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Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 report (Draft for public consultation. Comments provided on this draft will be considered in finalising the report.) Cooper Creek Cullyamurra Waterhole and Floodplain; Innamincka, South Australia, 2009. Photo: G Scholz April 2017 © Commonwealth of Australia 2017 Ownership of intellectual property rights Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia (referred to as the Commonwealth). Creative Commons licence All material in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence, save for content supplied by third parties, logos and the Commonwealth Coat of Arms. Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided you attribute the work. A summary of the licence terms is available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/deed.en. The full licence terms are available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/legalcode. Inquiries about the licence and any use of this document should be sent to [email protected]. Cataloguing data This publication (and any material sourced from it) should be attributed as: Lake Eyre Basin Ministerial Forum 2017, Draft Lake Eyre Basin: State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report (Public Consultation document) Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, Canberra, November. CC BY 3.0. This publication is available at agriculture.gov.au/publications Lake Eyre Basin Secretariat Department of Agriculture and Water Resources Postal address GPO Box 858 Canberra ACT 2601 Email [email protected] Web agriculture.gov.au or lakeeyrebasin.gov.au The Australian Government acting through the Department of Agriculture and Water Resources has exercised due care and skill in preparing and compiling the information and data in this publication. Notwithstanding, the Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, its employees and advisers disclaim all liability, including liability for negligence and for any loss, damage, injury, expense or cost incurred by any person as a result of accessing, using or relying upon any of the information or data in this publication to the maximum extent permitted by law. Executive Summary The Lake Eyre Basin represents around one sixth of the Australian continent and covers significant portions of the Northern Territory, Queensland and South Australia. Amongst the world’s largest internally draining river basins, the Basin supports ecological, socioeconomic and cultural values of very high national and international significance. In 2000, Ministers of the Australian, Queensland and South Australian governments signed the Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement to protect the Basin’s water resources and river systems and to promote their sustainable management, especially with regard to minimising cross-border downstream impacts. The Northern Territory government also signed this Agreement in 2004. This report addresses the requirements of the Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement Act 2001 to review and report on the condition of watercourses and catchments within the Lake Eyre Basin Agreement Area every 10 years. The first condition assessment was the State of the Basin 2008: Rivers Assessment. This report is the second condition assessment. Available knowledge concerning hydrology, water quality, riverine fish and waterbirds of the Basin is synthesised and current and emerging threats to these features are identified. Riverine ecosystems and biodiversity of the Lake Eyre Basin are in good condition overall, especially when compared with neighbouring systems such as the MurrayDarling Basin where high levels of modification and resource use have resulted in widespread environmental degradation over the last century. Comparatively little human alteration of water regimes or landscapes has occurred in the Lake Eyre Basin and this is reflected by rich and diverse riverine communities (e.g. fish and waterbirds). Riverine ecosystems and biodiversity of the Basin are driven primarily by climatic and hydrological patterns which are characterised by high levels of spatial and temporal variability. Throughout the Basin, riverine habitat characteristics, including water quantity and quality, largely reflect preceeding hydrological conditions and, to a lesser extent, geological and geomorphological features. No long-term trends in hydrology or water quality have been detected from existing records in the Basin although it is difficult to determine whether this is mainly due to the high variability and relatively short duration of available datasets rather than the definite absence of trends. For example, contemporary water quality is characterised by high nutrient and turbidity compared to other Australian river systems, but it is not known if this reflects natural processes or is influenced by human activities such as grazing. Assessment of data collected under the Lake Eyre Basin Rivers Assessment programme indicates that riverine fish communities across the Basin are generally in good condition with at least 19 native species present including numerous well-known (yellowbelly) and endemic species (Welch’s grunter, desert goby, and the Finke goby). Exotic and translocated fish species are more abundant and widespread in the Basin than previously known, and present a threat to native fish species in both riverine and spring habitats. The rapid expansion of the translocated sleepy cod in the Cooper Creek catchment is of particular concern because of its potential to affect the condition of native fish communities, including those of the Coongie Lakes Ramsar wetlands. Waterbird communities across the Basin also demonstrate long-term stability in abundance and diversity over the monitoring period (1983-2015), despite being highly variable at basin and local scales in response to streamflow and water levels. Declines of shorebirds have occurred during this period at three wetlands (Goyders Lagoon, Lower Cooper and Lake Yamma Yamma), reflecting a continental decline in this migratory group Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 1 probably due to habitat changes in their flyways beyond the Basin. Herbivorous waterbirds and brolgas also exhibited declines in Lake Katherine and the GeorginaDiamantina catchments respectively, although the reasons for this remain unclear. The Coongie Lakes in the South Australian portion of the Cooper Creek comprise a wetland of global and national significance listed under the international Ramsar Convention on Wetlands. Limits of acceptable change have previously been defined under the Convention for the Coongie Lakes for hydrology, fish and waterbirds. Limits of acceptable change are threshold values designed to alert managers to potential changes in ecological character of the site. None of these limits of acceptable change were breached for hydrology between 2011 and 2016, although one was approached during a recent period of low flows in the lower Cooper. The limit of acceptable change associated with fish could be interpreted as exceeded on four occasions in the recent sampling period. As the sampling was only conducted in one or two sites at these times, the lack of fish species observed may reflect sampling effort rather than a depleted fish community. The recent appearance of sleepy cod represents a risk to the ecology of the Coongie Lakes Ramsar site because this translocated predator may have adverse effects on native fish populations and aquatic food webs. Waterbird surveys in the Coongie Lakes region in November 2008 observed very high numbers of waterbirds (almost 60 000) and waterbird species (~45) present, including around 2% of the total populations of both red-necked avocet and pink-eared duck, providing further evidence to support the continued recognition of this site as internationally significant according to Ramsar criteria 5 and 6. Risks associated with current threats and pressures to water resources and riverine ecosystems in the Basin are considered to be relatively low and are mostly localised in their effects, typically concentrated in the vicinity of waterholes. There is a risk, of cumulative impacts should the intensity and distribution of these pressures increase in the future. Invasive species, including aquatic pests and terrestrial animals and plants, represent the greatest current risk to riverine ecosystems and biodiversity. Climate change also presents a significant emerging threat with the potential for direct and indirect effects on water resources and riverine ecosystems and biodiversity. Along with warming, a drying trend revision of the fish can be expected over the coming century, especially in the southern parts of the Basin, as well as a potential for more frequent bushfire weather. Predicting climate change impacts entails high levels of uncertainty due to the inherent variability of the system and the complexities and feedbacks involved. Nevertheless, changes in the abundance and distribution of many native species across the Basin can be expected. Management priorities to conserve riverine ecosystems and biodiversity in the Basin include on-ground actions to contain source populations of invasive species, including capping artesian bores to prevent the sustenance of the exotic fish gambusia, fencing of water storages infested by cane toads, and eradication of source populations of invasive plants; education and enforcement to limit overfishing and illegal fish stocking in waterholes; minimisation of current pressures and stressors, such as 4WD driving and stock access, in the vicinity of persistent waterholes; and education to limit firewood harvest and spread of invasive plants in high-use tourism and recreational areas in the vicinity of persistent waterholes. Maintaining current low levels of water resources development also remains a priority, along with careful planning of floodplain development to maintain natural spatial patterns of inundation, especially during smaller floods. Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 2 3.4 CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 1. INTRODUCTION 5 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 5 5 6 6 Background Objectives Approach and scope Contributors 2. ABOUT THE BASIN 7 2.1 Location and global context Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.2 Riverine landscapes Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.3 Climate and hydrology Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.4 Riverine ecosystems and biodiversity Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.4.1 Boom and bust ecology Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.5 People, settlements and land use Error! Bookmark not defined. 2.6 Key values Error! Bookmark not defined. 3. CURRENT STATUS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 3.1 Introduction Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.1.1 Knowledge sources and approach Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.1.2 Aboriginal engagement Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.2 Hydrology Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.2.1 Key messages Error! 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Bookm ark not defined . 3 3.4.5 Condition assessment Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.4.6 Coongie Lakes Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.5 Waterbirds Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.5.3 Temporal trends Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.5.4 Coongie Lakes Error! Bookmark not defined. 4. CUR RENT AND EMERGI NG PRESSU RES AND THREA TS ERR OR! BOOKM ARK NOT DEFINE D. 4.1 Int roductio n Er ror! Bookm ark not defined . 4.2 Hy drologic alteratio n 69 4.3 La nd and water degrada tion Er ror! Bookm ark not defined . 4.4 Mi Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 4 ning and petroleum Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.5 Tourism and recreation Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.6 Invasive species Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.7 Social concerns 79 4.8 Climate change Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.8.1 Observed trends Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.8.2 Future climates Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.8.3 Potential impacts Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.9 Management status Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.9.1 Overview Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.9.2 Water resources planning and monitoring Error! Bookmark not defined. 4.10 Key knowledge needs Error! Bookmark not defined. 5. IDENTIFIED RISKS AND CONSIDERATIONS FOR GOVERNMENTS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 5.1 Risk assessment Error! Bookmark not defined. 5.2 Pressures and threats of the highest risk Error! Bookmark not defined. 5.3 Strategic knowledge needs Error! Bookmark not defined. 6. CONCLUSION ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.5 6.1 Condition Error! Bookmark not defined. 6.2 The Intergovernmental Agreement Error! Bookmark not defined. 6.3 Community involvement Error! Bookmark not defined. 6.4 Future risks Error! Bookmark not defined. REFERENCES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. GLOSSARY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. APPENDICES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 5 1. Introduction 1.1 Background The Lake Eyre Basin (the Basin) represents around one sixth of the Australian continent and covers significant portions of the Northern Territory, Queensland and South Australia, as well as a corner of north-western New South Wales. Amongst the world’s largest internally draining river basins, the Lake Eyre Basin supports ecological, socioeconomic and cultural values of very high national and international significance. The Basin is widely recognised as being relatively undisturbed by human activities compared with adjacent basins such as the Murray-Darling. Unless well managed, growing pressures to develop and intensify agricultural and mining enterprises, along with a burgeoning tourism industry and the overlying threat of climate change, pose risks to the Basin‘s watercourses and catchments and the many diverse values that they support. In 2000, Ministers of the Australian, Queensland and South Australian governments signed the Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement to protect the Basin’s water resources and river systems and to promote their sustainable management, especially with regard to minimising cross-border downstream impacts. The Northern Territory government also signed this agreement in 2004 (Figure 1). The Agreement encompasses the Cooper Creek catchment (excluding the north-western corner of New South Wales), the Georgina and Diamantina catchments and the Finke, Todd, Hay Macumba and Neales, catchments in the west and south (Figure 1). The Agreement is governed by the Lake Eyre Basin Ministerial Forum. A Community Advisory Committee and Scientific Advisory Panel provide advice to the Ministerial Forum in relation to matters relevant to the Agreement. An initial State of the Basin report was produced in 2008; the current report is the second condition assessment of the Basin. 1.2 Objectives This report addresses the requirements of the Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement Act 2001 to review and report on the condition of watercourses and catchments within the Lake Eyre Basin Agreement Area every 10 years. The major aims of this report are to: • describe the current status of Basin’s watercourses and catchments, including rivers, floodplains, and riverine lakes and wetlands, with a particular focus on hydrology, water quality, fish and waterbirds • identify and evaluate current threats and pressures facing water resources and riverine ecosystems of the Basin, especially those requiring a coordinated interjurisdictional approach. Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 5 1.3 Approach and scope This report synthesises knowledge of hydrology, water quality, riverine fish and waterbirds of the Lake Eyre Basin as well as current and emerging threats to these features. Results of monitoring and evaluation conducted under the recent Lake Eyre Basin Rivers Assessment programme are presented in addition to assessment of other relevant datasets where available. The Lake Eyre Basin Rivers Assessment Implementation Plan was adopted by the Ministerial Forum in 2010, and hydrology, water quality and fish have been monitored regularly in 53 waterholes under the Lake Eyre Basin Rivers Assessment programme since 2011 (Appendix 1). Waterbirds in 10 major wetlands of the Basin have been monitored annually in October since 1983 as part of the Eastern Australian Waterbird Survey (Kingsford & Porter 2009). This report does not consider the condition of the physical landscape, riverine vegetation or other ecological components, such as terrestrial animals, that depend on watercourses and catchments of the Basin. Where available, information regarding catchment-wide risks to watercourses and riverine biodiversity has been considered (Chapter 4). The report comprises six chapters. Chapter 2 provides a brief overview of the Basin, its riverine landscapes, climate, hydrology, riverine biodiversity and ecosystems, and people. Chapter 3 presents findings regarding the status of hydrology, water quality, fish and waterbirds in the Basin. Chapter 4 discusses current and emerging threats to water resources and riverine ecosystems in the Basin. Chapter 5 identifies the risks and strategic knowledge needs. Finally, Chapter 6 provides a synthesis of the report’s key messages andconclusion. 1.4 Contributors This report represents the contributions of many individuals and organisations. Hydrological information was compiled by University of Melbourne (Dr Justin Costelloe) and water quality information by the Environment Protection Authority South Australia, University of Adelaide (John Tibby), Northern Territory Department of Environment and Natural Resources, and Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines. Fish information and condition assessments were provided by South Australian Research and Development Institute in consultation with Griffith University (Emeritus Professor Angela Arthington), Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines, and Northern Territory Department of Environment and Natural Resources. Waterbird information was supplied by University of New South Wales (Professor Richard Kingsford and Dr Gilad Bino). Many of the maps in this report were produced by South Australian Research and Development Institute and the Bureau of Agricultural Resources, Economics and Sciences. Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 6 The Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Steering Committee, along with the Community Advisory Committee and Scientific Advisory Panel, have also made significant contributions to the report. The report was coordinated and produced by a team at the Australian Rivers Institute at Griffith University comprising Drs Samantha Capon, Stephen Balcombe and Amy George and Associate Professor Fran Sheldon. Figure 1 Map of the Lake Eyre Basin showing major catchments, watercourses, lakes, towns and the Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement area. (source: Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics and Sciences, 2017) Draft Lake Eyre Basin State of the Basin Condition Assessment 2016 Report: for public consultation 7