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Tom Snyder Productions ® ™ El Niño ™ Developed by Planet Earth Science with support from the National Aeronautic and Space Administration and the Department of Energy PLANET EARTH S C I E N C E Published by Tom Snyder Productions Tom Snyder Productions is the leading provider of interactive group software products that enable teachers to use technology to increase student understanding, knowledge, and problem-solving capabilities. This unique approach — which motivates students to interact with each other, rather than a machine — not only improves overall academic performance, but also fosters lifelong communication, decision-making, and collaboration skills. The company’s product line spans the K–12 curriculum in the areas of social studies, science, math, and language arts. © 1998 Planet Earth Science, Inc. Ocean Expeditions: El Niño is a trademark of Planet Earth Science, Inc. Tom Snyder Productions is a registered trademark of Tom Snyder Productions, Inc. Macintosh and QuickTime are registered trademarks of Apple Computer, Inc. Windows is a registered trademark of Microsoft Corporation. This document and the software described in it may not, in whole or part, be copied, photocopied, reproduced, translated, or reduced to any electronic medium or machine-readable form other than that which has been specified herein without prior written consent from Tom Snyder Productions, Inc. For further information about this product, or for a free Tom Snyder Productions catalog, please call us at 1-800-342-0236 Contents Credits ........................................................................................................................................................4 Overview ....................................................................................................................................................5 Program Goals ......................................................................................................................................5 A New Approach: Earth System Science ................................................................................................5 Using the Software ......................................................................................................................................6 Hardware Requirements ........................................................................................................................6 Memory Requirements ..........................................................................................................................6 Software Installation ............................................................................................................................6 Macintosh Network Instructions ............................................................................................................6 Performance Tips ..................................................................................................................................8 Navigating the Ship ..............................................................................................................................9 Understanding the Ocean Expeditions Process ..........................................................................................12 The Scenario ......................................................................................................................................12 Student Roles and Materials ................................................................................................................12 The Classroom Process ........................................................................................................................13 Managing the Classroom Experience ..........................................................................................................14 Preparing Yourself ..............................................................................................................................14 Organizing Your Classroom..................................................................................................................14 Creating Student Groups ......................................................................................................................15 Assessing Student Performance ................................................................................................................16 Content Objectives ..............................................................................................................................16 Assessment Rubric ..............................................................................................................................16 Suggestions to Fit Your Curriculum ............................................................................................................24 Option I: Thematic Approach ..............................................................................................................24 Option II: National Standards ..............................................................................................................25 Option III: State Frameworks ..............................................................................................................25 Science Framework for California Public Schools ................................................................................26 Detailed Scientific Background ..................................................................................................................27 Introduction to Earth System Science and Global Change ....................................................................27 Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System ....................................................................................................28 El Niño ..............................................................................................................................................28 Scientific Concepts ..............................................................................................................................30 Sea Surface Temperature......................................................................................................................31 Surface Currents ..................................................................................................................................33 Surface Pressure ..................................................................................................................................35 Surface Wind ......................................................................................................................................37 Clouds/Precipitation ............................................................................................................................38 Ocean Temperature ..............................................................................................................................39 Atmospheric Circulation ......................................................................................................................41 Ocean Circulation ................................................................................................................................42 Appendix: Worksheet Masters ....................................................................................................................43 4 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Credits Developed by Planet Earth Science Creative Director: David Elam Content Writers: Diane Schweizer and Dr. Catherine Gautier Art Director: Karen Shapiro Graphics and Animation: Karen Shapiro, Nancy Yamamoto, Cullen Davis, and David Elam EARTH Concept & Executive Producer: Dr. Catherine Gautier Marketing & Business Development: Jeannette Gautier-Downes PLANET SCIENCE Programming: Marty Landsfeld Instructional Design: David Elam, Jeannette Gautier-Downes, and Diane Schweizer Additional Writers: Brian Bloomfield and R.C.J. Somerville, Ph.D. Consultants: R.C.J. Somerville, Ph.D., Bernard J. Dodge, Ph.D., and Nan Sterman P lanet Earth Science, Inc. develops interactive educational software that bring Earth System Science concepts to life in classrooms. These dynamic multimedia simulations take advantage of Apple Computer’s QuickTime™ Virtual Reality technology to engage students in authentic, hands-on experiments where they operate modern research tools and manipulate real data to conduct global investigations. Using satellite observations of Earth and data from climate models, students explore the interactions of Earth components and the interconnections of the scientific disciplines: biology, physics, chemistry, geography, oceanography, meteorology, and climatology. The investigations address important research topics — such as the El Niño climate phenomenon and the Antarctic ozone hole — and allow students to discover the nature of our changing planet as well as its impacts on plant and animal life, societies, and economies around the world. Planet Earth Science programs are designed in collaboration with science teachers and are based on National Science Education Standards developed by the National Academy of Sciences. They allow students to participate actively in the scientific process by solving an experimental problem that requires them to establish a hypothesis, collect and analyze data, and confirm their findings. Visit the Planet Earth Science site at www.PlanEarthSci.com for more resources. Overview 5 Overview O cean Expeditions: El Niño brings Earth System Science concepts to life in the classroom by challenging your students to conduct modern climate research as it really happens. This exciting multimedia learning tool engages students in a journey where they must navigate their own ship, operate modern research tools, and manipulate satellite and climate model data to investigate and help predict El Niño — one of our planet’s largest global climatic disruptions. Program Goals The goals of Ocean Expeditions: El Niño are: • to give students a strong understanding of the process of scientific inquiry and confirmation. • to get students excited about Earth System Science, the environment, and careers in science. • to give students a new, global vision of how the Earth operates as a system of interconnected processes. • to instill in students an appreciation for how science and technology play an important role in our civilization and our relationship to our everchanging planet. A New Approach: Earth System Science The adventure takes place early in the 21st century. Students are hired by Dr. Enso, director of the fictitious Earth Monitoring Organization (EMO), to verify two conflicting reports about a predicted El Niño event that poses disastrous consequences for life and economies around the world. The crew members set sail on the research vessel Glomar to embark on their own investigation. They follow the scientific method to: 1. Establish a hypothesis on the climate state by learning about sea surface temperature and climate patterns. 2. Collect data from satellites and climate models of pressure, winds, currents, and clouds/precipitation. 3. Analyze data by learning about climate patterns and comparing present findings to historical data. 4. Substantiate a hypothesis by submitting supporting evidence and conclusions. Ocean Expeditions: El Niño uses a new approach to studying Earth. This approach, known as Earth System Science (or ESS), sees Earth as an evolving system of interacting components. It emphasizes the interconnections of the traditional scientific disciplines, such as biology, physics, chemistry, geography, oceanography, meteorology, and climate. The notion of considering Earth as an evolving, interactive system has emerged within the scientific community during the past few decades. It was led, to a large degree, by our ability to observe Earth from space, as well as by a need to better understand climate change and other global phenomena. Earth System Science education was introduced into university-level curricula in the early 1990s as a strategy for conducting global Earth studies and research. Its goal is to enhance the awareness of climate change and to provide future scientists with a more global perspective on environmental change. The Planet Earth Science site at www.PlanEarthSci.com has many more resources for teachers using this program. 6 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Using the Software Hardware Requirements Software Installation To install Ocean Expeditions: El Niño on your Macintosh computer, you will need the following minimum equipment and operating software: You must use the installation program to install Ocean Expeditions: El Niño on your hard disk. You can’t install it by dragging it to your hard disk. Follow these installation steps: • 68040 or higher: System 7.5 or later, with 8MB of available RAM. 1. Disable virus protection and file sharing. • Power PC: System 7.5.3 or later, with 8MB of available RAM. 2. Insert the CD-ROM into your CD-ROM drive. • a double-speed CD-ROM drive or faster. 3. Double-click the file named Installer. • QuickTime 2.5 or later. ™ • about 20 MB of hard disk space, depending on your installation choices. Memory Requirements The program requires 8 MB of available RAM. You may need to use the memory feature called Virtual Memory to ensure that you have enough memory for good performance of the program. Make sure no programs are running, then choose About This Macintosh from the Apple menu. The system will show you the total memory on your computer and the largest unused block. The largest unused block must be at least 8 MB. If your system has a total of 16 MB RAM or less of builtin memory, at least 8 MB RAM must be available for the program. One way to free up memory is to restart your computer with only the bare minimum settings (CDROM, QuickTime, and network extensions). Another option is to use Virtual Memory. It’s possible that Virtual Memory will make the program slower. Choose the Memory Control Panel and check the following settings. • Disk Cache: Make sure the cache size is at least 32 KB for every 1 MB of built-in memory. • Modern Memory Manager: Make sure it’s on. • Virtual Memory: If your computer’s available built-in memory is 16 MB, turn Virtual Memory on, setting it to the amount of total installed memory plus 1 MB. If your computer’s available built-in memory is more than 16 MB, turn Virtual Memory off. • RAM Disk: Keep your existing setting. Restart your computer if you have changed any memory settings or extensions in effect. 4. Click Continue. 5. Click Accept on the Software License Agreement screen. 6. Once the Installer screen opens, you must first use the Location selection menu to select a folder (or create a new one) in which you will install the application files. 7. Now follow the directions for: Easy Installation or Custom Install. 8. For easy installation, simply click the Install button. This installs the complete application program and required system extensions. 9. Follow the on-screen instructions. 10. After the installation is complete, click Quit or Restart. 11. Turn virus protection and file sharing back on. Macintosh Network Instructions If you’d like to use the program in a networked environment, you’ll need a CD-ROM for each computer. You’ll need an Ethernet network, with each computer assigned a unique IP address. The instructions below walk you through the technical setup. If your computers have already been set up for a networked environment, you should consult your network administrator before changing the network setup. Using the Software Step 1: Connect Computers via Ethernet. • Under the Apple menu, select Control Panels. • In the Control Panels, select AppleTalk or Network (only one or the other will be present). • Select Connect via: Ethernet. • Close the control panel and save the new setting when prompted. • Repeat steps for every computer. Step 2: Set network protocol as MacTCP or TCP/IP. 7 • Close the control panel and save the new setting when prompted. • Repeat steps for every computer. Step 3: Set up the Server computer. • Choose one computer to be the server computer. Write down the IP address of that computer (the Server IP address). • Double-click the El Niño icon on your hard drive in the Ocean Expeditions ƒ folder. • Choose New Simulation. • Type crew and ship names. • Under the Apple menu, select Control Panels. • Click Networked. • In the Control Panels, select MacTCP or TCP/IP (only one or the other will be present). • The program automatically places the computer’s IP address in the field Your IP Address. On the Server computer, you should enter that same IP address in the field Server IP Address. Record this server IP address to use in setting up the other computers. • Choose Connect via: AppleTalk (MacIP) or Ethernet. Depending on your protocol choice above, you will have a few different options under Configure. Find the one applicable to your setup below. • Connect via: Ethernet, configure Manually. Check that your computer has an IP address. If not, you’ll have to assign one (see instructions below). When you close the control panel, you’ll be prompted about a subnet mask value. It’s okay to ignore this message. • Connect via: AppleTalk (MacIP), configure Using MacIP Manually. Check that your computer has an IP address. If not, you’ll have to assign one (see instructions below). • Connect via: AppleTalk (MacIP), configure Using MacIP Server. This means that all your computers should already be running from a server. The IP addresses are assigned by the single-server computer. The only thing you’ll need is the IP address of that server computer. • If necessary, assign a unique IP address to every computer you will be using. An IP address can be any four numbers, separated by three periods. For example, you might assign the five computers in your network the following unique IP addresses: 1.1.1.11, 1.1.1.12, 1.1.1.13, and 1.1.1.14. Do not use zeros in the address. • Click Continue Simulation. • Your computer will display the message Contacting Server. You are now ready to connect with all of the other computers. Step 4: Set up the remaining computers, one at a time. • Open the Ocean Expeditions ƒ folder on the hard drive and have each team double-click the El Niño icon on their hard drive. Do not try to log on several computers at the same time. • Choose New Simulation. • Each team should type a unique crew and ship name. Ships must not have duplicate names. • Click Networked. • Enter the Server IP Address you recorded earlier. • Click Continue Simulation. You are now logged onto a network session and are ready to start. 8 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Performance Tips Turn off all unnecessary extensions. Extra extensions use up memory and may interfere with the quality of the audio. (Remember: After resetting your extensions, make sure to restart your computer.) Quit other programs before using Ocean Expeditions: El Niño. Reposition your speakers and/or monitor. Sound quality can suffer if your speakers are blocked by, or touching, a wall or other object. If you are experiencing sound problems, try moving your speakers. Placing speakers on a carpet or other soft surface can help reduce vibrations. Trouble connecting to the Server computer in a networked setting? Restart the computer and try again. If the Server computer is unexpectedly down in the middle of a networked session, choose another computer’s IP address as the Server computer and use it as the new server. Improve performance of the software by turning off file sharing. Using the Software Navigating the Ship Once the CD-ROM is launched, your students will first need to choose either a new simulation or continue from a saved file. Next, your students must sign in both a crew name and a ship name. The ship name is used by the software to identify individual e-mail addresses. The crew name is stored for the teacher to identify a group of students and is displayed as part of the mission report. Additionally, your students will have the opportunity to establish a networked or a non-networked simulation. 9 The last step before your students board the ship is to enter the name of each crew member and to identify the climate variable the crew will study. Crew roles are determined by the booklet that each crew member receives (Navigator, Data Collector, Data Analyst, or Communications Expert). The climate variable is determined by the teacher and should match the worksheet that you give the crew (currents, pressure, winds, or clouds/precipitation). If more than one crew is using the program, have each crew study a different variable while collaborating and sharing information and data. After the crew signs in, they should select the Continue button and be on their way! 10 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Using QuickTime VR QuickTime VR Cursor Icons The ships your students are crewing are the finest in the international Glomar fleet. Once on board, your students will enter a three-dimensional world that is much like the real world through a technology called QuickTime Virtual Reality (VR). Move in any direction When the cursor looks like this target, you can hold down the mouse button and drag it to move in any direction. This is the default cursor. There are two ways to navigate around the ship. First, you can walk around the ship by moving your cursor with the mouse. Although you can open doors and walk up stairs, you cannot walk through objects — you must move around them. Second, you can click on the floor plan hotspots which bring you directly to a designated location. The ships in the Glomar fleet are also equipped with the latest research instruments, such as the Data Center and Instructional Terminals. These devices, as well as many others like the television set and library books, are activated by clicking on them once. As students move the cursor over the ship image, the cursor icon will change. The location of the cursor on each ship image determines the icon at any given moment. The default cursor, for instance, looks like a circle, but as soon as it passes over an interactive instrument, like the Data Center or a television, it turns into a hand. Here is a list of cursor icons and what they do. Try them out yourself before you introduce Ocean Expeditions: El Niño to your students. Step forward When the cursor becomes this arrow, click the mouse button to move one step forward at a time. Turn around 360° When you want to turn around, press and hold down the mouse button, until you see the cursor look like this. Then, drag the mouse in the direction you want to turn. Zoom in To zoom in, press and hold the option key. The cursor will change to look like this, and the image will enlarge. Zoom out To zoom out, press and hold the control key. The cursor will change to look like this, and the image will reduce in size. Hotspots When the cursor changes to this hand icon, the cursor is at a clickable hotspot, such as a terminal. Click once to access the object you are touching, for instance, to open a door, or to move up or down stairs. Using the Software 11 Using Floor Plan Hotspots Saving and Quitting Located directly below the QTVR screen is a floor plan. To move directly to a location on the ship, click that level (i.e., Level I Stern, Level I Lab, Level II Library, and Level III Bridge). To move around on that level, click the color-coded circles on that floor plan itself. The key to the color codes is directly above the floor plan. Your location is represented on the floor plan by the bright green dot. To save or quit the program, simply press the esc key, or press command Q on the Macintosh or control Q on Windows. This screen will allow you to save or quit your game. If, after saving, you are not ready to quit, select the resume button. You can also adjust volume here. Getting Help Within the Program Help is available at all times aboard the ship. Help information is context sensitive to the particular device or interface students are using. The help information available from the Data Center, for example, is different from the help information available in the Communication Center. Click the help button in the lower left corner of the screen. LEVELISTERN WALL TERMINAL GALLE Y/ENGINE R OOM LEVEL II LIBRARY LEVEL I LAB LEVEL III BRIDGE XBTDEVICE LEVEL I LEVEL I LAB STERN Screen shot of ship’s floor plan 12 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Understanding the Ocean Expeditions Process O cean Expeditions: El Niño is an interactive, virtual research experiment designed to teach your students the fundamentals of the scientific method, as they learn about Earth and its dynamic climate system. Keep in mind that your students can use Ocean Expeditions: El Niño on their own and at their own pace. Although your students make decisions while conducting their investigation, the mission itself is highly structured. Advice and direction are provided by a variety of video, audio, and text messages. You will monitor your students’ progress by reviewing and grading the message files that they must complete during their mission investigation. The Scenario Ocean Expeditions: El Niño is a simulated research mission that resembles a real scientific investigation. The adventure takes place early in the 21st century. Dr. Enso, director of the Earth Monitoring Organization (EMO), hires your students as crew members of the Glomar fleet. The crew undertakes a critical mission about a predicted El Niño event that may have disastrous effects for life and economies around the world. The goal of your students, therefore, is to follow the scientific method to accurately confirm or refute the existence of an El Niño event. As your students conduct the investigation, Dr. Enso asks them to respond to a series of questions pertaining to their progress and findings. You should note, however, that each time your students run the Ocean Expeditions: El Niño simulation, there is a 50-50 chance that the El Niño event will be in existence. Consequently, their responses will change on each new run of the simulation. Your students launch Ocean Expeditions: El Niño to enter their new, virtual world and undertake their investigation. Along the journey, your students follow the process of scientific inquiry outlined in this section. The principal characters participating in the mission investigation are: • Your students, the crew of scientists. • Dr. Enso, director of the Earth Monitoring Organization and scientific director of the expedition. • The captain, operator of the ship. Student Roles and Materials There is a common role that all students have: Earth System scientist. An Earth System scientist is a member of a team of scientists who studies the interactions between the air, sea, land, snow, ice, and ecological systems. Assign students to teams, with each team composed of the following experts: • Navigator: Master of modern nautical navigation, the navigator plots the ship’s destination and maintains an efficient course. • Communications Exper t: This expert is in charge of all ship communications and e-mail messages, including mission tasks directed by Dr. Enso and messages sent and received from other vessels. • Data Collector: This expert is master of the ship’s Data Center and an expert mapmaker. • Data Analyst: This expert is master of the ship’s Data Archive and interpreter of maps. Note: For use with smaller groups or for individual learning, students may play more than one role. Make sure that each student on a team has a booklet. The booklets identify a division of labor among the team and provide each student with a role to play. Make sure that each team has a worksheet. The worksheets serve two purposes. First, they create a division of labor among teams by assigning teams to different climate variables. The climate variables include pressure, wind, currents, and clouds/precipitation. Second, the worksheets provide the students with an offline guide to follow along their mission. For example, Dr. Enso may ask them to answer a question for a specific part of their investigation. As the students look for the answers, they may forget the question. The worksheet provides the question in an offline format with enough room for the students to jot down their answer. Note: Blackline masters are provided for easy duplication of the student worksheets. Understanding the Ocean Expeditions Process The Classroom Process Collect and Analyze Data The simulation follows the process of scientific inquiry. Here are the specific steps your students undertake, including booklet references and recommended time frames. Student Booklets: pages 9–10 Recommended Time Frame: days 3–6 Get Started and Sign In Student Booklets: pages 1–5 Recommended Time Frame: day 1 1. View a brief introduction about the climate system and the El Niño phenomenon. 2. Get dropped off on the ship via helicopter at one of several locations in the Pacific Ocean to begin the mission. 3. Greet the ship’s captain, who directs the Navigator to the bridge to get the ship underway. 4. Plot course and navigate the ship to a predetermined destination. 5. Meet Dr. Enso, who explains the mission to ‘nowcast’ the state of the climate system and determine whether an El Niño event is occurring. 6. Learn about the El Niño climate phenomenon and its impacts using interactive books and TV in the ship’s library. 7. Answer questions about the impacts of El Niño. Observe the System and Establish a Hypothesis Student Booklets: pages 6–8 Recommended Time Frame: day 2 1. Learn about sea surface temperature (SST) patterns using the Instructional Terminals. 2. Identify typical SST features and patterns. 3. Compile a map of present SST conditions using satellite and other instrument data in the Data Center. 4. Learn about SST patterns in relation to El Niño events. 5. Compare the present SST map to historical SST maps in the Data Archive. 6. Learn how SST patterns change as the ocean and atmosphere interact through the air-sea interface. 7. Submit a hypothesis on the state of the climate system — whether or not an El Niño is occurring. 13 1. Each team is assigned one or more climate variables to study and analyze (surface currents, pressure, wind, and clouds/precipitation). 2. Learn about the patterns and features of the climate variable under investigation and its relationship to the climate system. 3. Collect data of the climate variable under investigation using the Data Center and create a map of present conditions. 4. Compare the present map to historical maps in the Data Archive. 5. Submit answers to questions about the patterns and features of the climate variable under investigation and its relationship to the climate system. 6. Validate findings with other teams’ findings on other climate variables. Submit Conclusions Student Booklets: page 11 Recommended Time Frame: day 6 1. Learn about the coupled ocean-atmosphere, which illustrates how climate behaves as a constantly interconnected and interactive system. 2. Each team reviews its hypothesis and findings for its assigned climate variable. 3. Each team submits and substantiates its conclusions on the state of the climate. 4. Receive final report about validity of hypothesis on the state of the climate system. 14 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Managing the Classroom Experience E arth System Science education is essential if we are to train and inspire a new generation of researchers capable of visualizing and solving the future global problems of our delicate and everchanging planet. Teaching Earth System Science, however, presents an instructional challenge because its goal is to provide students with not only a broad knowledge of many traditional disciplines (e.g., geology, chemistry, oceanography) but also of their complex interconnections. This challenge can be met by training teachers in Earth System Science and by developing the appropriate instructional tools and materials, such as Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, that illustrate and teach how the Earth operates as a system. Preparing Yourself Understand that no scientist is an expert in all areas of Earth System Science, so please do not expect to become one either. Rather, your role in class is primarily as a facilitator and role model in problem solving and information gathering, and to help students in the process of discovery. Here are ways to prepare for your role: • Use the Teacher’s Tour on the CD-ROM (provided in electronic format). If you used the Easy Install option, it is located in the Teacher Materials folder on your hard disk. • Read the Detailed Scientific Background section of this Teacher’s Guide to learn more about the fundamental scientific concepts in the program. • Go through the program yourself. • Understand the rubric for assessing student responses described in this Teacher’s Guide. Organizing Your Classroom Ocean Expeditions: El Niño can be used by a single student at a single machine, several students to a machine, or by a classroom as a whole. We recommend at least two students per computer. This facilitates student interaction, an important component of this product. Whatever your preference, use the chart below to help determine the optimal classroom setup. There are several factors to take into account, such as the number of students in your class, available computers, and students that you would like to have at each machine. If you have many students and very few computers, here are a few special ideas. Project one computer so that all the students can see it, such as by using an LCD display, then use Ocean Expeditions: El Niño as a lecture tool. Run the program as you normally would for a single user, randomly asking your students for help. Because Ocean Expeditions: El Niño parallels the scientific process, you can take time to lecture on the process, explaining why and how scientists operate. Use all the tools that are available in the program to create a rich learning experience. For example, at the Instructional Terminal, play the movies on any given topic. Then, go to the Data Center and Data Archive to show your students how scientists collect and analyze data. As an alternative, you could allow your students to use Ocean Expeditions: El Niño as an afterschool enrichment activity. Number of Students 1–4 Number of Computers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5–8 9–12 13–16 17–20 21–24 25–28 29–32 33–36 37–40 The medium grey blocks represent the recommended classroom setup. Under this scenario, you have at least one computer for up to four students. The light grey blocks represent some creative planning on your part. Under this scenario, you will have enough computers for at least half of the class to be playing at a computer at any given time, with the maximum number of four students to a machine. If this is the case, we recommend rotating your students on and off the computers, as time permits. While your students are offline, try to provide enrichment activities centered around the students’ research topic of the day. Managing the Classroom Experience Creating Student Groups Ocean Expeditions: El Niño purposely exposes your students to new information in a familiar setting: the scientific process. How familiar your students are with the topics that they will be exposed to will vary greatly. In any case, try to organize the teams according to these rules of thumb from popular research in collaborative learning: • Always assign students to teams, rather than let students choose teams themselves. • Each team should be a microcosm of the entire class, made up of high, average, and low performing students of race, ethnicity, and gender. The average performance level of each team should be about equal. There are two reasons for this. Students with different performance levels on a team can tutor each other, and by providing balanced teams, no single team has an academic advantage. The Com Center for Communications Expert Navigation for Navigator 15 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño is designed with both cooperative and collaborative learning in mind. It is designed to be used with one computer and a whole class or many computers in a classroom or lab, with up to 4 students at each computer. Within each team, each student plays a role (Navigator, Data Analyst, Data Collector, and Communications Expert). Playing a role provides an opportunity for students to experience individual responsibility in group decision making. The entire team collaborates to submit the final hypothesis. When more than one team uses the program, each team logs on as a crew assigned to investigate a different climate variable. As the mission progresses, each team is challenged to cooperate with another team to further support each team’s scientific findings. For example, the team investigating wind could greatly benefit from the findings of the team investigating pressure. This cooperation is fostered via e-mail in the Com Center. Data Center for Data Collector Data Archive for Data Analyst 16 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Assessing Student Performance Content Objectives In Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, your students’ mission is to verify a predicted El Niño event by determining the present state of the climate system. As they pursue the process of scientific inquiry, students must learn about the fundamental processes which regulate the climate system and, in turn, influence the El Niño phenomenon. They also learn about El Niño’s impact upon society and species of plants and animals around the world. By the time students have verified their hypothesis, they will have gained a broad understanding of the climate system and will have met the following objectives. Sea Surface Temperature (SST) — Objectives • Provide an example of the importance of SST patterns to climate. • Interpret SST maps derived from satellite data. Surface Wind — Objectives • Provide an example which relates surface wind to climate in the tropical Pacific. • Determine how surface wind develops. • Identify the pressure features that give rise to the Trade Winds. • Identify the relationship between surface wind speed and surface pressure. • Interpret maps of surface wind. • Identify Trade Wind patterns across the Pacific during non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Clouds/Precipitation — Objectives • Identify how cloud and rainfall patterns of the tropical Pacific vary from year to year. • Interpret precipitation index maps. • Describe the elements that influence SST patterns. • Identify the two main features of SST patterns in the tropical Pacific. • Identify changes in cloud and precipitation patterns between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. • Identify SST patterns across the Pacific during non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Assessment Rubric • Describe how SST patterns are a result of and influence local interactions between the air and the sea. As your students complete their mission in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, they must respond to a series of questions sent to them by Dr. Enso at Earth Monitoring Organization (EMO) headquarters. These questions are sent for two reasons: (1) to direct your students in their investigation, and (2) to provide you, the instructor, with a means of monitoring your students’ progress and evaluating their understanding of the scientific concepts in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño. These questions are included both in the Wall Terminal under Mission Status and in the Student Worksheet. The mission report is automatically saved as the text file under the Crew Name on the hard disk in the folder named Student Reports. Currents — Objectives • Identify an example of how currents affect humans. • Define surface currents. • Name the major surface currents in the Pacific. • Identify the direction in which each of the major currents in the tropical Pacific flows. • Interpret maps of surface currents. • Identify surface current patterns across the tropical Pacific during non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Surface Pressure — Objectives • Identify how pressure systems influence regional climates in the tropical Pacific. • Interpret maps of surface pressure. • Identify surface pressure patterns across the Pacific during non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Below we have listed the questions asked throughout the simulation, along with the correct answers. We have also given you a description of what constitutes an excellent, a good, and a poor response. Keep in mind, however, that many of the questions have two answers depending on which condition (data set) of Ocean Expeditions: El Niño is activated at start-up, namely the non El Niño or El Niño condition. Assessing Student Performance 17 Observing the System QUESTION ANSWER Identify three Economic: flooding, hurriimpacts of El Niño. canes, drought/fire, reduced agricultural production. EXCELLENT Student identifies three of the impacts of El Niño. GOOD Student identifies two impacts. POOR Student identifies less than two impacts. Biological (Marine Life): coral reef destruction, sea lion pups killed, fisheries displacement (particularly anchovies and sardines), food chain threatened, sea birds starved. Biological (Land Effects): agricultural production disrupted, increase in malaria and cholera, increased rainfall and droughts. QUESTION Identify the two dominant sea surface temperature (SST) features and explain how they evolve. ANSWER The two dominant sea surface temperature features are the cold tongue and the warm pool. The cold tongue evolves as a result of two processes: 1) the transport of cold water from the deep ocean towards the surface, and 2) the transport of cold water towards the equator by the Peru Current. The warm pool forms as: 1) surface waters in the western Pacific absorb solar energy and 2) as surface waters warmed by solar energy are transported westward by equatorial currents into the warm pool region. EXCELLENT GOOD Student describes two mechanisms for the formation of the cold tongue and one mechanism for the formation of the warm pool. Student identifies the cold tongue and the warm pool as the two dominant sea surface temperature features but not the evolution of these features. POOR Student is unable to identify dominant sea surface temperature features. 18 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Observing the System, continued QUESTION Describe the present sea surface temperature pattern. Do these conditions more closely resemble El Niño or non El Niño conditions for this time of year? ANSWER EXCELLENT GOOD POOR Non El Niño: Present sea surface temperature patterns show a strong cold tongue that extends from the coast of South America along the equator well into the central Pacific. The warm pool region remains confined to the western equatorial Pacific. These sea surface temperature conditions resemble non El Niño conditions. Student correctly describes the sea surface temperature variation across the Pacific using the terms “warm pool” and “cold tongue.” Student also associates these conditions with the correct conditions. Student correctly describes the sea surface temperature variation across the Pacific without using the terms “warm pool” and “cold tongue.” Student also associates these conditions with the correct conditions. Student does not describe the temperature variation across the equatorial Pacific. EXCELLENT GOOD POOR El Niño: Present sea surface temperature patterns show a weak cold tongue that is confined to the eastern equatorial Pacific. The warm pool remains close to the equator and extends from the western Pacific well into the central Pacific. These sea surface temperature conditions resemble El Niño conditions. Establishing a Hypothesis QUESTION What is your hypothesis? ANSWER Answer is subjective. Example 1: An El Niño is not occurring because the warm pool remains confined to the western Pacific and the cold tongue extends along the equator into the central Pacific. Example 2: An El Niño is occurring because the warm pool extends eastward into the central Pacific and the cold tongue is not well-defined. Hypothesis considers the warm pool and cold tongue regions. Hypothesis considers either the warm pool or cold tongue region, but not both. Hypothesis does not consider either the warm pool or cold tongue region. Assessing Student Performance 19 Surface Currents: Collecting and Analyzing Data QUESTION Describe the general direction of the South Equatorial Current and the Equatorial Countercurrent in the eastern Pacific. ANSWER EXCELLENT Non El Niño: In the eastern Pacific, the South Equatorial Current flows from east to west. The Equatorial Countercurrent is not observed in the eastern Pacific on the surface current map. Student correctly identifies the direction of the South Equatorial Current and correctly references the Equatorial Countercurrent. GOOD Student correctly identifies the direction of the South Equatorial Current but does not reference the absence/presence of the Equatorial Countercurrent. POOR The direction of the South Equatorial Current is not identified correctly. El Niño: In the eastern Pacific, the South Equatorial Current flows from east to west and the Equatorial Countercurrent flows from west to east. QUESTION Are these patterns more consistent with non El Niño or El Niño conditions? ANSWER Non El Niño: The current patterns are more consistent with non El Niño conditions because the South Equatorial Current is the dominant current in the eastern Pacific. El Niño: The current patterns are more consistent with El Niño conditions because the Equatorial Countercurrent intensifies in the eastern Pacific and the South Equatorial Current weakens in the eastern Pacific. EXCELLENT Current patterns are correctly identified as being more consistent with non El Niño/El Niño conditions. GOOD POOR Current patterns are incorrectly identified as being more consistent with non El Niño/El Niño conditions. 20 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Surface Currents: Collecting and Analyzing Data, continued QUESTION Are your surface currents data consistent with the wind data? Why? ANSWER Non El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect non El Niño conditions. The surface current data show that the South Equatorial Current is dominant in the eastern Pacific and the wind data show easterly winds are dominant in the western Pacific. EXCELLENT Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent and explains why. GOOD Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent but does not explain why. POOR Student does not state that the two data sets are consistent. El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect El Niño conditions. The surface current data show an intensification of the Equatorial Countercurrent in the eastern Pacific and the wind data show westerly winds in the western Pacific. Surface Pressure: Collecting and Analyzing Data QUESTION Describe the location and extent of the high and low regions in the present surface pressure fields. ANSWER Non El Niño: The region of lowest surface pressure is centered around the equator in the western Pacific. Moving eastward across the equatorial Pacific, the pressure increases but remains lower than the pressure in the subtropical and mid-latitudes. EXCELLENT Student describes the pressure gradient that exists across the equatorial Pacific and describes the variation in pressure as a small variation. GOOD Student identifies the surface pressure as being lower in the western equatorial Pacific and higher in the eastern equatorial Pacific but does not qualify the variation. POOR Student does not identify a pressure gradient across the equatorial Pacific. El Niño: The region of lowest surface pressure is centered around the equator and extends from the western into the central Pacific. Traveling further eastward, the surface pressure increases slightly. QUESTION Do these pressure features more closely resemble non El Niño or El Niño conditions? ANSWER Non El Niño: Present pressure conditions more closely resemble non El Niño conditions. El Niño: Present pressure conditions more closely resemble El Niño conditions. EXCELLENT Pressure pattern is correctly identified as resembling the non El Niño/El Niño conditions. GOOD POOR Pressure pattern is incorrectly identified as resembling the non El Niño/El Niño conditions. Assessing Student Performance 21 Surface Pressure: Collecting and Analyzing Data, continued QUESTION Are your data on pressure consistent with the clouds/ precipitation data? Why? ANSWER Non El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect non El Niño conditions. The pressure data show that the region of lowest surface pressure is confined to the western tropical Pacific. The clouds/precipitation data show that the highest values of the precipitation index occur in the same region. EXCELLENT Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent and explains why. GOOD Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent but does not explain why. POOR Student does not state that the two data sets are consistent. El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect El Niño conditions. The pressure data shows an extension of the region of lowest surface pressure into the central Pacific and the clouds/precipitation data show increased rainfall in the central Pacific. Surface Wind: Collecting and Analyzing Data QUESTION Describe the general direction of the winds in the western Pacific between 150° E–170° W. QUESTION How do the present surface wind patterns in this region compare to El Niño and non El Niño conditions? ANSWER Non El Niño: In the western equatorial Pacific, the general wind direction is from east to west between 150° E –170° W. El Niño: In the western equatorial Pacific, general wind direction is from west to east between 150° E–170° W. ANSWER Non El Niño: They are comparable to non El Niño conditions because the general wind direction in the western Pacific is from the east to the west. El Niño: They are comparable to El Niño conditions because the general wind direction in the western Pacific is from the west to the east. EXCELLENT GOOD Student incorrectly identifies the wind direction. Student correctly identifies the wind direction. EXCELLENT Present wind conditions are correctly identified as resembling the non El Niño/El Niño conditions. POOR GOOD POOR Present wind conditions are incorrectly identified as resembling non El Niño/El Niño conditions. 22 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Surface Wind: Collecting and Analyzing Data, continued QUESTION Are your surface wind data consistent with the pressure data? Why? ANSWER Non El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect non El Niño conditions. The surface wind data show easterly winds in the western tropical Pacific. The pressure data show that the region of lowest surface pressure is confined to the western tropical Pacific. El Niño: Yes they are because both data sets reflect El Niño conditions. The surface wind data show westerly winds in the western Pacific. The pressure data show an extension of the region of lowest surface pressure into the central Pacific. EXCELLENT Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent and explains why. GOOD Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent but does not explain why. POOR Student does not state that the two data sets are consistent. Clouds/Precipitation: Collecting and Analyzing Data QUESTION Describe the overall precipitation patterns of the tropical Pacific. QUESTION How do the present patterns compare to El Niño and non El Niño conditions? ANSWER Non El Niño: The most abundant precipitation occurs in the western tropical Pacific. Moderate precipitation occurs in the central tropical Pacific and little or no rainfall occurs in the eastern tropical Pacific. El Niño: The most abundant precipitation occurs in the western and central tropical Pacific. Moderate precipitation occurs in the eastern tropical Pacific. ANSWER Non El Niño: They are comparable to non El Niño conditions because the most abundant precipitation is confined to the western Pacific, moderate amounts of precipitation are found in the central Pacific, and little or no rainfall is found in the eastern Pacific. El Niño: They are comparable to El Niño conditions because the most abundant precipitation extends from the western Pacific into the central Pacific. EXCELLENT Student correctly identifies the precipitation characteristics for the western, central, and eastern Pacific. EXCELLENT Present precipitation patterns are correctly identified as resembling the non El Niño/ El Niño conditions. GOOD Student identifies the precipitation characteristics for only two of the three regions of the Pacific. GOOD POOR Student is not able to correctly interpret precipitation index map. POOR Present precipitation patterns are incorrectly identified as resembling the non El Niño/El Niño conditions. Assessing Student Performance 23 Clouds/Precipitation: Collecting and Analyzing Data, continued QUESTION Are your precipitation index data consistent with the currents data? Why? ANSWER Non El Niño: They are consistent with currents data because both conditions reflect non El Niño conditions. Surface current data show that the South Equatorial Current is dominant in the eastern Pacific and precipitation index data show the most abundant rainfall occurs in the western Pacific. EXCELLENT GOOD Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent and explains why. Student correctly states that the two data sets are consistent but does not explain why. EXCELLENT GOOD POOR Student does not state that the two data sets are consistent. El Niño: They are consistent with currents data because both conditions reflect El Niño conditions. Surface current data show an intensification of the Equatorial Countercurrent in the eastern Pacific and the precipitation index data show increased rainfall in the central Pacific. Submitting Your Conclusions QUESTION What is the present state of the climate system? QUESTION What evidence do you have to support your claim? QUESTION Does the claim support or refute your hypothesis? ANSWER Answer is subjective. ANSWER Answer is subjective. ANSWER Answer is subjective. Student correctly identifies the state of the climate system. EXCELLENT Student is able to synthesize data for at least two climate variables and correctly relate the present conditions for these climate variables to his/her hypothesis. EXCELLENT Student correctly states that the data collected supports/ refutes his/her hypothesis. POOR Student incorrectly identifies the state of the climate system. GOOD POOR Student is able to synthesize data for one climate variable and correctly relate the present condition of this climate variable to his/her hypothesis. Student is not able to relate data for any of the climate variables to his/ her hypothesis. GOOD POOR Student incorrectly states that the data collected supports/refutes his/her hypothesis. 24 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Suggestions to Fit Your Curriculum W hat kind of science classes do you teach? Earth science? Physical science? Chemistry? The content and approach of Ocean Expeditions: El Niño make it a valuable tool for students in these classes and many more. Ocean Expeditions: El Niño provides your students with a new approach to investigating the Earth system and how it operates. Starting below we provide you with three different examples of how you might integrate Ocean Expeditions: El Niño into your curriculum. Option I: Thematic Approach Ocean Expeditions: El Niño follows a thematic approach. Three basic themes have been used to develop this simulation. Theme A: System and Interactions A system is an interacting or interdependent group of components that forms a unified whole. The components are synergistic. Feedback is an important aspect of the interaction between components and is the source of nonlinear variability of a system. A systems approach to Earth science enables students to grasp some of the complexities inherent to interactive components. Earth is a complex system composed of the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere and biosphere. These components interact through exchange of: (1) matter, such as nutrient cycles and erosion; (2) energy, such as absorption of solar radiation and release of latent heat; and (3) momentum, such as winds that create ocean currents. Ocean Expeditions: El Niño allows students to define the boundaries of the ocean-atmosphere system, and then to explore the system with its components, their interactions, and their coupling. Theme B: Patterns of Change Patterns of change address the concepts of change, dynamic stability, and predictability. Ocean Expeditions: El Niño addresses patterns of change directly by presenting Earth as a dynamic system undergoing constant change yet remaining in a state of dynamic equilibrium with the universe. Regular cyclical, as well as irregular non-cyclical, changes occur within the Earth system. For example, seasonal cycles, light and dark cycles, and the tides are regular and predictable patterns of change. El Niño, on the other hand, is a non-cyclical event that occurs every two to seven years. The intensity of an El Niño event depends on interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere, which itself displays considerable variability over the course of a year, as well as from year to year. Predictions are more complex in a system with these kinds of irregular changes, but new numerical prediction models address these situations by including the major non-linear processes that give rise to El Niño. Theme C: Scale and Structure Every system includes many different structures whose properties and relationships can be examined at different scales. Processes occurring at small scales eventually impact processes at much larger scales, and vice versa. With Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, students examine a system at different scales to gain an understanding of the importance scale has on their perception of structure. For example, interactions within the Earth system range from molecular to large-scale general circulation patterns. Processes at different scales affect the evolution of the atmosphere-ocean system during an El Niño. Surface evaporation introduces water vapor in the lower atmosphere through microphysical processes. The water vapor later condenses into cloud droplets in regions of ascending motion. The process of droplet condensation heats the atmosphere, thereby generating local atmospheric circulation and cooling the ocean surface. As clouds grow, they act collaboratively to force larger-scale atmospheric circulations which, in turn, affect surface winds and pressure patterns, driving ocean currents and ocean heat redistribution. Suggestions to Fit Your Curriculum Option II: National Standards If your course does not follow a thematic approach, you can use Ocean Expeditions: El Niño to meet the National Science Education Standards set forth by the National Academy of Sciences. Below are those standards that are met by Ocean Expeditions: El Niño. Content Standard A: Science as Inquiry 25 Content Standard D: Earth and Space Science • Energy in the Earth system. Content Standard E: Science and Technology • Recognize abilities of technological design. • Identify a problem or design a solution. • Propose designs and choose between alternative solutions. • Identify questions and concepts that guide scientific investigation. • Implement a proposed solution. • Design and conduct scientific investigations. • Evaluate the solution and its consequences. • Use technology and mathematics to improve investigations and communications. • Communicate the problem, process, and solution. • Formulate and revise scientific explanations and models using logic and evidence. Content Standard F: Science in Personal and Social Perspectives • Environmental quality. • Recognize and analyze alternative explanations and models. • Communicate and defend a scientific argument. Content Standard B: Physical Science • Motions and forces. • Interactions of energy and matter. Content Standard C: Life Science • The interdependence of organisms. • Matter, energy, and organization in living systems. • The behavior of organisms. Option III: State Frameworks We designed Ocean Expeditions: El Niño to meet many of the major state science frameworks in addition to the National Science Education Standards. The California State Science Framework was chosen as a model for these standards, based upon California’s long-standing support for education reform. Your state’s science framework is probably very similar. The main components of the California State Science Framework that relate to Ocean Expeditions: El Niño are reviewed on the next page. 26 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Science Framework for California Public Schools Physical Sciences Section A: Matter A3: What principles govern the interactions of matter? How does the chemical structure determine the physical properties of matter? Section B: Reactions and Interactions B2: What controls how substances change? Section C: Force and Motion C1: What is motion? What are the basic kinds of motion? How is motion described? C2: What is force? What are the characteristics of forces? What is the relationship of force to motion? Section D: Energy: Sources & Transformations D1: What is energy? What are its characteristics? D2: What do we do with energy? What changes occur as we use it? Section E: Energy: Heat E1: What is heat energy? Where does it come from, and what are its properties? Section C: Oceanography C1: How does the water cycle affect the climate, weather, and life of the Earth? How does water affect surface features of the land and the ocean floor? C2: How do the oceans support life, and how have the oceans and their marine life changed through time? What are the oceans? C3: How do waters circulate in the ocean, and how does this circulation affect weather and climate? C4: How do humans interact with the oceans? What may be some long-term effects of human interactions with the oceanic environments? Section D: Meteorology D1: What are the physical bases of the Earth’s climate and weather? D2: What are the major phenomena of climate and weather? What are some of the large- and small-scale causes of climate and weather? D3: How are we affected by weather? How can we alter it? Life Sciences Section G: Energy: Light G1: How does light enable us to see? What are the sources of light? What is light? Section A: Living Things A4: How do humans interact with living things? G2: What are the properties of light? Section C: Ecosystems C3: How do ecosystems change? Earth Sciences C4: What are the responsibilities of humans toward ecosystems? Section B: Geology & Natural Resources B4: What are the responsibilities of humans toward natural resources? Detailed Scientific Background 27 Detailed Scientific Background Introduction to Earth System Science and Global Change The results of modern scientific research have changed the way we think about our planet Earth. For centuries, scientists had divided the study of Earth into specialized areas: biologists investigated life, meteorologists studied the atmosphere, oceanographers did research on the sea, and other specialists were concerned with ice and snow or land. Scientists working in each specialty often knew little about the others. Each field developed its own jargon, making communication across disciplines difficult. The natural world, however, is not divided into separate and independent subjects like university departments. Instead, there are connections everywhere. Over the last few decades, scientists have developed new research methods and entirely new fields of study to understand these connections. Ecology, for example, is a science that deals with the relationships between living organisms and their environments. Ecology focuses on ecosystems, complexes of interdependent plants and animals, together with their physical environment. A pond is one example of a small ecosystem. The Earth, on the other hand, is the largest ecosystem. Earth System Science is a field of science that deals with phenomena that involve interactions between components that make up Earth: the air, the sea, the land, snow and ice, and the world of living things. Viewing Earth as a system, a collection of interrelated elements that form a collective whole, is key to understanding many aspects of change on planet Earth. Systems are dynamic, changing in response to forces of many kinds, both inside and outside the system itself. Over billions of years, Earth has undergone enormous changes. Some were caused by external forces such as changes in the Sun and in Earth’s orbit around it. Some involved events occurring within the Earth system itself, such as the movement of continents and the eruptions of volcanoes. The Earth also changes from day to day and from month to month — changes on these time scales are apparent to all of us. Every child experiences the difference between night and day. People who live near the shore see the changes in sea level caused by tides. The mighty rhythm of the seasons governs the lives of farmers, as well as the migrations of birds. The climate is another aspect of the Earth system that affects us all. Floods and droughts, summer heat waves and frigid winter blizzards, dust storms in the desert and hurricanes in the tropics are all powerful examples of how climate affects people, as well as animals and plants. More subtle changes in Earth system also affect life: • The loss of ozone in the stratosphere, dramatized by the Antarctic ozone hole, allows harmful ultraviolet radiation from the sun to reach Earth’s surface, causing skin cancers and other damage such as an increased incidence of cataracts and a weakening of the immune system in humans; reductions in leaf area, shoot length, and photosynthesis rates in many plants; and damage to plankton at the base of the marine food chain. • An increase in the natural greenhouse effect, caused by people adding carbon dioxide and other gases to the atmosphere, gradually warms Earth, resulting in rising sea levels and changes in storm patterns. • El Niño, a phenomenon arising from the interplay between the atmosphere and ocean in the tropical Pacific, causes severe droughts in Australia and heavy losses in the fishing industry in Peru. These changes in Earth involve interactions between the air, sea, land, snow and ice, and the world of living things, including ourselves. The key to understanding, and eventually to predicting all these phenomena, is Earth System Science. 28 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System We live on the surface of Earth where, to us, the atmosphere appears to extend to enormous heights above our heads. Likewise, the ocean appears very deep. But these impressions are due entirely to our own tiny size, compared with the size of Earth itself. In fact, the atmosphere and the ocean are thin outer layers on the spherical Earth, rather like the skin on an apple. One astronaut, contemplating Earth’s planetary wrapping of atmosphere from the viewpoint of an orbiting space capsule, described the atmosphere as “a fragile seam of dark blue light.” Since about 70 percent of the Earth surface is covered by ocean, most of the atmosphere lies over water, not land. Scientists call the boundary between the atmosphere and ocean the “air-sea interface.” This is not a static interface, but an active one, continuously changing. The air and the sea are each in constant motion. These motions range from the great current systems of the sea, such as the Gulf Stream, to the powerful global atmospheric wind systems, such as the jet stream. The motions also include waves on the ocean surface driven by wind and gigantic tropical storms and hurricanes fueled by energy from the warm oceans, which in turn have been heated by the strong rays of the sun. As the moving ocean and the moving atmosphere rub up against one another, these two mighty elements of the Earth system influence each other continually through the exchange of water, heat, and momentum: • The sea gives up water to the air through evaporation. The atmosphere returns it to the ocean through precipitation. • Heat exchange occurs just as a warm bowl of soup heats the air above it while the air gradually cools the soup. Whenever two substances such as the atmosphere and the ocean are in contact, heat flows from the warmer one to the colder one, tending over time to equalize their temperatures. • The exchange of momentum is illustrated by the whitecaps which occur when strong winds whip the sea surface into a frenzy of wild waves. The continual dialogue between air and sea, this exchange of water, heat, and momentum across the air-sea interface, makes the air and the sea two components of a system. Scientists have learned that they cannot understand the system by studying only the air without considering the sea, or vice versa. Instead, they must direct their research at the combined system of ocean, atmosphere, and the interactions between them. Scientists have a name for this system: the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. El Niño In the tropical Pacific, from Southeast Asia to the west coast of South America, the interactions between the atmosphere and ocean are particularly strong. The ocean is especially sensitive to the wind, with currents quickly responding to changes in wind speed and direction, while the atmosphere is powerfully affected by sea surface temperature. The results are often dramatic. Fishermen of Ecuador and Peru have long known that every few years, ocean surface waters warm, while along the coast there are unusually strong thunderstorms, heavy clouds, and rain. These events are synchronized not only with each other, but with the seasons — typically occurring around Christmas time. The conditions last for a few months and temporarily reduce the abundance of fish in the region. The fishermen call the event “El Niño” (“The Child”) referring to Jesus Christ and symbolizing the association of the phenomenon with Christmas. Scientists distinguish between typical conditions and the El Niño conditions, technically called “warm events.” Under typical conditions (or non El Niño conditions as they are referred to in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño), very warm ocean surface waters occur only in the western Pacific, just off Southeast Asia and north of Australia, giving rise to abundant rainfall in that area. The thermocline is shallow in the eastern Pacific and slopes downward to the west, becoming relatively deep in the western Pacific. Trade Winds blow steadily from east to west, causing cool, nutrient-rich waters to rise to the surface off western South America. These waters sustain the fishing industry in Ecuador and Peru. Detailed Scientific Background During warm El Niño events, all this changes. The warm surface waters are now found in the central and sometimes eastern Pacific off the coasts of Ecuador and Peru, and are accompanied by thunderstorms, heavy clouds, and rain. The east-west slope of the thermocline becomes less steep. Trade Winds weaken and occasionally cease altogether. When they cease, they are replaced by winds blowing from the west. The fisheries off South America can collapse, since warm water depleted of nutrients is unable to sustain the abundant marine life found during typical conditions. Yet El Niño also affects countries far from the tropical Pacific. It causes changes in the jet stream, as well as in global pressure and wind patterns, leading to unusual weather in many parts of the world. For example, western Canadian winters may be less severe during some El Niños, heavy rains may occur over the southern United States, and severe droughts can devastate Australia. Nowadays, scientists use the term El Niño to refer to the strong warm events in which the regular seasonal cycle appears to be powerfully amplified, with ocean warming typically persisting into May or June. Yet no two El Niños are alike. For example, there were seven distinct El Niño events between 1961 and 1989, each with a different pattern of unusual ocean temperatures, rainfall, and other climate parameters. Thus, scientists speak of “interannual variability,” referring to the sequence of El Niños alternating with typical conditions over the course of many years. This interannual variability is superimposed on the ordinary seasonal cycle, or “annual variability.” Scientists use the term “phases of the climate system” to denote the fact that at any one time, the tropical Pacific may be either experiencing a warm event, be in typical conditions, or be in transition between the two. Methodology of Science The story of El Niño is an especially successful example of Earth System Science. It is also typical in many ways of how any science makes progress. Science is a process, carried out by people who agree on a few fundamental principles. For example, they agree that research results should be reproducible so that one scientist’s laboratory experiment or theoretical calculation can be checked by another. In the scientific process, there is a need for several types of scientists, including the lone investigator doing “small science” and the team member involved in “big science.” 29 What led to the research that provides our current ability to understand and predict El Niño events? The story of this research offers a fascinating look at how science works. One of the early pioneers in the field was a British scientist, Sir Gilbert Walker, who worked in India during the 1920s. Walker noticed, by carefully studying weather records, that atmospheric pressures on the eastern and western sides of the Pacific are related. When the barometer is high in the east, it is low in the west, and vice versa. Walker called this seesaw in pressure the “Southern Oscillation.” The term “southern” comes from the fact that Walker used measurements from stations in the Pacific Ocean south of the equator, so the phenomenon was occurring in the southern tropics. Predicting El Niño Part of the difficulty in understanding and predicting El Niño is simply the task of adequately observing a phenomenon which extends over such a large region: the entire tropical Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere above it. Today, however, an expensive array of instrumentation is in place, ranging from buoys in the ocean to satellites orbiting above the atmosphere. These instruments continuously monitor key parameters such as sea surface temperature and sea level, together with patterns of atmospheric surface pressure and surface winds. These instruments were not in place in 1982–83. They are in place today because we recognize their value in allowing scientists to observe and predict El Niño events. Peru, for example, experienced a 14% decrease in the gross value of its agricultural sector as a result of El Niño’s effect on the rainy season of 1982–83. Rainfall was far above normal. By the 1986–87 El Niño, scientists were able to predict the event, and agricultural planners planned crops based on the forecast. They knew to increase production of rice, which thrives in wet weather, over cotton which does better in dry weather. As a result, Peru increased the value of its agricultural sector by 3%, in spite of El Niño. Brazil and other countries have also benefited from El Niño predictions. 30 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Forecasts need not be perfect to be useful. Just as a gambling casino can become wealthy by having the odds only slightly in its favor, so a nation’s agriculture can profit by relying on climate forecasts that are only a little better than chance. Today, research is underway in many countries to improve the observations and computer models which make these forecasts possible. The 1991–95 El Niño, an exceptionally long-lived event, provided a realtime laboratory for researchers to test their most recent theories, and to predict many aspects of this El Niño. Scientific Concepts This section provides you with a broader understanding of the underlying science in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, and it should help you answer your students’ questions as they work through the simulated experiment in class. In the following sections we review the most important scientific topics included in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, and we highlight some of the more complex concepts that are not directly addressed in the instructional modules, such as satellite remote sensing. There is a significant distinction in terminology and science that you should clarify to your class early in the investigation. It is important to remember that the El Niño phenomenon, while aperiodic in nature, is an unusual or anomalous climate condition. We have chosen to use the term non El Niño to refer to the “typical” climate conditions (and in a conscious attempt not to use the potentially misleading word “normal”). Be sure that your students recognize this difference and that they do not mistake non El Niño for something that is odd or irregular. We made this decision to use the terms non El Niño (or typical) conditions and El Niño conditions because it is still not altogether clear how atypical El Niño conditions may be with respect to interannual variability. In view of the continued human production of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, and with the prospect of global warming still looming on the horizon, there exists the possibility that El Niños may become the more typical climate condition. In 1991, for instance, one of the first-ever El Niño events was accurately predicted. Its mere occurrence was not remarkable, but what became remarkable was that its signature lingered in the tropical Pacific for nearly four years thereafter, perplexing many researchers and illustrating that nothing in nature is quite “normal.” While instructing your class as they explore the Ocean Expeditions: El Niño investigation, keep in mind that it is structured around a systems approach to learning about Earth. We have designed the investigation so that we do not overemphasize the importance of any one element or process, such as sea surface temperature and solar radiation absorption, for instance. Rather, we illustrate the interactions among all of them: sea surface temperature, pressure, winds, currents, and precipitation. This approach highlights the importance of the air-sea interface, the dynamic boundary layer where these two media rub against each other, allowing the elements to interact, and its complex link to the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. This link explains how interactions occurring at the air-sea interface can produce alterations in weather in remote regions of the world. In the following content materials, the first four topics deal with the air-sea interface, and the last four topics relate to the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. These topics follow the instructional movies. You can use some of this information to help you prepare and organize your classes. Detailed Scientific Background Sea Surface Temperature For the Sea Surface Temperature instructional module we developed the following five movies, which provide a comprehensive overview of sea surface temperature: • Introduction to Sea Surface Temperature — Illustrates the importance of sea surface temperature to climate and describes how to interpret sea surface temperature maps derived from satellite data. • Factors Affecting Sea Surface Temperature — Identifies solar radiation and ocean currents as the two main factors affecting sea surface temperature. • Cold Tongue and Warm Pool — Identifies the two dominant sea surface temperature features in the tropical Pacific, the cold tongue and the warm pool. • SST Patterns: non El Niño and El Niño — Describes how sea surface temperature patterns change between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. • SST and the Air-Sea Interface — Describes how sea surface temperature patterns are a result of and influence the local interactions between the atmosphere and ocean. 31 Ocean Surface Warming Processes responsible for warming the ocean surface are the absorption of solar radiation and longwave radiation. Ocean surface warming is determined primarily by solar radiation absorption. The amount of radiation reaching the surface depends mainly upon solar radiation intensity, daylight hours, and clouds. Solar Radiation Intensity The intensity of solar radiation reaching Earth’s surface depends on the distance separating the sun and Earth and the angle at which the sun’s radiation reaches the surface. The difference between this incidence angle and the vertical is called the sun-zenith angle. In the tropics, solar radiation reaches the surface at small sun-zenith angles, whereas at mid- and polar latitudes, solar radiation reaches the surface at larger sun-zenith angles. The larger the sun-zenith angle, the greater the area over which the radiation is distributed, thereby decreasing its intensity. In addition, solar radiation reaching Earth at large sun-zenith angles must travel through more atmosphere than radiation reaching Earth at small angles. The greater the distance traveled through the atmosphere, the more likely the radiation will be absorbed or reflected, decreasing the intensity reaching the surface (see SST Figure 1). Sea Surface The temperature of the ocean surface is regulated by processes that warm and cool the surface. In the movie, Factors Affecting Sea Surface Temperature, we identify the two strongest processes: a) absorption of solar radiation (warming) and b) ocean currents (warming and cooling). Other factors regulating ocean surface temperature are surface evaporation (cooling), surface absorption (warming) and emission (cooling) of longwave radiation, and sensible heat loss (cooling). These factors can be partitioned into those which occur at the air-sea interface and those which occur within the ocean. The absorption and emission of radiation, evaporation, and sensible heat loss take place at (or near) the airsea interface and illustrate the importance of the interactions between the ocean and atmosphere to climate. The warming and cooling effects of ocean currents take place within the ocean. SST Figure 1: Solar radiation striking Earth at large sun zenith angles travels a longer path in the atmosphere than radiation striking Earth at small sun-zenith angles, providing a greater opportunity for interaction with the atmosphere. 32 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño As Earth rotates around the sun, the distance between them varies. The amount of solar radiation reaching the top of Earth’s atmosphere is greatest when the distance separating the two is smallest. This occurs during the Northern Hemisphere winter (Southern Hemisphere summer). The least amount of solar radiation reaching the top of the atmosphere occurs during the Northern Hemisphere summer (Southern Hemisphere winter). This is an important point to illustrate as students often mistakenly identify the winter months as the time of year when the distance separating Earth and the sun is the greatest. Daylight Hours Over the course of a year, the number of daylight hours in the tropical regions remains fairly constant at 12 hours per day, providing a consistent supply of solar energy for heating the Earth’s surface. At higher latitudes, the number of daylight hours varies with season, being smaller in winter and greater in summer. At the poles, the number of daylight hours reaches 24 in the summer and decreases to zero in the winter. Clouds Not all of the radiation entering the top of Earth’s atmosphere reaches the surface, due largely to the presence of clouds. Clouds reflect incident solar radiation back towards space. SST Figure 2 illustrates the relationship between cloud type and reflectivity. Thick cumulus clouds with extended vertical development are highly reflective and reflect approximately 80% of incident solar radiation, whereas cumulus clouds with less vertical development reflect only 20%–50%. Clouds also absorb approximately 20% of the solar radiation impinging upon them, preventing it from reaching the surface. Longwave Radiation Absorption Unlike solar energy, which is absorbed only during daylight hours, Earth’s surface continuously absorbs longwave radiation. Longwave radiation is emitted continuously by the atmosphere and clouds in all directions. Radiation that is emitted towards the surface is absorbed by Earth’s surface and warms it. Relative to solar radiation absorption, longwave radiation absorption by the surface plays a small warming role. SST Figure 2: Thick cumulus clouds reflect approximately 80% of incident solar radiation, whereas less-developed cumulus clouds reflect 20%–50% of incident solar radiation. Ocean Surface Cooling Processes responsible for cooling the ocean surface are evaporation, longwave radiation emission, and sensible heat loss. Evaporation Evaporation is the process whereby water molecules leave the ocean surface, cooling it as energy is consumed in the phase change from liquid water to water vapor. Only the fastest moving water molecules evaporate from the surface. Water molecules absorb energy until they attain enough molecular motion to evaporate. The removal of the fastest moving molecules from the ocean surface results in a decrease of surface temperature, as temperature is a measure of the average speed of the water molecules. Evaporation is directly related to wind speed and temperature. As wind speed or temperature increases, evaporation from the surface increases, which in turn increases the ocean surface cooling. In the tropical regions, evaporation is strong and plays a larger role in regulating sea surface temperature than at higher latitudes. In the western Pacific, the warm sea surface induces a strong evaporation. In the eastern Pacific, the evaporation is also high but is attributed mainly to the strong and persistent Trade Winds. Detailed Scientific Background Longwave Radiation Emission Earth’s surface continuously emits longwave radiation, thereby cooling the surface. The amount of radiation emitted by Earth’s surface is proportional to its temperature. In the tropics, the amount of cooling induced by longwave radiation emission is generally small when compared to that of evaporation. At higher latitudes, the emission of longwave radiation can play a larger role compared to surface evaporation. Sensible Heat Loss The loss of heat from the ocean to atmosphere through conduction and convection is called sensible heat loss. Conduction is heat transfer at the molecular level and convection is heat transfer through mass movement. Relative to surface evaporation and the emission of longwave radiation, sensible heat transfer plays a minor cooling role. Ocean Currents: Warming & Cooling Ocean currents contribute to the warming and cooling of the ocean surface by transporting water between regions of different temperature. Surface currents warmed in tropical regions carry heat toward the pole while surface currents cooled at high latitudes carry cold water toward the equator. Additionally, vertical currents contribute to the cooling of the ocean surface by carrying cold water from the deep ocean towards the surface. This process is known as upwelling and is discussed in more detail under the heading Ocean Temperature: Upwelling below. Satellite Measurements of Sea Surface Temperature The amount of longwave radiation emitted upward by the ocean surface is a function of the sea surface temperature. As emitted longwave radiation travels through the atmosphere, some of it is absorbed by atmospheric gases. Not all longwave energy is absorbed by the atmosphere to the same extent. In some longer wavelengths regions of the electromagnetic spectrum, there is complete absorption and little or no radiation reaches the top of the atmosphere. In other regions, absorption by the atmosphere is minimal, allowing most of the radiation emitted by the surface to escape to space. These regions of the electromagnetic spectrum are known as “atmospheric window” regions. Measurements from satellite sensors taken in window regions are used to determine sea surface temperature. The 33 actual determination of sea surface temperature is a complicated process because the signal received at the satellite is a combination of surface and atmospheric emission and must therefore be separated into its component parts. Under cloudy conditions, satellite determination of sea surface temperature becomes further complicated. Clouds interfere with the longwave radiation emitted by the surface, even in the atmospheric windows, making satellite measurements of sea surface temperature difficult. When cloud conditions exist, sea surface temperature measurements from ships and buoys are used in combination with satellite observations to build complete coverage maps of sea surface temperature. Satellite and surfacebased measurements, however, describe different properties of the ocean surface. Satellite observations describe “skin” temperature, which is the temperature of the upper few millimeters of the ocean from which radiation is emitted. Measurements from ships and buoys, however, describe the bulk temperature of the ocean, several meters below the surface. At the surface, evaporative cooling lowers the skin temperature relative to the bulk temperature by approximately 0.5° C. When combining measurements of bulk temperature with “skin” temperature, computer models of the air-sea interface and upper ocean are used to account for these differences. Surface Currents Four movies are included in the Surface Currents instructional module: • Introduction to Surface Currents — Provides an example of how ocean currents impact human activities. • Surface Currents — Provides a brief introduction to the formation of ocean surface currents and identifies the major currents in the tropical Pacific. • Current Maps — Describes how current maps are developed and interpreted. • Current Patterns: non El Niño and El Niño — Identifies how current patterns change between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. 34 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Below we provide a more in-depth look at: the formation of currents by describing the relationship between the Coriolis Force and ocean currents, and how current maps are developed. Formation of Ocean Surface Currents In the instructional movie, Surface Currents, we provide a brief introduction to the formation of surface currents by identifying them as wind-driven. Another process, the Coriolis Force, also plays a dominant role in the development of surface currents. The Coriolis Force is an apparent force caused by the rotation of Earth. It explains why the surface current direction differs from the overlying wind direction. As wind blows over the ocean surface, momentum is transferred from the atmosphere to the surface layers of the ocean, creating ocean surface currents. The Coriolis Force acts upon the ocean surface deflecting surface currents to the right of the prevailing wind in the Northern Hemisphere, and to the left of the prevailing wind in the Southern Hemisphere. Although the Coriolis Force is nonexistent at the equator, it increases with latitude and impacts surface currents as close as 0.5° from the equator. In the Pacific, the Trade Winds drive the North and South Equatorial Currents. The North Equatorial Current flows north of the equator in the latitude band between 10° to 25° N while the South Equatorial Current flows on both sides of the equator from 3° N to 25° S. The South Equatorial Current is generally stronger than the North Equatorial Current because the southeast Trade Winds are generally stronger than the northeast Trade Winds. As they flow westward, these two currents become blocked by land masses in the western Pacific causing water to be deflected northward and southward into the Kuroshio and East Australian Currents, respectively. Other water flows back toward the central and eastern Pacific as the Equatorial Countercurrent. Surface Currents Figure 1 illustrates the surface current system of the Pacific. The formation of the Equatorial Countercurrent is described in more detail under the heading Ocean Circulation: Equatorial Countercurrent. Surface Currents Figure 1: Surface currents of the Pacific. Measuring Currents Oceanographers rely on moored and drifting buoys to obtain measurements of current speed and direction. As part of the Tropical Ocean-Global Atmosphere (TOGA) research campaign which extended from 1982–92, a large network of moored buoys was established and a large number of drifting buoys was deployed in the tropical Pacific. One objective of TOGA was to study the coupling between the ocean and atmosphere and it’s relationship to the El Niño Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Current meters attached to moored buoys provide currents by measuring the speed and direction of water as it passes the current meter (see Surface Currents Figure 2). Current meters cannot be used to measure the current from ships because it is not possible to hold ships stationary in the open ocean. Drifting buoys measure currents by measuring the displacement of a parcel of moving water. After they are released into the open ocean, their position over time is tracked by satellites. Detailed Scientific Background 35 Here, we introduce: how surface pressure systems develop, pressure gradients, and how surface pressure systems are maintained. We also discuss how to interpret symbols which are unique to the maps in Ocean Expeditions: El Niño. Surface Pressure System Development Surface air pressure is the pressure exerted by the weight of the column of air above it. The weight of air is simply the mass of air times gravity, where, for most purposes, gravity is assumed constant. Average sea level pressure is about 1 kilogram per square meter. This is equivalent to 1013 hecto-Pascals (hPa) or 1013 millibars (mb). Historically, air pressure has been measured in units of millibars. Recently, a new convention was implemented in which air pressure is measured in units of hecto-Pascals. Ocean Surface Currents Figure 2: Current meters attached to moored buoys measure current speed and direction at various depths in the ocean. While TOGA implemented an extensive network of moored and drifting buoys, limited time and space samples leave gaps in maps of current fields. Complete current fields are only obtained when measurements from moored and drifting buoys are “assimilated” into computer models of ocean circulation. The current fields shown in the Data Archive and the instructional modules are “assimilated” current fields developed from computer models and actual measurements. Surface Pressure The instructional module Surface Pressure includes three instructional movies: • Introduction to Surface Pressure — Describes how surface pressure systems influence regional climates in the tropical Pacific. • Surface Pressure Maps — Describes how surface pressure maps are developed and interpreted. • Surface Pressure Patterns: non El Niño and El Niño — Describes how surface pressure patterns in the tropical Pacific vary between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Surface pressure systems develop as the mass of the atmospheric column changes. Changes in the mass of an air column are initiated by: changes in density and changes in volume, that is, the number of molecules occupying the air column. Changes in Density The density of a given volume of air depends on its temperature and the type of molecules comprising it. As air temperature increases, it expands, causing fewer air molecules to occupy the original volume, thereby decreasing its density. A given volume of air can be partitioned into dry air and moist air, with moist air being lighter than dry air. As the ratio of moist air molecules to dry air molecules increases, the density of a given volume of air decreases. The air in the eastern tropical Pacific is denser than the air in the western tropical Pacific. In the eastern tropical Pacific, the air above the ocean surface is relatively cool and dry. The low temperature of the cold tongue region keeps the air above it cool. The Trade Winds keep the air relatively dry by transporting water vapor away from this region as it evaporates off the ocean surface. In the western tropical Pacific, the air above the surface is warm and moist. The high surface temperature warms the air above. The high temperature also moistens the air above as water evaporates from the surface of the ocean. The Trade Winds contribute to the moist conditions found in the western Pacific. As they blow westward across the 36 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Pacific Ocean, the Trade Winds pick up moisture and carry it towards the western tropical Pacific. In summary, the warm, moist air of the western Pacific is less dense than the cool, dry air found in the eastern Pacific. Changes in Volume The mass of an air column will change by increasing or decreasing the number of air molecules comprising it, while holding its temperature and ratio of moist air molecules to dry air molecules constant. Density increases as air molecules enter an air column and decreases as molecules leave an air column. The number of air molecules in a column increases as air masses converge towards the column. This occurs at the surface in the western tropical Pacific, and in the upper atmosphere in the eastern tropical Pacific. In the western tropical Pacific, air converges towards the surface low pressure system, while air in the upper atmosphere accumulates over the surface high pressure region in the eastern tropical Pacific. Conversely, the number of air molecules in a column decreases as air masses diverge away from the column. In the eastern Pacific, this occurs at the surface as air masses diverge away from the surface high pressure region. In the western Pacific, this also occurs in the upper atmosphere as air molecules move away from the surface low pressure region. See Atmospheric Circulation: Walker Cell for a more detailed description of convergence toward and divergence away from an air column. Pressure Gradient A pressure gradient is a measure of the variation of pressure across a horizontal distance. An imbalance in pressure creates a pressure gradient force which causes air to flow from high to low pressure regions. This movement of air is called wind. In the tropical Pacific, a pressure gradient develops between the eastern and western Pacific as a result of uneven heating in the atmosphere due to clouds. When clouds form, water vapor condenses in the atmosphere, releasing latent heat and thereby warming the atmosphere. In the equatorial Pacific, uneven atmospheric heating between relatively clear regions in the eastern Pacific and cloudy regions in the western Pacific creates a pressure gradient in the lower atmosphere. The western equatorial Pacific is characterized by towering cumulonimbus clouds which extend vertically over several kilometers. These clouds are often referred to as “hot towers,” because they have a significant impact on atmospheric heating. In contrast, the eastern equatorial Pacific is dotted by small fair-weather cumulus clouds. These clouds have limited vertical development and thereby have a negligible impact on atmospheric heating. Pressure System Maintenance Temperature and moisture gradients play an important role in the development of surface pressure gradients between the eastern and western Pacific. In order to maintain these pressure features, another process must be acting, otherwise the flow of air between the different pressure regions will act to balance the horizontal pressure gradient by decreasing pressure in high pressure regions and increasing pressure in low pressure regions. Surface pressure systems are maintained by adding or removing mass (molecules of air) from the air column. A surface low pressure region is maintained when there is a net loss of mass from the air column. At the surface, wind flows into regions of low pressure, thereby increasing the mass of the air column. At the top of the air column above a surface low pressure region, loss of mass results as air diverges away from the column. When the loss of air mass at the top of the column exceeds gain of mass at the surface, a surface low pressure system is maintained. A surface high pressure region is maintained when there is a net gain of mass to the air column. The mass of the column increases as air in the upper atmosphere converges above a surface high pressure region. The mass of the column decreases as surface wind flows away from regions of high pressure. When the gain of mass at the top of the column exceeds the loss of mass at the surface, a surface high pressure system is maintained. Surface Pressure Figure 1 illustrates how surface pressure regions are maintained. Detailed Scientific Background 37 Surface Wind We include the following four instructional movies in the Surface Wind module: • Introduction to Surface Wind — Describes the relationship between the Trade Winds and the climate system in the tropical Pacific. • Development of Surface Wind — Provides a brief introduction to the development of surface winds. • Surface Wind Map — Describes how surface wind maps are developed and how they are interpreted. Surface Pressure Figure 1: A surface low pressure is maintained when divergence aloft is greater than surface convergence. A surface high pressure region is maintained when convergence aloft is greater than surface divergence. Surface Pressure Map Interpretation On maps of surface pressure, the letters “H” and “L” are used to denote high and low pressure regions, respectively. In the instructional modules for Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, we use the letters “H, H” or “L, L” to denote regions of relative pressure. That is, even in overall low pressure regions, such as the tropics, we distinguish between lower low pressure regions (“L”) and higher low pressure regions (“L”) by using these relative symbols. Surface Pressure Figure 2 illustrates how these symbols are used on surface pressure maps. Surface Pressure Figure 2: Surface pressure map showing regions of relative pressure. • Surface Wind Patterns: Non El Niño and El Niño — Illustrates how surface wind patterns alter between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. In this section, we: introduce the relationship between the Coriolis Force and surface wind direction, identify the Intertropical Convergence Zone and discuss how wind measurements are obtained from satellites. Surface Wind Development Wind is the horizontal movement of air that results from differences in horizontal air pressure and Earth’s rotation. As a pressure gradient develops over a surface, wind flows in the direction of the pressure gradient force, that is, from high to low pressure, in an attempt to balance the pressure difference. Because of Earth’s rotation, the Coriolis Force causes wind to be deflected to the right of the pressure gradient force in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of the pressure gradient force in the Southern Hemisphere. As a result, wind spirals inward toward a region of low pressure and spirals outward from a region of high pressure (Surface Wind Figure 1). Surface Wind Figure 1: Arrows show wind spiraling inward toward a low pressure region and outward from a high pressure region. 38 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Intertropical Convergence Zone In the tropical Pacific, the Trade Winds blow from the northeast and southeast and converge just north of the equator in a region known as the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The ITCZ is a band of low pressure around the equatorial regions and extends a few hundred kilometers in the north-south direction. Because only a weak pressure gradient exists within the ITCZ, the ITCZ is characterized by light winds. These winds are more commonly referred to as the Doldrums because of the calm and humid conditions which prevail in the ITCZ. The name “Doldrums” only partially describes wind conditions in the ITCZ. The ITCZ also experiences deep storms and intense winds associated with “cloud clusters” which are groups of deep cumulonimbus clouds clustered together and easily seen on satellite images. See Clouds/ Precipitation: Clouds and Atmospheric Circulation for a more detailed description of the cloud conditions prevailing in the ITCZ. Satellite Observations of Wind Speed Satellites carry scatterometers which estimate surface wind properties from space. Scatterometers are radars that transmit short pulses of microwave energy to the surface. They measure the intensity of the signal that returns to the satellite after it backscatters, or reflects, off the ocean surface at a steep angle. The strength of the returned pulse gives an indication of surface roughness. Surface roughness, in turn, provides information about wind properties. Small, wind-driven waves (a few centimeters in height) influence the amount of energy reflected back towards the satellite. Wind speed and wind direction are then determined by studying the variation in the signal received at the satellite. Satellite technology is only now reaching the stage where it is able to produce high-resolution wind fields. In Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, the wind fields are compiled from wind measurements from ships and moored buoys which are assimilated into computer models of atmospheric circulation. Clouds/Precipitation The coupled ocean-atmosphere system is the combined system of the ocean and atmosphere and the interactions between them. In the next four sections, we address several components of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system, namely, Clouds/Precipitation, Ocean Temperature, Atmospheric Circulation, and Ocean Circulation. The Clouds/Precipitation instructional module addresses the following topics: • Introduction to Clouds and Precipitation — Describes how clouds and rainfall patterns in the tropical Pacific vary between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. It uses cloud type to describe what changes occur. • Precipitation Index Maps — Describes how precipitation index maps are developed and how to interpret precipitation index maps. • Precipitation Patterns: Non El Niño and El Niño — Describes how precipitation patterns change between non El Niño and El Niño conditions; uses maps of the precipitation index maps to illustrate differences. This section takes a more in-depth look at the relationship between: clouds and atmospheric circulation, and clouds and precipitation. We also discuss how satellites are used to infer precipitation amounts. Clouds and Atmospheric Circulation A comparison of clouds and sea surface temperature patterns in the tropical Pacific shows that the most intense clouds form over the warmest waters, while relatively cloud-free regions occur over cooler water. Additionally, fog tends to form over the coldest waters associated with regions of upwelling. The warmest waters are located in the western Pacific and extend eastward north of the equator. This warm-water band coincides with the region of lowest surface pressure, the ITCZ. The Trade Winds transport moisture-laden air into the ITCZ, which supplies the fuel necessary for the production of intense cumulonimbus clouds. Cumulonimbus clouds form as the moist air which converges at the surface rises and condenses. As cumulonimbus clouds develop, they heat the atmosphere Detailed Scientific Background through the release of latent heat creating uneven heating in the atmosphere between clear and cloudy regions. In the Pacific, regions of uneven atmospheric heating exist in the meridional direction between the ITCZ and the relatively cloud-free regions of the subtropics and in the zonal direction between the eastern and western Pacific. This creates surface pressure gradients which drive the Hadley and Walker circulation cells. For a more complete description see: Hadley Cell and Walker Cell under the heading Atmospheric Circulation. The ITCZ is characterized by towering cumulonimbus clouds and heavy rainfall. As moist air converges into the ITCZ, it is forced to rise. Moist, rising air encounters lower temperatures causing its water vapor to condense, producing cumulonimbus clouds. In the upper atmosphere, air diverges away from the ITCZ and starts to sink. Sinking air, away from the convergence zone, limits the upward vertical motion required for the production of intense rain clouds keeping these regions relatively cloudand rain-free. Along the equator, the eastern Pacific is characterized by small puffy, or Trade Wind, cumulus clouds. Because of their limited vertical development, these clouds produce minimal rainfall. The central Pacific is characterized by cumulus clouds with greater vertical development which produce moderate amounts of rainfall. The western Pacific is characterized by cumulonimbus clouds with extensive vertical development. These clouds, which often develop into thunderstorm clouds, reach from the surface through the entire troposphere and produce the most abundant rainfall. Clouds/Precipitation Figure 1 illustrates the clouds and precipitation patterns that exist across the tropical Pacific. Clouds/Precipitation Figure 1: Clouds and precipitation patterns of the tropical Pacific. 39 Precipitation Index Maps Precipitation is estimated from satellite observations in the form of a precipitation index, as most satellites do not measure precipitation directly. From visible and infrared measurements, estimates of precipitation are calculated using varying formulas based on cloud type, cloud height, cloud coverage, or rainfall potential. Measurements from visible channels are used to estimate cloud type (or cloud brightness) and cloud coverage, while measurements from infrared channels are used to obtain cloud height. Ground measurements of rainfall show that the brightest clouds with the highest cloud tops produce the most rainfall. Ocean Temperature In Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, students become familiar with how ocean temperature changes with depth by taking measurements with an expendable bathythermograph (XBT). In this section, we provide a more in-depth investigation by: identifying vertical temperature regions found in the ocean, describing how the mixed layer varies across the Pacific, and discussing the physical mechanisms of upwelling. Vertical Temperature Variations If the absorption of solar radiation were the only factor responsible for heating the upper ocean, temperature would decrease with depth linearly from the surface. Surface winds, however, create stirring in the upper layer of the ocean which causes warm surface waters to mix vertically with colder, deeper waters. Vertical mixing is also induced by convection associated with nighttime cooling. The vertical distribution of temperature in the ocean can be divided into three temperature regions: the mixed layer, the thermocline, and the deep ocean water. The mixed layer is the uppermost layer and is characterized by uniform temperature. The thermocline is a region of rapid temperature transition that separates the warmer upper waters of the mixed layer from the colder waters of the deep ocean. 40 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Mixed Layer/Thermocline Surface winds and vertical ocean currents can have competing effects on the thickness of the mixed layer. Surface winds impact the thickness of the mixed layer from above, whereas vertical currents impact the thickness of the mixed layer from below. Strong surface winds create intense stirring in the upper ocean, favoring the formation of a thick mixed layer. Weak winds, on the other hand, limit vertical mixing, resulting in a shallow mixed layer. Equatorial currents transport surface waters away from the eastern Pacific. Vertical currents allow deeper and colder waters to mix with warmer surface waters, replenishing water transported away by surface currents. This process is called upwelling and creates a fairly shallow mixed layer of approximately 10–50 meters in the eastern Pacific. In the western Pacific, warm water build up and surface winds act together to create a thick mixed layer of approximately 150 meters. Ocean Temperature Figure 1 illustrates how the zonal variation in the depth of the mixed layer causes the thermocline to slope upwards from the western to the eastern Pacific during non El Niño events. During El Niño events, the thermocline slope flattens as the thickness of the mixed layer becomes more uniform across the Pacific as illustrated in Ocean Temperature Figure 2. The weakened upwelling and intrusion of warm surface waters increase the thickness of the mixed layer in the central and eastern Pacific. Ocean Temperature Figure 2: Same as Ocean Temperature Figure 1 except for El Niño conditions. Upwelling In Ocean Expeditions: El Niño, the concept of upwelling is introduced in several of the instructional movies, namely Air-Sea Interface, Coupled Ocean Atmosphere and Factors Affecting Sea Surface Temperature. Here we discuss the physics of upwelling and the impact of upwelling in the eastern Pacific. Upwelling is the process of vertically transporting deep water towards the surface and is caused by the action of the winds, currents, and Earth’s rotation. As surface winds drive surface currents, Earth’s rotation deflects surface waters to the right of their path in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left of their path in the Southern Hemisphere. In the Pacific, this causes surface waters to move away from the coast of South America and away from the equator, exposing the surface to colder, nutrientrich waters that are upwelled from the deep ocean. When the Trade Winds relax, for example, during El Niño events, upwelling weakens as weaker surface currents transport less water away from the equator and the South American coast. Under these conditions, upwelling is suppressed, and deep ocean water is prevented from reaching the surface. Ocean Temperature Figure 1: Cross section of Pacific Ocean temperature at the equator during non El Niño conditions. Detailed Scientific Background Atmospheric Circulation Ocean Expeditions: El Niño introduces atmospheric circulation in the Clouds/Precipitation instructional module and the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere instructional movies. In this section, we examine the two large-scale circulation cells in the tropical Pacific: the Hadley Cell and the Walker Cell. Hadley Cell The meridional pressure gradient existing between the tropical low pressure band, the ITCZ, and the subtropical high pressure band in the northern and southern hemispheres contributes to the formation of a north-south circulation cell, known as the Hadley Cell. Surface winds converge in the ITCZ, where air is forced to rise. Air continues to rise until it reaches the tropopause, a stable region in the atmosphere. The tropopause acts as a lid, preventing air from rising farther and causing it to flow horizontally in either the north-south or east-west directions. Airflow aloft in the north-south direction becomes part of the Hadley Cell and airflow in the east-west direction becomes part of the Walker Cell. Atmospheric Circulation Figure 1 illustrates the Hadley and Walker Cells. Hadley Cell circulation is comprised of two meridional branches, the northern branch which extends from the equatorial regions to the subtropical regions of the Northern Hemisphere and the southern branch which extends from the equatorial regions to the subtropical regions of the Southern Hemisphere. Atmospheric Circulation Figure 1: Hadley and Walker Cell circulation patterns. 41 As air aloft travels to higher latitudes, it changes direction and it cools. The Coriolis Force increases with increasing latitude causing the direction of airflow aloft to gradually change from poleward to eastward. Air cools as it travels poleward because less heat is acquired than in the tropical regions. Air density increases as the air cools, causing it to sink. When the air reaches subtropical latitudes, it descends towards the surface, creating a band of high surface pressure. Surface winds flow toward the equator from this surface high pressure region. In the Northern Hemisphere, surface winds blow from the northeast, while in the Southern Hemisphere, they blow from the southeast and make up the northeasterly and northwesterly components of the Trade Winds. Walker Cell In addition to the meridional pressure gradient between the subtropical and equatorial pressure regions, a zonal pressure gradient exists along the equator. The towering cumulonimbus clouds heat the atmosphere in the western Pacific through the release of latent heat creating regions of differential atmospheric heating between the western and eastern Pacific and also between the western Pacific and the western Indian Ocean. As a result, alternating regions of high and low pressure are found along the equator. Surface winds converge towards the low pressure regions of the western Pacific. There, air rises. At the tropopause, air diverges and travels horizontally in the east-west direction. It accumulates and sinks over the surface high pressure regions in the eastern Pacific and western Indian Oceans, giving rise to the Walker Cell. The lower branch of the Walker Cell is the east-west component of the Trade Winds. This component of the wind is, in general, larger than the north-south component discussed above. During El Niño conditions, the entire Walker Cell shifts eastward. In the Pacific, the ascending branch of the Walker Cell is found in the central rather than western Pacific while the descending branch is found over the South American continent, rather than the eastern Pacific. 42 Ocean Expeditions: El Niño Ocean Circulation Ocean circulation is intimately related to the interactions between the atmosphere and ocean and is critical to understanding El Niño events. A complete introduction to ocean circulation, however, lies beyond the scope of this document. Ocean circulation is therefore only briefly introduced in the instructional movie Coupled OceanAtmosphere. Here, we provide an overview of ocean circulation including: sea surface height, the Equatorial Countercurrent, and the Equatorial Undercurrent. We also discuss how each of these processes change as the climate system shifts between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. gradient by another surface current, the Equatorial Countercurrent. The Equatorial Countercurrent flows in the region between 4 and 10 degrees North. The surface winds are weak in this region, enabling the current to flow in the direction opposite to the prevailing winds. During El Niño events, the Equatorial Countercurrent intensifies in response to the associated changes taking place at the air-sea interface. Sea Surface Height In the equatorial Pacific, the North Equatorial and South Equatorial Currents move water westward, away from the coast of Central and South America. The flow of water becomes blocked by land masses in the western Pacific, causing water to pile up against Southeast Asia, northern Australia, and Indonesia. The transport of water from the eastern to the western Pacific creates a variation in sea surface height of approximately 50 cm across the equatorial Pacific, with sea surface height sloping upwards towards the west. On the eastern side of the Pacific, water that has flowed westward is replaced by upwelling of cold, deep, nutrient-rich water. As El Niño conditions develop, weakened westwardflowing surface currents limit the pileup of water against the western boundary of the Pacific. This decreases the variation in sea surface height across the Pacific and flattens the slope of sea surface height. Ocean Circulation Figure 1 illustrates how sea surface height varies between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Equatorial Countercurrent As water piles up against the western boundary of the Pacific basin, some water is deflected into the Kuroshio and East Australia Currents. Other water creates a return flow back towards the eastern Pacific. Because the sea surface slopes upward from the eastern to the western Pacific, there is an eastward-directed horizontal pressure gradient force acting upon the ocean surface. As with the atmosphere, the ocean responds to pressure gradients with the generation of currents which flow from high to low pressure. The horizontal pressure gradient force causes water to be transported in the direction of the pressure Ocean Circulation Figure 1: Variation in sea surface height between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Equatorial Undercurrent The sea surface slopes upward towards the west, as water builds up against the boundary of the western Pacific. The water buildup also creates a horizontal pressure gradient below the ocean surface, with pressure higher in the west and lower in the east. This initiates the Equatorial Undercurrent, also called Cromwell Current, which flows in the direction of the pressure gradient. The Equatorial Undercurrent flows in the thermocline, just below the wind-driven surface currents. During El Niño events, the flatter sea surface height and thermocline slopes weaken the horizontal pressure gradient across the Pacific, causing a weakening of the Equatorial Undercurrent. During the intense 1982–83 El Niño, the normally swift Equatorial Undercurrent just about disappeared for a few months. Appendix: Worksheet Masters Appendix: Worksheet Masters 43 Currents Worksheet Start Here page 1 after reading pages 3–4 in your booklet. Surface Currents and the Tropical Pacific urface currents are movements of water in the upper few tens of meters of the ocean. In Peru and Ecuador, the local fishermen know from experience how important these currents are and how they can change. When the Peru Current, which flows northward along the coast of South America, is strong, surface water temperature drops, nutrients abound in the upper ocean, and the anchovy industry thrives. But when the Peru Current weakens, warm waters invade the coastal regions, nutrient levels decrease, and the anchovy industry declines. The connection between the Peruvian anchovy industry, sea surface temperature, and local ocean currents is an example of how the interaction between the ocean and atmosphere determine climate and affect people. S Sign In after reading page 5 in your booklet. Your Teammates: Crew Name: Your Name: Your Role: Climate Variable Under Investigation: Observe the System ✔ Currents ❏ Pressure ❏ Wind ❏ Clouds/Precipitation ❏ after reading pages 6–8 in your booklet. 1. Identify three impacts of El Niño. 2. Identify the two dominant sea surface temperature (SST) features and explain how they evolve. 3. Describe the present sea surface temperature pattern. Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Currents Worksheet Establish a Hypothesis page 2 after reading page 8 in your booklet. What is your hypothesis? Collect and Analyze Data after reading pages 9–10 in your booklet. 1. Follow these basic steps to complete your investigation on Currents. Then, answer the questions below. Dr. Enso will give you all the detailed instructions you may need to complete your repor t. • Use the Instructional Terminal to watch four movies about Currents: Introduction: Describes an example of how ocean currents have an impact on human activities. Surface Currents: Provides a brief introduction to the formation of ocean sur face currents. Current Maps: Describes how sur face current maps are developed and how they are interpreted. Current Patterns: Identifies how current patterns change between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. • Use the Data Center to build a map of present sur face current conditions. Sources for sur face current data include: buoys, ships of oppor tunity, island stations, and on board the ship. (Note: No satellite data are available.) • Use the Data Archive to analyze your sur face current map and compare it to historical maps. • Confirm or refute your hypothesis with your team. • Complete your repor t to Dr. Enso at the Com Center. 2. Describe the general direction of the South Equatorial Current and the Equatorial Countercurrent in the eastern Pacific. 3. Are these patterns more consistent with non El Niño or El Niño conditions? 4. If another ship in the fleet is studying wind, see if your surface current data are consistent with the wind data. Why or why not? Submit Your Conclusions after reading page 11 in your booklet. 1. What is the present state of the climate system? 2. What evidence do you have to support your claim? 3. Does this claim support or refute your hypothesis? Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Pressure Worksheet Start Here page 1 after reading pages 3–4 in your booklet. Pressure and the Tropical Pacific n the tropical Pacific, semi-permanent pressure features cover large areas and play an important role in determining regional climates. The small fair-weather cumulus clouds found in the eastern tropical Pacific are typical of the high pressure system that persists in this region. Small amounts of rainfall occur there because high pressure is accompanied by sinking air motions that prevent the formation of tall rainproducing clouds. I On the western side of the Pacific Ocean, climate conditions are dramatically different. There, low pressure and rising air motions give rise to tall rain-producing clouds. These thunderstorm clouds produce much of the abundant rainfall that characterizes the region. The links between surface pressure, clouds, and rainfall are important components of the climate system. Scientists regularly monitor surface pressure, along with other climate variables, in the tropics to help predict how climate will change. Sign In after reading page 5 in your booklet. Your Teammates: Crew Name: Your Name: Your Role: Climate Variable Under Investigation: Observe the System ✔ Pressure ❏ Wind ❏ Clouds/Precipitation ❏ Currents ❏ after reading pages 6–8 in your booklet. 1. Identify three impacts of El Niño. 2. Identify the two dominant sea surface temperature (SST) features and explain how they evolve. 3. Describe the present sea surface temperature pattern. Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Pressure Worksheet Establish a Hypothesis page 2 after reading page 8 in your booklet. What is your hypothesis? Collect and Analyze Data after reading pages 9–10 in your booklet. 1. Follow these basic steps to complete your investigation on Pressure. Then, answer the questions below. Dr. Enso will give you all the detailed instructions you may need to complete your repor t. • Use the Instructional Terminal to watch three movies about Pressure: Introduction: Describes how sur face pressure systems influence regional climates in the tropical Pacific. Pressure Maps: Describes how sur face pressure maps are developed and how they are interpreted. Pressure Patterns: Describes how sur face pressure patterns in the tropical Pacific var y between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. • Use the Data Center to build a map of present sur face pressure conditions. Sources for pressure data include: buoys, ships of oppor tunity, the Glomar fleet, island stations, and on board the ship. ( Note: No satellite data are available.) • Use the Data Archive to analyze your pressure map and compare it to historical maps. • Confirm or refute your hypothesis with your team. • Complete your repor t to Dr. Enso at the Com Center. 2. Describe the location and extent of the high and low regions in the present surface pressure fields. 3. Do these pressure features more closely resemble non El Niño or El Niño conditions? 4. If another ship in the fleet is studying clouds/precipitation, see if your data on pressure are consistent with the clouds/precipitation data. Why or why not? Submit Your Conclusions after reading page 11 in your booklet. 1. What is the present state of the climate system? 2. What evidence do you have to support your claim? 3. Does this claim support or refute your hypothesis? Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Wind Worksheet Start Here page 1 after reading pages 3–4 in your booklet. Surface Wind and the Tropical Pacific n the tropical Pacific, the general wind direction is from the northeast in the Northern Hemisphere and from the southeast in the Southern Hemisphere. These relatively steady winds are called the Trade Winds, named because merchant sailing ships relied on them to trade between continents. These winds are also important to the climate system. Under typically strong Trade Wind conditions, the eastern tropical Pacific enjoys fair weather, while the western tropical Pacific experiences heavy rainfall. When the Trade Winds weaken, as during an El Niño, climate conditions change. The central and eastern tropical Pacific receive substantial rainfall, while a lack of rain, or even a drought, characterizes the western tropical Pacific. This link between the Trade Winds and tropical rainfall is just one aspect of how the global climate system operates across vast distances. I Sign In after reading page 5 in your booklet. Your Teammates: Crew Name: Your Name: Your Role: Climate Variable Under Investigation: Observe the System ✔ Wind ❏ Clouds/Precipitation ❏ Currents ❏ Pressure ❏ after reading pages 6–8 in your booklet. 1. Identify three impacts of El Niño. 2. Identify the two dominant sea surface temperature (SST) features and explain how they evolve. 3. Describe the present sea surface temperature pattern. Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Wind Worksheet Establish a Hypothesis page 2 after reading page 8 in your booklet. What is your hypothesis? Collect and Analyze Data after reading pages 9–10 in your booklet. 1. Follow these basic steps to complete your investigation on Winds. Then, answer the questions below. Dr. Enso will give you all the detailed instructions you may need to complete your repor t. • Use the Instructional Terminal to watch four movies about Sur face Wind: Introduction: Describes the relationship between Trade Winds and climate system in the tropical Pacific. Development: Provides a brief introduction to the development of sur face winds. Wind Maps: Describes how sur face wind maps are developed and how they are interpreted. Wind Patterns: Illustrates how sur face wind patterns alter between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. • Use the Data Center to build a map of present sur face wind conditions. Sources for wind data include: satellite, buoys, ships of oppor tunity, the Glomar fleet, island stations, and on board the ship. • Use the Data Archive to analyze your wind map and compare it to historical maps. • Confirm or refute your hypothesis with your team. • Complete your repor t to Dr. Enso at the Com Center. 2. Describe the general direction of the winds in the western Pacific between 150˚ E–170˚ W. 3. How do the present surface wind conditions in this region compare to El Niño and non El Niño conditions? 4. If another ship in the fleet is studying pressure, see if your surface wind data are consistent with the pressure data. Why or why not? Submit Your Conclusions after reading page 11 in your booklet. 1. What is the present state of the climate system? 2. What evidence do you have to support your claim? 3. Does this claim support or refute your hypothesis? Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Clouds/Precipitation Worksheet Start Here page 1 after reading pages 3–4 in your booklet. Clouds/Precipitation and the Tropical Pacific n the 1930s, Sir Gilber t Walker obser ved that the wind and rainfall patterns of the tropical Pacific can change considerably from year to year. Most years, the western tropical Pacific receives abundant rainfall, the central Pacific receives moderate rainfall, and the coast of Peru remains dr y. Other years, when El Niño conditions set in, this rainfall pattern shifts eastward. Tall rain-producing clouds form in the central rather than western Pacific, causing shor tages of rain and sometimes even drought in par ts of the western Pacific. At the same time, rainfall increases dramatically in the central and sometimes eastern Pacific. In French Polynesia, for example, hurricanes become more frequent. These changes in the cloud and precipitation patterns are a result of changes in the winds and currents that occur when El Niño conditions develop. I Sign In after reading page 5 in your booklet. Your Teammates: Crew Name: Your Name: Your Role: Climate Variable Under Investigation: Observe the System ✔ Clouds/Precipitation ❏ Currents ❏ Pressure ❏ Wind ❏ after reading pages 6–8 in your booklet. 1. Identify three impacts of El Niño. 2. Identify the two dominant sea surface temperature (SST) features and explain how they evolve. 3. Describe the present sea surface temperature pattern. Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc. Clouds/Precipitation Worksheet Establish a Hypothesis page 2 after reading page 8 in your booklet. What is your hypothesis? Collect and Analyze Data after reading pages 9–10 in your booklet. 1. Follow these basic steps to complete your investigation on Clouds/Precipitation. Then, answer the questions below. Dr. Enso will give you all the detailed instructions you may need to complete your repor t. • Use the Instructional Terminal to watch three movies about Clouds/Precipitation: Introduction: Describes how cloud and rainfall patterns in the tropical Pacific var y between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Uses cloud type to describe climate changes. Precipitation Index Maps: Describes how precipitation index maps are developed and how they are interpreted. Patterns: Describes how precipitation patterns change between non El Niño and El Niño conditions. Uses maps of the precipitation index to illustrate differences. • Use the Data Center to build a map of the precipitation index for the Pacific Ocean. Sources for precipitation index data include: satellite, ships of oppor tunity, the Glomar fleet, island stations, and on board the ship. • Use the Data Archive to analyze your precipitation index map and compare it to historical maps. • Confirm or refute your hypothesis with your team. • Complete your repor t to Dr. Enso at the Com Center. 2. Describe the overall precipitation patterns of the tropical Pacific. 3. How do the present patterns compare to El Niño and non El Niño conditions? 4. If another ship in the fleet is studying currents, see if your precipitation index data are consistent with the currents data. Why or why not? Submit Your Conclusions after reading page 11 in your booklet. 1. What is the present state of the climate system? 2. What evidence do you have to support your claim? 3. Does this claim support or refute your hypothesis? Permission granted to copy for classroom use only. © Planet Earth Science, Inc.