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Folia Geobotanica 36: 9-23, 2001 LOCAL RICHNESS-SPECIES POOL RATIO: A CONSEQUENCE OF THE SPECIES-AREA RELATIONSHIP Sándor Bartha & Péter Ittzés Institute of Ecology and Botany of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, H-2163 Vácrátót, Hungary; e-mail [email protected], [email protected] Keywords: Abundance distribution, Coexistence mechanisms, Dispersal limitation, Individual based null models, Methodology, Niche limitation, Spatially explicit simulations, Spatial pattern, Species saturation Abstract: A constant ratio between species richnesses estimated at the local and regional scale is interpreted as a proof of quasi-neutral unsaturated communities. Based on Zobel’s model of plant community (ZOBEL, Folia Geobot. 36: 3−8, 2001) we tested the methodology of the species-pool concept by comparing the saturated and unsaturated communities generated by spatially-explicit mechanistic simulations with known assembly rules. Tests show that local-regional species plots can be applied to distinguish saturated vs. unsaturated communities, however, the outcome of tests, i.e. the relationship between local and regional richness depends on the size of the areas compared. Independently from the mechanisms controlling diversity, trivial saturation will appear if one of the scales is either too small or too broad because species-area curves are bound at these extreme scales. Similarly, trivial unsaturation will appear if the two scales compared are close to each other. The application of species-area curves is useful because they help to find scales for non-trivial relationships. Field tests reporting quasi-neutrality and unsaturated plant communities were performed at the intermediate scales of the corresponding species-area curves, and they were estimated from heterogeneous samples. Therefore, this field evidence might be biased by scaling artefacts. We propose to reanalyze the field evidence with solid scaling conventions and to restrict the concept of quasi-neutrality to subordinated functional groups based on the following hypotheses: (1) neutrality will appear within subordinated guilds as a consequence of the hierarchical structure of plant communities; (2) the lower a guild in the hierarchy the higher neutrality of within-layer processes detected; (3) quasi-neutrality found at the community level is not a proof of community-level neutrality but it is due to the higher number of subordinated species in the samples. INTRODUCTION The emerging non-equilibrium paradigm in ecology (PICKETT et al. 1992, WU & LOUCKS 1995) has renewed the interest in regional and historical processes. While traditional non-spatial models assumed that communities are saturated with species, the new paradigm considers local communities as open, unsaturated systems significantly constrained by the limited availability of species. Little is known about the magnitude of this constraint, i.e. to what extent communities are unsaturated. Since species richness at a finer scale might be influenced by the coarser-scale species richness (called “species pool”, ERIKSSON 1993, ZOBEL 1997) it becomes important to measure and compare species richness at different scales. In related studies the local richness of a community is plotted against the regional richness of different biogeographical regions. A proportional relationship between local and regional richness is interpreted as evidence for an unsaturated community, while in a saturated community there is no such correlation (RICKLEFS 1987, CORNELL & LAWTON 1992, CALEY Forum: Species-pool hypothesis 10 S. Bartha & P. Ittzés & SCHLUTER 1997, CORNELL & KARLSON 1997). Most of the authors believe that saturation indicates fine-scale limitation of species richness due to niche limitation. On the contrary, a proportional relationship is caused by broad-scale evolutionary constraints such as the limited biogeographical distribution of species. Recently ZOBEL (2001, this volume) reviewed the species-pool concept and discussed its relevance in plant communities. He formulated new definitions and a new individual-based quasi-neutral model concluding that competition is much less important in plant communities than it is assumed by other studies of assembly rules (cf. WILSON 1999). The methodology of the species-pool hypothesis is attractive because of its simplicity. The species-pool concept has recently received considerable interest. Few papers, however, have dealt with the methodological aspects (CRESSWELL et al. 1995, SRIVASTAVA 1999). Although the essence of the test is the comparison of species richness detected at different scales, it remains undefined as to what are the appropriate scales for such comparisons. In our contribution we will test the scale-dependence of this methodology by means of simulations with known mechanisms and contrasting types of patterns. LOCAL VS. REGIONAL RICHNESS AND THE SPECIES-AREA RELATIONSHIP The present theory offers no help to select particular scales in a study of the species-pool hypothesis. We suggest that species-area curves provide a potential tool for working out standard scaling conventions for comparative studies by local-regional richness plots. SRIVASTAVA (1999) connected the two concepts and used species-area curves to interpret local-regional richness plots. Accepting that the species area relationship is described by the equation: logS = z(logA) + c, where S refers to species richness, A the area, while z and c are the parameters of the curve (ARRHENIUS 1921), we can interpret local-regional richness plots by the variation of the z and c parameters. SRIVASTAVA (1999) suggested that variation of the z parameter yields in a curvilinear local-regional plot typical of saturated communities. On the other hand, when species-area curves are parallel in log-log space (z parameter is constant), the ratio of local to regional richness will be similar between regions, yielding an unsaturated local-regional plot (cf. Fig. 1 in SRIVASTAVA 1999). The limitation of Srivastava’s approach is that we should understand first what z and c parameters mean. The related reasoning is a ground for long and unsolved discussions in community ecology (cf. GOTELLI & GRAVES 1996: 207−238). In our opinion, the problems and debates related to the interpretation of species-area curves essentially come from the lack or limitations of models behind the theories. In his review, ZOBEL (2001, this volume) proposed a new individual-based spatially-explicit model for understanding the species-pool hypothesis. We believe that this model provides a solid foundation and framework for the species-area relationships and the related species-pool concept. The model assumes that vegetation consists of discrete sessile individuals (or ramets) of similar size, it appears within a finite geographic area (region), and that the individuals are assigned to different species, and their sizes are considerably smaller than the total area of the region. We will show that the species-area relationship is a direct consequence of these assumptions, and the variation of species-area curves can be explained by the variation of the parameters of this individual-based spatially-explicit model. If individuals are discrete and sessile, the probability of finding at least one individual in a randomly-positioned sampling unit will depend on the size of the sampling unit. Comparing populations of different abundances, a more abundant population will have a greater probability Species-pool and species-area relationship 11 Fig. 1. Examples of the single species probability-area curves. (a) Effect of abundance on the probability of finding a species in a sampling unit. All patterns have random spatial dispersion. (b) Effect of spatial pattern on the probability of finding a species in a sampling unit. All patterns have constant 50% frequency. of appearance in a sampling unit of given size (Fig. 1a). Comparing populations with the same abundance but of different patterns, aggregated species will appear at a lower probability in a sampling unit, while a species with regular distribution will appear at a higher probability than the corresponding species of random distribution (Fig. 1b). The shape of these curves are similar to the curves of the species-area plots. In fact, the probability-area curves of single species are the components of the traditional species-area curves. Species-area curves can be estimated by summing up the probability-area curves of each species, i.e. a species-area curve can be understood by decomposing it to the probability-area curves of individual species. The variation between species-area curves can be interpreted by the variation in the component populations, i.e. by differences in abundances, relative abundances, and spatial patterns. We simulated static spatial patterns of discrete sessile individuals of similar size according to Zobel’s model (Fig. 2). We demonstrate that the shape of the species-area curves depends on the total number of individuals (density), the spatial pattern of individuals (random, regular, or patchy), and the way how these individuals are 12 S. Bartha & P. Ittzés Fig. 2. Variation of species-area curves. (a) Variation due to changing species pool. All patterns have random spatial dispersion, lognormal abundance distribution, total density is 0.5. (b) Variation due to changing total density. d is the average number of individuals in a grid cell. All patterns have random spatial dispersion, lognormal abundance distribution, species pool = 64 species. (c) Variation due to changing spatial pattern or changing relative abundances. Total density is 0.5 for all patterns, species pool = 64 species. Species-pool and species-area relationship 13 assigned to species (species/abundance relations). If other parameters are constant (individuals are randomly-distributed in space, and relative abundances follow a lognormal distribution), the plateau of the curves varies according to the total number of species (species pool) (Fig. 2a). It is clear that at an intermediate sampling-unit size the species richness is positively related to the size of Fig. 3. Generalized interpretation of species-area curves: variation due to changing densities, species pool, relative abundances and spatial the species pool. If the size of the species pool is constant patterns. (and individuals have random spatial dispersion and their relative abundances follow a lognormal distribution), the intercept of the curves varies with the total abundance (density) of individuals (Fig. 2b). At an intermediate sampling-unit size the species richness is positively related to the total abundance of individuals. If both total abundance and species pool are constant, i.e. the plateau and intercept are relatively fixed, the slopes of the curves will change if we change the relative abundances and spatial patterns of component species (Fig. 2c). At an intermediate sampling-unit size the species richness is lower if the equitability of relative abundances is lower or if some species have aggregated spatial patterns. Species with lower abundance and/or a more aggregated pattern have a lower chance to appear in a sampling unit (cf. Fig. 1). If a multi-species assemblages is composed of species of lower abundances or a more clumped patterns then its species richness will be relatively lower at an intermediate scale. Zobel’s individual-based model and the related reference patterns with contrasting relations of individuals offers a simple and effective way to interpret species-area curves (Fig. 3). Similarly clear relationships are expected when local species richness is related to regional richness in the local-regional richness plots. Fig. 4 shows the local-regional richness plots created from the patterns of Fig. 2c. Recall that the density of individuals was kept constant here, but abundance relations and spatial patterns have been changed. Slight variation of the species pool was generated as well. Therefore, we can investigate the nature and variation of a local-regional richness plot within and between pattern types as well. The regular spatial pattern used to be the consequence of competitive interactions between species, i.e. saturation expected for this case. In the case of other patterns, unsaturation is expected because no spatial segregation between individuals occurred, and some species will always be missing from local samples due to their lower rank in the dominance hierarchies or due to their spatial patchiness. The correlation between the species richnesses of different scales are strongly dependent on the scales considered, i.e. on the way how local and regional scales have been defined (Fig. 4). Clearly, no correlation has been found in Fig. 4a, while Fig. 4b suggests proportional relationships. The change in the results was independent of the type of the reference patterns. The slope of individual patterns are slightly different in Fig. 4b, and these slopes also change 14 S. Bartha & P. Ittzés with scale. When all types of patterns are considered together, i.e. the sample is heterogeneous, the proportional character is even stronger. The trend of scale-dependence found can be interpreted by the corresponding species-area curves (Fig. 5). There is no correlation found when the local scale is close to the size of individuals or the regional scale is close to the minimum area, i.e. to the plateau of the species-area curve (Fig. 5.). Note that lack of correlation is not proof of local saturation in a community. Saturation appeared in our example but at regional scale because we are close to the scale of the minimum area. The universal character of species-area relationship involves inherent correlation between richnesses at different scales. The closer the scales compared are the stronger this relationship is. Therefore, we have a great chance to have a proportional relationship at intermediate scales. Fig. 4. Relationship between local and regional species richness at Our results showed that there different spatial patterns and different relative abundances. (a), (b) The are simple relationships effect of scale. Fitted linear regressions indicate significant between the type of patterns and proportional relationships. Total density is 0.5 for all patterns, total the shape of species-area number of species varies (53, 55, 57, 59, 61, 63 species). 1 × 1, 45 × 45; 10 × 10, 21 × 21 denote the scales (plot sizes in artificial units). curves. However, contrary to the suggestions of SRIVASTAVA (1999: Fig. 1), there are no simple relationships between local and regional richness and the parameters of species-area curves. The relationship between local and regional richness depends on the areas compared. When testing for saturation or unsaturation, we should keep in mind that trivial saturation will appear if one of the scales are either too small or too broad because species-area curves are bound at these extreme scales. Similarly, trivial unsaturation will appear if the two scales compared are close to each other. Species-area curves are useful because they help to find scales for non-trivial relationships. Species-pool and species-area relationship 15 In practice, field work is performed at intermediate scales because the local (community) scale is generally broader than the finest scale of the plant individuals, and the regional scale is usually finer than the minimum area of the regional pool (except RYDIN & BARBER 2001, this volume). Furthermore, field samples are often heterogeneous in respect to the total density of individuals, Fig. 5. Generalized scale effects on local-regional species plots: species/abundance relationships, interpretation based on species-area curves. and spatial pattern. The consequence is that field results show a proportional relationship between local and regional species richness (PÄRTEL et al. 1996). However, this constancy of the richness ratio should be considered very carefully. A constant ratio involves scale invariance suggesting that the size of the areas compared is not important. However, our results show that areas compared are of great importance and should be standardized according to the characteristics of the community. Standardization by the number of individuals (ZOBEL & LIIRA 1997) seems to be a promising opportunity. However, the problem with scaling by the number of individuals is that it standardizes only the local scale. The number of individuals should be counted at the regional scale as well but it is not feasible. WHAT CAN WE INFER FROM LOCAL SPECIES SATURATION? Recently, it has been demonstrated (HERBEN 2000) that local competition can generate a correlation between richness per unit area and species pool. Therefore, the existence of a correlation betweeen local and regional richness cannot be used to distinguish between the local (bottom-up) and regional (top-down) control of diversity. HERBEN (2000: 125) recognized that the number of quadrats within the region is a critical parameter affecting the correlation. In the previous section we concluded that the correlation found between local and regional richness depends on the shape of the species-area curve and the size of areas selected to represent the local and regional scales. This effect is due to the species-area relationship, i.e. it can be interpreted by a phenomenon, disregarding the mechanisms in the background. Our previous discussion offers an interpretation in terms of reference patterns only. Therefore, we are presenting some tests based on spatially-explicit mechanistic simulations. We use simulation because it provides a tool for testing patterns generated by known rules. Our approach will be similar to HERBEN’s (2000) approach, however, we will extend his simulations with explicit attention being paid to the scales relevant to the simulated spatio-temporal dynamics. We performed simulation experiments with different roles of competition and dispersal. The model was a cellular automata of a 220 × 220 rectangular grid of cells, where each cell can carry one individual. Survivorship and fecundity of a focal individual depend on the number of individuals n in the Moore neighbourhood (CZÁRÁN 1998). 16 S. Bartha & P. Ittzés Table 1. Parameter values used in simulation. Initial abundance Initial distribution Dispersal (in cells) Competition (ci) Per capita reproduction Psurv > 0.5 Psurv < 0.5 Grid size Number of time steps Saturated Competitive Dispersal limited Non saturated High reproduction Low reproduction high (4000) lognormal long (400) strong (0.2) low (800) lognormal short (60) low (1.0) low (800) lognormal long (400) low (1.0) low (800) lognormal long (400) low (1.0) 2 1 2 1 4 2 2 1 220 × 220 30 s Psurv (i) = ∏ cni i=1 where ci is an indicator of the intensity of competition, and s is the number of species. Competitive effects are multiplicative. Survivorship decreases exponentially with the increasing number of individuals in the neighbourhood. Following the assumptions of Z OBEL (2001) the size of individuals and their competitive effects were equal disregarding the identity of species. Fecundity depends on survivorship. If Psurv < 0.5 then fecundity decreases to half of the maximum. The program is different from the usual cellular automata algorithms in the dispersion of propagules. The distance of offspring from their parent individual is a stochastic variable with a Gaussian distribution. Colonizing individuals appear in random positions within the grid. The initial relative abundances follow a lognormal distribution. Experiment 1 represents a predominant local control of diversity. Competitive effects are strong, initial abundances are high, while dispersal limitation is low, i.e. propagules could reach any position within the grid (see Tab. 1 for parameters). Experiment 2 represents a regional control of local diversity. Initial density is low. Species have a low dispersal ability, i.e. the majority of offsprings appear close to the parent individuals. Abundance is controlled only by the local carrying capacity of grid cells, i.e. competition is minimized. Limited dispersal produces a patchy spatial pattern of species. Experiment 3 starts with a low initial density, and competition is minimized. Parameters are the same as in the Experiment 2, except dispersal, which is unlimited, as in the first experiment. Experiment 4 is the same as the third experiment except that there is a higher fecundity of individuals. Due to the low initial abundances, Experiments 2−4 remained unsaturated during the first 10 generations. On the contrary, Experiment 1 started with high abundances. It reached an equilibrium and become saturated after 5 generations (Fig. 6a,b). Twelve replicates were performed in each experiment with varying total species pools (ranging from 94 to 105). Further variation between replicates was caused by the inherent stochastic spatio-temporal dynamics of simulations. The relationship between local and regional richness was calculated from data of the 6th generation because Experiment 1 had already reached saturation here while other versions Species-pool and species-area relationship Fig. 6. Simulated patterns with contrasting assembly mechanisms. For other parameters see Tab. 1. (a) Temporal pattern of local abundances. (b) Temporal pattern of local species richness. (c) Species-area curves in the 6th generation. A, B, C refer to the areas selected for creating local-regional richness plots in Fig. 7. 17 were still unsaturated. According to the species-pool hypothesis, a proportional relationship is expected in Experiments 2, 3, and 4, while local and regional richness should be uncorrelated in Experiment 1. In the previous section we concluded that the relationship between local and regional richness is scale dependent. If any scale of the local-regional pair is bound, it can result in a trivial non-correlation (Fig. 5). Therefore we calculated the species-area curve in each case in order to select appropriate scales for the local-regional richness plots (Fig. 6c). A plot size of 11 × 11 cells was selected as the local scale. Recall that species richness saturated around 55 species at this scale (Fig. 6b). This plot size can be accepted as the community scale because even in the 6th generation richness varies between 14 and 35 (Fig. 7a). A plot size of 51 × 51 cells was considered as the corresponding regional scale because richness varies between 55 and ca. 100 at this scale, i.e. between the maximum of the community scale and the global maximum of richness used in the simulation. Larger scales would probably produce trivial non-correlation because three of the simulated patterns were getting close to the minimum area, i.e to the upper boundary of the curves. For comparison, another intermediate scale of 31 × 31 cells was also considered as a community scale (Fig. 7b). When comparing 11 × 11 cells as a local scale and 51 × 51 cells as a regional scale, saturated communities (Experiment 1) show no correlation, while there is significant correlation in one of the unsaturated experiments (Experiment 4). This supports the species-pool hypothesis and the related theory and methodology. Surprisingly, 18 Fig. 7. Simulated patterns with contrasting assembly mechanisms. (a), (b), (c) Scale effects on the relationship between local and regional species richness. Fitted linear regressions indicate significant proportional relationships. For other parameters see Tab. 1. S. Bartha & P. Ittzés two of the unsaturated experiments show no correlation between regional and local richness at these scales. When comparing 31 × 31 cells as a local scale and 51 × 51 cells as a regional scale, local and regional richness is proportional in three experiments. One of these cases is Experiment 1 that should be saturated according to the generative rules of the simulations. The unsaturatedness detected for Experiment 1 is an obvious scaling artefact. We expected correlation in the case of Experiment 2 because of the simulated regional control of local species richness due to the limited dispersal. In our experimental design, Experiment 2 was considered as a clear case of dispersal limited unsaturated community. On the contrary, Experiment 2 remains uncorrelated, i.e. it shows saturation at this scale. The saturation detected by the local-regional richness plots is confirmed by the temporal patterns as well (Fig. 6b). Experiment 2, 3, and 4, which had low competition, saturated at similar abundances, but not at similar richness (Fig. 6a,b). The upper boundaries for local richness in Experiment 3 and 4 are around 55 species, while in Experiment 2 local species become saturated at around 24 species. It means that dispersal limitation itself can constrain local richness similarly to local competition. Recall that the mortality of individuals in these simulations were the function of the density of individuals in the neighbourhood and the competition parameters ci. In Experiments 2−4 individuals were long-lived due to the lack of competition from the neighbourhood. A long life-span combined with Species-pool and species-area relationship 19 limited dispersal resulted in founder controlled communities (YODZIS 1978, HERBEN 1995). Consequently, the saturation detected in Experiment 2 can be explained by competition, i.e. by competition due to space preemption. Our results based on dynamic mechanistic simulations confirm the conclusions about scale dependence that we received from analyzing the static reference pattern. At certain scales, if local and regional scales are too close to each other, the extreme scale effects appear and artefact linear correlations can be detected (Fig. 7c). The results from testing the species-pool hypothesis are clearly scale-dependent. Our suggestion from this experiment is that the range of local richness should not overlap with the range of regional richness to avoid the type of artefacts shown in Fig. 7c. It is common in field studies testing the species-pool hypothesis that local and regional scales were artificially selected. Unfortunately, cumulative curves like the species-area curve offer little help to select some standard scales for comparative purposes. A potential solution would be to perform comparative analyses at the characteristic maximum scales of communities (JUHÁSZ-NAGY 1967, 1984, 1993, JUHÁSZ-NAGY & PODANI 1983). These are the spatial scales where within-community diversity and the spatial dependence of species combinations reach a maximum. However, that line needs to be explored in the future. ON THE EVIDENCE AND MODELS SUPPORTING THE QUASI-NEUTRAL CONCEPT OF COMMUNITIES Evidence from animal (CORNELL & KARLSON 1997) and plant communities (PÄRTEL et al. 1996) suggest that the unsaturation of species richness is common in nature and competition is less important in community organization (ZOBEL 2001, statement 5.1.). However, our simulation results raise a doubt about the reliability of field evidence which can be biased by inappropriate scales or by the heterogeneity of a sample. Aside from testing regression in local-regional richness plots, ZOBEL (2001) proposed interesting definitions and hypotheses about the components and interactions in plant communities. He states that asymmetric competition for light is the prevalent mechanism of competitive exclusion in plant communities, while (according to his opinion) belowground competition can never result in competitive exclusion (but see TILMAN 1988, BURKE et al. 1998). Therefore, he distinguishes between vertical layers in vegetation, where each layer is composed of plant individuals of the same size and identical resource use, and often also is similar in related life-history characteristics. He states that “in contrast to animals, populations of maximally similar plant species are the least likely to compete as strongly as to result in a competitive exclusion of one population” (ZOBEL 2001, 2.1.1.). Further he defines plant community as identical plant individuals of the same vertical layer (ZOBEL 2001, 2.1.1.). Biotic interactions (light competition) between adjacent plant individuals belonging to different layers are not considered as community interaction in this definition. These definitions generate a neutral model of plant community with no ecological differences between species. As a consequence of this definition “species” can coexist and their number and relative abundances will be driven only by stochastic drifts (see PALMER 2001, this volume) or by landscape-scale constraints according to the species-pool hypothesis. If there is some competition within a layer, it happens between identical individuals, where “species” identity is only a taxonomic assignment and not a relevant ecological category. If someone accepts Zobel’s model in this strict form, the neutrality will be a direct consequence 20 S. Bartha & P. Ittzés of definitions. In our opinion we should test first the assumptions, i.e. the reality of this model rather than test its expectations (cf. ZOBEL 2001, 1.14). We prefer another definition of plant community (PALMER & WHITE 1994) and do not agree with Zobel’s view that between-guild relations are unimportant. However, we emphasize that Zobel’s model represents an important step in the development of the methodology of community organization and assembly rules because his model explicitly considers individuals, guilds, and related scales. Our previous studies on the spatial organization of plant communitites (SZOLLÁT & BARTHA 1991, BARTHA 1992, BARTHA et al. 1995a, MUCINA & BARTHA 1999, GOSZ et al. 2000) do not support the general neutrality suggested by Zobel. However, there is evidence which supports neutrality or quasi-neutrality within certain functional groups. For example, analyzing the spatial pattern of the herb layer in a Mediterranean wood, Campetella and his co-workers (CAMPETELLA et al. 1999) found that clonal herbs and shrubs form large patches and these patches are spatially independent from each other. BARTHA et al. (2000) analyzed the spatial variation of total cover of guilds in old field succession using the method of WILSON & GITAY (1995) and did not find significant deviation from randomness in case of the subordinated guilds. BARTHA et al. (2000) found quasi-neutrality within a subordinated guild. Meanwhile, the subordinated guilds were not independent from the dominant species. In fact, the quasi-neutrality detected in the case of subordinated species can be interpreted by the indirect effect of dominants. Therefore, we propose to restrict the concept of quasi-neutrality for the groups of subordinated species. When we assume the existence of guilds (i.e. species with similar resource use, including the similar spatio-temporal exploration of resources) together with a competitive hierarchy of guilds (e.g. the vertical layers of plant species in a forest) then we can propose the following hypotheses: Hypothesis 1: Neutrality will appear within subordinated guilds and it is a consequence of the hierarchical structure of plant communities. Competitive exclusion does appear but it is restricted to the exclusion of some species from the dominant guild or to the exclusion of entire subordinated guilds from the community. Explanation 1: Individuals within a guild are similar but between guilds there are significant differences in the exploration and use of resources and in the tolerance to conditional factors. Species exclusion might need longer time but its existence is supported by the fact that the number of species within dominant guilds are lower than the number of species in subordinated guilds. Also there is a broad variation in relative abundance of guilds between communities. Hypothesis 2: The lower is a guild in the hierarchy the higher neutrality of within-layer processes are detected. Explanation 2: The effects of the individuals of dominant guilds are cumulative, therefore, members of a more subordinated guild experience more and stronger control by dominant individuals. Being subordinated in space and time involves being isolated in certain spatio-temporal resource gaps. If members of subordinated guilds are isolated, they have less chance to interact with each other. Hypothesis 3: If quasi-neutrality is found at the community level, it is due to the higher number of subordinated species in the samples. Explanation 3: Tests based on species richness are usually overdominated by the effects of subordinated species. Therefore, several aspects of community organization which would Species-pool and species-area relationship 21 appear between guilds or between dominant species are masked and remain hidden in tests based on the local-regional richness plots. Decomposing community-level patterns into components representing within-, and between-guild relationships of individuals would clarify the related debates. The species-pool hypothesis was born on the grounds of the non-equilibrium theory. It involves a new, spatially explicit view of ecology. Theoretical studies have proven that conditions for coexistence change dramatically if we use more realistic spatially-explicit individual-based models of plant communities. For example, assuming that space is finite and individuals are discrete (CZÁRÁN 1989, DURETT & LEVIN 1994) or populations are not perfectly mixed (CZÁRÁN & BARTHA 1989, SILVERTOWN et al. 1992), or there is some variation in the size, shape and mobility of individuals (HARA 1993, HERBEN 1995) the conditions of coexistence will be different from the conditions predicted by classical non-spatial models. These results underline the importance of the reality of models used for understanding community organization. Zobel’s individual-based model has such potential. However, his model should incorporate the known properties of the spatio-temporal structure of populations and communities. NEED FOR A MORE ADVANCED METHODOLOGY The classical non-spatial equilibrium paradigm of species coexistence had the advantage of simplicity. The most favourable consequences of the above-mentioned simplifying assumptions were that communities could be represented by a small number of state variables (species richness, abundances), spatio-temporal scales could be ignored, and coexistence conditions could be expressed by simple parameters (e.g. relations of pairwise competitive coefficients of populations). Present community ecology is characterized by a transitional stage. Verbal theories emphasize the importance of non-equilibrium processes, historical and landscape effects, and the effects of scales. However, the related methodology is still in fact based on a non-spatial equilibrium ecology. The non-equilibrium paradigm involves the importance of spatial and temporal contingencies (LAWTON 1999). A consequence of the paradigm is that individuals are not equal because individuals have different spatio-temporal neighbourhoods, i.e. different spatio-temporal contingencies. The community-scale dynamics depend on the within-community diversity and heterogeneity (BARTHA et al. 1998). Therefore, these relations must be measured explicitly, i.e. relevant state variables should refer to the within community diversity and heterogeneity. Abundances and spatial dependencies of all species combinations within a community should be measured in detail to be able to refer to the dynamically-relevant microstates (BARTHA et al. 1998). Because we never know “a priori” what are the dynamically-relevant effective spatio-temporal neighbourhoods, a series of scales should be applied in each particular study. Increasing evidence suggests that species coexistence can be understood by using spatially-explicit individual-based non-equilibrium models (e.g. PACALA 1986, CZÁRÁN & BARTHA 1992, HERBEN 1995, WINKLER & SCHMID 1995, BARTHA et al. 1995b). However, the price of realism is the complexity of both descriptive and generative models (cf. JUHÁSZ-NAGY 1984, CZÁRÁN 1998). 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