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Modeling life-history traits as functional responses to environmental
conditions: An adaptation of the SHIRAZ model for Oncorhynchus mykiss
Lucy Flynn - Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife – Burlington, WA
While many approaches have been developed to model salmonid survival as a
function of habitat conditions (e.g., Jager et al. 1997, Mobrand et al. 1997,
Nickelson and Lawson 1998, Scheuerell et al. 2006), life-history patterns have
been almost universally treated as fixed and known. Oncorhynchus mykiss
display an unusual degree of plasticity in life-history traits including anadromy,
smolt age, and ocean age, and such approaches may be inappropriate for this
species. We are currently developing an adaptation of the SHIRAZ model
(Sheuerell et al. 2006) for O. mykiss, in which both growth and survival are
modeled as functions of habitat conditions, and life-history “decisions” are
modeled as functions of growth.
We model survival using the Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment function
disaggregated across multiple life-history stages (Moussalli and Hilborn 1986),
and track fish growth using a bioenergetics model. We maintain the established
approach of treating the relationships between habitat conditions and survival
(i.e., Beverton-Holt parameters) as fixed values derived from literature reviews,
and extend this approach to the relationships between habitat conditions and the
parameters driving the bioenergetics model. We estimate (i) underlying survival
parameters, and (ii) parameters used to relate growth to life-history decisions,
using both data and literature values for model outputs.
2008 Pacific Coast Steelhead Meeting
March 4-6, 2008
Boise, ID