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30/3/2017
Europe Stocks Rallying With Currency Taken as Good Omen by Bulls ­ Bloomberg
Europe Stocks Rallying With Currency Taken as Good Omen by Bulls
by Justina Lee
30 marzo 2017, 06:00 CEST
The growing herd of European stock bulls can add the rising euro to their case.
March is headed to be the first month in a year with both the Euro Stoxx 50 Index and the single currency gaining at least 1 percent, with
their 20-day correlation reaching the highest since October. Since 2014, the two had moved mostly in opposite directions, as the falling
exchange rate boosted the overseas earnings of global giants on the blue-chip gauge.
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30/3/2017
Europe Stocks Rallying With Currency Taken as Good Omen by Bulls ­ Bloomberg
The return to a positive correlation is a sign investors are becoming more confident in the fundamentals of European stocks, making the
stronger euro less important, according to Morgan Stanley. Banks such as Deutsche Bank
AG and Julius Baer
Group Ltd. have
turned overweight on European equities recently as economic data improved and polls signaled a diminished likelihood of the antiEuropean Union candidate Marine Le Pen winning the French presidential election.
“Normally equity markets move in inverse relationship with the currency market in local-currency terms, so when you’re seeing both rally
at the same time it generally tells you the underlying fundamentals are strengthening,” said Graham Secker, an equity strategist at Morgan
Stanley in London. “Stronger growth means your currency is not as important as it was before, so it could be quite a constructive sign that
we’re seeing that happen.”
Another reason this could be happening is more foreign investors are repatriating funds to buy European stocks, said Michael Shaoul,
chief executive officer at Marketfield Asset Management in New York. The U.S.-listed iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF, the largest of its kind
tracking euro-area shares, last week saw its largest inflows
since the 2016 Brexit vote.
BlackRock Portfolio Manager Rupert Harrison: ‘We like Europe.’
Source: Bloomberg
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