Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Developing Countries Neil McCulloch 28 January 2009 Voices from the South: The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Developing Countries www.ids.ac.uk/go/financial-crisis-impact How do the poor respond? Immediately responses • Using savings • Borrowing from friends/neighbors Responses that do long-term damage • Pulling children out of school (especially girls) • Reduced nutritional intake (especially girls) • Selling valuable (often productive) assets Policy Options For rich countries • Expand official financing – Ensure that financial flows are available, especially to vulnerable countries suffering sudden stops in private flows • Don’t cut aid – The EU countries are already well behind meeting their Gleneagles commitments of 0.51% GNI by 2010 • Conclude the Doha Round For poor countries • Protect social expenditure – Especially access to health and education services • Expand existing well targeted social protection schemes – E.g. cash transfers/workfare • Where feasible, maintain productive capital expenditure The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Aid Flows What we promised Source: OECD-DAC (2008) Are we getting there? Source: OECD-DAC (2008) How does crisis affect aid? Source: Roodman (2008) How much does aid matter? Average Share (2000-06) Private flows ODA Other official flows Total Developing Countries 84.9 19.5 -4.4 100.0 Source: Authors’ calculations from GDF (2008) Sub-Saharan Africa 38.4 65.5 -3.9 100.0 It matters much more in some places Source: Authors’ calculations from WDI (2008)