2000, from 312 kWh to 296 kWh. 20 Despite growing awareness of the need to save energy, and delinking of energy use from economic growth, some sectors continue to cause increases in consumption.The spread of information and communication technology, and the use of electricity for environmental and control technology have added to power demand. Meanwhile the trend towards the nuclear family and single households has swelled the number of electricity consumers, and modern construction methods have led to increased use of air conditioning.