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INTRODUCTION Chapter 2 The Data of Macroeconomics September 11, 2012 1 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 THERE ARE THREE KEY AGGREGATES 1. Measures of economic activity or income: GDP and GNP 2. Price level 3. Unemployment 2 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 1. MEASURES OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OR INCOME: GDP AND GNP Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – measures what is produced domestically (irrespective of ownership); domestic economic activity Gross National Product (GNP) — measures total income earned by nationals domestically or abroad; relates to a country’s standard of living (but ignores inequality; quality of life) GNP = GDP - Net Income of Foreigners 3 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Nominal vs. Real GDP Nominal GDP — in current dollars; changes due to changes in real production/income and price levels. Nominal where, is a final good or service produced domestically and is its price. All at time t. Real GDP — in constant dollars; should only reflect changes in real production. Real Base year 0 4 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Exercise Calculating Real and Nominal GDP 2007 Good A Good B P $30 $100 Q 900 192 2008 P $31 $102 2009 Q P Q 1000 $36 1050 200 $100 205 a) Calculate nominal GDP for each year b) Compute real GDP in each year using 2006 as the base year 5 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 GDP Deflator Methods to calculate GDP Value Added Method Income method Expenditure method Ex. Circular flow diagram An Identity: Income = Expenditure components of GDP 6 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Circular Flow Diagram Expenditure equals Income because every dollar spent by a buyer becomes income to the seller 7 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Calculating Real GDP a) b) Chain-Weighted Real GDP Over time, relative prices change, so the base year should be updated periodically. Chain-weighted real GDP updates the base year every year, so it is more accurate than constantprice GDP. 8 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Identifications Nominal GDP measures the current $ value of the output of the economy. Real GDP measures output valued at constant prices. The GDP deflator measures the price of output relative to its price in the base year GDP or GNP is a flow variable 9 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Other Measures GNP=GDP-Net Income of Foreigners NNP =GNP-Depreciation National Income (NI)=NNP-Indirect business taxes Personal Income = National Income - Corporate Profits - Social Insurance Contributions - Net Interest + Dividends + Govt. Transfer to Individuals + Personal Interest Income Personal Disposable Income = Personal Income - Personal Tax Payments 10 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Expenditure Components of GDP Consumption (C) The value of all goods and services bought by households. Includes: durable goods, nondurable goods, services Investment (I) Spending on [the factor of production] capital. Spending on goods bought for future use Includes: business fixed investment; residential fixed investment; inventory investment 11 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Government Spending (G) Includes: all government spending on goods and services. But excludes: transfer payments (e.g., unemployment insurance payments). Because they do not represent spending on goods and services. Net Export (NX: X-M) Export (X) Import (M) 12 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Example: Components of GDP Components Billion $ % of GDP Consumption 762.0 55.7% Investment 254.4 18.6% Government 297.5 21.7% Net Export 54.8 4% GDP $1,368.7 100 13 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 2. PRICE LEVEL AND INFLATION Price level Stabilizing of the monetary system - Indirectly important. There is no single measure of the price level. Consumer Price Index (CPI) an index measure of a the price of a bundle of consumption goods where, x represents goods in a typical consumer’s basket. It changes from time to time. 14 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 15 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 GDP Deflator Where, q is a domestically produced good or service Inflation It is the rate of change in the price level 16 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Difference between CPI and GDP Deflator 17 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Difference between CPI and GDP Deflator CPI GDP Deflator Based on prices of a basket of goods and services Based on prices of all goods and services produced Includes imported goods as well as domestic ones Based only on domestically produced goods Uses fixed weights of the Uses changing weights of the prices of goods (quantities are prices of goods (quantities fixed) change w/ time) 18 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 19 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 20 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 3. UNEMPLOYMENT Important policy issue — wasted resources (hence lower aggregate standard of living); socially costly. Each adult is categorized as either: In Labor Force Employed (E) — in paid work Unemployed (U) — actively looking for work Not in labour force — none of the above including discouraged workers 21 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Definitions Labour force: where E is the employment and U is the unemployment Unemployment Rate: Participation Rate: 22 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 23 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 24 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012 Okun’s Law Negative relationship between cyclical unemployment and GDP Change in the Unemployment rate Any real GDP growth rate below 4% (for Canada) will cause unemployment to increase Notes: Different countries, different definitions of E, U, and L U may not be a good measure of wasted resources or social costs 25 Chapter 2: The Data of Macroeconomics. ECON204. Fall 2012