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Lecture 2 Production, Costs, Profits 1 Overview Production functions – Short run vs. Long run – Returns to a factor – Returns to scale Costs – Types of costs – Cost curves Choice of Inputs – Minimum efficient scale 2 Production Function The Production Function indicates the highest output that a firm can produce for every specified combination of inputs given the state of technology. Shows what is technically feasible when the firm operates efficiently. Want the production function general enough to describe what Boeing does as well as what Microsoft does. 3 Production Function The production function for two inputs: Q = F(K,L) Q = Output, K = Capital, L = Labor For a given technology. – Change technology and get a different F(). Just a way of expressing how inputs are combined to make outputs. 4 Production Function Examples Q=2K+5L Q=1/2(K*L) Suppose production function for bagels is: – Q=3L*4D, where L=number of workers D=pounds of dough – With 3 workers an 2 pounds of dough we get 72 bagels 5 Production Function Example of different technology – Use a standard drill to extract oil from the ground or extract oil using hydraulic fracturing Different technology but the output is the same—oil 6 Production Function Observations: 1) For any level of K, output increases with more L. 2) For any level of L, output increases with more K. 3) Various combinations of inputs produce the same output. 7 Isoquant Draw a curve showing all the possible combinations of inputs that produce the same output. – Call this curve an isoquant. Consider the following table showing how many tons of steel we get from various amounts of capital and labor. 8 Production of Steel Labor Input Capital Input 1 2 3 4 5 1 20 40 55 65 75 2 40 60 75 85 90 3 55 75 90 100 105 4 65 85 100 110 115 5 75 90 105 115 120 9 Production with Two Variable Inputs (L,K) Capital per year The Isoquant Map E 5 4 3 A B The isoquants are derived from the production function for output of 55, 75, and 90. C 2 Q3 = 90 D 1 Q2 = 75 Q1 = 55 1 2 3 4 5 Labor per year 10 Isoquants The isoquants emphasize how different input combinations can be used to produce the same output. This information allows the producer to respond efficiently to changes in the markets for inputs. An isoquant is drawn assuming both factors can be changed. – It may take longer to vary some inputs 11 Short Run vs. Long Run Short-Run is the period of time in which quantities of one or more factors of production cannot be changed. These inputs are called fixed inputs. Long-Run is the amount of time needed to make all production inputs variable. 12 Short Run vs. Long Run Not a set time period. Varies from firm to firm and depends on the production function. Example – Takes a bank a relatively short period of time to replace all of their desk-top computers. Short-run. – Takes General Motors a long time to re-tool all of their assembly lines. Long-run. 13 Consider production in the short-run with one variable input (Labor) Amount of Labor (L) Amount Total of Capital (K) Output (Q) Average Product Marginal Product 0 10 0 --- --- 1 10 10 10 10 2 10 30 15 20 3 10 60 20 30 4 10 80 20 20 5 10 95 19 15 6 10 108 18 13 7 10 112 16 4 8 10 112 14 0 9 10 108 12 -4 10 10 100 10 -814 Production with one variable input (Labor) With additional workers output (Q) initially increases, reaches a maximum, and then decreases. The average product of labor (AP), or output per worker, increases and then decreases. Output Q AP = = Labor Input L 15 Production with one variable input (Labor) The marginal product of labor (MP), or output of the additional worker, increases rapidly initially and then decreases and becomes negative. ∆Output ∆Q MPL = = ∆Labor Input ∆L 16 Production with one variable input (Labor) Output per Month D 112 Total Product C 60 A: slope of tangent = MP (20) B: slope of 0B = AP (20) C: slope of 0C= MP & AP B A 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Labor per Month 17 Production with one variable input (Labor) Output per Month Observations: Left of E: MP > AP & AP is increasing Right of E: MP < AP & AP is decreasing E: MP = AP & AP is at its maximum 30 Marginal Product E 20 Average Product 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Labor per Month 18 Production with one variable input (Labor) When MP = 0, TP is at its maximum When MP > AP, AP is increasing When MP < AP, AP is decreasing When MP = AP, AP is at its maximum 19 Production with one variable input (Labor) As the use of an input increases in equal increments, a point will be reached at which the resulting additions to output decreases (i.e. MP declines). Known as the Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns. 20 Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns When the labor input is small, MP increases due to specialization. When the labor input is large, MP decreases due to inefficiencies. 21 Production with one variable input (Labor) Assumes the quality of the variable input is constant. Explains a declining MP, not necessarily a negative one Assumes a constant technology 22 The Effect of Technological Improvement Output per time period Labor productivity can increase if there are improvements in technology, even though any given production process exhibits diminishing returns to labor. C 100 B O3 A O2 50 O1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Labor per time period 23 Production with Two Variable Inputs Back to the world where we have two inputs into production, K & L, and we can vary each factor. Isoquants allow us to analyze and compare the different combinations of K & L and output Also can see that we have diminishing marginal returns for both inputs. 24 The Shape of Isoquants Capital per year F 5 4 3 A B In the long run both labor and capital are variable and both experience diminishing returns. C E 2 Q3 = 90 D 1 Q2 = 75 Q1 = 55 1 2 3 4 5 Labor per year 25 Production with Two Variable Inputs Assume capital is 3 and labor increases from 0 to 1 to 2 to 3 (A→B→C). – Notice output increases at a decreasing rate (55, 20, 15) illustrating diminishing returns from labor in the short-run and long-run. Assume labor is 3 and capital increases from 0 to 1 to 2 to 3 (D→E→C). – Output also increases at a decreasing rate (55, 20, 15) due to diminishing returns from capital. 26 The Shape of Isoquants The slope of each isoquant shows the trade-off between two inputs while keeping output constant. – Similar to the slope of the indifference curve. Call the slope of the isoquant the marginal rate of technical substitution (MRTS). 27 Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution The marginal rate of technical substitution equals: MRTS = - Change in capital/Change in labor input MRTS = − ∆K ∆L (for a fixed level of Q) 28 Returns to Scale One of the things we need to consider when determining how much to produce is the most efficient scale of operation Suppose we have a hospital treating 100 patients a day with L=20 and K=30. Further suppose that they can double L & K to L=40 and K=60 and treat 250 patients a day. More efficient to operate at the higher level of output. 29 Returns to scale Returns to Scale measures the relationship between the scale or size of a firm and output. 3 possibilities. 30 Returns to Scale 1. Increasing returns to scale: output more than doubles when all inputs are doubled • Larger output associated with lower cost (autos) • One firm is more efficient than many (utilities) 2. Constant returns to scale: output doubles when all inputs are doubled • Size does not affect productivity • May have a large number of producers 31 Returns to Scale 3. Decreasing returns to scale: output less than doubles when all inputs are doubled • Decreasing efficiency with large size • Reduction of managerial abilities 32 Returns to Scale Important to note that decreasing returns to scale is not the same as the law of diminishing returns. – The law of diminishing returns is a short-run concept and tells us that marginal output will fall as we add more of one input holding the other input fixed. – Decreasing returns to scale is a long-run concept and says that output goes up by less than twice as much when we double all inputs. 33 Returns to Scale—Example Suppose we are operating a firm with the following production function: Q = 100 K 1 2 1 L 2 34 Returns to Scale—Example L K Q 1 1 100 2 2 200 4 4 400 8 8 800 35 Returns to Scale—Example Now consider the following production function: 1 Q = 100 K L 2 36 Returns to Scale—Example L K Q 1 1 100 2 2 282.8 4 4 800 8 8 2262.7 37 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? Start by considering the following costs 1. Accounting Cost – Actual expenses plus depreciation charges for capital equipment 2. Economic Cost – Cost to a firm of utilizing economic resources in production, including opportunity cost 38 Opportunity Cost Opportunity Cost is the value of a resource when the resource is employed in it’s best alternative use. 39 Opportunity Cost—Example Consider a bank which owns the building where it’s headquarters is located. When figuring it’s costs of doing business, should the bank say that it pays zero rent? – No, they could sell the building to another firm and then pay that other firm a rent. – If this alternative way of doing business is cheaper, then that is what the bank should do. 40 Opportunity Costs Whenever we talk about costs in this class we will talk about the cost including the opportunity cost. This includes the cost of labor. – what the workers could earn working somewhere else. As well as the cost of capital. – The return the capital could earn invested somewhere else. 41 Accounting and Economic Profits Accounting profit = Sales – Accounting cost Economic profit = Sales – Economic cost Economic profit = Accounting profit – (Economic cost – Accounting cost) Ignoring opportunity costs may overstate the profitability of a firm 42 Sunk Cost Another type of economic cost is Sunk Cost. Sunk Cost – – Expenditure that has been made and cannot be recovered. Should not influence a firm’s decisions. 43 Sunk Cost—An Example Consider the recent decision of UK to sell a pharmaceutical lab for $30M UK invested $47M to set up the lab; should this matter? No. That money is sunk and UK has no way of recovering it. Only consider the revenue that is generate from selling the lab vs. the revenue from continuing to operate the lab 44 Sunk Cost—An Example Need to consider the potential return on investment and riskiness of the venture prior to making the original investments when costs aren’t sunk. 45 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? Next, consider fixed costs and variable costs. Total output is a function of variable inputs and fixed inputs. Therefore, the total cost of production equals the fixed cost (the cost of the fixed inputs) plus the variable cost (the cost of the variable inputs), or… TC = FC + VC 46 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? Fixed Cost (FC) – Does not vary with the level of output Variable Cost (VC) – Cost that varies as output varies 47 Measuring Costs: Which Costs Matter? It is important to understand the distinction between fixed costs and sunk costs. Fixed Cost – Cost paid by a firm that is in business regardless of the level of output. Short run concept Sunk Cost – Cost that has been incurred and cannot be recovered 48 Fixed Costs Examples of Fixed Costs Include: – Rent—A dentist must pay the rent on his office regardless of the number of patients she sees – Insurance – Licenses fee—Dentist must also pay a yearly fee for her license which does not vary with the number of patients – Interest on debt 49 Variable Costs Costs that vary with the amount of output you produce include: – Wages – Electricity – Fuel In general, anything we need more of to produce more output 50 Costs in the Short Run Marginal Cost (MC) is the cost of expanding output by one unit. Since fixed cost has no impact on marginal cost, it can be written as: ∆VC ∆TC MC = = ∆Q ∆Q 51 Costs in the Short Run Average Total Cost (ATC) is the cost per unit of output, or average fixed cost (AFC) plus average variable cost (AVC). This can be written as: TFC TVC ATC = + Q Q 52 Cost Curves for a Firm Total cost is the vertical sum of FC and VC. Cost 400 ($ per year) TC VC Variable cost increases with production and the rate varies with increasing & decreasing returns. 300 200 Fixed cost does not vary with output 100 FC 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Output 53 Cost Curves for a Firm Cost ($ per unit) 100 MC 75 50 ATC AVC 25 AFC 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Output (units/yr.) 54 Relationship between short-run costs and productivity So we have: w MC = MPL … and a low marginal product (MP) leads to a high marginal cost (MC) and vice versa 55 Relationship between short-run costs and productivity Using similar logic we can derive the following relationship: w AVC = APL These equations imply that MC is at a minimum when MPL is at a maximum and AVC is at a minimum when APL is at a maximum. 56 Costs in the Long Run Consider costs in the long run where we can vary all of our inputs. – No fixed costs How does a firm select the inputs needed to produce a given level of output at a minimum cost? – Assume firms want to produce in a way that minimizes costs. 57 Costs in the Long Run Assume a firm uses two inputs into production, capital (K) and labor (L). Price of labor is w, the wage rate. Price of capital is r, the user cost of capital per dollar of capital. 58 Cost Minimizing Input Choice Define the Isocost line: – C = wL + rK – Isocost: A line showing all combinations of L & K that can be purchased for the same cost 59 The Isocost Line Rewriting C as linear: – – K = C/r - (w/r)L Slope of the isocost: ∆K ∆L ( r) =−w • is the ratio of the wage rate to rental cost of capital. • This shows the rate at which capital can be substituted for labor with no change in cost. 60 The Isocost Line Capital per year C/r Slope=-(w/r) C/w Labor per year 61 The Isocost Line Suppose, w=$36,000/year and r=$18,000/year. What does the budget line look like when C=$180,000/year? 62 The Isocost Line Capital per year 180,000/18,000=10 Slope=-(36,000/18,000)=-2 180,000/36,000=5 Labor per year 63 Cost Minimizing Input Choice In order to choose the cost minimizing input choice we combined the isocost line with the isoquant. 64 Producing a Given Output at Minimum Cost Capital per year Q1 is an isoquant for output Q1. Isocost curve C0 shows all combinations of K and L that cost C0. K2 Isocost C2 shows quantity Q1 can be produced with combination K2L2 or K3L3. However, both of these are higher cost combinations than K1L1. CO C1 C2 are three isocost lines A K1 Q1 K3 C0 L2 L1 C1 L3 C2 Labor per year 65 Costs in the Long Run Relationship between Isoquants and Isocosts and the Production Function MPL ∆ K MRTS = − = − ∆L MPK Slope of isocost line = − ∆K = −w ∆L r MPL MPK =w r 66 Costs in the Long Run The minimum cost combination can then be written as: MPL w = MPK r MPL gives us the additional output we get from hiring one more unit of labor. w tells us the cost of hiring one more unit of labor 67 Costs in the Long Run MPL/w tells us how much additional output we get from spending one more dollar on labor. MPK/r tells us how much additional output we get from spending one more dollar on capital. By setting them equal this says that at the cost minimizing point I get the same increase in output from a dollar spent on either capital or labor. 68 Input Substitution When an Input Price Changes Consider what happens when we change prices. w is now higher so the isocost curve is steeper. Assume we want to keep producing same level of output. 69 Input Substitution When an Input Price Changes Capital per year If the price of labor changes, the isocost curve becomes steeper due to the change in the slope -(w/r). This yields a new combination of K and L to produce Q1. Combination B is used in place of combination A. The new combination represents the higher cost of labor relative to capital and therefore capital is substituted for labor. B K2 A K1 Q1 C2 L2 L1 C1 Labor per year 70 Long-Run Cost Curves Long-Run total costs (LTC) shows how costs change with output when we vary all inputs Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) is given by: LTC LAC = Q Long-Run Marginal Cost is given by: ∆LTC LMC = ∆Q 71 Long-Run Cost Curves The shape of these curves depends on whether the production function exhibits increasing, constant, or decreasing returns to scale. 72 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) Constant Returns to Scale – If input is doubled, output will double and average cost is constant at all levels of output. – LAC curve will be a flat line. Increasing Returns to Scale – If input is doubled, output will more than double and average cost decreases at all levels of output. – LAC curve is downward sloping. 73 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) Decreasing Returns to Scale – If input is doubled, the increase in output is less than twice as large and average cost increases with output. – LAC curve is upward sloping. 74 Long-Run Average Cost (LAC) In the long-run, firms initially experience increasing returns to scale at low output and then decreasing returns to scale at higher output and therefore long-run average cost is “U” shaped – Evidence suggests that it may “L” be shaped 75 Long-Run Average Cost and Long-Run Marginal Cost Cost ($ per unit of output LMC LAC Minimum efficient size is the firm size where long-run average cost is at a minimum A At Q* firm is operating at the minimum efficient size Quantity of Output Q* 76 Minimum Efficient Scale Q’ = minimum efficient scale 77 Minimum Efficient Scale Number of firms in an industry is determined by the minimum efficient scale of production and the market demand for the product. 78 Summary A production function describes the maximum output a firm can produce for each specified combination of inputs. An isoquant is a curve that shows all combinations of inputs that yield a given level of output. 79 Summary Average product of labor measures the productivity of the average worker, whereas marginal product of labor measures the productivity of the last worker added. The law of diminishing returns explains that the marginal product of an input eventually diminishes as its quantity is increased. 80 Summary Managers must take into account the opportunity cost associated with the use of the firm’s resources. Firms are faced with both fixed and variable costs in the short-run. 81 Summary When there is a single variable input, as in the short run, the presence of diminishing returns determines the shape of the cost curves. In the long run, all inputs to the production process are variable. A firm enjoys economies of scale when it can double its output at less than twice the cost. 82 Summary In long-run analysis, we focus on the firm’s choice of its scale or size of operation. 83