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J. Exp. Mat’. Biol. Ecol., 171 (1993) 273-295 © 1993 Eisevier Science Publishers B.V. All rights reserved 0022-0981/93/$06.00 273 JEMBE 02015 The response of grey mangrove (Avicennia marina (Forsk.) Vierh.) seedlings to spills of crude oil D.L. Grant, P.J. Clarke and W. G. Allaway School of Biological Sciences, The University of Sydney, N.S. W., Australia (Received 3 December 1992; revision received 10 May 1993; accepted 26 May 1993) Abstract: The effects of crude oil on grey mangrove seedlings were examined in glasshouse and field experiments. In a glasshouse experiment, fresh oil was found to cause greater leaf loss than aged oil. Fresh oil, which does not resemble oil washed into mangroves, should, therefore, not be used as a treatment in oil spill studies since it may exagerate effects. A field experiment examined the effects of weathered B ass Strait crude oil (11/m2) on seedling survival. The results were unequivocal: 96.4~o of seedlings treated with weathered Bass Strait oil died within 14 days, while all untreated seedlings survived. A further field experiment also examined the effects of light, canopy gaps and Bass Strait crude oil in the sediment on propagule establishment and survival. Establishment and survival were not enhanced by light and canopy effects but crude oil in the sediment inhibited establishment and decreased the number of seedling surviving for several years. We predict the population response of a stand of Avicem~ia marina (Walp.) Moldenke to a series of oil spills frpria previous studies of population dynamics and the results of our experiments. Key words: Avicennh7 marina; Botany Bay; Field experiment; Mangrove; Oil spill INTRODUCTION Mangroves are trees and shrubs that grow in sheltered intertidal areas (Macnae, 1968). Mangrove propagules are usually buoyant and their dispersal will depend on the prevailing winds, currents and tides (Chapman, 1976; Saenger, 1982; Clarke, 1993a). When petroleum hydrocarbons are discharged in the marine environment their fate will be determined by the same factors. Consequently, spilt oil often ends up stranded in the intertidal mangrove zone (Lewis, 1983). It is not surprising then that following an oil spill mangrove propagules may end up stranded on oil-contaminated sediments. Avicetmia marina var. australasica (Walp.) Moldenke is the dominant mangrove growing on the shores of Botany Bay, a busy industrial port 12 km south of Sydney, Australia. Transport of oil associated with two large oil refineries adjacent to the bay has resulted in oil spills. Between 1955 and 1987, 31 spills ~vere recorded in Botany Bay with an average size of 49 000 1 (McGuinness, 1988). Several of these spills have contaminated the mangroves on the southern shore of the bay (Allaway et al., 1985; Anink et al., 1985). The dispersal of oil following a spill may be quite slow: the adCorrespondence address: W. G. Allaway, Schooi of Biological Sciences, The University of Sydney, N.S.W. 2006, Australia. 274 D.L. GRANT ET AL. vection of an oil slick on the sea surface is estimated to be between 1.3 and 3.5~o of the wind velocity (Nelson-Smith, 1972). In previous spills in Botany Bay, it has taken from 3 to 6 h for the oil to travel from the point of discharge to the mangrove shore (SPCC, 1984). During this time the oil would have undergone physical, chemical and biological alteration (Harrison et al., 1975; McAuliffe, 1976; Atlas, 1981). However, fresh oil is used as a treatment in the majority of experimental investigations of the effects of oil spills on the biota (e.g. Baker, 1971; Mathias, 1977; Lai et al., 1984; Allaway et al., 1985; Getter et al., 1985). Studies of the effects of oil spills on mangroves in Botany Bay have reported a variety of responses ranging from no observed effect (Allaway et al., 1985; McGuinness, 1990) to widespread seedling mortality and dieback of mature trees (Allaway, 1982; Anink et al., 1985). This is consistent with reports in the international literature (for a review see Wardrop, 1987). A suite of sublethal effects including anomalous aerial pneumatophores (Snedaker et al., 1981; Allaway et al., 1985), expanded lenticels, periderm fissuring and reduction in leaf size (Getter et al., 1985) has also been associated with oil contamination. The bulk of the literature purporting to show effects of oil spills on mangroves is based upon post-spill observations (e.g. Diaz-Piferrer, 1964; Rutzler & Sterrer, 1970; Spooner, 1970; Jernalov & Linden, 1981; Jackson et al., 1988). While effects appear to be obvious, inferences drawn from such observations are usually weak. Authors appear to confuse replication which requires the repetition of a treatment with repeated observations. Large scale field experiments have also been susceptible to pseudoreplication where subsamples of a single treatment such as a single oiling are regarded as replicates (see e.g. Getter et al., 1985). Despite the methodological fla~vs, observed effects are often so gross that stochastic processes can be ruled out as a likely explanation for their occurrence. Useful conclusions can be drawn from post-even studies if the effects can be correlated with the presence of the contaminant and if causal links have already been established (Underwood & Peterson, 1988). A causal relationship between oil contamination in the field and the mortality of seedlings of Avicennia marina has yet to be experimentally established. The longer term effects of oil persisting in the sediment have received considerably less attention than the immediate effects of oil contamination on man~roves. Areas of oiled mangroves in Botany Bay, which were reported to have suffered extensive mangrove dieback (Allaway et al., 1985), now show signs of recolonisation by seedlings (McGuinness, 1990; Clarke & Allaway, 1993). Other areas which suffered a high incidence of seedling mortality following spills in 1979, 1981 and 1985 (Allaway et al., 1985; Anink et al., 1985) but in which the canopy remained intact have also been recolonised by seedlings. Observations like these have been used to suggest that mangroves in Botany Bay display no long-term effects of oil spills. McGuinness (1990) sampled five sites in Botany Bay to measure abundances of macro-invertebrates in oiled and unaffected mangrove areas. He found significantly lower densities of Avicennia seedlings in two oil-contaminated sites than in two unaffected sites, but the lowest density of seedlings was recorded for a fifth site that he had designated as unoiled. MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 275 Although the site was not contaminated by spills in 1981 and 1985, it was oiled in the 1979 World Encouragement spill (Allaway et al., 1985) and sediment samples from the site were found to contain high levels of hydrocarbons (Anink et al., 1985). Re-examination of the data suggest that there is a pattern of difference in seedling density between previously oiled and unoiled sites in Botany Bay. Data collected after oil spills have occurred are difficult to interpret in the absence of baseline data. Spatial heterogeneity within the mangroves (see Clarke & Myerscough, 1993), also makes it difficult to obtain suitable control sites for comparison. At best such data can be used to infer an association between the event of an oil spill and the pattern of difference. Synergisms and other types of interactions between factors cannot easily be explored. The conditions influencing establishment of mangrove propagules in areas where dieback has occurred and in oil-contaminated areas where the canopy has remained intact will be different. While the effects of oil-contaminated sediments may be a feature common to both areas, other conditions associated with dieback may enhance seedling establishment. Several models could be put forward to account for observed differences in seedling density. These models must take into account the following factors: (1) oil in the sediment may inhibit seedling establishment; (2) seedlings establishing in dieback areas will be exposed to full sunlight whereas seedlings establishing under the canopy will experience low light conditions. Light has been implicated as an important factor in seedling establishment and survival (Saenger, 1982; Smith, 1987; Clarke & Allaway, 1993); (3) the absence of trees may result in a reduction in competition for nutrient or root space. Manipulative field experiments can be designed in such a way that competing models can be eliminated and interactions between factors can be identified. The aims of this study were to examine effects of crude oil on seedlings of Avicennia marina in Botany Bay and to predict the response of a population to repeated crude oil contamination. A preliminary glasshouse experiment compared the effects of fresh and aged oils on seedlings. Two oils, Bass Strait crude and Light Arabian crude, which are commonly spilt in Botany Bay, were used as treatments. The effects of aged Bass Strait crude oil on seedlings were then examined in a field experiment. A second manipulative field experiment examined the effects of light, the absence of trees, and sediments contaminated with Bass Strait crude oil, on establishment and survival of Avicennia marina seedlings. METHODS STUDY SITES The study sites for the field experiments were in Weeney Bay, a small enclosed bay on the southern shore of Botany Bay, NSW, Australia (Fig. 1). Two species of mangrove are found in this area: Avicennia marina var. australasica (Walp.) Moldenke, which is the most abundant species, and Aegiceras corniculatmn (L.) Blanco (Clarke &Hannon, 1969). The latter is common but less abundant and in Botany Bay it usually 276 D.L. GRANT ET AL. Botany Bay Fig. 1. Map of Botany Bay in south-eastern Australia showing the field study sites. grows at the landward edge of the mangroves. Mature trees of Avicennia marina grow to heights of 5 to 10 m and occur in a band parallel to the shore 150 m wide at Site 1 and 75 m wide at Site 2. The algal flora within the mangrove zone is depauperate in species, although some species are abundant. A conspicuous feature of the lower end of the study site is a dense carpet of the brown alga Hormosira banksii (Turner) Dec. The pneumatophores of Avicennia marina are often covered with epiphytic algae of the Bostrychia-Caloglossa association (King & Wheeler, 1984). The epifauna found commonly within the study sites, includes several species of gastropods - Bembicium auratum (Quoy and Gaimard), Salinator solida (Von Martens), Ophocardelis ornatus (Ferussac), Melosidula zonata (H. and A. Adams), Austrocochlea constricta (Lamarck), Assiminea tasmanica (Tenison-Woods) and Pyrazus ebeninus (Bruguiere). The crab Heloecius eordiformis (H. Milne Edwards) is also abundant and its activities have a significant effect on the microtopography (Warren & Underwood, 1986). Avieennia trunks and pneumatophores may be encrusted with barnacles and the Sydney rock oyster Saccostrea commercialis (Iredale and Roughley). EFFECTS OF AGED OILS; PRELIMINARY GLASSHOUSE EXPERIMENT Fruits ofA vicennia matYna collected from many trees in Weeney Bay were propagated in plastic pots on a medium of washed sand saturated with a solution of 100~o seawater and nutrients. After 5 months, 30 healthy seedlings ~ 24 cm in height were selected. Samples of two fresh oils, Bass Strait crude and light Arabian crude, were aged on seawater in plastic bins at ambient temperature (16 ° C). Aged oil was scooped from the water surface after 24 h separating it from any of the lighter fraction that may have MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 277 dissolved in the water. Oil aged in this manner is similar to oil that has been floating on the open water for 6-8 h (McAuliffe, 1976). Plants were randomly assigned to one of five treatments: fresh Bass Strait crude oil (BF); aged Bass Strait crude oil (BA); fresh light Arabian crude oil (AF); aged light Arabian crude oil (AA); and no oil (NO). Each treatment was replicated six times (n = 6). To avoid the problem of a gross effect obscuring any differences between the oils, a low dose was selected, based upon A!laway et al. (1985) finding that 200 ml.m-a did not kill all the glasshouse grown seedlings. Individual plants still in their pots were placed in plastic bins, 80 cm deep. Sea water was gravity fed into the bins at a rate approximating the rising tide. When the water had risen to a height covering the plants it was released at a rate approximately the falling tide. A measured dose of oil equivalent to 200 ml.m-2 was added to the bins when the water level had risen to a height of 8 cm. Seedlings were coated with oil as the artificial tide rose and fell. After treatment the plants were taken to a low light greenhouse. The soil was kept waterlogged and the evaporated soil water was regularly replaced with fresh water to maintain a constant salinity. At intervals throughout the experiment, the soil solution was completely exchanged by flushing ~vith 100~o sea water. Individual leaves were followed on each plant throughout the course of the experiment. Over the next 96 days, the plants were monitored for leaf initiation, defoliation and mortality. FIELD EXPERIMENTS: EFFECTS OF AGED BASS STRAIT CRUDE OIL ON AVICENNIA MARINA SEEDLINGS Various methods have been employed to apply oil in field experiments including directly spraying oil on to plants (e.g. Wardrop et al., 1987) and floating oil on the water and letting the tide apply the oil. The latter method requires some containment of the spill but resembles more closely the way plants are contaminated in a real oil spill. Booms have been used to great effect (e.g. Teas et al., 1987; Jackson et al., 1988) but the deployment of booms is very costly and more suited to larger scale investigations of the effect of oil on mature trees. In seedling experiments zinc boxes (Lai et al., 1984) and plastic sheeting (McGuinness, 1990) have been used to enclose the oil. These enclosures rely on water seepage to be filled or drained and cannot be relied on to prevent oil seepage into the environment. McGuinness (1990) partially dealt with this problem by sucking up residual oil after the treatment. In a real oil spill the slick usually remains stranded in the intertidal area for several days (Wardrop, 1987) and seedlings may be exposed to the oil for more than one tidal cycle. Taking these factors into consideration, an apparatus was developed for oiling seedlings in the field. It consisted of a large perspex box open at two ends and reinforced on all four vertical corners with aluminium. The dimensions of the fully assembled box were 90 x 90 x 120 cm deep. When the box was placed on mangrove sediments it sank into the mud effectively sealing it. Drains were placed in the sediment to allow water flow: each drain consisted 278 D.L. GRANT ET AL. of two 50 cm lengths of PVC piping joined by a "U" bend. The pipes were buried in the sediment with the two open ends flush to the ground. In addition to acting as an inlet and outlet for tide driven water, the drain acted as a reservoir for residual oil. Oil was unable to pass through the pipe because it remained full of water. Four identical boxes were made. Two sites in Weeney Bay were selected for the experiment (Sites 1 and 2, Fig. 1). The experiment was repeated at three different times (and locations) in Site 1 and two different times (and locations) in Site 2. The five separate experiments were performed sequentially, starting at Site 1 in January 1987 and finishing at Site 2 in March 1989. In each experiment, four plots were randomly selected in the mid-tidal region. (The landward edge of the mangroves was not used, to make sure that the seedlings were completely inundated by the high tide and thus uniformly covered with oil.) Seedlings were tagged with surveyors tape so that they could be individually identified. Drains were dug into each plot and the boxes were fixed into position with wooden stakes. Two of the boxes were treated with oil. The remaining pair of boxes were not oiled. Oil was aged for 24 h in the manner described in the glasshouse experiment. A measured dose of aged Bass Strait Crude oil (1 1.m-2) was applied to the surface of the water on a rising tide in the two oil treatment boxes. This dose had caused seedling mortality in previous glasshouse experiments (Allaway et al., 1985) and is not unrealistic for a possible oil spill in Botany Bay. Boxes were removed after the surface slick had disappeared but drains were left in place until the end of each experiment. Each box was monitored for seedling mortality. FIELD EXPERIMENT: EFFECTS OF OIL IN THE SEDIMENT ON ESTABLISHMENT AND SURVIVAL OF AVICENNIA MARINA SEEDLINGS A field experiment with five factors was chosen as the basic experimental design. There were three orthogonal factors: canopy (fixed, with two levels - canopy gap and canopy present); light (fixed, with two levels - full sunlight and shade); and oil (fixed, with two levels - oil and no oil). Two nested factors, areas (random and nested in canopy with two levels) and plots (random and nested in light and areas with two levels) provided a measure of spatial heterogeneity. Figure 2 shows a schematic diagram of the experimental design. Canopy The canopy factor was incorporated to test for fight independent effects due to the presence or absence of trees. This required the large scale mechanical removal of Avicennia trees from two areas to simulate dieback. An additional criterion was that the sediment in these areas should be free from oil contamination. In the interest of conserving mangroves, areas were sought where the vegetation had been recently removed. Several areas were available at Site 1 in Weeney Bay (Fig. 1) where swathes MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL CANOPY AREA A 279 CANOPY GAP AREA B Ught * F.~b AREA A ~ AREA B a Light Light Shade [ ~ a Light * F Shade ~b ~b Shade* Light * Light Shade Light Shade * Detail of plot a Fig. 2. Schematic diagram sho~ving the arrangement of the five actors in the substrate experiment. The treatments were: canopy, light, oil, areas, and plots. Light * indicates removal of branches above the plot to create conditions of full sunlight. Shade * indicates that an artificial canopy was constructed above the plot to produce shade conditions. of vegetation from the high water mark down had been cleared to provide access for oyster farmers. Two of these areas ~ 15 x 150 m were selected as canopy gap areas A and B. Two randomly selected vegetated areas were used as canopy areas A and B. Light To test for effects due to light, two plots exposed to full sunlight and two shaded plots were required in each of the four "areas". In each area four random plots 2 x 2 m were pegged out. In the two "areas" where the trees had been removed all plots were initially exposed to full sunlight. In each of these areas wooden frames were constructed over two plots and covered with shadecloth to approximate shade conditions under the canopy. In the "areas" with intact canopy all plots were initially shaded. Branches responsible for the shading were removed from two plots in each area to create conditions of full sunlight. Crude oil In each of the 16 plots, four squares 0.5 x 0.5 m were randomly selected and pegged out. A measured dose equivalent to 1 l’m-a Bass Strait Crude oil was applied to the 280 D.L. GRANT ET AL. substrate in two of the squares. The remaining two squares were left unoiled. Plastic covers were placed over all of the squares for 24 h to prevent contamination of the water column and surrounding environment with oil. Six hundred-forty ripe fruits with pericarps intact were collected from Avicennia trees around Weeney Bay. Ten fruits or propagules were placed on each of the squares and a polythene mesh cage measuring 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.15 m was fixed in position over each square. The 0.01 m mesh prevented the seedlings from drifting away but allowed water, sunlight and small animals to pass through. These cages were removed after the establishment of seedlings. The establishment and survival of seedlings was monitored for a 2-year period. RESULTS EFFECTS OF AGED OILS~ PRELIMINARY GLASSHOUSE EXPERIMENT Physical differences between the oils, particularly in the way in which the oils spread, ~vere immediately apparent when the oils were poured on to the water. The differences ~vere consistent with the phenomenon described by McAuliffe (1976) of viscous oils breaking up at cooler temperatures. Fresh Bass Strait crude oil which was more viscous than the fresh light Arabian oil broke up into large patches. During the aging process, the aged Bass Strait crude oil formed discrete waxy globules that floated on a thin opaque oil film. When the oil was applied to the plants, the manner in which they were coated was also different. The fresh oils and the aged light Arabian crude covered the above ground parts of the plant more uniformly than the aged Bass Strait crude oil where distinct globs of oil adhered to the leaves and stem. Over the experimental period (96 days), five of the six seedlings treated with fresh light Arabian oil died. + NO,BA,AA ~ BF "--O--- AF 20 40 60 80 Days since treatment 100 Fig. 3. Mortality ofAvicennia marhta seedlings over a 96 days in the glasshouse experiment. Plants have been exposed to five treatments: no oil (NO); aged Bass Strait crude oil (BA); fresh Bass Strait crude oil (BF); aged light Arabian crude oil (AA); fresh fight Arabian crude oil (AF). MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 281 2018 14 6 4 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Days following treatment Fig. 4. Mean number of leaves on Avicennia marina seedlings over 96 days in the glasshouse experiment. Plants have been exposed to five treatments: no oil (NO); aged Bass Strait crude oil (BA); fresh Bass Strait crude oil (BF); aged light Arabian crude oil (AA); fresh light Arabian crude oil (AF) (n = 6). The only other seedling to die during the experiment ~vas one that had been treated with fresh Bass Strait crude oil (Fig. 3). Sub-lethal effects The number of leaves on all seedlings was fairly constant for the first 38 days. The plants that had not been treated with oil displayed a steady rate of leaf initiation and development so that the number of leaves had doubled by 96 days. The number of leaves on plants treated ~vith aged oils increased slightly over the 96-day period, but TABLE I One-factor analyses of variance of the effects of oil on the proportion of new 1eaves and the proportion of leaves lost 96 days after treatment. In this and following tables: degrees of freedom (dO; sums of squares (SS); mean squares (MS); ***p<0.001. (Cochrans’s tests on both sets of data were not significant). Source df Proportion of new leaves Proportion of leaves lost SS MS F-ratio SS MS F-ratio 2.28 0.09 24.02*** 4.31 2.41 1.08 0.10 11.16"** Betxveen treatments Within treatments 4 25 9.13 2.38 Total 29 11.51 6.73 282 D.L. GRANT ET AL. TABLE II Results of multiple comparisons test (SNK tests) on the proportion of new leaves and the proportion of leaves lost 96 days after treatments. The treatments were: fresh Bass Strait crude oil (BF); aged Bass Strait crude oil (BA); fresh light Arabian crude oil (AF); aged light Arabian crude oil (AA); no oil (NO). Level of significance p < 0.05. Proportion of new leaves Ran order Treatments Mean 1 2 3 4 BF = AF = BA = AA< 0.10 0.11 0.34 0.45 Proportion of leaves lost 5 NO 1.59 1 2 3 NO = AA = BA< 0 0.02 0.03 4 5 BF = AF 0.55 0.94 there was a steady decline in leaf number of those plants treated with fresh oils (Fig. 4). The first signs of leaf damage were apparent within 3-4 days when necrotic blotches appeared on the leaves in areas closely associated with visible patches of oil. In plants treated with fresh light Arabian oil, defoliation was concomitant with the death of the stems. Analyses of the data 96 days after treatment show that there were significant effects of oil on defoliation and leaf initiation (Table I). Ptants treated with fresh oils lost significantly more leaves than plants treated with aged oils but there was no significant difference between the plants treated with aged oils and the controls with respect to leaf loss (Table II). There was no difference between any of the oil treatments ~vith respect to leaf initiation, but there were more new leaves on the control plants than the oil-treated plants (Table II). FIELD EXPERIMENT~ EFFECTS OF AGED BASS STRAIT CRUDE OIL ON AVICENNIA MARINA SEEDLINGS Aged Bass Strait oil had rapid and almost immediate effects on the seedlings in the field. The leaves of treated seedlings immediately changed colour from bright leaf green TABLE III Results of field oiling experiments. The experiment was repeated sequentially in three areas at Site 1 and two areas at Site 2. The table shows the number of surviving seedlings96 days after treatment. The two treaments were: no oil and aged Bass Strait crude oil. The column "Days" refers to the number of days before which 100~o mortality was observed. The superscript * indicates that this number is based upon the days before all seedlings other than the persistent survivors had died. Exp. 1 2 3 Treatment No oil Oil + No oil Oil + No oil Oil + Site 1 No. survivors Mortality ~o 16 0 14 1 14 0 0 100 0 95 0 100 Site 2 Days No. survivors Mortality ~o Days 21 11 2 12 0 0 87 0 100 20* 14" 18 14 283 MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL to a dark greyish green. Seedlings that had not been oiled remained healthy and maintained the original colour of their leaves. Within 3 days some oiled seedlings began to droop displaying a lack of turgor. A diagnosis of death was made when all leaves on the seedlings had fallen off or curled up and ~vhen the stem had begun to ~vither. The results from each of the experiments were consistent (Table III). With the exception of three very hardy seedlings that displayed no signs of stress, all those treated with oil were dead within 21 days. None of the seedlings in the control boxes died. The results of each experiment show that contamination with aged Bass Strait crude oil results in the death of 96.47o of treated seedlings, while no untreated seedlings died. The result is clear cut and inferential statistics are not required. FIELD EXPERIMENT; EFFECTS OF OIL IN THE SEDIMENT ON ESTABLISHMENT AND SURVIVAL OF AVICENNIA MARINA SEEDLINGS Within 2 days of placing propagules on the substratum, the majority of the pericarps had split and become detached from the embryo. Embryo development was epigeal so the events were easy to follow. By day 10, hypocotyl extension had begun and lateral root primordia were visible. The hypocotyl and root displayed a positive geotropic response, arching downward towards the sediment. By the 18th day some of the seedlings had become anchored to the sediment. The hypocotyls began to straighten TABLE IV Results of 5 factor analyses of variance of the number of surviving seedlings ofA ~,icelmia marina 4 and 12 wk after treatment. The factors were as follows: canopy (C); light (L); areas (A); plots (P). The data were transformed with (x + 1)I/2. Source Canopy Light Oil CxL LxO CxO CxLxO Areas LxA OXA L×OxA Plots OxP Residual df 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 8 8 32 4 wk 12 wk SS MS F-ratio SS MS F-ratio 0.28 1.11 4.30 0.03 0.01 0.25 0.24 3.27 0.70 0,53 0.63 3.13 3.25 3,72 0.28 1.11 4.30 0.03 0.01 0.25 0.24 1.63 0.35 0.26 0.31 0,39 0,40 0,12 0,17 NS 3.18 NS 16.35a 0,10 Ns 0.35 NS 0.95 NS 0.76 NS 4,17 NS 0,89 NS 0,65 NS 0,78 NS 3,36** 3.44** 0.11 0.42 1,10 1.01 0.001 0.34 0,95 6,89 0.92 0.87 0.15 2.8 2,25 3.64 0.11 0.42 1.10 1.01 0.001 0.34 0,95 3.44 0.46 0.43 0.07 0.35 0.29 0.114 0.41 NS 3.10 NS 25.10" 2.20 NS 0.01 NS 0.77 NS 12.83 NS 9.87** 1.31 NS 1.50 NS 0.25 NS 3.07** 2.54** There was no significant effect of the oil × area interaction at 4 wk (p> 0.50). A new F-ratio can be determined for testing for effects due to oil where F= MSoil/MS(pooled o x A and O x P) ; this F= 11.376 (p < 0.005). 284 D.L. GRANT ET AL. 10 9" 10 9 (a) (b) 7 6 10 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 120 20 40 60 80 100 120 d) . 76- 0 10 9 8 765= 4- 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 10- 20 40 60 80 100 120 40 60 80 100 120 9- (e) 86- 5= 4= 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 20 10 (h) (g) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 ~_~ ,T, . ,T, , 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Weeks Fig. 5. (a) Mean number of seedlings surviving oil (1~) and no oil (V1) treatments in canopy gaps over 106 weeks. Each graph is of a different plot with (a)A1-SI-P1; (b)A1-S1-P2; (c)A1-S2-P1; (d)A1-S2-P2; (e)A2-S1-P1; (f)A2-Sl-P2; (g)A2-S2-P1; (h)A2-S2-P2. Al=area 1, A2=area 2, Sl=shade added, $2 = open area, P1 = plot 1, P2 = plot 2. Standard errors shown. (b) Mean number of seedlings surviving oil MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 10 9 8 7 6 54321O= 0 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 ~n 0 c~10 .~ 9 m8 m7 6 109876543 2 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 10 (k) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 10(m) 9876543 2 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 285 (i) (J) 20 40 60 80 100 120 (I) 20 40 60 80 100 120 (n) 20 40 60 80 100 120 (o) (P) Ot 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Weeks and no oil treatments under full canopy over 106 weeks. Each graph is of a different plot with (i)A1-S1Pl; (j) A1-S 1-P2; (k) A1-S2-P1; (1) AI-S2-P2; (m) A2-S l-P1; (n) A2-S l-P2; (o) A2-S2-P1; (p) A2-S2-P2. A1 = area 1, A2 = area 2, S 1 = shade, $2 = cut open, P1 = plot 1, P2 = plot 2. Standard errors shown. 286 D.L. GRANT ET AL. immediately and by day 21 ~ 25 ~o of the seedlings were anchored and standing erect. On subsequent visits, it became apparent that some seedlings were becoming disengaged from the sediment and that these seedlings were capable of re-anchoring. A shoot bearing the first pair of plumular leaves emerged above the cotyledons after approximately 30 days. The first internode was very long compared to the hypocotyl. A second pair of leaves were well developed in some plants by day 42. The cotyledons shrivelled up or dropped off between 8 and 12 weeks. The number of seedlings anchored to the substrate in each cage increased until approximately 12 wk after the commencement of the experiment. SEEDLING MORTALITY Several categories of seedling mortality were observed. (1) For some seedlings death occurred when the hypocotyl failed to extend and the cotyledons developed necrotic lesions and rotted. (2) On oiled sediments only, some seedlings extended their hypocotyl down to the substratum but the developing roots were apparently unable to penetrate the substratum. The root tips became stublike and necrotic. These seedlings eventually died. (3) Other seedlings anchored on the oiled substrate initially but subsequently became uprooted. The roots looked very similar to the stublike roots described above. These seedlings lived for many days but were unable to re-anchor. (4) Seedlings developed to the two or four leaf stage but did not thrive and eventually died. Cochrans test for heterogeneity of variances (Underwood, 1981), was done before analysis of 4, 12, 63 and 106 wk survival data. The Cvalues at 4 wk (C= 0.163), 12 wk (C= 0.129), 63 wk (0.189) and 106 wk (0.076) were less than the critical value (0.280) for 32 treatments with 1 degree of freedom (p< 0.05). This test, however, may not be powerful enough to detect heterogeneity when ~< 5 (Day & Quinn, 1989). To guard against Type 1 error, data from 4, 12 and 63 wk were transformed using (1 + x)~/2, which is appropriate for data containing many zeros (Underwood, 1981). The 106 wk data were not transformed because the very low C value suggested that this was not warranted. No significant effect of the light or canopy factors on seedling establishment was detected after analysis of variance on the data at 4 and 12 wk (Table IV). This prompted the removal of the artificial canopies as they were prone to storm damage and proved increasingly difficult to maintain. Branches removed to expose shaded plots to sunlight were also starting to regenerate. In subsequent analysis of the data there were only four factors; canopy, oil, areas and plots and therefore light independent effects of the canopy could not be measured. A significant oil x plot interaction at both 4 and 12 wk makes it difficult to interpret main effects ofoil and plots at these times. Data have been graphed for oil and no-oil treatments for each plot across time (Fig. 5). In both oiled and unoiled plots, a distinct 12 wk establishment period in which the number of seedlings established in each square increased was followed by a gradual decline in seedling numbers that continued throughout the course of the experiment. In most plots MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 287 [] No Oil 10 5 4 3 2 1 0 [] oil+ ab Light Shade AREA A Light Shade Light Shade AREA B AREA A a b Plot Light Shade AREA B CANOPY CANOPY GAP Fig. 6. Mean number of seedlings established 12 wk after treatment. Columns are arranged in pairs that represent oil and no oil treatments in each plot. Initial number of propagules = 10. Standard errors shown. Significant differences between pairs of oil and no oil treatments (SNK tests,/)<0.05) are shown by *. more seedlings survived in unoiled plots than the oiled plots but the error bars suggest that this difference was not always significant at the 95 7o confidence limits. Figure 6 shows the number of seedlings surviving oil and no-oil treatments in each plot at the TABLE V Results of 4-factor analyses of variance of the number of surviving seeedlings of A~,icennia marh~a 63 and 104 weeks after treatment. The factors were as follows: canopy (C); oil (O); areas (A); plots (P). The data from 63 wk were transformed with (x + 1)1/2. The 106-wk data were not transformed. Source Canopy Oil Areas CxO OXA Plots OXP Residual df 1 1 2 1 2 12 12 32 106 wk 63 wk SS MS F-ratio SS MS F-ratio 0.25 105.62 32.56 9.00 7.31 13.13 13.12 95.00 0.25 105.62 16.28 9.00 3.66 1.09 1.09 1.09 0.01 NS 28.73* 14.70"* 2.46 NS 3.34 NS 0.55 NS 0.55 NS 0.62 45.65 30.12 3.06 5.62 19.94 20.75 31.00 0.62 45.56 15.06 3.06 2.81 1.66 1.73 0.97 0.04 NS 16.35~ 9.04** 1.08 NS 1.63 NS 1.71 NS 1.78 NS a There was no significant effect of the oil x area interaction at 106 wk (p>0.25). A new F-ratio can be determined for testing for effects due to oil where F = MSoil/M S(pooled o x a and o x p), this F = 25.54 (p < 0.01). 288 D.L. GRANT ET AL. d r- 0 Oil+ No Oil Oil treatments Fig. 7. Mean number of seedlings present on oiled and unoiled substrates after 106 weeks. Initial number of propagules = 10, standard errors shown. end of the 12 wk establishment phase. A postetJo~J pairwise comparisons of the means using Student-Newmans-Keuls tests (Underwood, 1981) show that while there were significant oil effects in some plots, the difference was not detectable in others. The magnitude of the oil effect varied from plot to plot and this appears to explain the interaction. At 63 and 106 wk there was no oil x plot interaction (Table V), but there was a significant main effect of oil on seedling survival (Fig. 7). At 4, 12, 63 and 106 wk there was a significant effect of areas (Tables IV and V). After 106 wk the mean number of seedlings surviving in canopy area A was greater than the number surviving in canopy area B but no greater than canopy gap area A and canopy gap area B (SNK, p<0.05). DISCUSSION Effects of aged oil The glasshouse experiment showed that even at a low dose (200 ml.m-a), oiling of Avicennia seedlings in a glasshouse can produce lethal and sublethal effects. While mortality only occurred when plants were treated with fresh oils, defoliation and the suppression of leaf initiation occurred when plants were treated with aged oils. Fresh oils were more damaging than aged oils. Differences between the effects of Bass Strait oil and light Arabian oil were not apparent once the oils had been aged. This has important implications for the interpretation of studies in which oil dose responses and comparative effects of oils have been determined using fresh oil treatments (see Mathias, 1977; Jagtup & Untawale, 1980; Lai et al., 1984). It is not surprising that the aged oil treatments had different effects from those of fresh oils. The high rate of evaporation MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 289 of low molecular weight hydrocarbons has been extensively reported (McAuliffe, 1976). Harrison et al. (1975) found that all n-C9 hydrocarbons were lost fi’om an oil slick in 40-90 min (n-C12 in 3-8 h). The light Arabian oil initially had a higher proportion of aromatics than the Bass Strait oil which probably accounts for its greater toxicity. After aging, much of the aromatic fraction would have evaporated so the two oils would have become more alike in content and in effect. The conclusions of the glasshouse experiment cannot be extended beyond the specific set of conditions under which this experiment was done and these conditions only superficially resemble field conditions, e.g. the sand potting mix does not resemble the more organic sediments found in mangrove swamps. However, the results suggest that the conclusions of field experiments in which fresh oil is used as a treatment must also be regarded with caution given that spilt oil usually ages before contact with mangroves. Effects of aged oil on seedling survival In the glasshouse and field experiments the doses used as experimental treatments fall between the range of a small to large scale oil spill (200-1000 ml.m-2). The thickness of the slick can be made to approximate a real oil spill but the size of the spill will be limited by the dimensions of the container. Allaway et al. (1985) noted that the amount of oil available in a small container may not be sufficient for the wetting properties of the oil on the leaves. In a real spill, oil is stripped from the slick by seedling stems and leaves because the slick reconverges on rise or fall of the water level. The amount of oil available for reconvergence and recoating in an experimental enclosure is limited. This suggests that experimentally treated plants may not be subjected to the same degree of oiling as plants contaminated in a real spill. Also, the dose used in our experiment cannot be extrapolated to assess the effects of spills of known volume and area because of the adherence of oil to the sides of the experimental enclosures. In the field oiling experiments, seedlings treated with a dose of 1 l’m-2 of Bass Strait crude oil consistently displayed the same gross effect of widespread mortality that has been reported in the post-spill literature (e.g. Allaway, 1982). The variation within treatments was very low compared to the variation between treatments. Three of the seedlings survived the oil treatments without showing any signs of the characteristic sublethal effects like defoliation; there are several possible explanations including uneven oiling of individual plants or genetic variation. McGuinness (1990) reported no effect of oiling on Avicennia seedlings with a dose of 1 1.m-2 weathered Dubai light crude, although he qualified these findings by stating that his sampling design was not intended to test for effects of oil on mangrove seedlings. Effects of light on establishment and survival There were no significant effects of light or canopy on seedling establishment or survival and there was no mortality of the control plants that were gro~vn under low 290 D.L. GRANT ET AL. fight conditions in the glasshouse. Propagules that had not anchored in the sediment remained viable for up to 12 wk coinciding with the period cotyledons persisted on seedlings. Seedlings transfer mass from the cotyledons to the plant body providing a reservoir of energy for seedling development and this may account for lack of differences during establishment. Following establishment the number of seedlings in all treatments decreased at rates similar to the new world Avicennia bicolor and Avieennia ge~7ninans (Rabinowitz, 1978). Prolonged seedling survival in the understorey appears to relate to maximisation of photosynthesis during exposure to high intensity sun flecks (Ball & Critchley, 1982). The data from our experiment are not consistent with the hypothesis that light is the only limiting factor and suggest that co-factors are required for seedling recruitment. The lack of difference, of course, might reflect the ability of the design to resolve small differences. Clarke & Allaway (1993) found that canopy effects alone were not significant, but both light and sediment disturbance were required for seedling recruitment. Smith (1987) has shown that predators can also influence recruitment in canopy gaps in tropical mangroves, but at the latitude of our experiments levels of predation are low (Clarke & Myerscough, 1993). The significant difference between the number of seedlings surviving among canopy areas, might be explained in terms of sediment disturbance, although sediments appeared to be similar. Nutrient levels have also been identified as a key factor in seedling growth (Clarke & Alla~vay, 1993). One possible explanation is that a greater input of terrigenous nutrients into one area increased seedling survival. Clearly, whatever the cause, field experiments in mangroves must take into account spatial heterogeneity. Effects of crude oil on establishment and survival The magnitude of the oil effect was greater in some plots than in others and seedlings in general grew better in some plots. The oil x plot interactions that were significant in the analysis at 4 and 12 wk also demonstrate the importance of including factors that measure spatial heterogeneity. An important factor not taken into account in the experiment was the size of sediment particles and the degree of waterlogging of the sediment. Each of the areas had a range of sediment types from fine silty mud to sand so it was inevitable that sediment sizes in plots would vary. It was noted that those plots experiencing the greatest mortality were plots with fine sediments that never seemed to drain. Dicks (1986) observed a similar interaction between sediment size and the effects of oil though this was not experimentally tested. Little (1987) also found that sediment grain size and moisture content influenced the residence time of crude oil in the sediment and that mud particles tended to retain surface-bound contaminants more strongly than sands. In the longer term, the plot effect proved not be significant in our experiment. By the end of the establishment phase, it was clear that oil was having a significant effect on the survival of seedlings in many but not all of the plots. However, after 2 MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 291 years the significant main effect of oil made it cleat" that oil in the substrate can inhibit the survival of seedlings. An important qualification to the interpretation of this result is that the propagules were placed on the sediments only a short time after these sediments had been oiled. The observed effects may not occur if the propagules land on the substratum after the oil has weathered for a longer period and this may account for the observed colonisation of previously oiled areas with well aerated soils (Clarke & Allaway, 1993). Oil retained in waterlogged anoxic sediment will break down more slowly than that retained in aerobic sediments (Atlas, 1981), and oil has been shown to persist in anoxic sediments for up to 30 years (Corredor et al., 1990). It has been shown that Rhizophora mal~gle cannot re-establish immediately after an oil spill (Jackson et al., 1988) and attempts at regenerating experimentally oiled areas with Somwratia caseolaris were said to have failed because of oil in the sediment (Dutrieux et al., 1990). Predicted population mspo~se to repeated oiliJ~g Underwood & Peterson (1988) suggested that the first step after rejecting a null hypothesis that there is no effect of a pollutant is to determine whether the observed effect really matters. The results of the field oiling experiment on seedlings are unequivocal but is this biologically significant? Clarke & Allaway (1993) have shown that seedlings are unlil¢ely to recruit to the sapling and adult populations unless they establish in large canopy gaps with sediment disturbance or newly deposited sediments. If these places are oiled then recruitment to the adult population will be impaired until a new cohort is able to colonise the regeneration niche. The results of the establishment experiment show that about four times as many seedlings survived on unoiled substrates than on experimentally oiled substrates. A single oil spill may cause widespread seedling mortality and oil in the sediment may inhibit the establishment of propagules but if nearby adults continue to be fecund the long-term consequences may not be serious. It is evident from the literature, however, that mangroves contaminated with oil are often subjected to further oil spills (Dicks, 1986; Snowden & Ekweozor, 1987; Jackson et al., 1988; Corredor et al., 1990). This constitutes a repeated pulse disturbance that may lead to longer term press effects (se~su Underwood, 1989). In Botany Bay, the same area of mangroves has been oiled in three successive spills over a 6-year period (Allaway, 1987), but neither the pulse or press effects of multiple oilings have been experimentally investigated. In particular, the interactions of differing components of the population to repeated disturbances are poorly understood. It is logistically difficult to conduct experiments in which the full range of frequencies, magnitudes, oil types and age classes can be manipulated to assess the impact of perturbations on natural populations. Whilst further experiments are essential for accurately predicting impact, a working hypothesis can be developed based on our results, field correlations, and population experiments. The latter includes reproductive biology (Clarke & Myerscough, 1991; Clarke, 1992), dispersal (Clarke, 1993a), estab- 292 D.L. GRANT ET AL. lishment (Clarke & Myerscough, 1993), seedling and sapling survival (Clarke & Aliaway, 1993; Clarke & Myerscough, 1993) and population structure for south-eastern Australia (Clarke, 1993b). Figure 8 describes a possible population response of three age classes of Avicemda to three oil spills spaced by ~ 5 years, each of ~vhich causes massive mortality in seedlings, and lesser mortality to saplings and adults. An initial oiling decreases the seedling population (A) and recovery is inhibited by residual oil effects as demonstrated by our experiments. The magnitude of recovery is difficult to predict as it will depend upon duration of residual effects. A subsequent oiling has the same effect (B) but the magnitude of recovery might also be reduced because the number of adults has decreased (Allaway, 1987). Finally, a third spill some 10 years after the first reduces all populations to a very low level (C). Seedling recovery is initially very slow because propagules have to be dispersed from longer distances into the disturbed area (Clarke, 1993a). After the initial colonists have recruited to the sapling stage seedling numbers increase rapidly due to increased population fecundity (D). Sapling populations rise to densities higher than pre-impact levels because of the increased levels of light and sediment resources (Clarke & Allaway, 1993). These densities then decrease to pre-impact proportions because of self-thinning (E) (Clarke, 1993b). Following this phase the simulation suggests that pre-impact population structure would not be restored until at least 30 years after the last perturbation. We have established that fresh oils damaged plants more than aged oils, that aged Bass Strait crude oil applied on the water surface ldlled most seedlings, and that aged Bass Strait crude oil on the sediment inhibited seedling establishment and survival. These conclusions could not have been drawn from post-spill observations because 1000 oE 10 III 30 35 40 45 Fig. 8. A working hypothesis of the population response of Avicelmia marimba to three major crude oil spills. Letters indicate phases in population change (see text). MANGROVE RESPONSE TO OIL SPILL 293 there are no controls for environmental heterogeneity and no replication. Observations and correlations between oil spills and mortality of seedlings can, however, be used to develop useful hypotheses that can be tested in well designed field experiments. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We thank L. Wilson, K. Pavlovic, C. Grant, B. Gladstone and M. Hovenden for assistance with field work, M. Cole for advice on growth and assistance in glasshouse experiments, A.J. Underwood for advice on experimental design, K. McGuiness for comments on the paper, and Caltex (Australia) for providing the hydrocarbons. REFERENCES Allaway, W.G., 1982. Mangrove dieback in Botany Bay. Wetlands (Aust.), Vol. 2, pp. 2-7. Allaway, W.G., 1987. Exploitation and destruction of mangroves in Austrafia. 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