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Dam-break accidents and valley vulnerability. Risk assessment and mitigation ALQUEVA DAM EARLY WARNING SYSTEM Natural events triggering major accidents…. Maria Teresa VISEU, João PALMA , Carlos OLIVEIRA COSTA and Betâmio de ALMEIDA Lisbon 1st October Early Warning Systems (EWS) Case study… Monforte ! Elvas ! Estremoz ! Borba ! Vila Viçosa ! Alandroal ! Redondo ! Évora ! Reguengos !de Monsaraz Mourão ! Portel ! Vidigueira ! Cuba ! Moura ! Barrancos ! Beja ! Serpa ! Aljustrel ! Castro! Verde Albufeira Mértola ! Rio Guadiana Almodôvar ! Alcoutim ! Concelho Alqueva Dam Concrete arch dam ! Sede de concelho Castro! Marim Vila Real de Santo António ! Tavira ! Guadiana river basin Internacional river (shared with Spain) Alentejo and Algarve regions, south of Portugal Alqueva Dam risk analysis Dam characterization Hazard magnitude Dam height: 96 m Reservoir volume: 4150 x 1000 m3 Reservoir area: 250 km2 and lenght: 83 km Dam downstream river lenght: 150 km Pedrógão dam: 22 km downstream of Alqueva dam Flood design: 10 000m3/s (controled spillways) Multi-purpose structure for irrigation and energy production Dam owner – EDIA (Empresa de desenvolvimento e Infra-estruturas do Alqueva SA) Early Warning Systems (EWS) General criteria EWS must be site specific and depend on dam and dam-break flood characteristics (hazard identification) but specially on population and flood prone area characteristics (vulnerability assessment) Alqueva dam EWS design obliged to undertake a two step approach study: • an overview over the strengths and weaknesses of the EWS main solutions Public warning using audible systems (sirens and loudspeakers) Personal direct notification via telephone or cell phones also including the door-to-door • the Alqueva dam risk analysis focused in the characterization of the flood prone area Television or radio station news broadcasts Alqueva Dam Risk analysis Vulnerability characterization Dam-break flood prone area Dam-break flood simulation for the extreme failure scenario (fast and complete failure) defined three risk zones, according to the level of danger: Red or ZAS zone (self rescue) - area swept by the flood wave in t < 30 min Orange or ZIP zone - area swept by the flood wave in 30 < t < 120 min Green or ZIS zone - area swept by the flood wave in t > 120 min Alqueva Dam risk mitigation EWS in Alqueva ZAS zone 81 persons living in ZAS zone in 14 scattered edifications located along the river ! ! A growing use of water for recreational purposes is taking place in the flood prone area. Therefore, a greater number of people may occasionally be at risk ! ! ! Marmelar ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! de Carvão Vale ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! EWS design goal: provide audible notification to the general public and personal notification to those living in ZAS zone… Alqueva ! ! !!! !! ! Moura ! Pedrogão ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! Mina da Orada Machados ! ALQUEVA DAM EARLY WARNING SYSTEM General characteristics For people in ZAS flood prone area, a public EWS composed by 11 warning units (outdoor sirens) will be installed The dam main responsible maintains a list of addresses and phone numbers of people living in the ZAS zone For the population with disabilities, living in the ZAS zone, the personal notification component can be used to assure notification and assistance as necessary (telephone calls and/or door-to-door notification) ALQUEVA DAM EARLY WARNING SYSTEM General characteristics The 11 sirens are a component of a larger system P.O.C. Supervision PC An emergency operational centre (POC) with supervision equipment will be installed, having the possibility to communicate bidirectionaly with the sirens along the ZAS The POC is able to send coded messages to the sirens using the UHF radio network or the GSM network UPS PSTN UHF radio + GSM (SMS) 11 warning units ALQUEVA DAM EARLY WARNING SYSTEM General characteristics Acknowledgments are due to EDIA for its The sirens are able to receive messages, decode them and execute the instructions (broadcast a specific message) support Each siren allows issuing both siren wail patterns and programmed voice messages The POC supervises the global health of the system, and as soon as it detects that a siren is out of service, issues a message to dam operation personnel Sirens can be triggered manually, on dam site, by the dam main responsible I Thank you for your attention Early Warning Systems (EWS) …How? EWS can be generally divided into three types: Public warning using audible systems (sirens and loudspeakers) also including visible systems (stobe lights and billboards) Personal direct notification via telephone or cell phones also including the door-to-door notification Television or radio station news broadcasts There is no single warning system that can completely meet the desired notification requirements. Each EWS type has strengths and weaknesses. Public warning – Audible systems (sirens) Strengths and Disadvantages Instant communication to all affected people, enabling fast alerting to highly populated areas Good coverage, including isolated areas High degree of credibility to audience Low maintenance cost High cost of implementation Meaning of the siren wail may be ignored or not recognized Warning posts may suffer degradation due to vandalism issues Public warning – Mobile Loudspeakers Personal notification - Door-to-door notification Strengths and disadvantages The advantages: Low cost High degree of credibility to audience Can reach those with disabilities (door-to door) The weaknesses: Extremely time consuming Only limited information can be delivered Only a limited area can be notified quickly Risk of exposure to personnel delivering message and use equipment and personnel that could be used more efficiently elsewhere Personal notification Via automated telephone service Advantages and Disadvantages The advantages: Good coverage Fast and targeted notification to those on the phone call list Good audio component (better understanding of the purpose of the warning) Not very high cost The weaknesses: Only effective if people have and is near a phone which is turned on and not in use as well as if the call is answered Not available during telephone outages Direct dial only (hotels, offices excluded) Problems serving large populations Destination list corresponding to a geographical zone Television or radio broadcast notification Strengths and disadvantages Inexpensive Instant communication to all affected people Gives detailed information and can keep people up-to-date Wide coverage and generally available as most people have televisions Risk of a certain delay until emission effectively begins Message control by authorities is limited Only effective if televisions are turned on and for people who are inside their houses at the time of emergency Not a selective broadcast audience, so emergency message will reach all people receiving TV or radio signal Not available during power outages