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Øving 6 STAT111 Sondre Hølleland Auditorium π 4 14. Mars 2016 Oppgaver • Section 10.1: 2, 3, 4, 5 • Section 10.2: 31, 33. Fasit Section 10.1: 2. 4.85 3. 1.76 4. a) (1250.67, 2949.33) b) 6352.95 5. a) -2.90 b) 0.0019 c) 0.8212 d) 65.15, så bruk 66 Section 10.2: 31. p-verdi: 0.048 q 33. a) x − y ± tα/2,m+n−2 · sp m1 + n1 , b) (−0.24, 3.64) c) (−0.34, 3.74) 496 CHAPTER 10 Inferences Based on Two Samples horizontal axis). Would the shape of the curve necessarily be the same for sample sizes of 10 batteries of each type? Explain. 2. Let m1 and m2 denote true average tread lives for two competing brands of size P205/65R15 radial tires. Test H0: m1 m2 ¼ 0 versus Ha: m1 m2 6¼ 0 at level .05 using the following data: m ¼ 45, x ¼ 42; 500, s1 ¼ 2200, n ¼ 45, y ¼ 40; 400, and s2 ¼ 1900. 3. Let m1 denote true average tread life for a premium brand of P205/65R15 radial tire and let m2 denote the true average tread life for an economy brand of the same size. Test H0: m1 m2 ¼ 5000 versus Ha: m1 m2 > 5000 at level .01 using the following data: m ¼ 45, x ¼ 42; 500, s1 ¼ 2200, n ¼ 45, y ¼ 36; 800, and s2 ¼ 1500. 4. a. Use the data of Exercise 2 to compute a 95% CI for m1 m2. Does the resulting interval suggest that m1 m2 has been precisely estimated? b. Use the data of Exercise 3 to compute a 95% upper confidence bound for m1 m2. 5. Persons having Raynaud’s syndrome are apt to suffer a sudden impairment of blood circulation in fingers and toes. In an experiment to study the extent of this impairment, each subject immersed a forefinger in water and the resulting heat output (cal/cm2/min) was measured. For m ¼ 10 subjects with the syndrome, the average heat output was x ¼ :64, and for n ¼ 10 nonsufferers, the average output was 2.05. Let m1 and m2 denote the true average heat outputs for the two types of subjects. Assume that the two distributions of heat output are normal with s1 ¼ .2 and s2 ¼ .4. a. Consider testing H0: m1 m2 ¼ 1.0 versus Ha: m1 m2 < 1.0 at level .01. Describe in words what Ha says, and then carry out the test. b. Compute the P-value for the value of Z obtained in part (a). c. What is the probability of a type II error when the actual difference between m1 and m2 is m1 m2 ¼ 1.2? d. Assuming that m ¼ n, what sample sizes are required to ensure that b ¼ .1 when m1 m2 ¼ 1.2? 6. An experiment to compare the tension bond strength of polymer latex modified mortar (Portland cement mortar to which polymer latex emulsions have been added during mixing) to that of unmodified mortar resulted in x ¼ 18:12 kgf=cm2 for the modified mortar (m ¼ 40) and y ¼ 16:87 kgf=cm2 for the unmodified mortar (n ¼ 32). Let m1 and m2 be the true average tension bond strengths for the modified and unmodified mortars, respectively. Assume that the bond strength distributions are both normal. a. Assuming that s1 ¼ 1.6 and s2 ¼ 1.4, test H0: m1 m2 ¼ 0 versus Ha: m1 m2 > 0 at level .01. b. Compute the probability of a type II error for the test of part (a) when m1 m2 ¼ 1. c. Suppose the investigator decided to use a level .05 test and wished b ¼ .10 when m1 m2 ¼ 1. If m ¼ 40, what value of n is necessary? d. How would the analysis and conclusion of part (a) change if s1 and s2 were unknown but s1 ¼ 1.6 and s2 ¼ 1.4? 7. Are male college students more easily bored than their female counterparts? This question was examined in the article “Boredom in Young Adults— Gender and Cultural Comparisons” (J. Cross-Cult. Psych., 1991: 209–223). The authors administered a scale called the Boredom Proneness Scale to 97 male and 148 female U.S. college students. Does the accompanying data support the research hypothesis that the mean Boredom Proneness Rating is higher for men than for women? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a .05 significance level. Gender Sample Size Sample Mean Sample SD Male Female 97 148 10.40 9.26 4.83 4.68 8. Is touching by a coworker sexual harassment? This question was included on a survey given to federal employees, who responded on a scale of 1–5, with 1 meaning a strong negative and 5 indicating a strong yes. The table summarizes the results. Gender Sample Size Sample Mean Sample SD Female Male 4343 3903 4.6056 4.1709 .8659 1.2157 Of course, with 1–5 being the only possible values, the normal distribution does not apply here, but the sample sizes are sufficient that it does not matter. Obtain a two-sided confidence interval for the difference in population means. Does your interval suggest that females are more likely than males to regard touching as harassment? Explain your reasoning. 508 CHAPTER 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 10 Inferences Based on Two Samples Kenyon Oberlin Franklin and Marshall Goucher Randolph-Macon Thomas Aquinas Beloit Austin Ursinus Siena Juniata ber of cycles to break were 4358 and 2218, respectively, whereas a sample of 20 polyisoprene condoms gave a sample mean and sample standard deviation of 5805 and 3990, respectively. Is there strong evidence for concluding that the true average number of cycles to break for the polyisoprene condom exceeds that for the natural latex condom by more than 1000 cycles? [Note: The article presented the results of hypothesis tests based on the t distribution; the validity of these depends on assuming normal population distributions.] 38140 36282 36480 31082 26830 20400 30138 21586 35160 22685 28920 33. Consider the pooled t variable a. Construct a comparative boxplot of expenses, and comment on any interesting features. b. Obtain a 95% confidence interval for the difference of population means. Interpret your result in terms of the additional cost of attending a more prestigious college. Moving up from tier 2 to tier 1 raises the cost by roughly what percentage? 31. The article “Characterization of Bearing Strength Factors in Pegged Timber Connections” (J. Struct. Engrg., 1997: 326–332) gave the following summary data on proportional stress limits for specimens constructed using two different types of wood: Type of Wood Red oak Douglas fir Sample Size Sample Mean Sample SD 14 10 8.48 6.65 .79 1.28 Assuming that both samples were selected from normal distributions, carry out a test of hypotheses to decide whether the true average proportional stress limit for red oak joints exceeds that for Douglas fir joints by more than 1 MPa. 32. According to the article “Fatigue Testing of Condoms” (Polym. Test., 2009: 567–571), “tests currently used for condoms are surrogates for the challenges they face in use,” including a test for holes, an inflation test, a package seal test, and tests of dimensions and lubricant quality (all fertile territory for the use of statistical methodology!). The investigators developed a new test that adds cyclic strain to a level well below breakage and determines the number of cycles to break. The cited article reported that for a sample of 20 natural latex condoms of a certain type, the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the num- T¼ ðX YÞ ðm1 m2 Þ rffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi 1 1 þ Sp m n which has a t distribution with m + n 2 df when both population distributions are normal with s1 ¼ s2 (see the Pooled t Procedures subsection for a description of Sp). a. Use this t variable to obtain a pooled t confidence interval formula for m1 m2. b. A sample of ultrasonic humidifiers of one particular brand was selected for which the observations on maximum output of moisture (oz) in a controlled chamber were 14.0, 14.3, 12.2, and 15.1. A sample of the second brand gave output values 12.1, 13.6, 11.9, and 11.2 (“Multiple Comparisons of Means Using Simultaneous Confidence Intervals,” J. Qual. Techn., 1989: 232–41). Use the pooled t formula from part (a) to estimate the difference between true average outputs for the two brands with a 95% confidence interval. c. Estimate the difference between the two m’s using the two-sample t interval discussed in this section, and compare it to the interval of part (b). 34. Refer to Exercise 33. Describe the pooled t test for testing H0: m1 m2 ¼ 0 when both population distributions are normal with s1 ¼ s2. Then use this test procedure to test the hypotheses suggested in Exercise 32. 35. Exercise 35 from Chapter 9 gave the following data on amount (oz) of alcohol poured into a short, wide tumbler glass by a sample of experienced bartenders: 2.00, 1.78, 2.16, 1.91, 1.70, 1.67, 1.83, 1.48. The cited article also gave summary data on the amount poured by a different sample of experienced bartenders into a tall, slender (highball) glass; the following observations are consistent with the reported summary data: 1.67, 1.57, 1.64, 1.69, 1.74, 1.75, 1.70, 1.60.