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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Robert F. Kennedy on GDP Inadequacies (1968) UNIT 1 . 3 NOMINAL AND REAL GDP How can you figure out which is the most popular movie of all time? Nominal Box Office Receipts What is the problem with this method? How can you figure out which is the most popular movie of all time? Real Box Office Receipts (adjusted for inflation) The Problem with GDP If a country’s GDP increased from $4 Billion to $5 Billion in one year, is the country experiencing economic growth? Did the country definitely produce 25% more products? What about Inflation? A rising general level of prices EX: If apples are the only good being produced… Year 1: 10 apples at $1 each; GDP = $10 Year 2: 10 apples x $1.25 each; GDP = $12.50 GDP is rising, but this country is NOT BETTER OFF ! We need to find… REAL V. NOMINAL GDP Real GDP is GDP expressed in constant, or unchanging, dollars Nominal GDP is GDP measured in current prices. It does not account for inflation from year to year Real GDP adjusts for inflation! So... REAL GDP IS THE MOST ACCURATE MEASUREMENT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH!! OK... Let’s practice! real v. nominal gdp example 2009 The GDP in year 2009 shows the dollar value of all 10 trucks at $20,000 each = $200,000 final goods produced Nominal GDP = $350,000 The nominal GDP in year 2010 2010 is higher which 10 cars at $16,000 each = $160,000 suggests that the economy is improving. 10 trucks at $21,000 each= $210,000 But how much is the REAL Nominal GDP = $370,000 GDP? How do you get it? 2010 Use 2009 Prices! 10 cars at $15,000 each = $150,000 10 cars at $15,000 each = $150,000 10 trucks at $20,000 each= $200,000 REAL GDP = $350,000 The Real GDP is the same as 2009 after we adjust for inflation! real v. nominal gdp example 2010 The GDP in year 2010 shows the dollar value of all 10 trucks at $15,000 each = $150,000 final goods produced Nominal GDP = $250,000 The nominal GDP in year 2011 2011 is higher which 8 cars at $12,000 each = $96,000 suggests that the economy is improving. 10 trucks at $17,000 each= $170,000 But how much is the REAL Nominal GDP = $266,000 GDP? How do you get it? 2011 Use 201 0 Prices! 10 cars at $10,000 each = $100,000 8 cars at $10,000 each = $80,000 10 trucks at $15,000 each= $150,000 REAL GDP = $230,000 Real GDP is less after we adjust for inflation! We’ve contracted!!! One way to measure GDP change is... GDP DEFLATOR GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP x 100 Real GDP it’s A measurement of price levels of all new, domestic final goods and services in an economy over short time The GDP Deflator gives us the measure of price increase in specific goods/services over time We convert Nominal to Real to measure expenditure patterns (what’s selling and for how much) gdp deflator example U.S. Computer Software in 2010 U.S. Computer Software in 2011 Price per unit = $100 Price per unit = $40 Number of Units Sold = 10,000 Number of Units Sold = 10,000 Nominal GDP = $1,000,000 Nominal GDP = $400,000 real GDP = $500,000 real GDP = $500,000 What’s the GDP Deflator for 2010? 200 Prices for domestic computer software have doubled in the last year! What’s the GDP Deflator for 2011? 80 Prices for domestic computer software have dropped 20% in the last year! Wait a sec! What the hEck is standard of living? DOES GDP ACCURATELY MEASURE STANDARD OF LIVING? Standard of living (or quality of life) can be measured, in part, by how well the economy is doing… …But it needs to be adjusted to reflect the size of the nation’s population! • REAL GDP PER CAPITA is real GDP divided by the total population. It identifies on average how many products each person makes Real GDP per capita is the best measure of a nation’s standard of living! GLOBAL GDP PER CAPITA MOST POPULATED NATIONS TOP NATIONAL GDP PER CAPITA WHY DO SOME COUNTRIES HAVE HIGHER GDPS THAN OTHERS? 1. Availability and quality of natural resources Ex: Syria has a lower GDP because it is mostly desert 2. Availability of capital Ex: Capital is machinery, tools, and man-made resources Example: India has over a billion people (human resources) but relatively few capital resources and therefore a lower GDP than the U.S. 3. Economic SystemS Example: Capitalist countries have historically had more economic growth