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Stats Day 21 More on Z-Scores and the Normal Model (Using the Chart) SILENT DO NOW ON DESK: Chapter 6 #5-10 DO NOW: Check HW with Key and Grading Pen ACT Half Sheet Homework DUE FRIDAY: Chapter 6 #17-19, 29, 33, 34 Objective • SWBAT use the z-score and z-score chart to identify percentiles and likelihood Working with 68-9599.7 Rule • • • • • A lightbulb on average lasts 500 hours with σ=30 1) What percent of lightbulbs last between 440 and 560 hours? 2) What percent of lightbulbs last over 590 hours? 3) What percent of lightbulbs last less than 470 hours? 4) If you have a lightbulb that says it lasts 530 hours, what percentile is it? Example 1(on 68-95-99.7) The SAT test as 3 parts: Writing, Mth, and Critical Reading. Each part has a distribution that is roughly unimodal and symmetric, an overall mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100 for all test takers. • Suppose you earned a 600 on one part of the SAT. Where do you stand among all students who took the test? 1. Draw Normal Curve 2. What percent is to the LEFT?? 68% + ½(32%)= 84% 84th PERCENTILE Percentiles • What percentile are the following? (percent less than given number) Challenge: Find the number that cuts off the percentiles N(35, 5) 84th percentile: 97.5th percentile: 50th percentile: Worksheet • Z-score empirical rule ws Example 2 (not on 68-95-99.7) • What if it is not EXACTLY 0, ±1, ±2, or ±3 standard deviations away from mean? This is where we use the • STANDARD NORMAL MODEL • The Normal Distribution Notice how each line represents the number of standard deviations away from the mean..or the… Z-SCORE!!! Standard Deviation MEAN The Standard Normal Curve • The Distribution of Z-SCORES! Z-score as a shift and rescale of distribution • • • • When we make a z score, we take each data point and subtract a number (the mean) What would happen to the graph y=x if we subtracted 1 from each x value y=(x-1)? What changes?? We shift everything over (mean becomes 0) We subtract EVERY VALUE by that number What does not change?? SPREAD: Standard Deviation, Range, IQR Shift and Rescale • When we make a z score, we also take each data point and divide by a number (the standard deviation) CHANGING OUR SCALE TO STANDARD DEVIATION The Standard Normal Curve • The Distribution of Z-SCORES! THERE ARE NO UNITS! It’s the same for every set of data, no matter what you are talking about! YAY! How can this help us? • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 600 on one part of the SAT. What percentile are you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the LEFT?? We also have a chart! Since there are no units, we can use it for everything! If it’s not exactly ±1, ±2, or ±3 SDs from the mean • If your z-score is not exactly ±1, ±2, or ±3, • The chart can tell you the percent! • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 680 on one part of the SAT. What percentile are you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the LEFT?? THE CHART ONLY GIVES YOU WHAT IS ON THE LEFT! • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 720 on one part of the SAT. What percent of test takers did better than you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the RIGHT?? (Draw a picture) The percent the chart will give you is the percent to the left… To get the right, subtract from 100! Z-SCORE CHART 1. 2. 3. 4. Find your z-score Draw a picture- vertical line at zscore and shade Look up z-score to tell you percent to the LEFT of your score (less than your score) Note: this is the percentile Determine if you want that percent (less than) or 100-[that percent] (more than) Z-Score • • 1. What is the likelihood that you scored above a 20 on this last ACT given N(18.8, 3.7) 2. That you scored below an 18? Find the following 1) • 2) • 3) • 4) • 5) • z < 2.88 z<-0.11 z > 0.24 -1.31 < z 0.12 < z Exit Slip!