* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Economics - University of London International Programmes
Ragnar Nurkse's balanced growth theory wikipedia , lookup
Economic planning wikipedia , lookup
Non-monetary economy wikipedia , lookup
Business cycle wikipedia , lookup
Economics of fascism wikipedia , lookup
Steady-state economy wikipedia , lookup
Participatory economics wikipedia , lookup
Criticisms of socialism wikipedia , lookup
Post–World War II economic expansion wikipedia , lookup
Economic democracy wikipedia , lookup
Production for use wikipedia , lookup
Perspectives on capitalism by school of thought wikipedia , lookup
International Foundation Programme Foundation course: Economics James Abdey and Derek Gibson FP0002 2015 This guide was prepared for the University of London International Programmes by: J. Abdey, The London School of Economics and Political Science D. Gibson, The London School of Economics and Political Science This is one of a series of subject guides published by the University. We regret that due to pressure of work the authors are unable to enter into any correspondence relating to, or arising from, the guide. If you have any comments on this subject guide, favourable or unfavourable, please use the online form found on the virtual learning environment. University of London International Programmes Publications Office Stewart House 32 Russell Square London WC1B 5DN United Kingdom www.londoninternational.ac.uk Published by: University of London © University of London 2015 The University of London asserts copyright over all material in this subject guide except where otherwise indicated. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher. We make every effort to respect copyright. If you think we have inadvertently used your copyright material, please let us know. Cover image © Ocean/Corbis ECONOMICS i Contents Introduction to the course............................................................................1 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics Introduction to Unit 1......................................................................................................................7 Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought..........................................................9 Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it....................................................................................15 Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier............................................................21 Test your knowledge and understanding........................................................................30 Concluding comments................................................................................................................32 A reminder of your learning outcomes ............................................................................32 Unit 2: Competitive markets Introduction to Unit 2...................................................................................................................33 Section 2.1: Demand and supply..........................................................................................35 Section 2.2: Equilibrium and the price mechanism...................................................44 Section 2.3: Elasticities..................................................................................................................52 Section 2.4: Consumer and producer surplus, tax and social welfare............58 Test your knowledge and understanding........................................................................65 Concluding comments................................................................................................................66 A reminder of your learning outcomes ............................................................................66 Unit 3: Market failure and government intervention Introduction to Unit 3...................................................................................................................67 Section 3.1: Reasons for market failure..............................................................................69 Section 3.2: Externalities..............................................................................................................74 Section 3.3: Government intervention...............................................................................79 Test your knowledge and understanding........................................................................87 Concluding comments................................................................................................................88 A reminder of your learning outcomes ............................................................................88 Unit 4: Managing the economy Introduction to Unit 4...................................................................................................................89 Section 4.1: Aggregate demand and aggregate supply.........................................92 Section 4.2: Economic growth................................................................................................99 Section 4.3: Unemployment and inflation....................................................................103 Section 4.4: Fiscal and monetary policies......................................................................109 Contents Section 4.5: The international economy........................................................................113 Test your knowledge and understanding.....................................................................118 Concluding comments.............................................................................................................119 A reminder of your learning outcomes .........................................................................119 Unit 5: Development and sustainability Introduction to Unit 5................................................................................................................120 Section 5.1: Measures of economic development..................................................122 Section 5.2: Why are some nations poor and others rich?.................................126 Section 5.3: Foreign aid, poverty and sustainability................................................130 Test your knowledge and understanding.....................................................................134 Concluding comments.............................................................................................................135 A reminder of your learning outcomes .........................................................................135 Unit 6: The recent financial and economic crisis Introduction to Unit 6................................................................................................................136 Section 6.1: Causes of the crisis...........................................................................................138 Section 6.2: Consequences of the crisis and possible cures..............................145 Test your knowledge and understanding.....................................................................150 Concluding comments.............................................................................................................151 A reminder of your learning outcomes .........................................................................151 Appendix 1: Sample examination paper.............................................. 152 Appendix 2: Glossary................................................................................ 154 ii Introduction to the course 1 Introduction to the course Route map to the guide 2 Syllabus 2 Aims of the course 4 Learning outcomes for the course 4 Overview of learning resources 4 Examination advice 6 © University of London 2015 Introduction to the course Route map to the guide Congratulations on embarking on this foundation course offering you an opportunity to gain a proper insight into economics. Economics, at its very heart, is the study of people. It seeks to explain what drives human behaviour, decisions and reactions when faced with difficulties or successes. Economics is a discipline which combines politics, sociology, psychology and history. Historically, economists have been criticised for making unrealistic assumptions about human behaviour. The main ‘sin’ is the creation of homo economicus – rational and narrowly selfinterested individuals. Of course, many people do not fit this description. Some donate blood or bone marrow to strangers; others vote or give money to charity. But still, most economic models take rationality for granted. Is there anything wrong with this assumption? Here is the first lesson you will learn: models are like maps, because they are largely simplified and are often not ideal representations of reality. Even though they are only symbolic depictions, their main role is to highlight important relationships between various spatial elements. In the same manner, the intention of the self-interest model is only to capture an aspect of human behaviour, albeit an important one. The simplifications made are necessary and cannot be avoided for practical reasons. However, as long as the conclusions we derive are applicable, and are seen to be effective, the simplification of reality is justified. This subject guide has 20 sections divided into six units. Units 1 and 2 focus on microeconomics (the branch of economics that includes the behaviour of individual firms and consumers). Units 3, 4 and 5 concentrate on macroeconomics (the branch of economics which studies the performance of the economy as a whole). Finally, Unit 6 describes and explains the recent financial and economic crisis. Throughout this subject guide, you are presented with activities which will help monitor your progress. You should attempt all of them – reading and researching widely. Remember, the more involved you are in the course, the better you will do in your final examination. At the end of each unit, there is a ‘Test your knowledge and understanding’ section. This is specifically aimed at preparing you for the examination. All questions in these sections are of examination style and level of difficulty. There is also a full Sample examination paper at the end of the subject guide. You will be instructed to read certain sections of a textbook at the beginning of each section. The virtual learning environment (VLE) also contains additional readings, extracts from media sources and other resources, and, very importantly, solutions to activities and extra worked examples. You are recommended to visit the VLE on a regular basis. Syllabus The course is divided into six units, each of them further divided into two to five smaller sections. You should be aware, however, that they are not mutually exclusive, that is the sections do not cover completely separate issues, and you will soon start to find links between them. The best way to study is to work through the subject guide starting with Unit 1, as each subsequent unit builds on everything else covered before. Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics. This unit provides a broad introduction to the study of economics and its main lines of inquiry. The focus is mainly on the basic economic problem of choice and scarcity, and the concept of opportunity cost. You are required to use standard production possibility frontiers to illustrate simple applications of the problem to various real-life situations. Unit 2: Competitive markets. This unit examines how the price mechanism allocates resources in different markets through the demand and supply model. It introduces the concepts of elasticities and social welfare. You should be able to use the model to illustrate changes in factors influencing the price of commodities (for example, consumer tastes and cost of production). 2 Introduction to the course 3 Unit 3: Market failure and government intervention. This unit considers a range of reasons why market forces may not be able to allocate resources efficiently. These include externalities, public goods, asymmetric information, factor immobility and market power. It examines possible government interventions and critically assesses their effectiveness. The unit is taught mainly through specific case studies (for example, pollution and congestion charges). Unit 4: Managing the economy. This unit provides an introduction to key measures of economic performance and the main objectives and tools of economic policy. A basic model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply is used to represent unemployment and inflation, as well as the effectiveness of government interventions. Unit 5: Development and sustainability. This unit focuses on the meaning and measures of economic development (for example, the Human Development Index and Gross Domestic Product per capita). You should be able to identify common and diverse features of both developed and developing economies, as well as understand why development must be sustainable. Unit 6: The recent financial and economic crisis. This unit introduces you to the recent financial and economic crisis, outlining its causes, consequences and possible cures. You are not required to have extensive background knowledge of the crisis, although a basic understanding of the crisis is helpful. Week Unit 1 1: The nature and scope of economics 2 3 4 2: Competitive markets Section Introduction to the course 1.1: A brief history of economic thought 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it 1.3: The production possibility frontier 2.1: Demand and supply 5 2.2: Equilibrium and the price mechanism 6 2.3:Elasticities 7 2.4: Consumer and producer surplus, tax and social welfare 3.1: Reasons for market failure 8 9 3: Market failure and government intervention 3.3: Government intervention 10 11 3.2:Externalities 4: Managing the economy 4.1: Aggregate demand and aggregate supply 12 4.2: Economic growth 13 4.3: Unemployment and inflation 14 4.4: Fiscal and monetary policies 15 4.5: The international economy 16 5: Development and sustainability 5.1: Measures of economic development 17 5.2: Why are some nations poor and others rich? 18 5.3: Foreign aid, poverty and sustainability 19 20 6: The recent financial and economic crisis 6.1: Causes of the crisis 6.2: Consequences of the crisis and possible cures Introduction to the course Aims of the course This course aims to: introduce you to a range of key issues and questions at the centre of the study of economics appreciate how economics contributes to the understanding of the wider economic and social environment develop an understanding of current economic affairs and the role of institutions which affect everyday life provide tools which support you in critical evaluation of economic models and methods of inquiry select, interpret, analyse and evaluate appropriate data from a range of different sources and understand the relationship between data, decisions of economic agents and policy formation. Learning outcomes for the course At the end of this course, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: demonstrate familiarity with key economic concepts use a range of simple microeconomic and macroeconomic models to predict market behaviour and analyse current economic affairs provide reasons for, and explain the implications of, market failure and the impact and effectiveness of government policies contrast and assess different approaches to the same economic problem interpret data presented in different forms, carry out simple calculations and construct diagrams describe measures of economic development explain possible causes and remedies of the recent financial and economic crisis. Overview of learning resources The subject guide gives you an overview of the issues discussed and will help you to understand the main ideas – you should always refer to it first. Essential reading Once you have read the subject guide, you should deepen your knowledge by reading relevant sections from the following textbooks: Anderton, A. A Level Economics student book. (Harlow: Causeway Press, 2008) fifth edition [ISBN 9781405892353]. Gillespie, A. AS & A Level Economics through diagrams. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009) [ISBN 9780199180899]. Further reading The following texts, although not compulsory, can help you gain more knowledge of economics as a whole. If you have time, you may want to read some of the following: Davies, H. The financial crisis – Who is to blame? (Cambridge: Polity, 2010) [ISBN 9780745651644]. 4 Introduction to the course Frank, R.H. The economic naturalist: Why Economics explains almost everything. (New York: Virgin Books, 2008) [ISBN 9780753513385]. This can be found online and the link will be posted on the VLE. Harford, T. The undercover economist. (London: Abacus, 2007) [ISBN 9780349119854]. Jevons, M. The fatal equilibrium. (New York: Ballantine Books Inc, 2000) [ISBN 9780345331588]. Klein, G. and Y. Bauman The cartoon introduction to Economics, Volume I: Microeconomics. (New York: Hill and Wang, 2010) [ISBN 9780809094813]. Klein, G. and Y. Bauman The cartoon introduction to Economics, Volume II: Macroeconomics. (New York: Hill and Wang, 2012) [ISBN 9780809033614]. Krugman, P. End this depression now! (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 2013) [ISBN 9780393345087]. Levitt S.D. and S.J. Dubner Freakonomics: A rogue economist explores the hidden side of everything. (London: Penguin, 2007) first edition [ISBN 9780141019017]. Levitt S.D. and S.J. Dubner Superfreakonomics: Global cooling, patriotic prostitutes and why suicide bombers should buy life insurance. (London: Penguin, 2010) [ISBN 9780141030708]. Sloman, J. and D. Garratt Essentials of Economics. (Harlow: Prentice Hall, 2009) fifth edition [ISBN 9780273722519]. In addition, you could also benefit from browsing the following web links: www.anforme.co.uk – provider of online educational resources. www.bankofengland.co.uk – central bank of the United Kingdom. www.bbc.co.uk/news – BBC news website. www.bized.co.uk – provider of online educational resources. www.economist.com – weekly newspaper with economic and socially liberal views. www.edexcel.org.uk – education and examination board. www.guardian.co.uk – left-of-centre newspaper www.oecd.org – Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. www.philipallan.co.uk – publisher and conference provider. www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk – United Kingdom Statistics Authority www.telegraph.co.uk – right-of-centre newspaper. www.treasury.gov.uk – HM Treasury. www.tutor2u.net – provider of online educational resources. Accessing the Student Portal and the virtual learning environment Any course updates, solutions to activities, video tutorials and links to online readings are posted here. You should check it on a regular basis. To manage all of your student administrative processes you will need to log in to the Student Portal via: http://my.londoninternational.ac.uk You should have received your login details for the Student Portal with your official offer, which was emailed to the address that you gave on your application form. You have probably already logged in to the Student Portal in order to register. As soon as you register, you will automatically be granted access to the VLE, Online Library and your fully functional University of London email account. If you have forgotten these login details, please click on the ‘Forgotten your password’ link on the login page. 5 Introduction to the course In order to access your learning materials for each course, you can click on the VLE tab within the Student Portal or login to the VLE directly via: https://ifp.elearning.london.ac.uk/ Examination advice Important: the information and advice given in the following section are based on the examination structure used at the time this subject guide was written. We strongly advise you to check both the current Regulations for relevant information about the examination and the VLE where you should be advised of any forthcoming changes. You should also carefully check the rubric/instructions on the paper you actually sit and follow those instructions. You may think it is too early to think about your examination, but you could not be further from the truth! The year will pass quickly, and without even realising it you will soon be only a few weeks away from your final test – a two-hour unseen written examination. The examination will seek to test the following specific areas and skills: 1. subject knowledge 2. ability to respond to, and apply economic knowledge/theory, to data provided 3. ability to consider at length a particular area of economics and then to write an answer in a coherent and structured way. Your answer must include knowledge, analysis and judgements based upon an objective review of the evidence presented. It must clearly consider different perspectives. Economics cannot be learned by heart through memorisation. It must be understood and this is a gradual process that takes both time and effort. Here are a few useful study tips to help you prepare for the final assessment: Be systematic – do not leave all the work until the last moment. It is impossible to squeeze the whole course into one month before the examination. Neither is it possible to do well by learning only selected topics. Remember that all units are interrelated. The examination consists of questions of similar difficulty to activities in this subject guide and it tests your knowledge of the course material, your analytical skills and your ability to apply tools learned in the course to real-life situations. Therefore, the best way is to regularly complete the activities. You will not learn simply by accessing the answers before you try the questions on your own! Graphs are essential – the best way to learn is to draw them several times. Mind maps and revision sheets – after each unit create a mind map or a revision sheet that highlights the most important ideas that you have learned so far. Do not rewrite the whole book – a summary should be short and informative. Doing this will save you a lot of time when revising for the final examination. Glossary – definitions in economics are very important. You may want to learn some of these by heart, but it is always more useful to try to explain the concepts using your own words. As there are many new terms to learn, you are advised to review the glossary at the end of the subject guide. Last, but not least, here is a little secret about economics – it’s not all that complicated. It’s really all about us and our behaviour. With this subject guide, you will very soon discover how exciting and universal it is. Good luck! 6 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 7 Introduction to Unit 1 Overview of the unit 8 Aims 8 Learning outcomes 8 Essential reading 8 Further reading 8 References cited 8 © University of London 2015 Introduction to Unit 1 8 Overview of the unit This unit begins with an introduction to the history of the development of economic thought. We do not expect you to be completely familiar with every topic, but an appreciation of the historical background is beneficial. The second section highlights the fundamental problem which economics seeks to answer: how can infinite wants be reconciled with finite resources? The final section illustrates the concept of opportunity cost and the idea of the optimum use of resources. Week Unit 1 1: The nature and scope of economics 2 3 Section Introduction to the course 1.1: A brief history of economic thought 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it 1.3: The production possibility frontier Aims This unit aims to: provide you with a general overview of the history of economic thought introduce you to the concepts of the basic economic problem and opportunity cost provide you with tools which support the critical evaluation of the productive capacity of a given economy. Learning outcomes By the end of this unit, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: define the concepts of the basic economic problem, scarcity, efficiency, opportunity cost and specialisation explain what is meant by the production possibility frontier and analyse its position and shape critically assess the advantages and disadvantages of the division of labour. Essential reading Anderton (2008) Units 1 and 2. Attempt all questions in these units. Gillespie (2009) pp. 4–5. Further reading Frank, R.H. The economic naturalist: why economics explains almost everything. (London: Virgin Books, 2008) Introduction. References cited Galbraith, J.K. The affluent society. (London: Penguin, 1999) fifth revised edition [ISBN 9780140285192]. ‘Kodak is at death’s door; Fujifilm, its old rival, is thriving. Why?’, The Economist, 14 January 2012. Kuran, T. Islam and Mammon. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2005) [ISBN 97806911262996]. The Economist Pocket World in Figures. (London: Economist Books, 2012) [ISBN 9781846684739]. Note: this publication is updated annually. Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 9 Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought Introduction 10 Ancient 10 Classical 11 Modern 12 Schools of economic thought 13 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought Introduction You might never have studied economics before or know much about it. Yet it is all around you physically and all about you specifically. It tries to illustrate and explain human behaviour when faced with all sorts of challenges. Before we start our analysis of contemporary issues, however, it is important to know about the history of the subject. As Lionel Robbins, former head of the Department of Economics at the London School of Economics and Political Science used to say, in order to be a respectable and educated economist, one needs to have at least some knowledge of the history of economic thought. To make his point even clearer, he often quoted historian Mark Pattison: ‘a man who does not know what has been thought by those who have gone before him is sure to set an undue value upon his own ideas’. It is no secret that the British economist John Maynard Keynes, who is considered to be one of the most influential economists of the 20th century, and other great minds, also shared such a view. It is virtually impossible to fully understand current developments without understanding past affairs. And so, by way of introduction, let us offer you a brief journey back in time. For simplicity, we have subdivided the time periods into ‘Ancient’, ‘Classical’ and ‘Modern’. Ancient Economic thought originated in Ancient Greece in the third century BC from the writings of two eminent moral philosophers – Plato and Aristotle. Plato was a multitalented student of Socrates (a Classical Greek philosopher who formalised the concepts that are today known as the ‘scientific method’, i.e. the setting and testing of hypotheses using an experiment) who founded the first higher education institution in the Western world (the Academy in Athens). He was also the most influential author of the period. In one of his works, Republic, Plato attempted to describe the necessary conditions for the ideal state to exist. He was mainly concerned with the efficient organisation of a society which requires its members to focus on the activities for which they are most suited. In other words, Plato was the first to describe the need for, and the benefits of, the division of labour. Although he recognised the important role of trade, his views were rather socialist. Goods could be bought and sold, for example, but he believed that property should be divided equally between all members of society. Aristotle (Plato’s student) strongly disagreed with this view. According to him, private ownership was a much better concept than the idea of common value. He argued that goods are better cared for when property rights are clearly allocated and owners profit from their wealth. Aristotle also widely discussed household management as well as the origins and superiority of money as opposed to the old system of barter: Money is a sort of medium or mean; for it measures everything and consequently measures among other things excess or deficit, for example the number of shoes which are equivalent to a house or a meal. As a builder then is to a cobbler, so must so many shoes be to a house or a meal; for otherwise there would be no exchange or association. But this will be impossible, unless the shoes and the house or meal are in some sense equalised. Therefore, the aforementioned necessity of a single universal standard of measurement arises. This standard is in actuality the demand for mutual services, which holds society together. Aristotle, 1948, p.27 Until the 18th century, this was the most concise piece of writing describing the function of money. 10 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought Thomas Aquinas was a Catholic priest who lived in the 13th century. His main contribution to the history of economic thought is his long discussion on the ‘just price’. According to St Thomas, a fair price should be a common valuation and reflect the costs of production (especially those of labour). The ideas expressed by him come close to what is now called ‘perfect competition’. St Bernardino of Siena, and other subsequent scholars, focused on the exchange of goods and contracts that should be made between parties. According to St Bernardino, value (and therefore price) should be determined by the object’s: usefulness scarcity desirability. Classical Sir William Petty, the 17th-century founder of systematic statistics (also called political arithmetic) is also of interest. Petty travelled across the United Kingdom collecting data on regional mortality rates, soil conditions and other economic indicators. It is thanks to him that we know so much about standards of living at that time. His most noteworthy achievement is his superior insight into taxes and the need for common contributions to secure funds for public spending. If you have time, we also recommend that you acquaint yourself with Richard Cantillon. Cantillon was an Irish banker who believed that the existence of banks not only made money circulate faster, but also rationalised and formalised it. He was the first to discuss the mechanism of market prices which change with fluctuations in demand and supply for goods and services. The discipline of systematic economics – in other words, the economics we study now – emerged in the 18th century. Our discussion starts with classical economics and its most prominent representative – Adam Smith. Smith is often referred to as the ‘father of modern economics’. Born in 1723, the Scottish philosopher is best remembered for the idea of the ‘invisible hand’ (where the interaction of supply and demand would bring about equilibrium price and output, without the intervention of any individual trader) mentioned in his most popular work, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776). Interestingly, Smith would not have recognised the word ‘economics’; his study would have been described as ‘political economy’, reflecting the idea that political and social factors also contribute to material welfare. He argues that rational, self-interested homo economicus and tough competition lead to more economic prosperity without the need for external intervention or regulation. It is, therefore, the forces of demand and supply that guide the actions of individuals. In other words, if every individual is allowed to follow his or her own self-interest, the interest of society as a whole is maximised. This is sometimes referred to by using the French phrase ‘laissez-faire’, in other words, non-intervention (a rough translation is ‘let it be’ or ‘leave it alone’). An important part of his work is also a discussion of the division of labour which inevitably gives rise to economic growth. Apart from his great mind, Smith is also remembered as an eccentric absent-minded professor who never married. Although there is a general consensus that his lectures were long and boring, his students loved him. There are many anecdotes about his unusual behaviour and, if you are interested in learning more, we recommend reading his biography (and do not miss the account of his last lecture before he retired). No one knows how much truth is in all of these stories as Smith asked for his personal papers to be destroyed upon his death. Fortunately, two copies of detailed students’ notes of Smith’s lectures survived and they provide an invaluable insight into his teaching. There is no doubt that Adam Smith is the father of free-market economics, the principle upon which most of modern economics is based. 11 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought Another figure worth mentioning is Thomas Malthus, the co-founder of the famous Political Economy Club in London. He was not the first person to write about the issue of increasing population size, but he was the one with the most original views: ‘The power of population [to increase] is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce substance for man’ (Malthus, 1798). His concern was that a time would come when there would not be enough resources to feed all humans because population increases geometrically while food increases arithmetically. He therefore claimed that to avoid such a scenario the population size must be kept under strict control. Interestingly, Malthus’ theories convinced Charles Darwin of the correctness of the fundamental law of evolution. Malthus’ contemporary was another great economist, David Ricardo, who is best known for his law of comparative advantage. Ricardo proved that countries are better off if they specialise in the production of goods which they can produce with the lowest opportunity cost (the notion of opportunity cost is discussed in Section 1.2). Countries can then trade goods across borders – a win-win situation. Ricardo was one of the first economists to include complicated mathematical calculations in his publications. The development of economic thought in the 17th and 18th centuries mirrors the evolution of trade and the expansion of European empires (sometimes referred to as mercantilism). By the 19th century, with the advent of the Industrial Revolution, we see a change of focus towards capitalism, the role of the state and labour movements. Modern The end of the 19th century, and the early years of the 20th century, saw the collapse of Tsarist Russia. This overthrow was inspired by the writings of Karl Marx and implemented by Lenin. The revolution had been brought to a head by the disruption and losses of the First World War. Marx argued for the ‘dictatorship of the proletariat’ (i.e. that the factors of production should be brought under workers’ control, the profit motive should be abolished and that economic decisions on ‘what to produce, for whom it should be produced and how it should be produced’ should be decided by a central planning state authority). Communism was established in Russia after a bloody civil war and was exported worldwide following the Second World War. The Chinese Communist revolution established a new regime in 1948, and Chairman Mao Zedong applied socialist solutions to the country’s problems (the Cultural Revolution). These ‘solutions’ were applied stringently and harshly, causing widespread disruption, death and famine. Today’s China has adopted many market-economy features (with spectacular success), but it is still a state dominated by one political party and run by the Politburo (a committee of 25 leaders who meet frequently to guide and control policy). In this overview of historical figures in economics, we must not forget John Maynard Keynes whose ideas were in complete opposition to those of Adam Smith. Keynes believed that government intervention in the form of fiscal policy (tax changes) and direct investment must be used to control the economy. In his mind, the so-called ‘invisible hand’ advocated by Smith was not enough to control booms and busts of economic cycles. He was mostly concerned with the negative effects of prolonged unemployment (because he experienced the Great Depression of the 1930s) and much less with the costs of inflation. Keynes’ views are respected and his recommendations followed to this day. J.K. Galbraith, a 20th-century Canadian economist, who worked for most of his life in the USA, was a great spokesman and populariser of Keynesian principles. He was also a prolific author and teacher. One of his most widely-read books, The Affluent Society (1958), portrays modern economies as being influenced by big business, large labour unions and interventionist government. 12 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought Using the same concepts and language as Keynes, but opposed to his conclusions, was the American economist Milton Friedman. In the 1960s, he proposed an alternative macroeconomic policy known as monetarism. Friedman believed that the government’s main responsibility is to control the amount of money in circulation. If too much money is pumped into the economy, it will inevitably cause inflation (discussed in Section 4.3) which could have devastating consequences. Friedman also suggested that people base their spending decisions not on their current income, but rather on their anticipated lifetime wealth – known as the ‘permanent income hypothesis’. We should also mention the rise of Islamic economics in the 20th century – well documented by Timur Kuran in Islam and Mammon (2005). The basic premise of this movement is that Western capitalism has failed and that Islam offers the remedy. Such ideas have been heavily backed by Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Gulf states. Islamic economics bans the imposition of interest on loans, seeks to redistribute wealth more fairly through Zakāt taxation, and promotes a superior business ethic. Albeit briefly, we have introduced a few influential figures in the history of economics and we hope that this has given you some background that will prove helpful throughout the course. Schools of economic thought We conclude this introductory section with a discussion of some of the main ‘schools’ of economic thought, to which some of the figures mentioned above are associated. A ‘school’ does not necessarily refer to a single educational institution, but rather a set of beliefs held by a group of like-minded economists. Indeed, in our discussion of key influential figures in economics, we have seen that differences of opinion have been considerable. We now briefly consider some of the major schools of economic thought. Classical school Adam Smith, Robert Malthus and David Ricardo, among others, are linked with the Classical school – often held to be the first school of economic thought. The belief system of classical economists was that markets are most effective when free of government intervention. The laissez-faire view advocated the price mechanism to allocate resources efficiently to foster economic development. Economic value was based on scarcity and production costs. Self-adjustment mechanisms were assumed to always result in an economy achieving full employment. This period of economic thought endured until circa 1870. Neoclassical school The neoclassical school superseded classical economics. In short it involved a change in emphasis from the classical preoccupation with the source of wealth and its division to the ideas which govern the optimal allocation of scarce resources to particular wants. The doctrine is scientific in nature making use of assumptions and hypotheses to model the behaviour of firms and consumers. Neoclassical economists assume firms and consumers are both rational with firms seeking to maximise profit, while consumers look to maximise utility (that is, the satisfaction they obtain when consuming goods and services). The neoclassical school is also responsible for developing the use of ‘marginal analysis’ – the examination of the effects when an economic variable is changed by one unit. Much of microeconomics was developed by the neoclassical economist Alfred Marshall. Keynesian economics This economic doctrine is named, unsurprisingly, after John Maynard Keynes. Keynesian economists are sceptical of the ability of free markets to achieve full employment. Rather, Keynesians advocate state intervention through the use of macroeconomic policy, in particular 13 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.1: A brief history of economic thought fiscal policy (discussed in Section 4.4). From the 1920s, the Keynesian and neoclassical schools were deeply opposed to each other and such conflicts stimulated much economic debate which continues today as governments across the world seek to remedy the adverse effects of the recent financial and economic crisis (discussed in Unit 6). ACTIVITY Using material posted on the VLE and your own research, choose one of the following 19th- and 20th-century economists and prepare a 200-word summary, highlighting their contribution to economics and describing their effect on society: Karl Marx Friedrich von Hayek Paul Krugman. ACTIVITY Research some other schools of economic thought (for example, the Austrian school) and prepare a 100-word summary of each. 14 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 15 Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it Introduction 16 Scarcity of economic resources 16 Opportunity cost 17 Division of labour as an example of specialisation 18 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it Introduction In order to survive, human beings have basic needs which must be satisfied. We all need air, water, food, clothes and shelter. But do we really need multiple cars, villas with swimming pools and designer bags? Not really. Therefore, such kinds of goods are our wants, but not needs. As you have perhaps realised, human wants are infinite. We always want more food, a larger house, new clothes and faster cars. However, not all, if any, of our wants can be fully satisfied. There are never enough resources to give everyone everything that they want to have. Therefore, we need to make choices and decide how to allocate scarce resources between competing uses in the best possible way. This notion is referred to as the basic economic problem. Scarcity of economic resources There are four main economic resources (also called factors of production). If you remember your mathematics, the factors of the number 12 are 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 and 12 (i.e. they can be combined in a product to give the answer 12). In a similar fashion, the following are the factors of production, known as CELL for short: Capital – man-made assets, such as machinery or buildings. Entrepreneurship – the ability and originality to combine all factors of production to make profits. Many observers now include confidence as part of entrepreneurship. Land – all naturally occurring resources, such as soil, air, water, minerals, fauna and flora. Labour – people who provide physical and intellectual skills (human capital). Some resources are renewable (they can be replaced), others are not. Almost all resources, however, are limited (at least in the short term) – there is a finite amount of water, oil, land, coal, and so on. Economists therefore say that these resources are scarce. At any given time, there is only a certain amount that can be obtained. In a similar manner, if you want to buy a car, you can only purchase the one that you can afford. If the latest Ferrari is beyond your budget, you cannot have it. If a government wants to build new hospitals, it needs resources. If there is not enough money to fund them, no hospitals can be built. All goods that are scarce are called economic goods. But, as you have perhaps noticed by now, not all resources are limited. Take air as an example. There is more air than anyone could ever need. All goods that are infinite are called free goods. ACTIVITY Can you think of an example when air may become an economic good? What would need to happen? So far, we have established that the central economic problem of scarcity arises from infinite wants and finite resources. All societies have to deal with this issue; they differ, however, in the approaches that they adopt. The main difference comes from the degree of economic intervention and control over resources. We therefore distinguish between: free-market economies mixed economies centrally planned economies. In a free-market economy, resources are privately owned and therefore decentralised – decisions about what to produce, and in which quantities, are decided by the forces of supply and demand. Government intervention is minimal. Such minimised intervention can be observed in countries such as Malaysia and Thailand. However, the majority of developed countries (such as France or 16 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it Germany) can be classified as mixed economies, as their governments intervene to improve efficiency, correct market failures (for example, in the education or health sectors) or provide public goods, such as defence. In centrally-planned economies, all decisions are taken solely by the government. The price mechanism does not affect the allocation of resources. An extreme example of this would be Stalin’s rule of the former Soviet Union in the 1930s. In all systems, however, production decisions do not come without a cost. ACTIVITY Rank the following economies from the most centrally controlled to the least centrally controlled: Australia Canada Japan North Korea Sweden The UK. ACTIVITY How are resources allocated in a mixed economy? ACTIVITY Describe the main differences between free-market and centrally-planned economies. What problems might arise when planned economies embark on a transition towards a free-market economy? (See the VLE for some reference materials.) Opportunity cost Economists think about costs in a slightly different way to most people. They use the term ‘opportunity cost’ – the cost of the best alternative forgone. It is a cost associated with engaging in a certain activity evaluated as the value of everything else you must give up in order to pursue it. Every day, we face the same problem – what to do with our time. An hour has only 60 minutes and there are exactly 24 hours in a day. The average life expectancy of a British male is 78 years, slightly more for a British female, at 82 (Pocket World in Figures, The Economist, 2012, p.234). Time is one of the most valued of all scarce resources. Each of us needs to decide what to do with it. You need to decide how to divide time between leisure and study. Your parents need to decide how much time they devote to their work and how much time they spend with you. One more hour at work means one less hour spent with family. It is often very hard to find the right balance as it is hard to decide what is more important. Here is another example to help you understand the concept better. Imagine that you are spending your summer holidays in London. Your friend, a football fan, has invited you to see Chelsea play against Arsenal in the English Premier League (EPL). He has already bought the tickets and has got the best seats. On the same day, however, your mother 17 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it comes to town and wants you to go and see the annual Latin Dance Championships with her. For you, the opportunity cost of attending the dance event is to sacrifice the football match. And vice versa – the opportunity cost of enjoying an afternoon at the Emirates stadium is to lose a chance to see the best Latin dancers from all over the world. ACTIVITY Suppose that your father gives you a free ticket to see your favourite band perform live tonight. You are not allowed to sell it. Your local football team, however, is also playing tonight. You must therefore decide whether to go to the concert or watch the football match. A football match ticket costs around £50, and you would always be willing to pay as much as £75 to see your favourite band perform. There are no other costs involved. What is your opportunity cost of going to see your local football team play that evening instead? Hint: What is the value you sacrifice by not attending the concert? Division of labour as an example of specialisation Specialisation occurs when a country, firm or individual focuses on the production of a limited range of goods or services. Specialisation can occur for a number of reasons. For example, almost 30 per cent of all potatoes produced in the USA are grown in the relatively small state of Idaho due to the particularly favourable combination of climate, soil and geography. Another reason for specialisation is when a ‘critical mass’ of expertise, money and talent is concentrated in a single location. For example, such a critical mass can be found in Silicon Valley, California (USA) where there is a high concentration of high-tech firms. One of the forms of specialisation is the division of labour which, according to Adam Smith, is a major source of growth (see Section 1.1). Production is broken down into a series of tasks that are conducted by individual workers – an idea famously, and successfully, implemented by Henry Ford. Ford was born in 1863 near Detroit, Michigan in the USA. By the time he died in 1947, he was one of the wealthiest and most famous men of his day. Many people believe he invented the automobile, and others think he was the first to come up with the idea of an assembly line. The truth is he did neither. So what was his success? Ford grew up on a farm, but he did not want to stay there forever. As a child he was fascinated with engines and machines. At 15, he had already gained a reputation of being the best watch repairer in his town. However, his true dream was to build fast, reliable cars as quickly and cheaply as possible so that everyone, including the working class, could afford to own one. After a series of failures, in 1903 Ford finally founded his own motor company. It was not until 1908, however, that he came up with the idea of the ‘Model T’ (often referred to as the Tin Lizzie) – a car which soon revolutionised the US automobile market. It was simple to operate, powerful, sturdy, easy to repair and could carry the whole family. More importantly, it was much cheaper than options offered by Ford’s competitors. In the beginning it was produced one vehicle at a time, but soon demand for the cars greatly exceeded supply. Ford realised that a more efficient process of production was needed. In 1913, the Ford Motor Company established what was, at the time, the largest moving assembly line. All pieces were produced according to strict rules so that they were virtually the same and would fit with any other. Assembly of the Model T was broken down into smaller tasks. Each worker was trained to specialise in only a few steps in the chain. Thanks to this division of labour, Model T production was faster, cheaper and more efficient. The assembly time of a single car was cut down to just 93 minutes! 18 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it As great as the idea of an assembly line sounds, it also had some inevitable drawbacks. Since the tasks were mindless, repetitive and required almost no skill, workers were easily bored and discouraged. Yet, again, it was Ford who quickly realised the need to invest in human capital. Since most of the workers employed in the factory were immigrants, the vast majority of them could not communicate in English. He opened a dedicated school for them, established a hospital at the factory and doubled their wages to give incentives and boost morale. Although many predicted bankruptcy, Ford managed to double Model T production in each of the next three years. Henry Ford and his Tin Lizzie changed the automobile industry forever. The next great advance in mass production techniques took place in the 1970s in Japan – ‘the Toyota production system’. Toyota saw their workers as assets and encouraged them to come up with new ideas and methods to improve production. Above all, the company wanted to concentrate on quality – no car should leave an assembly line unless it was free from any fault. The traditional friction between management (whose objective was maximum production) and workers (who were bored and not motivated) was replaced by cooperation and mutual respect. This system has now been exported and adopted by firms in many industries worldwide (see Anderton, 2008, Unit 2, p.11). ACTIVITY Refer to the video link posted on the VLE to watch a short documentary about the Ford Model T assembly line. What was Ford’s best achievement? Using the Ford example, we now sum up the advantages and disadvantages of the division of labour. Advantages of the division of labour: A person who spends time focused on one task quickly becomes highly skilled. No time is wasted in moving from one job to another. Capital equipment (such as machinery) can be used continuously in production. Less time is required to train workers for specific tasks, as they only need to focus on one task at a time. There is more choice of jobs for workers and they can specialise in tasks to which they are best suited (in other words, if you are not good at something, you can focus on something else). These benefits lead to a higher output per worker and help to reduce the cost of single-unit production. Overall, the standards of living within the population increase. There are, however, also some drawbacks. Disadvantages of the division of labour: Repetition of the same, easy tasks often creates monotony and boredom. In a large plant, where workers focus only on their own task, there might be a widespread feeling of alienation. Breaking down production into different tasks makes it easier to replace skilled workers with machines, leading to structural unemployment (discussed further in Unit 4). Specialisation creates interdependence in production – if one group of workers goes on strike, it could halt production across the whole industry. 19 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.2: The basic economic problem and how different societies have attempted to solve it ACTIVITY Describe at least three innovations that you would implement to minimise the disadvantages of the division of labour. ACTIVITY Choose an issue which is currently in the news where you can write a paragraph incorporating the concepts of scarcity and opportunity cost to describe what is happening. ACTIVITY Define opportunity cost and explain the importance of the term in making economic choices. 20 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 21 Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier Introduction 22 Inefficiency – why? 24 Economic growth and the PPF 25 Shapes of PPFs 28 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier Introduction One of the main objectives for all governments is the sustained economic growth of their country – the long-term expansion of the productive potential of the economy. This, however, is not easy to achieve because of the issues previously discussed (for example, scarce resources and the need to choose between them, as well as the associated opportunity costs). The following question naturally arises – is there any way to represent the productive potential of the economy? The answer is yes, with a production possibility frontier (PPF). A PPF shows all the combinations of two or more goods or services that can be produced in an economy if all the available resources are fully and efficiently used with the best available technology. Therefore, if an economy is fully utilising its resources, it is producing on the frontier. Throughout this course, we will keep the analysis rather simple; from now on we will consider only two goods. However, the model and its conclusion can easily be extended to include more goods and services. It is possible to consider two goods as one specific good and ‘everything else’. Figure 1 shows a typical PPF showing the possible combinations of good A and good B which can be produced by an economy. All points on and below the PPF are feasible points of production, with the points on the frontier itself representing the full and efficient use of resources. Figure 1: A simple production possibility frontier. Imagine that the economy can produce only food and shelter and that all raw resources (the CELL factors of production – capital, entrepreneurship, land and labour) are needed to produce both. If all resources are devoted to the production of food, then there are no resources available to build shelter. This situation is represented in Figure 2 as point Q0, where Q stands for ‘quantity’. Alternatively, if all resources are used to build shelter, then there would be no resources available to grow food. This situation is represented by point Q1. If resources were divided between the two – a mixture of food and shelter – then a range of combinations of the two products is available. Consider point X. Here the economy is producing Q2 of food and Q3 of shelter. 22 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier However, point Y (Q4 of food and Q5 of shelter) is also possible. Similarly, there are more points on the frontier representing different combinations of food and shelter which the economy could potentially produce. The set of all points for which all resources are fully utilised is the curve known as the PPF. Any combination of outputs represented by a point on the frontier is said to be productively efficient – since no resources are wasted. The only way of producing more food is by producing less shelter; to build more shelter, the production of food must be reduced. Therefore, the PPF (or more precisely, its slope) also illustrates the concept of opportunity cost (discussed earlier). This is calculated by finding out how many units of shelter must be sacrificed to obtain one more unit of food. For example, in Figure 2 the opportunity cost of moving from X to Y, and so producing Q4 rather than Q2 units of food, is giving up Q3 – Q5 units of shelter. Figure 2: Opportunity cost of moving from point X to point Y. So far, we have established that a PPF represents all combinations of goods that can be produced when all resources are used efficiently. But exactly which combination should the economy choose? How do we decide? In a free-market economy (can you remember the features?), forces of demand and supply ensure that the correct equilibrium is reached. (Note: the concepts of equilibrium and disequilibrium are fully discussed in Section 2.2). Suppose that there is a sudden increase in the need for shelter. To meet the increased demand, the economy will need to build more houses. As a result, this sector would need more resources and the price paid for those resources would increase. Therefore, suppliers would be willing to sell their goods to house builders rather than to food producers because they would get more money for the same products from house builders. As a result, resources would be shifted away from food production toward the construction of shelter. The very same market forces that trigger an increase for one product will also ensure that the necessary resources for production are available. For example, by the late 1970s, Kodak (founded in 1888) products accounted for approximately 90 per cent of the US traditional film and camera market. However, the 21st century presented a great challenge for the company. The sales of traditional photography devices started to decline as the market for new digital photography grew rapidly. As a result, Kodak had to transfer all of its 23 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier resources to digital-oriented production; otherwise it would not have been able to keep up with market demand (The Economist, 2012). The situation in a centrally-planned economy, however, is different. In this case, the central authority (i.e. the government) decides which goods are to be produced. Such decisions were taken in the former Soviet Union in the 1930s, for example, and were carefully described in socalled ‘Five-Year Plans’. Each plan dealt with virtually all aspects of development (such as the use of natural resources, production of consumer goods and education) with the aim of creating an advanced industrial economy. The growth of the economy was visibly boosted under Stalin, but at the cost of severe human suffering. Not only is it impossible for one person to be able to determine the right amount of output, but the whole process of gathering data is costly, timeconsuming and liable to error. Most 21st-century economists agree that, unless there is a sound reason to believe that the solution offered by the market is not the best from society’s point of view, for example when there is monopolistic pricing and excess profit (which will be discussed later in the course), price and quantity decisions should be left to demand and supply forces. Inefficiency – why? The ideal situation of productive efficiency is, unfortunately, rarely achieved. This is because the curve is only a hypothetical concept and so can only be estimated. For example, some resources that may be needed may not yet be known, or the cost of accessing others might be too high. Therefore, even the best economies are very often producing inefficiently. This can be represented graphically as a point within the PPF, such as point W in Figure 3. In this example, the production of one or both goods can be increased without the need to sacrifice production of the other. There is no opportunity cost involved, as there are still some spare resources that can be used (i.e. there is slack in the economy since it is not producing at full capacity). What about point S? Since it lies outside the PPF, even though it would be desirable, it is not feasible as there are not enough resources and technology to be able to produce at that point. Figure 3: Points W and S, where W is inefficient and S is not feasible. 24 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier Production at W is inefficient due to some unused resources and the possibility of increasing output without any opportunity cost. Production at point S is not feasible due to the lack of available resources. Another reason for an economy not to produce at the frontier is time trade-offs. For example, you could put money into a bank account now and go on holiday with the money next year, or, alternatively, you could spend the money now on new clothes. In a similar manner, we can use all of our available resources now, or, alternatively, save some of them for future generations. By sacrificing some of our current consumption, we increase consumption for future generations. So let us summarise what we have learned so far: A PPF represents all the different combinations of goods (and/or services) that can be produced within the economy if all resources are used efficiently. Only one point on the curve can be produced – which represents the need for choice. If all resources are fully utilised, to produce more of one good, some quantity of other goods must be sacrificed – therefore the slope of a PPF represents the opportunity cost. Production of all goods is not always achievable. All points outside a PPF are points the economy would want to achieve but cannot reach due to resource scarcity. All points within a PPF are feasible, but not desirable, as there are some spare resources that are not fully utilised. There is no opportunity cost of expanding production from any point within a PPF. Some economies may choose to produce within a PPF because of time trade-offs. Economic growth and the PPF Once the frontier is reached, expansion is the only way to increase production. Expansion can be achieved by either inventing new resources and/or new technologies. Such growth is represented by an outward shift of a PPF. Possible reasons for such increases include: increased training of employees making them more productive – fewer resources are needed to produce the same quantity of output, so some of the workforce can be shifted to the production of other goods a greater increase in capital or the discovery of new resources an increase in population – more labour means greater human capital an improvement in technology, new discoveries, specialisation or the division of labour. To put these factors into context, let us use the earlier example of food and shelter. Here are a few scenarios and their corresponding graphs. Scenario A: The entire workforce is required to attend special training before being employed and during the training they acquire all of the skills necessary for their work. Evidence suggests that this increases efficiency of an average worker by 30 per cent. This is depicted in Figure 4 where there is an outward shift of the original PPF as the productive capacity of the economy has increased. 25 Shelter Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier PPF2 PPF1 Food Figure 4: Scenario A. Shelter Scenario B: At a recent international summit, it was agreed that Country 1 should get its fertile land back from Country 2. So, from Country 1’s perspective, it gains more land on which to cultivate food and/or build shelter. Given it is fertile land, it would be better suited to producing food rather than shelter. So, although the PPF would shift outwards, it would expand further in the direction of food, as indicated in Figure 5. PPF2 PPF1 Food Figure 5: Scenario B. Scenario C: Following the opening of the country’s frontiers and market liberalisation, the net outflow of people aged between 20 and 45 doubled. People in this age group are likely to be 26 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier Shelter some of the most productive in the economy. Therefore, the productive capacity would decrease significantly due to the net emigration of this age group. Given building shelter is likely to be more labour-intensive than food production, there would be a greater effect on shelter capacity than on food production. So the PPF would shift inwards, as indicated in Figure 6. PPF1 PPF2 Food Figure 6: Scenario C. Shelter Scenario D: A new, faster and cheaper way of building houses has been discovered by a team of researchers. This is effectively a new technological discovery, and hence the PPF expands outwards. So the PPF expansion would be as shown in Figure 7. PPF2 PPF1 Food Figure 7: Scenario D. 27 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier Note that the shift of a PPF does not have to be parallel as a new technology can benefit some goods more than others. Even if increased productivity affects only one of the goods, production of all goods can increase. This is because resources saved on production of one good can be transferred to the production of all other goods. For example, if fewer people are required to produce food, those people could be used to build more shelter. ACTIVITY Using a PPF, how would you represent the impact of natural disasters (such as earthquakes and floods) on an economy’s productive capacity? Shapes of PPFs Harry Potter book The most common shape of a PPF is the one we have drawn so far – concave to the origin (curved like a circle). This is because we assume that opportunity cost is not the same along the curve due to diminishing marginal returns (that is, the more resources you use, the less productive one extra unit becomes). However, this shape is not the only one that can exist. Suppose you can read 20 pages of a history book per hour or 40 pages of a Harry Potter book per hour. If your reading speed does not change with time, then no matter how long you read – one, two or three hours – the opportunity cost of reading one more page of the history book is to give up two pages of Harry Potter. The situation described here represents constant opportunity cost. The relevant PPF therefore would be a straight line, as shown in Figure 8. History book Figure 8: Production possibility frontier representing constant opportunity cost (straight line). 28 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Section 1.3: The production possibility frontier In real life, things are often much more complicated than the examples given above. Nevertheless, the idea of the PPF helps us to illustrate and understand general principles (see Anderton, 2008, Unit 1, pp.3–5). ACTIVITY Explain what is meant by a production possibility frontier. Under which circumstances would such a curve change position? ACTIVITY Draw a PPF graph in which the vertical axis shows production of public healthcare services and the horizontal axis shows the production of private healthcare services. Currently, the economy is producing at point A on the frontier where 70 per cent of all production is devoted to private services and 30 per cent to public services. Mark the following points on your diagram: point A, as per the information above point B, showing production after electing a new government which decides to devote more resources to public healthcare services point C, showing the inefficient use of resources point D, which is currently not feasible. ACTIVITY Draw a PPF graph corresponding to the production of two goods and label it A. On the same diagram, draw a new PPF which represents productive capacity if the economy experienced a severe and prolonged civil war. Label this PPF B. Finally, draw another PPF on the same diagram which shows discoveries of new raw materials and label it C. 29 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 30 Test your knowledge and understanding SHOULD MEDICINES BE SUBSIDISED? Since 1920, in Poland all Poles have been required to participate in a state-funded healthcare system. Part of the funding comes from general tax revenue; the rest is collected directly from an employee’s salary. Such contributions are compulsory and it is impossible to opt out of the scheme. In return, people covered by the National Health Insurance System, and their dependants, are entitled to free primary healthcare, specialist care, hospital treatment, basic dental treatment and ambulance transportation. In addition, those suffering from long-term illnesses (such as diabetes, heart disease and depression) can benefit from partially-subsidised drugs. However, recent changes to the list of state-subsidised medicines have caused much concern and consternation. Doctors are protesting against new, stricter regulations, which impose fines on them if they make a mistake writing out prescriptions which results in patients underpaying for drugs. This could theoretically happen as not all people are entitled to the same level of discount. Patients are also protesting because drugs are becoming ever more expensive. Moreover, starting from September this year, the price of another 500 previously subsidised drugs will also significantly increase. For example, the price of drugs commonly used to treat Alzheimer’s disease will triple. Nurses warn that this could result in some patients being unable to continue with their treatment. The Polish government, on the other hand, explains that the opportunity cost of subsidising some of the drugs, especially those produced by monopolistic pharmaceutical companies, is too high. The money saved on subsidising old drugs can be invested in the research and development of new, more effective and cheaper drugs. The potential problem is that there would never be enough money for the National Health Fund to provide the quality of healthcare and the quantity of subsidised medicines that citizens would like. Consequently, choices, often difficult ones, have to be made. As of 2012, Poland spends about 7.4 per cent of its GDP (that is, its total economic output) on healthcare, which is a relatively low percentage compared to many other developed countries. Using your knowledge gained from Unit 1, and the article provided above, answer the following questions. Question 1 a. Define the term ‘economic problem’. [2 marks] b. Explain how the ‘economic problem’ can be addressed with reference to the healthcare and pharmaceutical market in Poland. [4 marks] Question 2 a. Explain what is shown by the production possibility frontier. [2 marks] b. Using the production possibility frontier, show how the Polish national health system, in conjunction with the government, needs to choose between subsidising medicines used in the treatment of long-term diseases and investing in the research and development of new drugs. [4 marks] Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics • Test your knowledge and understanding c. On your diagram in (b), indicate point X where there is an efficient allocation of resources. Explain why this point is efficient. [3 marks] d. Do you expect healthcare markets to operate efficiently? Why or why not? [3 marks] Question 3 a. Define ‘opportunity cost’. [2 marks] b. Identify and describe at least two opportunity costs of increased drug subsidies. [4 marks] 31 Unit 1: The nature and scope of economics 32 Concluding comments The concepts and the personalities introduced in the development of economic thought can, and should, be further investigated as the subject is studied in greater depth. The fundamental problem of finite resources and the question of optimisation are issues which confront every society. Society’s reactions will be investigated later in the course. A reminder of your learning outcomes Having completed this unit, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: define the concepts of the basic economic problem, scarcity, efficiency, opportunity cost and specialisation explain what is meant by the production possibility frontier and analyse its position and shape critically assess the advantages and disadvantages of the division of labour. 152 Appendix 1: Sample examination paper Important note: This Sample examination paper reflects the examination and assessment arrangements for this course in the academic year 2014–2015. The format and structure of the examination may have changed since the publication of this subject guide. You can find the most recent examination papers on the VLE where all changes to the format of the examination are posted. Time allowed: 2 hours Candidates should answer TEN of the following TWELVE questions: ALL FIVE from Section A (25 marks), ALL FOUR from Section B (25 marks) and ONE (out of three) from Section C (50 marks). Section A Answer the following five questions [25 marks] 1. Distinguish between ‘inflation’ and ‘hyperinflation’. [4 marks] 2. Define the term ‘market failure’ and give three reasons why markets can fail. [7 marks] 3. Explain how the Human Development Index is measured. [5 marks] 4. Define income elasticity of demand. Why do you think that the income elasticity of demand for dental implants is around 0.8? 5. Can high inflation and high unemployment coexist? If so, explain the reasons. [4 marks] [5 marks] Section B Answer the following four questions [25 marks] Tackling the British love for fat The British Government is concerned that UK citizens are eating too much saturated fat. Excessive consumption of saturated fat poses a risk to people’s health, since it is associated with cardiovascular disease, the number one cause of premature death in the UK, as well as some cancers and diabetes. The Food Standards Agency (FSA), the Government department responsible for protecting the public’s health in relation to food, estimates that the average Briton consumes 20 per cent more saturated fat than the official Government recommended amount. The question therefore arises: Should the Government intervene to try to reduce the amount of saturated fat consumed? The answer is not obvious. Some economists believe that consumers themselves are those best suited for making decisions over their own consumption and therefore no third party intervention is needed. However, others argue that increased fat consumption is due to imperfect information and therefore leads to market failures. To correct for that, the FSA launched an advertising campaign showing how consuming too much saturated fat leads to clogged arteries and other long-term consequences. Another option would be to impose a tax on products containing saturated fats. Under such a scheme, full-fat butter products would be taxed more heavily than low-fat butter, which in turn would be taxed more heavily than margarine products, while fat-free spreads would avoid the tax. That way the Government hopes people will switch to healthier alternatives. Would a ‘fat tax’ really succeed in reducing our excessive saturated fat consumption? © University of London 2015 Appendix 1: Sample examination paper 153 Figure 1: Saturated fat consumption by various household income groups. Adapted and reproduced with permission from O’Connell, M. ‘Tackling the British love for fat’, Economic Review 27(2) 2009. Using your own knowledge and the article provided, answer the following questions: 6. Using Figure 1, carefully explain the relationship between fatty food consumption and household income. [4 marks] 7. Should the British government intervene to limit the consumption of fatty food? Give two reasons in support of the intervention and one against it. [6 marks] 8. ‘Imposing high taxes on products containing saturated fats is the only way to significantly limit the consumption of fatty foods. All other ways will not work.’ Comment on the statement. Do you agree with it? Why or why not? [10 marks] 9. What kind of good (normal, inferior or Giffen) are products with high content of saturated fat mostly likely to be? Explain. [5 marks] Section C Answer one of the following essay questions [50 marks] 10. Why do governments worry about inflation? You are encouraged to illustrate your answers with the use of relevant diagrams. 11. What are the costs of unemployment? How can governments intervene to lower the unemployment rate? 12. Explain the consequences of the recent financial and economic crisis for both developed and developing countries. 154 Appendix 2: Glossary A Absolute advantage: The ability of a country to produce more output of a good or service than another country that possesses the same resource input(s). Absolute poverty: To be ‘poor’ means being unable to subsist (i.e. having insufficient food, drink, shelter and clothing). In monetary terms, absolute poverty equates to living on less than $1 a day (revised by the World Bank to $1.25 a day in 2008). Ad valorem taxes: Indirect taxes which are charged as a percentage of the price of the good, such as value added tax (VAT). Aggregate demand: The relationship between total output and the price level which shows planned expenditure on final goods and services at all possible price levels. Aggregate demand (in a closed economy) consists of consumer spending, government spending and investment. Aggregate supply: The real value of all goods and services produced within the economy. It tells us the amount that firms are willing to produce at all possible price levels. Appreciation: The increase in the value of a domestic currency in terms of other currencies. Asymmetric information: When a party involved in a transaction has more information than the other party, and therefore well-informed decisions are not possible. Austerity: Reducing government spending and imposing cuts and freezes on public sector jobs, wages and pensions in the hope of reducing national debt-to-GDP ratios. B Balance of payments: The record of all money moving in and out of a country. For the balance of payments to be in equilibrium, the value of imports and exports should be the same. Balance sheet: An accounting statement of a firm’s assets and liabilities on the last day of a trading period. Basic economic problem: How to allocate scarce resources between competing uses in the best possible way. Budget (or fiscal) deficit: When a government spends more than it collects in taxes. Budget (or fiscal) surplus: When a government spends less than it collects in taxes. C Capital: Man-made assets, such as machinery or buildings. Capital account: The recording of movements of funds reflecting the net change in the ownership of assets. Centrally planned economies: Decisions about what to produce, and in which quantities, are taken solely by the government. Ceteris paribus: Latin term for ‘other things being equal’. This means that other things that could change are, for the moment, assumed not to. The term allows us to isolate the relationship between two economic variables controlling for all other variables. Appendix 2: Glossary Cheap credit: The lending of money at low interest rates. Circular flow of income: This shows the fundamental, mutually beneficial economic relationship between households and firms. It is a model of the flows of resources, goods and services, as well as money, receipts and payments for them, in the economy. Claimant count: In the UK, the number of people who are officially registered and able to work but who currently cannot find a job and are therefore claiming unemployment benefit. Classical school: The belief system of classical economists in which markets are most effective when free of government intervention. Collateralised debt obligations (CDOs): Structured asset-backed financial products. Comparative advantage: This occurs when the marginal opportunity costs of one good in terms of the other differ between countries. Complements: Two goods are considered to be complements if a change in the price of one causes an opposite shift in the demand for the other. Consumer price index (CPI): An index of weighted prices for a representative basket of goods. It excludes payments on housing costs (rent) and mortgage payments. It conforms to the international harmonised index of consumer prices. Consumer spending: The amount of goods and services (such as food and clothing) purchased by households. It depends on income, tax to be paid, transfer payments and the marginal propensity to consume. Consumer surplus: The welfare gain to buyers resulting from the fact that some consumers pay less for the good than its maximum valuation. Consumption externality: An externality which occurs as a direct result of product consumption. Contagion: A situation when economic ills are propagated across borders. Correlated variables: The linear relationship between two variables. Credit crunch: A severe contraction in the amount of available credit. Credit rating agencies: Companies which assign credit ratings to debt. Creditor: A lender who is owed money. Creeping inflation: Slowly increasing prices, such as in the UK. Cross-price elasticity of demand (XED): The responsiveness of demand for one good to changes in the price of another. Current account: A summary of transactions involving ‘visible’ goods (such as raw materials and manufactured products) and ‘invisibles’ (such as services and investment income). Cyclical unemployment: Unemployment caused by the variable economic cycle. D Deadweight loss: The cost to society resulting from the loss of economic efficiency. The deadweight loss is the total (combined) reduction in consumer and producer surpluses minus the total tax raised. Debt-to-GDP ratio: The ratio of outstanding national debt to GDP. Default: When a borrower is unable to repay a loan. Deleveraging: The selling of assets whose original purchase was financed by borrowing. 155 Appendix 2: Glossary Demand: The relationship between price and quantity which tells us how many units of a certain good consumers are willing to purchase at every possible price. Demand side policies: Direct (fiscal and monetary) intervention by the government which affects the levels of aggregate demand. Demerit goods: Goods with underestimated or ignored harmful effects, for example, cigarettes, drugs and alcohol. Not only do they have a negative effect on people who consume them in excessive amounts but they can also harm others, for example, through passive smoking. Depreciation: The decrease in the value of a domestic currency in terms of other currencies. Determinants of demand: Factors which determine demand, such as price of the product, price of complements (goods which are consumed together) and substitutes (replacements), income, wealth, taste, preferences, advertising, expectations, climate, population and demographics. Determinants of supply: Factors which determine supply, such as price of the product, technology, weather conditions, costs of inputs, access to raw materials, regulations, number of firms in the industry, taxes and subsidies. Determinants of the price elasticity of demand (PED): Factors which determine the PED, such as availability of close substitutes, time horizon (long run versus short run), percentage of income spent on those goods, type of goods and brand image. Determinants of the price elasticity of supply (PES): Factors which determine the PES, such as number of suppliers, ease of storing units, productive capacity, time horizon (long run versus short run), length of production period and perishability of the product. Direct taxes: Taxes (such as income tax) which are paid straight to the government by a person or institution upon whom the tax was imposed. Disequilibrium: A situation where the quantity demanded is different from the quantity supplied so the market cannot clear. In the aggregate setting, the economy will be in disequilibrium when the level of aggregate demand is not equal to the level of aggregate supply. Disposable income: After-tax income (i.e. gross income less income tax and any other deductions such as national insurance contributions). Division of labour: Production is broken down into a series of tasks that are conducted by individual workers. E Economic good: Any good or service which is scarce. Economic growth: Defined in one of two ways: (i) as an increase in the real income or the gross domestic product (GDP) of an economy (this is known as the actual economic growth), or (ii) as an increase in the productive capacity of the economy (this is known as the potential growth). Economies of scale: These accrue to larger firms because they have advantages over their smaller rivals. Technical economies of scale occur when large-scale production makes the optimum use of machine capacity. Purchasing and financial economies of scale exist because the large firm can use its influence on suppliers and lenders. Diseconomies of scale are ultimately experienced because of the difficulty of control over enormous corporations. Elasticity: The responsiveness of one variable to changes in a different variable. The value of the elasticity, in absolute terms, varies between zero and infinity. The sign of the elasticity depends on the directions in which the two variables are moving. If both of them move in the same direction, elasticity is positive. If they move in opposite directions, however, the sign of the elasticity is negative. The sign only shows the direction of the movement, it does not show the actual elasticity. 156 Appendix 2: Glossary Endogeneity: Economic variables which both affect and are affected by their relationship as depicted in an economic model. Entrepreneurship: The ability and originality to combine all factors of production to make profits. Many observers now include confidence as part of entrepreneurship. Equilibrium: When the demand for a certain good is exactly the same as the supply of that good. There is neither excess demand nor excess supply. In the aggregate setting, the economy will only be in equilibrium when the level of aggregate demand is equal to the level of aggregate supply. Equity: A bank’s buffer to cover unexpected losses which could occur. From an accounting perspective, equity is calculated as the difference between total assets and total liabilities. Equity ratio: The ratio of a bank’s equity to its total assets. Euro: The official currency of the Eurozone. Excess demand: At the given price, people are willing to buy more goods than producers are willing to offer. In this case, the price will continue to rise until equilibrium is reached. Excess supply: At the given price, firms are offering more goods than consumers are willing to buy. In this case, the price will fall until the market clears again. Exchange rate: The price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency. Externalities: Third-party effects (delivered and received outside the market) caused by decisions or actions made by someone else. They can either be positive or negative. F Fiscal policy: A government’s policy regarding taxation and government spending which can be used to keep levels of unemployment and inflation under control. Flow variable: A variable which is considered over a period of time, such as annual income. Foreign aid: The voluntary assistance provided to one country by another, typically financial aid transfers. Foreign direct investment (FDI): Investment across borders. Fractional reserve banking: A system of banking whereby banks keep only a fraction of their deposits in reserve. Free good: Any good or service which is available in (effectively) infinite quantities. Free-market economy: Resources are privately owned with decisions about what to produce, and in which quantities, decided by the forces of supply and demand. Free-rider problem: A problem associated with public goods in which individuals presume that others will pay for the public goods, so that individually they can escape paying for their production without a reduction in production occurring. Frictional unemployment: Unemployment which occurs when people are in-between jobs (this type of unemployment always exists). G GDP per capita: GDP (see below) divided by the size of the population. Geographical unemployment: Unemployment associated with a particular region of the country. Giffen goods: Goods for which demand increases as its price increases. 157 Appendix 2: Glossary Globalisation: The increasingly integrated nature of national economies into a single international market. Government spending: Government expenditure using money collected from taxes on goods and services (or borrowed) on healthcare, infrastructure (such as roads and bridges), schools and public services (such as the police, armed forces and firefighters). Gross domestic product (GDP): The total value of the goods and services produced by the domestic economy within a certain period of time, usually a year. Gross national product (GNP): GDP plus the net property income from abroad (i.e. income earned abroad by domestic residents less the income earned by foreigners in the domestic economy). H Hidden unemployment: Official unemployment statistics are not 100 per cent accurate since people may be incorrectly included or excluded. Human Development Index (HDI): An index of economic development consisting of the average of three indicators: standard of living (measured by GDP per capita in PPP terms), life expectancy at birth and adult literacy. Human Poverty Index (HPI): Recently superseded by the Multidimensional Poverty Index, HPI is an alternative index of economic development focusing on quantifying how well a country is coping with reducing existing poverty. HPI consists of the percentage of infants with a life expectancy of less than 40 years, the percentage of illiterate adults and the percentage of people without a sufficient standard of living (no access to clean water, no access to healthcare, and children under the age of five who are underweight). Hyperinflation: Extremely high increases in the price level caused by a major disruption to an economy, for example, war or depression. I Imperfect information: This occurs when a decision-maker has incomplete, inaccurate, uncertain or misinterpreted information, leading him or her to potentially make an incorrect choice. Income elasticity of demand (YED): The responsiveness of demand to changes in income. Indirect taxes: Taxes which are usually levied on goods and services which we consume. Inferior goods: Goods characterised by decreased demand when income rises, and increased demand when income falls. Inflation: The sustained overall increase in the price level – conversely, the overall reduction in the value of money. Inflation can either be anticipated (expected) or unanticipated (unexpected). Interbank lending: Lending between banks (i.e. from one bank to another bank). Interdependence: The situation where a number of countries are so closely linked by trade and financial relationships that they depend on each other economically. Interest rates: The cost of borrowing money. International Labour Organization (ILO) unemployment survey: An unemployment rate based on a quarterly survey of more than 60,000 households. Only those who state in the survey that they have been actively seeking a job in the last four weeks are considered to be unemployed. 158 Appendix 2: Glossary International trade: The exchange of goods and services between countries through exports and imports. Investment: The spending by firms on items such as machines and buildings, which can be used to produce goods and services in the future. K Keynesian economics: Keynesian economists advocate state intervention through the use of macroeconomic policy, in particular fiscal policy. L Labour: People who provide physical and intellectual skills (human capital). Land: All naturally occurring resources, such as soil, air, water, minerals, fauna and flora. Luxury goods: Goods with upward-sloping demand curves, often bought by people to signal their wealth and social position. These can be considered as ‘status symbols’. M Marginal benefit: The benefit of one extra unit produced. Marginal cost: The cost of one extra unit produced. Marginal propensity to consume: The proportion of (disposable) income which is spent on consumption. Market: A market is a place (either physical or virtual) where buyers and sellers meet in order to exchange goods and services. Market failure: The price mechanism fails to allocate resources efficiently. Market power: The ability of a firm to set a price for its product above that determined in a perfectly competitive market environment. Maximum productive capacity: The limit on how much output can increase, beyond which the economy cannot grow unless new technologies or new resources are found. Merit goods: Goods which are better for people than they think. Benefits could be underestimated, for example, due to time lags. Costs are observed immediately while positive effects may only be visible in a few years’ time. As people find it difficult to make well-informed, rational decisions, merit goods are usually underprovided by the free-market mechanism. Missing market: A situation when no private company would be willing to provide a (public) good as no profits could be made. In graphical terms, there would be no intersection of the market demand and supply curves. Mixed economies: Governments intervene to improve efficiency, correct market failures or provide public goods. Monetary policy: A tool of macroeconomic policy which involves controlling the supply of money through open market operations, manipulating interest rates, printing money and changes in reserve requirements. Monetary transmission mechanism: The central bank sets the interest rate for a period of time. This rate, in turn, will affect the rates of mortgage and bank lending. Asset prices and the currency exchange rate can also be affected. Such changes will, therefore, influence firms and individuals in terms of their investment decisions. This has a knock-on effect on the demand for labour, and hence wage rates. 159 Appendix 2: Glossary Monopoly: The market structure where there is only one supplier of a particular good in the market. Multiplier: The ratio of the change in the equilibrium level of national income to the change in expenditures which brought it about. It is the total effect of the cascade of spending described by the re-spending cycle (see below). N National debt: The total outstanding government debt of a country. Negative equity: The situation when the fall in the value of a house means the house is worth less than the outstanding mortgage secured against it. Negative externality: An externality where one person suffers from actions taken by somebody else. Negative externalities give rise to an inefficient allocation of resources because external costs are not included in the free-market equilibrium. From society’s point of view, goods are over-produced and prices charged are too low. Neoclassical school: The belief system which assumes firms and consumers are both rational, with firms seeking to maximise profit, while consumers look to maximise utility. The neoclassical school is also responsible for developing the use of marginal analysis. Normal goods: Goods for which demand increases when income increases, and falls when income decreases. O Opportunity cost: The cost of the best alternative foregone. It is a cost associated with engaging in a certain activity evaluated as the value of everything else you must give up in order to pursue it. Ordinary goods: Goods for which demand is downward-sloping (i.e. people buy more of a good when its price decreases, and buy less when its price increases). P Positive externality: An externality where one person benefits from actions taken by somebody else. Positive externalities give rise to an inefficient allocation of resources because external benefits are not included in the free-market equilibrium. From society’s point of view, goods are under-consumed. Price adjustment: The price level within the economy changes until equilibrium is reached. Price ceiling: A maximum price is the legally established threshold value above which the market price cannot rise. Price elasticity of demand (PED): The responsiveness of quantity demanded to changes in the price of the good. Price elasticity of supply (PES): The responsiveness of quantity supplied to the changes in the price of a good. Price floor: A minimum price is the legally established threshold value below which the market price cannot fall. Price level: The weighted average of prices of the whole spectrum of goods and services consumed by a given country. 160 Appendix 2: Glossary Price mechanism: The ‘invisible hand’ which responds to changes in demand and/or supply of a certain good or service in order to maintain the balance in the market. The price mechanism has three main functions: rationing, signalling and providing incentives. Price taker: A price taker is a firm which must take the price of its product as given. The firm cannot influence its price. Private goods: Goods which are both rivalrous and excludable. Producer surplus: The welfare gain to firms resulting from the fact that the price they receive for their product is higher than the minimum price at which they are willing to supply the product. Production externality: An externality which occurs when spill over (third-party) effects result from the physical production of a good. Production possibility frontier (PPF): A PPF shows all the combinations of two or more goods or services which can be produced in an economy if all the available resources are fully and efficiently used with the best available technology. The slope of a PPF represents the opportunity cost. Public goods: Goods which are non-rivalrous and non-excludable, such as defence. Purchasing power parity (PPP): PPP exchange rates aim to equalise the real purchasing power between various currencies. Q Quantitative easing: A process which injects money into the economy with the objective of boosting economic activity. A central bank creates money electronically and uses this to purchase financial assets – usually government bonds, although other financial assets may be purchased. This cash injection reduces the cost of borrowing and increases asset prices with the net result of stimulating economic growth. Quantity adjustment: The amount of goods and services produced within the economy changes until equilibrium is reached. Quantity demanded: The single value which tells us how many units of goods and services consumers want to buy at a specific price. Quantity supplied: The single value which tells us how many units of goods and services firms want to sell at a specific price. Quasi-public goods: Goods which exhibit mixed characteristics of both private and public goods. They are either non-rivalrous but excludable, or non-excludable but rivalrous. R Real (economic) growth: An increase in the productive capacity of the economy. Regulation: The control of economic activities by the government or some other regulatory body. Relative poverty: This considers poverty within a particular society, which is more suitable for developed economies. Re-lending cycle: The mechanism by which banks control the supply of money. Repossession: In relation to property, the situation when a lending financial institution (typically a bank or building society) takes possession of the property used as collateral (security) against a loan (typically a mortgage) when the borrower defaults. 161 Appendix 2: Glossary Re-spending cycle: The repeated use of money as it circulates through the economy. For example, the recipients of a fiscal stimulus would then spend some of this money, a proportion of which is subsequently spent by the next recipient, and so on. The more re-spent, as opposed to paid as a tax or saved, the higher the final increase in total income. The total effect of this cascade of spending is termed the multiplier (see above). Retail price index (RPI): A statistical measure of a weighted average of prices of a specified set of goods and services purchased by representative families. Risk premium: In terms of interbank lending, the additional cost of borrowing above the central bank base rate reflecting the greater risk of one bank lending to another bank. S Scarcity: The existence of a finite amount of resources. School of economic thought: A set of beliefs held by a group of like-minded economists. Seasonal unemployment: Unemployment which occurs when people are unemployed because of the season, for example, fruit pickers. Securitised mortgages: Financial assets formed by packaging up various mortgage loans into financial securities. Social benefits: Private and external benefits combined together. Social costs: Private and external costs combined together. Social welfare: Also known as the economic surplus, social welfare is the total (combined) welfare of consumers, producers and government. Specialisation: A country, firm or individual focuses on the production of a limited range of goods or services. Specific taxes: Indirect taxes which are charged as a fixed amount per unit sold, such as an excise tax. Speculative bubble: Such a bubble occurs when investors are willing to buy assets if they believe the assets will increase in value, allowing them to sell them in the future for an anticipated profit. Of course, bubbles cannot expand indefinitely, and therefore there would come a point when the bubble bursts. Stagflation: A period of simultaneous high unemployment and rising prices (i.e. a period of both economic stagnation and inflation). Stock variable: A variable which is fixed at a particular point in time, such as wealth. Strato-inflation: A moderate increase in the price level, generally experienced in developing economies such as Brazil or India. Structural unemployment: Unemployment caused by the changes in the nature of the economy, for example, a transition between sectors (an economy moving from agricultural to industrial output). Sub-prime lending/mortgages: Loans/mortgages advanced to borrowers with poor credit histories who typically have a higher risk of default. Subsidies: Monetary benefits provided by governments in order to increase the consumption of merit goods and goods whose consumption generates positive externalities which benefit other people. By subsidising the costs of production, governments help in lowering the prices of goods. Substitutes: Two goods are considered to be substitutes when a change in the price of one causes a shift in demand for the other in the same direction as the price change. 162 Appendix 2: Glossary Super-normal profits: Profits greater than that which is just sufficient to ensure that a firm will continue to supply its existing product or service. Supply: The relationship between price and quantity which tells us how many units of a certain good firms are willing to sell at every possible price. Supply side policies: Increased training, a reduction in unemployment benefits (by way of incentives), better advertising of job vacancies, investment in new technologies and wage negotiations with the trade unions. Sustainability: The capability of a process to continue with minimal impact on the environment. In general, sustainability involves meeting the needs of current generations without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. T Tax: A compulsory payment charged by a government and imposed either on firms or consumers. Tax incidence: The amount of tax paid by each party used to describe the division of the tax burden between consumers and producers. Terms of trade: The ratio of export prices to import prices. It is expressed as an index because it is based on the weighted average price of exports and the weighted average price of imports reflecting not just one, but thousands of different export and import prices. Trade balance: The value of exports minus imports. Trade bloc: A free trade area established through an intergovernmental agreement. Trade deficit: When imports exceed exports. Trade surplus: When exports exceed imports. Transfer payments: Monetary payments made by the government to individuals for which no goods or services are concurrently rendered, such as unemployment benefits. U Unemployment: The number of people who are currently not employed but who are actively seeking work and are able to start work immediately. W Wealth: The difference between the value of everything you own (i.e. assets) and the value of everything you owe (i.e. liabilities). Wealth effect: When asset prices rise, asset owners feel richer and therefore boost their consumption of goods and services accordingly. 163