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Econ Dept, UMR Presents The Demand Side of the Market Starring u Utility Theory u Consumer Surplus u Elasticity Featuring uThe MU/P Rule uThe Meaning of Value uFour Elasticities: vPrice Elasticity of Demand vIncome Elasticity vCross Price Elasticity vPrice Elasticity of Supply uThe Elasticity-TR Relationship In Three Parts Consumer Choice Theory Consumer Surplus Elasticity A. Price Elasticity of Demand B. Other Important Elasticities Part 3 Elasticity Measures of Response Consumers and producers move along their demand and supply curves when the price of the good changes QUESTION: HOW CAN WE PREDICT THE MAGNITUDE OF THESE REACTIONS? Demand and supply curves shift when factors other than price change in the marketplace QUESTION: HOW CAN WE PREDICT THE MAGNITUDE OF THESE REACTIONS? ANSWER: ELASTICITIES!! A Generic Definition of Elasticity uY = f(x) u Elasticity, ,, = %∆y/%∆ x, where ∆ is read “change in” u %∆Y = (∆y/y)*100; %∆X = (∆ x/x)*100 u (∆Y/y)/(∆x/x), or u [(∆Y/∆x)/(x/y)] u In words, elasticity gives us the estimated percentage change in one variable, y, in response to a percentage change in another variable, x, c.P Generic Interpretation of Elasticity u, = %∆Y/%∆x = 2 v This means if x were to change by 1 percent we would expect y to change by 2 percent in the same direction, c.p. u, = %∆Y/%∆x = - 2 v This means if x were to change by 1 percent we would expect y to change by 2 percent in the opposite direction, c.p. Rewriting the Formula for Elasticity u, = %∆Y/%∆x u Percentage change, %∆y = (∆ y/y)*100 v E.G., Percentage change from 50 to 100 is change (= +50), divided by the base (=100) times 100 = (50/100)* 100 = 50% v Since the numerator and denominator have 100, they cancel, and u, = %∆Y/%∆x = (∆y/y)*(∆x/x) or u, = (∆Y/∆x)*(x/y) u It’s this last formula that is most convenient to use as we see later Some Important Elasticities u Price elasticity of demand %∆ in QD ∆QD = ,D = %∆ in P ∆P P Q u Cross price elasticity of demand %∆ in D1 ,D1,P2 = %∆ in P = 2 ∆D1 P2 ∆ P2 D1 u Income elasticity ,I = %∆ in D = %∆ in I ∆D I ∆I D u Price elasticity of supply ,S = %∆ in QS = %∆ in P ∆QS P ∆P Q This Slide Show Discusses Price Elasticity of Demand u Other Elasticities are discussed in slide show III.B. Price Elasticity of Demand Measures How Responsive Consumers Are to Changes in the Price of a Product Demand u We know, from the law of demand, that price and quantity demanded are inversely related u Now, we are going to get more specific in defining that relationship u We want to know just how much will quantity demanded change when price changes? That is what elasticity of demand measures Price Elasticity of Demand elasticity of demand (,D) measures the responsiveness of QD of a good to a change in its P u Price %∆ In QD ,D = %∆ in P v Note that ∆ means “change” v u Also note that the law of demand implies ∆QD ∆P is negative. Our definition of ,D includes a negative sign, so ,D will always be a positive number (I know its confusing but …) Ambiguity of the Sign of ,D economists define ,D with a negative sign, that’s what we do u Some economists leave the negative sign out of the formula and then talk about about the absolute value of ,D u Some economists are just sloppy and talk of negative ,D sometimes and positive sometimes u Regardless the interpretation is the same: u Some v If ,D = 2 or -2 the meaning is clear, a 10% change in price is expected to change quantity demanded in the opposite direction by 20% Calculating Elasticity of Demand Consider the following Demand Curve: QD = 16 - 2P P 6 5 2 1 0 D 4 6 12 14 16 Q/t Calculating Elasticity P A 6 …and let’s say we want to find the Elasticity of Demand at point A Notice the slope of the demand curve, )P/)Q, = -1/2 5 2 1 0 D 4 6 Q/t Calculating Elasticity u We know %∆ in QD ∆Q = ,D = %∆ in P ∆P P Q u %∆ Can be calculated as the change divided by starting point u In this case, ∆Q D/)P is -2 (the inverse of the slope of the demand curve) u P/Q is 6/4 (we use the initial P and Q as our base u,D = - (-2)(6/4) = 3 Calculating Elasticity P A 6 Now, let’s find the Elasticity of Demand at point C 5 C 2 1 0 D 4 12 Q/t Calculating Elasticity u Again, %∆ in QD ∆Q = ,D = %∆ in P ∆P P Q u ∆QD/∆P is still -2 (the inverse of the slope of the demand curve) u P/Q is 2/12 (again use the initial P and Q as the base u,D = - (-2)(2/12) = 1/3 Calculating Elasticity u Note that ,D is different at different places along the curve v Specifically, it gets smaller as you move down the curve u Note that elasticity and slope are NOT the same thing Calculating Elasticity Using the Demand Equation u QD = 16 - 2p u The parameter attached to price is ∆QD/∆P, here = -2 u The negative sign in the price elasticity formula makes - 2 equal to 2 u Select any price and find , D v For example at P = 7, Q D v ,D = 2(7/2) = 7 =2 How Do We Interpret Price Elasticity of Demand? u The number we get from computing the elasticity is a percentage - there are no units u We can read it as the percentage change in quantity for a 1% change in price How Do We Interpret Price Elasticity of Demand? u Thus, if ,D = 2, that means that at that point on the demand curve, a 1% change in price will cause a 2% change in quantity demanded in the opposite direction. Or if we extrapolate, a 2% increase in price will cause a 4% decrease in quantity demanded, c.p. Extreme Cases of ,D u Perfectly inelastic ,D = -%∆ In QD %∆ in P v ,D = 0 %∆ in P v = 0 ,D u No matter how much price changes, consumers purchase the same amount of the good v No example exists according to the law of demand, but things like insulin have an elasticity that is pretty large v Perfectly Inelastic, ,D = 0 P 0 Perfectly Inelastic Q/t Extremes Cases of,D u Perfectly elastic v v v u ,D = - %∆ In Q D %∆ in P ,D = -%∆ In Q D %∆ in P ,D = ∞ ∞ 0 No matter how little the price changes, consumer purchases drop to zero, or expand to infinity v As with perfectly inelastic demand no example exists according to the law of demand, but we have use for the concept of perfectly elastic when we look at the behavior of firms Perfectly Elastic, ,D = ∞ P Perfectly Elastic 0 Q/t Empirical Estimates of ,D u 0 < ,d < u If 0 < ,D v < 1 we say demand is price inelastic Any % change in P leads to a smaller % change in QD u If ,D v ∞ = 1 we say demand is unitary elastic Any % change in P leads to the same % change in QD u If 1< ,D < v ∞ we say demand is price elastic Any % change in P leads to a larger % change in QD The Following Categories Help to Describe Consumer Responsiveness: u If the elasticity coefficient is less than 1 demand is inelastic. Consumers are relatively unresponsive to price changes. u If the elasticity coefficient is greater than 1 demand is elastic. Consumers are relatively responsive to price changes. u If the elasticity coefficient is equal to 1, demand is unitary elastic. Generalizing About Elasticity u Notice that the vertical D curve has an elasticity of zero and the flat D curve has an elasticity of infinity u As the demand curve goes from vertical to horizontal the elasticity goes from 0 to infinity u Unfortunately, we can’t say the flatter the demand curve, the greater the elasticity Linear Demand Curves Have Elastic, Unitary, and Inelastic Regions P 10 ,D = ∞ ELASTIC ,D > 1 int o p Mid 5 UNITARY ELASTIC ,D = 1 INELASTIC ,D < 1 D 7 ,D = 0 14 Q/t Now that you can calculate the price elasticity of demand, what would you use it for? Why Would a Business Firm Need to Calculate Them, and How Would the Firm Use the Information? There Is an Important Relationship Between Price Elasticity of Demand and Total Revenues: u When demand is inelastic, price and total revenues are directly related. Price increases generate higher revenues. u When demand is elastic, price and total revenues are indirectly related. Price increases generate lower revenues. Total Revenue u Total revenue = P*Q u The firm is interested in how TR (total revenue) changes as p and q change Total Revenue Calculation Example u Price $1 QD = 100 v TR = $100 u Price $5 QD = 90 v TR = $450 u Price $5 QD = 10 v TR = $ 50 u Price $5 QD = 20 v TR = $100 Total Revenue and Elasticity u Let’s say demand is inelastic. Then if the firm raises prices 10%, the sales will drop by less than 10%: (%∆QD < %∆P) u In other words, the gain in revenue from higher prices is greater than the loss in revenue from lost sales.Therefore, total revenue will rise Total Revenue and Elasticity u If they lowered prices, though, the loss of revenue from higher prices would be greater than the gain from increased sales, so total revenue will fall Total Revenue and Elasticity u Let’s say demand is elastic. Then if the firm raises prices 10%, the sales will drop by more than 10% (%∆QD > %∆P) in other words, the gain in revenue from higher prices is less than the loss in revenue from lost sales.Therefore, total revenue will fall Total Revenue and Elasticity u If they lowered prices, though, the loss of revenue from higher prices would be less than the gain in revenue from increased sales, so total revenue will rise Total Revenue and Demand u So we can look at what happens to total revenue as we move down a demand curve u As we move down a demand curve we know that we start off elastic and as we lower price we get less and less elastic (but total revenue rises, since it is elastic) until we hit the point that we are inelastic and then as we continue to lower price, total revenue falls Total Revenue and Demand $ Elastic Elasticity = 1 Inelastic Demand Q/t $ Total Revenue Q/t Total Revenue Test u If P and total revenue move together v Demand is inelastic u If P and TR move in opposite directions v Demand is elastic u If changes in P doesn’t change TR v Demand is unitary elastic TR and Farm Revenue u In 1988, wheat farmers experienced the worst drought since the 1930s u Estimates of the price elasticity of demand for wheat range from 0.3 to 0.7 u Due to the poor harvest, supply decreased by 14% u What happened to wheat price? $2.57 in 1987 and $3.72 in 1988, a 45% increase v The implied , D = 14/45 = 0.31 v u What happened to total revenue? v It increased (of course for farmers whose crops were wiped out, their TR fell) Notice that this gives the firm information that it can use to establish pricing policy. Now...What Factors Help to Determine Price Elasticity of Demand? Determinants Of Price Elasticity Of Demand Availability of substitutes -- demand is more elastic when there are more substitutes for the product. u Importance of the item in the budget -demand is more elastic when the item is a more significant portion of the consumer’s budget. u Time frame -- demand becomes more elastic over time. u Determinants of ,D u Availability of substitutes v As there are more substitutes, demand is more elastic (and vice versa) u Example: v Insulin has no substitutes if diabetic and demand is very inelastic v Kroger brand cola has many substitutes and hence, demand is very elastic Determinants of ,D u Amount of consumers budget v The less expensive a good is as a fraction of our total budget, the more inelastic the demand for the good is (and vice versa) u Example: v Price of cars go up 10% (from $20,000 to $22,000) v Price of soda goes up 10% (from $0.50 to $0.55) v Demand is more effected by the price of cars increasing Determinants of ,D u Time v The longer the time frame is, the more elastic the demand for a good (and vice versa) u Example - price of gasoline increases v Immediately: can’t do much, still need to get to work, school, etc v Short-run: find a car pool, ride bike, etc v Long-run: next car you buy uses less gas Some Estimates of ,D : Short * and Long Run Short Run Long Run Cigarettes Water Physicians’ services Gasoline Automobiles Chevrolets Electricity, h’hold Air Travel ----0.6 0.2 ----0.1 0.1 0.35 0.4 --0.5 to 1.5 1.5 4.0 1.9 2.4 * The long run is a period so full adjustment occurs. Elasticity estimates are reported by Browning, et.al., Microeconomic Theory,5th ed., 1996 The End Check out other elasticities in III.b.