Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
CHAPTER 6. PRODUCTION Part A. © 2009, Kwan Choi In Part A, we first consider a firm’s production. Cost information is needed to make optimal production decisions of a firm and will be considered in Part B. Firm and Entreprenuer Where do entrepreneurs come from? A firm is an entity that organizes production activity and sells the output in the market. Firms use inputs like capital (K) and labor (L), and convert them into a marketable output. Entreprenuers form firms by combining capital inputs and laborers who are willing to be passive and sell their labor. Individuals have two choices: They can sell their labor in competitive markets and earn wage. Alternatively, they can organize a production activity by combining inputs to produce a marketable product, which is then sold in the market. Input prices are more or less fixed in factor markets. Are entrepreneurs risk takers? In western countries, creativity and entrepreneurship are encouraged. Accordingly, there are more entrepreneurs than in command economies (e.g., former Soviet Union) Right. The choice between wage earners and entrepreneurs are decisions under uncertainty. Although a salary man gets laid off occasionally during the economic downturn, their income is more predictable and safer than that of entrepreneurs. When employed, they earn fixed incomes, which are generally less risky than the profits of entrepreneurs. Accordingly, expected earnings in the labor market are lower. Are you saying that the owner of the firm or the entrepreneur takes a risk by organizing a Profits are uncertain. Moreover, profits can be negative! production activity? In return, he will earn random profits, rather than fixed wage. Thus, whether to work for someone else for a fixed wage or to become an entrepreneur is really a choice between risky prospects. Even though Option B has expected value of $75,000, most people prefer Option A Because they are risk averse. Why does an entrepreneur need capital? If he guesses correctly, he earns profits. If not, he incurs a loss. Under no circumstances, wage earners are required to pay for the right to work. Thus, wage earners cut the downside risk (of negative wage). For instance, an individual may be faced with two options: Option A: fixed wage W = $50,000 Option B: random income w: 50% chance of earning $200,000 and 50% chance of losing $50,000. Moreover, those without capital (i.e., money to lose or borrow) can only be a wage earner. According to Kenneth Arrow, individuals show diminishing absolute risk aversion (DARA), which means individuals become less risk averse as income/wealth increases. Farmers must plant corn in the spring without really knowing what the market price will be six months later at the harvest time. Even before planting corn, the farmer must also dedicate or rent some land and adds nitro fertilizer in late fall before observing market price. Perfect Foresight: The entrepreneur knows all output and input prices before making production decisions. That is, the firm has perfect foresight. Let us take a look at the downside risk. A firm’s revenue = pQ. In the worst case, a producer may not receive any revenue. But some production costs may Production costs are incurred because have been incurred already in order inputs are used to produce something and to produce outputs. these inputs are scarce and could have been used elsewhere. How do we calculate costs? 2 Explicit Cost: the cost of inputs that involves direct money outlays. It is the cost of purchasing inputs not owned by the firm. Implicit Cost: is the highest income foregone the firm could have earned by selling its own resources to others. The cost of resources owned by the entrepreneur. Your notion of profits would then be different from the accounting profits which we use for tax purposes. Example: rent for land and buildings owned by the firm. Normal profits are the payment required to keep the entrepreneur in the business. This is the amount of income the entrepreneur could have earned elsewhere. This is an implicit cost of doing business. Economic Profit = total revenue opportunity cost of all inputs. = total revenue - (implicit cost + explicit cost) Then, it is possible for a firm to show accounting profits but still shut down subsequently. This could happen when the firm does not earn enough to cover the cost of the owner’s resources, or implicit costs. Right. If an entrepreneur has a job offer of say, $100,000 from another company, this should be taken into account. If accounting profits are only $50,000, then the entrepreneur will quit. 3 Production Function To estimate the total cost of producing a given quantity of a good, one must understand the relationship between inputs and output. Output refers to the goods produced by a firm. Inputs refer to the resources used by the firm to produce the output. To calculate the total cost of a given output, the firm must know precisely what inputs must be employed in what quantities. This relationship between inputs and the output is called the production function. For instance, the relationship between the total output and inputs may be given by Y F ( K , X ), where Y denotes the total output and K and X denote capital input and a variable input, respectively. 4 SR VERSUS LR AND FIXED VERSUS VARIABLE INPUTS In the short run (SR), the firm's ability to alter input combinations is limited. If General Motors (GM) wants to increase its production of automobiles, it can order more steel and engine components, hire more workers, use three rather than two shifts in all plants. But at some point, the existing plant will reach its full capacity. In the SR, there is a limit to how many automobiles can roll off the GM assembly lines each day. This is because some inputs are fixed in the short run. 5 How long is the short run? The relationship between inputs and outputs are similar to that between consumption and utility. It depends on the product or industry in question. In manufacturing industries, production occurs continuously throughout the year. The decision to buy and use new capital equipment can be made within a few months in one industry, but may take a few years in another. In agriculture, land becomes a fixed input in the short run, because rent decisions are made annually. Yes, but with one exception. Production may reach a peak and decline thereafter as more inputs are used. In contrast, utility is monotonically increasing as consumption increases. In Figure 1, a short run relationship between input X and output Y can be examined for given amount of capital, K = 5. A vertical cross section of the production function at K = 5 shows a contour of the total product curve to be discussed shortly. A horizontal slice or cross section of the production function shows what is called an isoquant (iso = equal, quant = quantity). What is a fixed input? Fixed Input: is an input whose quantity cannot be changed in the short run (when an immediate change in output is desired). The cost of increasing the quantity of the fixed input is too high to accommodate a quick variation in output. It is not a technological impossibility, but it is not economically practical to change the fixed input in the short run. What then is a variable input? Variable Input is an input whose quantity can be changed instantaneously in response to a change in demand. 6 Workers are then a variable input? Yes, in the United States and China. In other countries, however, labor is a fixed input. For instance, in Japan a job is a lifetime employment, and they do not lay off workers during an economic downturn. In France, due to regulations, it is next to impossible to fire a worker, and hence labor becomes a fixed input. When making production decisions, we also distinguish two time periods: short run and long run. Short Run is defined to be the period of time in which some inputs are fixed. Usually, plants and capital equipment are fixed. How long is the SR? Then how long is the long run? The SR does not designate a specific period of time. The length of SR depends on the output produced. For many manufacturing industries, SR could be a few months, whereas in public utilities and oil and natural gas industries, SR could be several years. Long Run is the period of time in which all inputs can be varied, including the plant size. Of course, the time it takes to alter plant capacity varies from industry to industry. For example, it would take several years for GM to design and construct a new factory. A corner drug store may be able to build a new wing in a few months. Right. Production costs will depend on the time horizon. TC = TFC + TVC Total cost =Total fixed cost + total variable cost 7 Law of Diminishing Returns The relationship between inputs and output are not generally linear. So, that must be the Law of Diminishing Returns (Law of Diminishing Marginal Product). But in the SR, you can only increase some inputs, but while other inputs are fixed. Increasing only one input generally increases output, but beyond a certain point, the increment declines. Right. For most products, inputs must be mixed together to yield a maximum output. Right The following table shows the relationship between an input and output in a hypothetical firm. Notice how MP is calculated. It is the increment of output attributable to an extra unit of the input. Input X Output Q Marginal Product (MP) 0 0 - 1 8 8 2 20 12 3 30 10 4 37 7 5 40 3 6 40 0 7 35 -5 8 What does point A represent? It is called the Inflexion point (TP curve is convex to the left of B and concave to the right). This is the point where the curvature changes. (the second derivative = 0.) Ray 1 from the origin intersects the TP curve at points, B and D. Right Then the average product (Q/X) must be the same at both points. At C, the ray from the origin is just tangent, that is where MP (marginal product) and AP (average product) are equal. That is where AP is highest. What does point C signify? 9 Right. And when TP falls to zero, TP = AP = 0. At point D, total product reaches a maximum. I bet its MP = 0. If X denotes a variable input (such as labor), a SR product function is given by Q g ( K , X ) f ( X ), and is obtained for a specific value of capital. 10 Marginal product (MP) is the increment of output from a small increase in the variable input. MPX As in the utility theory, the extra unit X would depend on the unit of measurement. Q . X Right. It is desirable to obtain marginal product when X is infinitesimally small. In mathematics, this marginal concept is often described as a derivative. From now on, marginal product is written as MPX f '( X ). Give me an example. For instance, if the production function is written as: y ax bx 2 cx3 . (1) Right. The marginal product (MP) is Average Product is total output divided by the quantity of the variable input. dy a 2bx 3cx 2 , (2) dx APX which looks like the MP curve in Figure 3, provided that c is negative. TP Q . (3) X X Now derive average product for the example. Average product of X is y a bx cx 2 , (4) x which also looks like the AP curve in Figure 3, provided that c is negative. 11