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Present and future of the Agricultural Sector`s Supplying and Price Information System in Colombia- SIPSA and the interaction with the Agricultural Statistical System: some stylized facts. Alejandro Bernal, Elsa Hernández, Herbert Sánchez Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (National Administrative Department of Statistics)DANE Carrera 59 no. 26-70 Int 1 – CAN Bogotá – Colombia [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] ABSTRACT Nowadays markets are not domestic at all, but they are more globalized; therefore, it is necessary to have quality information that enables the different commercial chain agents to make the best decisions in order to improve the population welfare. Key words: Food, transaction costs, Institutional Economy, Information, Prices 1 Introduction In the modern economic theory, price structures and mainly the economic transactions in the real world have transaction costs which the society tends to minimize through a system of laws that regulate the interaction of the economic agents. Transaction costs are difficult to quantify; however, they affect price levels of the economy as far as are defined as “those which are derived from the establishment of an ex ante’s agreement, as well as from its control and its ex posts’ fulfillment” (Arias and Caballero, 2003)1. In this respect, Coase points out that if such costs do not exist, neither enterprises nor institutions would not exist. Some authors conclude that: institutions disclose the formal and informal rules for the agents involved in the market through the exchange of ownership rights; establish the ownership rights, provide information on prices, and develop frameworks for the development of economic activities. 1 The main causes for the generation of transaction costs includes: costs for the design and execution of contracts with certain level of complexity, and problems of asymmetric information. Such issues are currently being solved by SIPSA. Thus, the level of prices not only involves the supply and demand interaction, additionally such levels are embedded in a set of laws that govern them. Furthermore, it is an important information resource for the decision-making of the economic agents. The seek of information on prices leads costs, implying that transaction costs rise as far as actors need to make decisions based on the best available information in order to improve their economic benefits. In view of the above, and taking into account the changes in the globalization processes, it is necessary to count with strong and reliable institutions which help to reduce transaction costs, especially with the existence of a system of information on prices of the agricultural sector. In this way, Colombia – meeting the strengthening policies- aims that information – which is relevant for the decision-makingbe formalized and therefore be produced and disseminated by only one institution i.e. the Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (National Administrative Department of Statistics) DANE . This paper was made based on the theories on institutional economy pointed out by Douglas Cecil North and Ronald Harry Coase. Using such theories, it is intended to establish how the beginning of the operation of the Agricultural Sector’s supplying and Prices System –SIPSA- by DANE, contributed to increase the dissemination of information on market prices of agricultural products. When SIPSA is operated by DANE, independence is assured, information bias are avoided and the entity is focused to more specific interests, which can make the new agents incur in additional costs for seeking reliable and timely information sources; Specially in a market economy where the determination of the “value” of goods and services - understanding value as the qualities “valuable for the acquirer” that all goods or services exchanged possess - is given by a system of prices which incorporates the information that market`s actors have on the qualities and attributes of the “valuable” good, so determining its “value” (Alfaro, 1996). A possible alternative to reduce the costs related with the information asymmetries consists in establishing an Information System which “effectively distributes the information in a clear, continuous and consistent form, so providing credibility to the executives` actions, (…). This fact will reduce the risks identified as for the agent, as for the shareholder” (Marín, 2012). This article is divided in four sections: this first part corresponds to the introduction. The second part presents the conceptual framework that establishes the connection between SIPSA and DANE, the institutions and the transaction costs; explaining how SIPSA reduce the market agents `uncertainty. An analysis regarding the DANE`s website inquires is done in the third part as well as the evolution of the amount of individuals who access such website, taking into account this aspect as an indicator of acceptance by the public. Finally, conclusions are outlined in the fourth part. 2 Conceptual Framework The evidence of a system of information, and most importantly, the evidence of market prices makes possible to reduce the investments of eventual acquirers in order to find a counterparty, to measure the product`s qualities incorporated to the price with no distortions, and finally to negotiate and draw up an agreement. Such qualities not necessarily have to be individually defined. In this sense, the principal fail of market specifically relies on the absence of market prices, i.e. in the existence of countless goods or rights that individuals wish to buy or sell, but there is not a market and a price that leads the activity of such individuals, allowing them to make low-cost decisions (Álfaro, 1996 2009). 2.1 The DANE and SIPSA The National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) was created in 1953, and regarding its mission, this is the entity in charge of producing and disseminating the official statistics of the country, enabling the decision-making for the country`s socio-economic development. Likewise, it is in charge of coordinating and regulating the National Statistical System –NSS- comprised by all organizations that produce statistical information at Central level and concerning all branches in the territory. One of the main short-term DANE`s goals is to consolidate the NSS in order to generate and provide all statistical information requested by the country, meeting the most important international standards such as the application of good practices for official statistics, the coverage, the efficiency, the compliance and quality. Among the most relevant changes that DANE has experienced as statistics producer authority, these include the changes established by three regulations: i) Decree 262 of 2004, which assigns to DANE some responsibilities as main entity in charge of statistics in Colombia: the production of strategic statistics, the production and dissemination of basic official statistics and the development of the country`s national accounts; ii) Decree 3851 of 2006, which organizes DANE`s quality assurance system, storage and consultation of basic information of the country, and iii) Decree 4178 of 2011, which reassigns the DANE`s functions regarding the planning, standardization and certification of statistics. DANE is a good example in terms of the advantages of centralizing the statistical production in only one entity, since the different statistical operations that are produced under scope of the good practices or the international recommendations -essential for their comparability and continuous improvementcan be easily aligned. In the same way, centralization: i) makes easy the economies of scale by using a less amount of inputs to generate basic statistics, indicators and national accounts; ii) contrasts and improves data collection methodologies in order to fulfill the users’ needs, and iii) increases human resources’ productivity, due to the high expertise achieved during the development of statistical activities. Therefore, in June of 2012 SIPSA was launched at DANE´s facilities. Such activity included the development of a strengthening process, focused on giving this Information System the statistical, methodological and logistic tools required to ensure the quality and the compliance of information; as well as the daily dissemination of information on wholesale prices at DANE´s website and in printed bulletins. Such strengthening process involved a restructure of the basket of agricultural products. Furthermore, regular evaluations on the entry of new products are regularly carried out; additionally, the sample that is being taken for products (such as milk) is currently under validation. Due to the evolution of market, routines that enable the capture of changes in the schedules for the cargo entry have been defined. On the other hand, within DANE, the System of Information has been supported with high technology in order to enhance errors´ detection, as well as modules for data collection have been developed, giving such System a more versatile operation; ad this way reducing the current delay between capture process and data dissemination. Moreover, alternative query tools have been created, allowing the different economic agents an easier and simple access to the information. 2.2 Institutions, transaction costs and the SIPSA Over a long period of 20th century, the economic analysis was based on neoclassic approaches; however, in the end of this century, institutional economics gained importance and nowadays is considered a research area which is widely accepted inside economic theory. In this way, Rutherford (1994) defines institutions as the whole set of rules, regulations and restrictions in a society, in which the codes of conduct and standards of behavior are expressed. Likewise, institutions are rules and laws that govern politics and society; they also are the set of norms that govern the contractual relations. The concept of institution is attached to four key characteristics (Peters, 1999): i) an institution constitutes a structural feature of the society; ii) an institution have some type of stability over time, iii) an institution affects the behavior of individuals, and iv) certain kind of shared values should be presented among the members of an institution. Likewise, transactions have two stages. In the first one, cost are incurred in order to define and control the exclusivity in the absence of exchange; whereas in the second stage, costs associated to negotiation and fulfillment of contracts regarding transfers of rights are incurred (North, 1981). In addition to this set of rules, institutions are also the form in which individuals are organized in order to carry out an exchange, so encouraging the production activity which is performed when there is a specialization (Alfaro, 1996). In neoclassic approaches it is supposed that exchange is carried out in a natural way and there are no costs associated to transactions. In the practice, it does not exist because there are asymmetries of information that can be useful for some agents. According to North (1990), the basis for the formation of institutions relies on the processing of the information obtained from actors due to the transaction costs. If actors are partially informed, they will create subjective models as a guide for their selections and only the correction of such models would be made in a partial way, which leads to higher prices. Although a model of perfect competition is given by the fact that all agents have the same amount and quality of data, there is a mixture of information asymmetries in the different markets; it means that information has a cost and becomes an essential input. Consequently, each agent has a different type of information. Likewise, institutions establish an interaction between them and the economic agents, giving a certain level of imperfection in the markets. Even in the case in which an evolution of the institutional framework leads to generate more earnings, institutions provide mixed signals: There will always be incentives for deceiving or evading. In the economy history, there are institutional innovations that reduce the costs of negotiations, but never at the same level as neoclassic approach does, because there are still incentive issues in the economic agents. Thus, in order to satisfy the needs in a world of limited resources, individuals carry out transactionsi.e. carry out transfers of ownership rights-. In order to perform such operations, individuals incur in transaction costs. (Allen, 1991). Thus, in terms of this hypothetic world in which negotiation is not an expensive action, the economic reality of perfect markets with zero transaction costs does not exist. Markets in the real world are characterized by the presence of positive transaction costs, implying that if such costs exceed the benefits expected from the transaction, this action will not be carried out. A reallocation of economic rights will be only undertaken when the increase in the production valueresulting from a transaction- is greater than the costs incurred in achieving this transaction. On the contrary, when such value is lower than the transaction costs, an interruption in the economic activity would take place. However, the transaction would be carried out provided that the market transactions have lower costs (Coase, 1960). In this sense, the higher the transaction costs are the more difficult will be its commercialization, due to the existing issues on knowing the remuneration that each factor should have. Thus, the level of transaction costs will depend on both the characteristics of each of the transactions and the institutional environment in which a transaction is carried out. In view of this, it is necessary that society defines the different rules of the game (North 1990a), that reduce the transaction costs` levels. The starting point of the theory on transaction costs defines that all economic transactions leads to costs -in various stages- prior to its concrete execution; for instance, the costs attained to the information search and the prevention in terms of the compliance of other agents. Therefore, certain transactions carried out in the market may lead important costs, which can be associated with the negotiation development. Consequently, economic agents, in the practice, can be obliged or encouraged to find out alternative institutional or personal agreements that enables to minimize or reduce such costs. In view of the above, SIPSA, as Price Information System concerning the market of agricultural products, enables the reduction of transaction costs since it decreases the risk in the decision-making (transaction costs). Such system provides the enough information needed for adopting decisions made by the economic agents; especially when an important cost that makes more expensive the exchange processes, correspond to the determination of “value” of goods and services; understanding value as the qualities – valuable for the acquirer- that all goods or services exchanged possess. Such determination is given by a Price System (Alfaro, 1996). Figure 1 explains the interaction of SIPSA with the economic agents. The advantages of counting with a Price Information System includes the decrease of transaction costs that facilitates the decisionmaking by the economic agents; and the sense of credibility given by such System, since the information produced and released is available for all agents, not depending on particular interests. With the ex ante information, contracts in which transaction costs are decreased can be undertaken, leading that economic actors from agricultural sector know exactly the prices, the characteristics and the location of the products offered. According with Cordella (2006), transaction costs can be reduced in all stages of the value –chain. On one hand, producers and retail traders may reduce the searching, the intermediation and the contract fulfillment costs by using reliable and timely information. On the other hand, such reduction in transaction costs means a falling of all agents involved in the price chain of agricultural products, carrying an increase of the population`s welfare. SIPSA is an essential instrument regarding the reduction of transaction costs. Such system, being operated by the entity in charge of the production of official statistics in the country, is methodologically strengthened; this way ensuring its suitability in terms of the different market issues, increasing its credibility, and avoiding the presence of actors that can distort markets. Figure 1. Relation between SIPSA and economic agents SIPSA Economic agents DANE Transaction costs reduced Credibility Source: Figure made by the authors 3 3.1 Economic agents and SIPSA Evolution of queries in the WEB site Google Analytics enables the analysis, in real time, of the queries of individuals who visit the website of any enterprise. This information corresponds to the main input to work with. In May 2013, DANE´s website reported 450,339 queries, from which the 1% corresponded to searching of information on SIPSA regarding its three components. Between June 2012 and May 2013, the Information System reported an increase of 56% in queries, improving from 1.990 to 3.099. However, this evolution is not constant since there is a reduction in the visits between October and December 2012, being this last month, the one that reported the lowest number of visitors, with 1.615, a situation clearly influenced by the Christmas and New year celebrations ( see graph 1). Having overcome this period, the rhythm of visits became once again continuously growing, this time reporting an average of 10% as from January 2013. The highest point in the history of SIPSA’s consultation at DANE´s website was reported in April 2013, with a total of 3.241 queries. Graph 1. Evolution of SIPSA’s consultations at DANE´s website. Source: DANE Specifically for the component of wholesale prices, it was reported 20.909 visitors during the complete research period. It represents an evolution with similar behavior compared with the whole System, in special when such component represents the 70% of the total. Participation percentage did not abruptly changed in the twelve months studied, reporting its maximum value in December 2012 with an 82% (see graph 2). Between April and May 2013, the number of visits was considered stable. This fact generated a difference with the total number of SIPSA´s site visits which reported a reduction of 4%. Graph 2. Evolution of consultations of the wholesale prices ‘component at DANE’s website. Source: DANE 3.2 Presence of SIPSA in written media The evolution of mentions of SIPSA in the different national written media is particularly interesting. As mentioned above, the System was launched in June 2012; therefore, this month had a wide number of references. In the following month, it was only reported three of such mentions, a trend that continued until the beginning of 2013 year (see graph 3). In January, 64 mentions were reported, value that continued in February. However, on March were reported 115 references nationwide - fact that contributed to increase in almost 80% the mentions in comparison with the preceding month (see graph 3) - becoming SIPSA the referent system for making decisions in terms of the commercialization of products. Such percentage was generated due to the coffee strike that affected the normal supplying of food in some of the country´s zones. This influenced in the increase of consultations by the economic agents who were interested in knowing the changing dynamic of wholesale prices. Graph 3. Number of mentions in written media. Source: DANE 4 Conclusions In an ideal world, transaction costs do not exist, specially taking into account an approach such as the perfectly competitive market where no participant can influence in prices, merchandise are homogeneous, buyers and sellers are conglomerated in a physical place, consumers are perfectly informed, the rights over goods are perfectly defined and exchanges are simultaneously undertaken. Concerning this approach, there is nothing to worry about the costs for exchanging, simply because such costs do not exist (Alfaro, 1996). However, in the real world, many transactions are not longer performed because transaction costs exceed the benefits that agents obtain in the exchanging of the ownership right. An important instrument which reduces the transaction costs is the information. Likewise, taking into account the evolution of markets, one of the main attributes of information is the reliability and timeliness. For achieving both features, it is important that the institution in charge of generating information do not respond to particular interests. In Colombia, the Agricultural Sector’s Supply and Pricing Information System was granted to DANE, whose objective is to produce and provide statistical information from the entire country; a fact that apart of ensuring the independence of information, also strengthens it by means of different processes that contribute to its development, analysis and dissemination, through the pursuant of the good practices and the international quality standards. The SIPSA, having the institutional support from DANE, has great possibilities of development in their methodologies and especially in the dissemination of the information produced to the economic agents; by means of virtual communication channels and text messages to mobile phones, reaching a wider range of population, having benefited in the decrease of transaction costs, and in the generation of agreements and contracts regarding the agricultural sector. 5 REFERENCES Alfaro, J. (1996) Los costes de transacción, en Estudios jurídicos en homenaje al profesor Aurelio Menéndez, Iglesias, J.L., Civitas, 1 131-162. Arias, C.C., Caballero, G. (2003) Instituciones, costos de transacción y políticas públicas: un panorama, en: Revista de Economía Institucional, Vol. 5, N°8, Primer semestre / 2003. Universidad de Vigo. 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